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211 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
55 Citations
8,082 Views
16 Pages

Assessment of Landslide Pre-Failure Monitoring and Forecasting Using Satellite SAR Interferometry

  • Serena Moretto,
  • Francesca Bozzano,
  • Carlo Esposito,
  • Paolo Mazzanti and
  • Alfredo Rocca

In this work, the ability of advanced satellite interferometry to monitor pre-failure landslide behaviours and the potential application of this technique to Failure Forecasting Methods (FFMs) are analysed. Several limits affect the ability of the te...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,279 Views
16 Pages

Forecasting Landslides via Three-Dimensional Discrete Element Modeling: Helong Landslide Case Study

  • Wei Peng,
  • Shengyuan Song,
  • Chongjia Yu,
  • Yiding Bao,
  • Jiaxuan Sui and
  • Ying Hu

2 December 2019

Forecasting the occurrence potential of landslides is important but challenging. We aimed to forecast the failure potential of the Helong landslide, which is temporarily stable but has clearly deformed in recent years. To achieve the goal, we used re...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
11,134 Views
14 Pages

Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction Model, a Special Focus on Listed Companies in Kenya

  • Daniel Ogachi,
  • Richard Ndege,
  • Peter Gaturu and
  • Zeman Zoltan

Predicting bankruptcy of companies has been a hot subject of focus for many economists. The rationale for developing and predicting the financial distress of a company is to develop a predictive model used to forecast the financial condition of a com...

  • Article
  • Open Access
701 Views
16 Pages

The estimation of the area susceptible to rock failure and the prediction of its movement process are pivotal for hazard mitigation, yet they are also challenging. In this study, we proposed a novel integrated method combining field investigation, re...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,187 Views
18 Pages

4 January 2020

Patterns in motion characterize failure precursors in granular materials. Currently, a broadly accepted method to forecast granular failure from data on motion is still lacking; yet such data are being generated by remote sensing and imaging technolo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
2,912 Views
16 Pages

28 March 2023

Expansive soil is one of the most widely distributed special soils in the world. It is widely developed in Henan, Anhui, Guangxi and other places in China, and highly overlaps with densely populated and economically active areas. Expansive soil is co...

  • Article
  • Open Access
798 Views
26 Pages

Estimating the Reliability and Predicting Damage to Ship Engine Fuel Systems Using Statistics and Artificial Intelligence

  • Joanna Chwał,
  • Radosław Dzik,
  • Arkadiusz Banasik,
  • Wojciech M. Kempa,
  • Zbigniew Matuszak,
  • Piotr Pikiewicz,
  • Ewaryst Tkacz and
  • Iwona Żabińska

27 October 2025

The reliability of ocean-going ship engine fuel systems is crucial for the safety and continuous operation of vessels. Failure of this system can lead to serious operational and economic consequences; therefore, effective diagnostics and failure pred...

  • Article
  • Open Access
335 Views
22 Pages

Hybrid N-BEATS-Based Method for Equipment Assessment and System Risk Prediction in Urban Power Grids

  • Chengwei Fan,
  • Gang Chen,
  • Peng Shi,
  • Shudi Liu,
  • Jiayu Bai,
  • Baorui Chen,
  • Wanlin Wang,
  • Yan Li,
  • Zhaoming Guo and
  • Yucun Shi

12 December 2025

To improve power system risk prediction under complex and extreme operating conditions, a hybrid N-BEATS-based framework is proposed for equipment assessment and loss of load expectation (LOLE) forecasting. The method integrates thermal circuit model...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
937 Views
21 Pages

5 December 2025

This work illustrates a machine learning methodology to forecast pipe failure frequencies in drinking water systems to enhance asset management and operational planning. Three supervised regression models—Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Extreme...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,724 Views
14 Pages

30 May 2019

With the improvement of short-term flood forecasting and short-term rainfall forecast accuracy, as well as the advance of hydrological and meteorological information collection and collation methods, the reservoir flood regulation method taking rainf...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
2,721 Views
27 Pages

Method for Forecasting the Remaining Useful Life of a Furnace Transformer Based on Online Monitoring Data

  • Andrey A. Radionov,
  • Ivan V. Liubimov,
  • Igor M. Yachikov,
  • Ildar R. Abdulveleev,
  • Ekaterina A. Khramshina and
  • Alexander S. Karandaev

10 June 2023

Implementing the concept of a “smart furnace transformer” should stipulate its information support throughout its life cycle. This requires improving techniques for estimating the transformer’s health and forecasting its remaining u...

