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30,748 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,239 Views
25 Pages

A New Uncertainty Measure for Assessing the Uncertainty Existing in Hydrological Simulation

  • Pengfei Shi,
  • Tao Yang,
  • Bin Yong,
  • Zhenya Li,
  • Chong-Yu Xu,
  • Quanxi Shao,
  • Xiaoyan Wang,
  • Xudong Zhou and
  • Youwei Qin

18 April 2019

The absence of aggregated uncertainty measures restricts the assessment of uncertainty in hydrological simulation. In this work, a new composite uncertainty measure is developed to evaluate the complex behaviors of uncertainty existing in hydrologica...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
8,377 Views
29 Pages

We propose an approach for jointly measuring global macroeconomic uncertainty and bilateral spillovers of uncertainty between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1–2020Q4, our global index is able t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
4,960 Views
20 Pages

1 July 2019

Reliable image classification results are crucial for the application of remote sensing images, but the reliability of image classification has received less attention. In particular, the inherent uncertainty of remote sensing images has been disrega...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,517 Views
13 Pages

16 August 2023

It is noted that some uncertain variables are independent while others are not. In general, there is a symmetrical relationship between independence and dependence among uncertain variables. The utilization of conditional uncertain measures as well a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,322 Views
41 Pages

11 November 2024

The paper examined the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the ten largest subsectors of the Nigerian economy using quarterly data from Q1 1981 to Q4 2023. The rationale behind selecting the subsectors is that these sectors constitute about 89 per...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
3,914 Views
20 Pages

10 March 2022

Reliability analysis and trade-offs between safety and cost with insufficient data represent an inevitable problem during the early stage of structural design. In this paper, efficient uncertainty theory-based reliability analysis and a design method...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,760 Views
20 Pages

Intolerance of Uncertainty and Attitudes towards Vaccination Impact Vaccinal Decision While Perceived Uncertainty Does Not

  • Clémence Brun,
  • Alexis Akinyemi,
  • Laurène Houtin,
  • Oulmann Zerhouni,
  • Richard Monvoisin and
  • Nicolas Pinsault

18 October 2022

The COVID-19 pandemic illustrated that intolerance of uncertainty (IU) can hinder problem-solving and lead to avoidance of ambiguous situations. Furthermore, people tend to lack confidence in decisions made in ambiguous contexts. We wanted to investi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
425 Views
27 Pages

Uncertainty as a Gateway to Beauty: The Impact of Uncertainty Reduction on Art Appreciation

  • Yan Duan,
  • Yonghui Hou,
  • Tingting Ouyang,
  • Wanyi Chen,
  • Chenjing Wu,
  • Wei Zhang and
  • Xianyou He

16 February 2026

Art theory suggests that the pleasure of art appreciation stems from resolving uncertainty, yet empirical support for this idea remains limited. To address this gap, we conducted three studies (N = 1127), providing empirical evidence for the Aestheti...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,470 Views
14 Pages

The geometrical dimensions and mechanical properties of composite materials exhibit inherent variation and uncertainty in practical engineering. Uncertainties in geometrical dimensions and mechanical properties propagate to the structural performance...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
5,188 Views
21 Pages

18 May 2022

Deterministic flood hazard estimates neglect the inherent uncertainty associated with model estimates and can substantially underestimate flood risk. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) has been a valuable tool for conducting uncertainty analysis. However,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
2,946 Views
15 Pages

17 August 2024

A shared commitment to standardising the process of hypothetically reconstructing lost buildings from the past has characterised academic research in recent years and can manifest at various stages of the reconstructive process and with different per...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,586 Views
12 Pages

A Quantum Wavelet Uncertainty Principle

  • Sabrine Arfaoui,
  • Maryam G. Alshehri and
  • Anouar Ben Mabrouk

In the present paper, an uncertainty principle is derived in the quantum wavelet framework. Precisely, a new uncertainty principle for the generalized q-Bessel wavelet transform, based on some q-quantum wavelet, is established. A two-parameters exten...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,685 Views
14 Pages

Pandemic-Era Uncertainty

  • Brent Meyer,
  • Emil Mihaylov,
  • Jose Maria Barrero,
  • Steven J. Davis,
  • David Altig and
  • Nicholas Bloom

We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and ou...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,374 Views
14 Pages

30 May 2023

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this study is to enhance the quality of life in elderly patients with lung cancer by understanding relations of uncertainty, appraisal of uncertainty, self-efficacy, and quality of life targeting elderly pati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,727 Views
30 Pages

