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Journal of Risk and Financial Management

Journal of Risk and Financial Management is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal on risk and financial management, published monthly online by MDPI (since Volume 6, Issue 1 - 2013).

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All Articles (4,550)

  • Article
  • Open Access

Auditing Scoring Architecture in Financial Capability Surveys: Monte Carlo Evidence and a Peruvian Workplace Case on Perceived Financial Freedom

  • Fabricio Miguel Moreno-Menéndez,
  • José Francisco Vía y Rada-Vittes and
  • Sara Ricardina Zacarías-Vallejos
  • + 6 authors

Self-report financial surveys require auditable scoring as well as evidence that their items measure the intended constructs. This study combines a Peruvian workplace archive of 50 records with an independently reconstructed Monte Carlo experiment. The audit distinguishes archived categories, direct sums, a historical partial key and correction of all four explicit constraint items. Full correction changes the overall correlation from −0.081 to −0.331 (record-level permutation p = 0.01930), while perceived-financial-freedom alpha falls from 0.708 to 0.255. The archive contains only 20 distinct response patterns; a pattern-cluster sensitivity interval includes zero. Archived categories are not deterministic functions of the stored sums. The simulation evaluates 82,500 synthetic datasets across a 27-cell baseline and 28 targeted extension cells. It separates measurement-related displacement, protocol distortion and finite-sample error. At N = 150 and a latent correlation of 0.40, the empirical key-map scenario yields a joint correlation change of −0.158 and a paired interaction of −0.041 (MCSE 0.0020). Mean observed-target baseline coverage is 0.949 for corrected sums and 0.948 for direct categories; latent-target inclusion is a different diagnostic. The contribution is an operational audit combining software invariants, item and provenance checks, and conditional robustness assessment. Scoring repair and synthetic evidence do not validate the source instrument or establish a substantive financial-capability effect.

Scoring audit workflow. Algebraic checks, substantive key review and empirical diagnostics have distinct roles; successful scoring checks do not establish construct validity.
  • Article
  • Open Access

From fiscal year 2020, Korea has required a listed company that has kept the same auditor for six consecutive years to accept an auditor chosen by the securities regulator and keep it for three years. This study estimates what the rule costs and what it delivers. Using 17,890 firm-years from 2258 listed companies over 2015 to 2024, with designation identified from the auditor-change pattern the statute dictates, it estimates firm and year fixed-effects regressions against voluntary switchers. Designation raises the audit fee by 37.5 per cent and contracted audit hours by 14.8 per cent, so the average fee per audit hour rises by 19.7 per cent. Hours actually worked, disclosed separately by the auditor, give the same answer, and the composition of the engagement team does not change. Net of a voluntary change, the fee still rises by 0.1475 log points and hours by 0.0866. Absolute discretionary accruals do not move, and the interval excludes any improvement larger than a tenth of a standard deviation. Every effect appears in the designation year and disappears when the term expires. The costs of the regime are high and precisely estimated; no consistent improvement is observed in the accrual-based measure examined.

Research design. Notes. The research question, the institutional mechanism, the four hypotheses with the reasoning behind each and the sign that reasoning predicts, the variables, and the identification. The figure carries no estimates; those are reported in Section 6. The quantity of interest is the designation coefficient minus the voluntary-switch coefficient, the incremental change associated with designation relative to a voluntary auditor change, rather than the designation coefficient alone: the 2019 standard-audit-hours rule raised audit hours at every firm, and firms that changed auditor voluntarily in the same years absorb that common shock. Abbreviations: H1 to H4, Hypotheses 1 to 4; DESPOST, the designation indicator; VOLPOST, the voluntary auditor change indicator; LTA, natural log of total assets; LEV, leverage; ROA, return on assets; GROWTH, sales growth; MTB, market-to-book ratio; β1 − β2, the designation coefficient minus the voluntary-change coefficient; τ, event time in years relative to designation.
  • Article
  • Open Access

This study examines perceived anti-money laundering (AML) effectiveness in the context of cryptocurrency usage in Nigeria, with particular emphasis on perceived regulatory awareness and institutional experience. As cryptocurrency adoption continues to expand in developing economies, concerns have emerged regarding the capacity of existing regulatory frameworks to effectively monitor and control illicit financial activities. A quantitative research design was adopted using structured questionnaires administered to regulatory stakeholders, including personnel from the Nigeria Police Force (NPF) and the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC). Data were analysed using statistical techniques, including analysis of variance and regression analysis, to assess differences in perceived AML effectiveness and its association with awareness and experience. The findings indicate that perceived regulatory awareness and institutional experience were not significantly associated with perceived AML effectiveness. This suggests that perceived regulatory awareness and institutional experience alone may have limited explanatory value for differences in perceived AML effectiveness in the context of cryptocurrency-related financial crime. The results indicate that perceived regulatory awareness and institutional experience explain only a small proportion of the variation in perceived AML effectiveness. The study contributes to the literature by providing evidence on regulatory stakeholders’ perceptions of AML effectiveness and the roles of perceived regulatory awareness and institutional experience within Nigeria’s cryptocurrency context.

Research Framework Linking Regulatory Awareness, Institutional Experience and Perceived AML Effectiveness.
  • Article
  • Open Access

This study examines regional agricultural credit allocation and intensity in Kazakhstan and their relevance to financial inclusion. Data cover 17 harmonised units in 2014–2023. Two-way fixed-effects models use 153 observations for 2015–2023 (T = 9), after lagging output. Outcomes comprise total real credit, credit per agricultural worker, and credit per hectare. Credit remains concentrated: the 2014–2023 Spearman rank correlation is 0.93, and 13 of 17 units remain in the same quartile. The modest decline in the top-three share is not statistically distinguishable from zero. A 1% increase in lagged agricultural output is associated with 0.63% higher current credit. Subsidies are positively associated with credit, with moderate evidence of a stronger association in initially high-credit regions. The interaction has weaker bootstrap support (p = 0.061; 95% CI [−0.01, 0.30]), so the distributional evidence is suggestive rather than definitive. Separate and joint models support a positive branch-density association; ATM-density estimates are imprecise. Regional differences and the main associations persist in the normalised outcomes. These non-causal associations concern geographic financial access and cannot establish borrower-level exclusion. Aggregate credit growth alone does not establish geographically inclusive agricultural finance.

Aggregate real agricultural credit, 2014–2023.

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Featured Papers in Finance and Society Wellbeing
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Featured Papers in Finance and Society Wellbeing

in Honor of Professors Joe Gani and Chris Heyde
Editors: Shuangzhe Liu, Svetlozar (Zari) Rachev
Applied Public Finance and Fiscal Analysis
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Applied Public Finance and Fiscal Analysis

Editors: Andrey Zahariev, Borislav Dimitrov Borisov
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J. Risk Financ. Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074