  • Article
  • Open Access
27 Citations
4,470 Views
13 Pages

Approaches for Safety Analysis of Gas-Pipeline Functionality in Terms of Failure Occurrence: A Case Study

  • Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak,
  • Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik,
  • Marek Urbanik and
  • Janusz R. Rak

17 June 2018

The development of appropriate assessment methods of gas-pipeline functionality contributes to the reduction of failure consequences and helps engineers to make the right decisions as to the optimal solution choice for technical facilities, as well a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,897 Views
21 Pages

A Projection Approach of Tourist Circulation under Conditions of Uncertainty

  • Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu,
  • Rodica Pripoaie,
  • Carmen-Mihaela Cretu,
  • Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu,
  • Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu,
  • Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir and
  • Florentina Chițu

9 February 2022

This paper explores an important problem in tourism demand analysis, namely, the inherent uncertainty involved in projecting tourism demand. Tourism demand continues to be severely affected by unforeseen events associated with the current global heal...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,745 Views
18 Pages

12 November 2021

High-dimensional, non-stationary vector time-series data are often seen in ground motion monitoring of geo-hazard events, e.g., landslides. For timely and reliable forecasts from such data, we developed a new statistical approach based on two advance...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,663 Views
35 Pages

12 November 2025

The intermittent and lumpy demand of spare parts requires the choice of the right forecasting model among a variety of existing methods. Spare parts have an uneven lifecycle and mean time to failure for each individual item. As a result, they have a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
980 Views
20 Pages

30 September 2025

Lithium–sulfur (Li-S) batteries are promising energy storage solutions due to their high density and cost-effectiveness. However, the risk of thermal failure limits their widespread use. Understanding thermal failure characteristics and develop...

  • Article
  • Open Access
383 Views
29 Pages

9 January 2026

Accurate forecasting of solar energy production plays a crucial role in optimizing power system reliability, scheduling, and integration of renewable energy sources into the grid. From a sustainability perspective, improved forecasting accuracy suppo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,498 Views
23 Pages

Reducing Detrimental Communication Failure Impacts in Microgrids by Using Deep Learning Techniques

  • Babak Arbab-Zavar,
  • Suleiman M. Sharkh,
  • Emilio J. Palacios-Garcia,
  • Juan C. Vasquez and
  • Josep M. Guerrero

11 August 2022

A Microgrid (MG), like any other smart and interoperable power system, requires device-to-device (D2D) communication structures in order to function effectively. This communication system, however, is not immune to intentional or unintentional failur...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
1,951 Views
23 Pages

Accurate electricity forecasting is essential for smart cities to maintain grid stability by allocating resources in advance, ensuring better integration with renewable energies, and lowering operation costs. However, most forecasting models that use...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,062 Views
21 Pages

4 January 2023

Advancements in energy technologies created a new application for gas turbine generators, which are used to balance load. This usage also brought new challenges for maintenance because of harsh operating conditions that make turbines more susceptible...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,417 Views
12 Pages

The concept of risk assessment is an important tool in the asset integrity management of power distribution systems. This manuscript presents a risk-based asset integrity management (RBAIM) methodology for the optimization of power distribution asset...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
883 Views
20 Pages

31 March 2025

The secure operation of the renewable-integrated power system is affected by extreme weather conditions such as typhoons. In order to meet the operational requirements of the system, it is necessary to dynamically evaluate the resilience of the renew...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
2,181 Views
13 Pages

30 June 2022

It is very important to analyze the performance of the model rainstorm forecast for understanding the intensity and position deviation of the model precipitation and improving the forecast ability. This paper uses classical scoring and the MODE (Meth...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
4,338 Views
14 Pages

Practical Operation Strategies for Energy Storage System under Uncertainty

  • Minsoo Kim,
  • Kangsan Kim,
  • Hyungeun Choi,
  • Seonjeong Lee and
  • Hongseok Kim

21 March 2019

Recent advances in battery technologies have reduced the financial burden of using the energy storage system (ESS) for customers. Peak cut, one of the benefits of using ESS, can be achieved through proper charging/discharging scheduling of ESS. Howev...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,887 Views
25 Pages

Application of SHAP and Multi-Agent Approach for Short-Term Forecast of Power Consumption of Gas Industry Enterprises

  • Alina I. Stepanova,
  • Alexandra I. Khalyasmaa,
  • Pavel V. Matrenin and
  • Stanislav A. Eroshenko

8 October 2024

Currently, machine learning methods are widely applied in the power industry to solve various tasks, including short-term power consumption forecasting. However, the lack of interpretability of machine learning methods can lead to their incorrect use...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
1,701 Views
16 Pages

23 February 2024

Under the strong interference of sky background noise, the reliability of celestial navigation system (CNS) measurement will drop sharply, which leads to performance deterioration for ships’ strapdown inertial navigation system (SINS)/CNS integ...