16 January 2023

In construction planning, decision making has a great impact on final project performance. Hence, it is essential for project managers to assess the construction planning and make informed decisions. However, disproportionately large uncertainties oc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,679 Views
44 Pages

Uncertainty Relations in Hydrodynamics

  • Gyell Gonçalves de Matos,
  • Takeshi Kodama and
  • Tomoi Koide

21 November 2020

The qualitative behaviors of uncertainty relations in hydrodynamics are numerically studied for fluids with low Reynolds numbers in 1+1 dimensional system. We first give a review for the formulation of the generalized uncertainty relations in the sto...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
14 Citations
7,575 Views
13 Pages

Bayesian Surrogate Analysis and Uncertainty Propagation

  • Sascha Ranftl and
  • Wolfgang von der Linden

The quantification of uncertainties of computer simulations due to input parameter uncertainties is paramount to assess a model’s credibility. For computationally expensive simulations, this is often feasible only via surrogate models that are learne...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,643 Views
17 Pages

Reliable localization is critical for robot navigation in complex indoor environments. In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware localization method that enhances the reliability of localization outputs without modifying the prediction model its...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,821 Views
14 Pages

10 September 2021

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission from electricity generation has been recognized as one of the most significant contributors to global warming. The GHG emission factor of electricity (hereafter, electricity emission factor) can be expressed as a functio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,142 Views
11 Pages

7 June 2023

For object detection, capturing the scale of uncertainty is as important as accurate localization. Without understanding uncertainties, self-driving vehicles cannot plan a safe path. Many studies have focused on improving object detection, but relati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,288 Views
22 Pages

Navigating Uncertainty: How Climate Policy Uncertainty Drives Firms’ Green Transformation

  • Zhi Zhang,
  • Yuan Hong,
  • Ziyao Yang,
  • Liming Chen and
  • Yanhong Feng

18 September 2025

As climate change intensifies, climate-related policy instruments have become essential tools for governments to mitigate climate risks. The formulation of such policies typically involves balancing economic growth and ecological goals while ensuring...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,001 Views
12 Pages

An Investigation of the Predictability of Uncertainty Indices on Bitcoin Returns

  • Jinghua Wang,
  • Geoffrey M. Ngene,
  • Yan Shi and
  • Ann Nduati Mungai

Policymakers and portfolio managers pay keen attention to sources of uncertainties that drive asset returns and volatility. The influence of uncertainty on Bitcoin has the potential to drive fluctuations in the entire cryptocurrency market. We invest...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,901 Views
23 Pages

15 March 2023

A discharge uncertainty envelope is presented that provides an observation error model for data assimilation (DA) using discharge observations derived from measurement of stage using a rating curve. It uniquely represents the rating curve representat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,841 Views
17 Pages

23 November 2020

Using ensemble forecast experiments generated by the weather research and forecasting model, the forecast uncertainties of intensity and its rapid intensification (RI) induced by the uncertainty occurring in the boundary layer are investigated for Ty...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,996 Views
19 Pages

In open environments, multimodal sentiment analysis (MSA) often suffers from low-quality data and can be disrupted by noise, inherent defects, and outliers. In some cases, unreasonable multimodal fusion methods can perform worse than unimodal methods...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,122 Views
15 Pages

25 October 2021

Sensor uncertainty significantly affects the performance of autonomous vehicles (AVs). Sensor uncertainty is predominantly linked to sensor specifications, and because sensor behaviors change dynamically, the machine learning approach is not suitable...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,579 Views
23 Pages

12 October 2023

Though an accurate measurement of entropy, or more generally uncertainty, is critical to the success of human–machine teams, the evaluation of the accuracy of such metrics as a probability of machine correctness is often aggregated and not asse...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,674 Views
12 Pages

Some Theorems for Inverse Uncertainty Distribution of Uncertain Processes

  • Xiumei Chen,
  • Yufu Ning,
  • Lihui Wang,
  • Shuai Wang and
  • Hong Huang

23 December 2021

In real life, indeterminacy and determinacy are symmetric, while indeterminacy is absolute. We are devoted to studying indeterminacy through uncertainty theory. Within the framework of uncertainty theory, uncertain processes are used to model the evo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,084 Views
12 Pages

Enhanced Vectorial Measurement Uncertainty Model

  • Ingo Ortlepp,
  • Simon Eisele,
  • Kevin Treptow,
  • Josias Rühle,
  • Christof Pruß,
  • Tobias Haist,
  • Stephan Reichelt,
  • Oliver Sawodny,
  • Eberhard Manske and
  • Thomas Kissinger