  • Technical Note
  • Open Access
1,131 Views
10 Pages

Integrating Multiple Levee-Breaching Scenarios and Flood Events to Develop a Probabilistic Spatial Flood-Hazard Map of Etobicoke Creek in Toronto, Canada

  • Florence Mainguenaud,
  • Laurent Peyras,
  • Usman T. Khan,
  • Claudio Carvajal,
  • Bruno Beullac and
  • Jitendra Sharma

16 December 2024

Forecasting flood characteristics (e.g., water levels and velocity) is a growing concern due to climate change. It is therefore necessary to consider the stability conditions of earthen levees used to mitigate floods during a flood risk assessment. T...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,776 Views
28 Pages

12 September 2024

Accurate load forecasting, especially in the short term, is crucial for the safe and stable operation of power systems and their market participants. However, as modern power systems become increasingly complex, the challenges of short-term load fore...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,110 Views
23 Pages

26 March 2025

Trend forecasting and early anomaly warnings are important for avoiding aircraft engine failures or accidents. This study proposes a trend forecasting method based on enhanced Slice-level Adaptive Normalization (SAN) using a Long Short-Term Memory (L...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,377 Views
14 Pages

Predictive Analytics for Sucker Rod Pump Failures in Kazakhstani Oil Wells Using Machine Learning

  • Laura Utemissova,
  • Timur Merembayev,
  • Bakbergen Bekbau and
  • Sagyn Omirbekov

25 November 2024

In the process of developing mature deposits, a number of geological and technological complications arise. In order to increase the smooth operation of downhole pumping equipment in oil and gas wells, companies use various methods and techniques. Th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
290 Views
24 Pages

A Unified Approach for Ensemble Function and Threshold Optimization in Anomaly-Based Failure Forecasting

  • Nikolaos Kolokas,
  • Vasileios Tatsis,
  • Angeliki Zacharaki,
  • Dimosthenis Ioannidis and
  • Dimitrios Tzovaras

31 January 2026

This paper introduces a novel approach to anomaly-based failure forecasting that jointly optimizes both the ensemble function and the anomaly threshold used for decision making. Unlike conventional methods that apply fixed or classifier-defined thres...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,098 Views
20 Pages

26 December 2024

As a prevalent geological hazard in underground engineering, the accurate prediction of mine earthquakes is crucial for ensuring operational safety and enhancing mining efficiency. The deformation localization method effectively predicts the instabil...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,156 Views
26 Pages

Implementation of System Operation Modes for Health Management and Failure Prognosis in Cyber-Physical Systems

  • Santiago Ruiz-Arenas,
  • Zoltán Rusák,
  • Ricardo Mejía-Gutiérrez and
  • Imre Horváth

24 April 2020

Cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have sophisticated control mechanisms that help achieve optimal system operations and services. These mechanisms, imply considering multiple signal inputs in parallel, to timely respond to varying working conditions. Des...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
8,655 Views
17 Pages

17 March 2022

This paper examines the causes of widespread maize production failure in Ghana during the 2020 minor growing season. A mixed-methods approach was used to study smallholder maize farmers in the Ejura-Sekyedumase Municipality to provide a holistic unde...

  • Review
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,545 Views
49 Pages

Fatigue Failure Criteria of Asphalt Binders and Asphalt Mixtures: A Comprehensive Review

  • Shizhan Xu,
  • Zhigang Zhao,
  • Honglei Wang,
  • Chenguang Wan,
  • Xiaofeng Wang,
  • Zhenjun Wang and
  • Xuanrui Zhang

10 July 2025

This study presents a systematic review of fatigue analysis methodologies and failure criteria for asphalt binders and mixtures employed in various cyclic fatigue testing configurations. The investigation focuses on two principal predictive approache...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
6,135 Views
24 Pages

28 February 2019

In many tourism destinations, sustainability of the local economy leans on small and medium-sized hotels that are individually owned and operated by members of the community. Suffering from seasonality more than their big competitors, these hotels sh...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
5,353 Views
27 Pages

Predictive Maintenance Framework for Fault Detection in Remote Terminal Units

  • Alexios Lekidis,
  • Angelos Georgakis,
  • Christos Dalamagkas and
  • Elpiniki I. Papageorgiou

25 March 2024

The scheduled maintenance of industrial equipment is usually performed with a low frequency, as it usually leads to unpredicted downtime in business operations. Nevertheless, this confers a risk of failure in individual modules of the equipment, whic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
2,591 Views
26 Pages

28 February 2021

Health risks connected with fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollutants are well documented; increased risks of asthma, heart attack and heart failure are a few of the effects associated with PM2.5. Accurately forecasting PM2.5 is crucial for state ag...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,305 Views
18 Pages

Multi-Task Data Imputation for Time-Series Forecasting in Turbomachinery Health Prognostics

  • Xudong Chen,
  • Xudong Ding,
  • Xiaofang Wang,
  • Yusong Zhao,
  • Changjun Liu,
  • Haitao Liu and
  • Kexuan Chen

23 December 2022

Time-series forecasting is the core of the prognostics and health management (PHM) of turbomachinery. However, missing data often occurs due to several reasons, such as the failure of sensors. These partially missing and irregular data greatly affect...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
5,638 Views
20 Pages

Prediction Interval Adjustment for Load-Forecasting using Machine Learning

  • Miguel A. Zuniga-Garcia,
  • G. Santamaría-Bonfil,
  • G. Arroyo-Figueroa and
  • Rafael Batres

4 December 2019

Electricity load-forecasting is an essential tool for effective power grid operation and energy markets. However, the lack of accuracy on the estimation of the electricity demand may cause an excessive or insufficient supply which can produce instabi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
35 Citations
5,032 Views
17 Pages

4 August 2020

The problem of Photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting is becoming crucial as the penetration level of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) increases in microgrids and Virtual Power Plants (VPPs). In order to improve the stability of power syst...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,391 Views
23 Pages

Models for Heart Failure Admissions and Admission Rates, 2016 through 2018

  • Clemens Scott Kruse,
  • Bradley M. Beauvais,
  • Matthew S. Brooks,
  • Michael Mileski and
  • Lawrence V. Fulton

27 December 2020

Background: Approximately 6.5 to 6.9 million individuals in the United States have heart failure, and the disease costs approximately $43.6 billion in 2020. This research provides geographical incidence and cost models of this disease in the U.S. and...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,025 Views
21 Pages

1 March 2025

Currently, Industry 4.0 creates new opportunities for analyzing data on production processes and extracting knowledge from them. With the Internet of Things, data is continuously collected from machine sensors to analyze machine health. Thanks to art...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
4,405 Views
24 Pages

Predicting the Cost Outcome of Construction Quality Problems Using Case-Based Reasoning (CBR)

  • Neşet Berkay Doğan,
  • Bilal Umut Ayhan,
  • Gokhan Kazar,
  • Murathan Saygili,
  • Yunus Emre Ayözen and
  • Onur Behzat Tokdemir

10 November 2022

Quality problems are crucial in construction projects since poor quality might lead to delays, low productivity, and cost overruns. In case preventive actions are absent, a lack of quality results in a chain of problems. As a solution, this study dea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,027 Views
19 Pages

Using Event Data to Build Predictive Engine Failure Models

  • Pritesh Mistry,
  • Peter Hughes,
  • Abirami Gunasekaran,
  • Gareth Tucker and
  • Adam Bevan

Diesel engine failures are one reason for delays and breakdowns on the UK rail network, resulting in significant fines and related financial penalties for a train operating company. Preventing such failures is the ultimate goal, but forecasting or pr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,358 Views
17 Pages

19 April 2024

Thunderstorms endanger life and infrastructure. The accurate and precise prediction of thunderstorms is therefore helpful to enable protection measures and to reduce the risks. This manuscript presents the latest developments to improve thunderstorm...

  • Article
  • Open Access
312 Views
22 Pages

28 December 2025

Wind power forecasting is critical to renewable energy generation, as accurate predictions are essential for the efficient and reliable operation of power systems. However, wind power output is inherently unstable and is strongly affected by meteorol...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
4,502 Views
12 Pages

15 December 2021

This work aims at defining in a probabilistic manner objectives and constraints typically considered in route optimization systems. Information about weather-related uncertainties is introduced by adopting ensemble forecast results. Classical reliabi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
26 Citations
3,822 Views
13 Pages

Analysis of the Safety of Functioning Gas Pipelines in Terms of the Occurrence of Failures

  • Marek Urbanik,
  • Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak and
  • Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik

22 August 2019

The development of appropriate methods by which to assess the functioning of gas pipelines helps limits the consequences of disasters, in that way protecting users better. Assessment methods of this kind are presented in this paper, which advocates t...

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