Quantitative determination of the uncertainty of a measurement result is the key to assessing the quality and reliability of a measurement process and its result. The comparability of measurement results is ensured by the method for evaluating and ex...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,083 Views
13 Pages

14 December 2022

The emergence of a minimal length at the Planck scale is consistent with modern developments in quantum gravity. This is taken into account by transforming the Heisenberg uncertainty principle into the generalized uncertainty principle. Here, the pos...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
6,953 Views
17 Pages

Uncertainty and Risk in the Cryptocurrency Market

  • Dora Almeida,
  • Andreia Dionísio,
  • Isabel Vieira and
  • Paulo Ferreira

Cryptocurrency investments are often perceived as uncertain and risky. In this study, we assessed if this is indeed the case, using a sample of seven cryptocurrencies and considered a period that encompassed the first real global shock in the life of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,510 Views
24 Pages

30 June 2019

Various uncertainty analysis methods have been used in various studies to analyze the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff models; however, these methods are difficult to apply immediately as they require a long learning time. In this study, we propose a s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,665 Views
19 Pages

The Data Assimilation Approach in a Multilayered Uncertainty Space

  • Martin Drieschner,
  • Clemens Herrmann and
  • Yuri Petryna

8 November 2023

The simultaneous consideration of a numerical model and of different observations can be achieved using data-assimilation methods. In this contribution, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is applied to obtain the system-state development and also an e...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
1,677 Views
5 Pages

Against the background of the rapid development of today’s human society, this article integrates the concept of musical uncertainty through informatization, uses the exploration of dialectics in philosophy to further summarize the informatizat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,498 Views
36 Pages

27 February 2021

Screening and diagnostic tests are applied for the classification of people into diseased and non-diseased populations. Although diagnostic accuracy measures are used to evaluate the correctness of classification in clinical research and practice, th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,829 Views
20 Pages

20 April 2025

This research analyzes the influence of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on energy consumption driven by tourism in Macau, employing a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model with sign restrictions. The SVAR model facilitates the identificatio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,679 Views
19 Pages

27 October 2020

This paper extends the canonical small open-economy real-business-cycle model, when considering model uncertainty. Domestic households have multiplier preferences, which leads them to take robust decisions in response to possible model misspecificati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,063 Views
22 Pages

UQ4CFD: An Uncertainty Quantification Platform for CFD Simulation

  • Wei Xiao,
  • Jiao Zhao,
  • Luogeng Lv,
  • Jiangtao Chen,
  • Peihong Zhang and
  • Xiaojun Wu

30 September 2025

The credibility of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) has been a topic of debate due to the significant uncertainties inherent in its modeling processes and numerical implementations. Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) offers a scientific framework for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
9,041 Views
29 Pages

Different types of uncertainties occur in almost all datasets and are an inherent property of data across different academic disciplines, including digital humanities (DH). In this paper, we address, demonstrate and analyse spatio-temporal uncertaint...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,706 Views
8 Pages

The uncertainty associated with probing the quantum state is expressed as the effective abundance (measure) of possibilities for its collapse. New kinds of uncertainty limits entailed by the quantum description of the physical system arise in this ma...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,669 Views
40 Pages

Improving Re-Identification by Estimating and Utilizing Diverse Uncertainty Types for Embeddings

  • Markus Eisenbach,
  • Andreas Gebhardt,
  • Dustin Aganian and
  • Horst-Michael Gross

26 September 2024

In most re-identification approaches, embedding vectors are compared to identify the best match for a given query. However, this comparison does not take into account whether the encoded information in the embedding vectors was extracted reliably fro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,327 Views
15 Pages

30 October 2023

This paper investigates the adequacy of radial basis function (RBF)-based models as surrogates in uncertainty quantification (UQ) and CFD shape optimization; for the latter, problems with and without uncertainties are considered. In UQ, these are use...

  • Review
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,957 Views
15 Pages

6 March 2024

Uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis are essential for improving the modeling and estimation of greenhouse gas emissions in livestock farming to evaluate and reduce the impact of uncertainty in input parameters to model output. The pre...

  • Review
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,220 Views
21 Pages

14 March 2024

A key feature of contemporary times is the high degree of complexity that impacts all spheres and aspects of today’s society, particularly within education. This complexity, deriving from a postdigital world in a polycrisis, causes continuous e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,751 Views
27 Pages

12 February 2024

The role of medical diagnosis is essential in patient care and healthcare. Established diagnostic practices typically rely on predetermined clinical criteria and numerical thresholds. In contrast, Bayesian inference provides an advanced framework tha...

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