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1,595 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,753 Views
14 Pages

Estimation of Large River Design Floods Using the Peaks-Over-Threshold (POT) Method

  • Slobodan Kolaković,
  • Vladimir Mandić,
  • Milan Stojković,
  • Goran Jeftenić,
  • Danilo Stipić and
  • Srđan Kolaković

22 March 2023

This research analyzes the peaks-over-threshold (POT) method for designed flood estimation needed to plan river levees, spillways and water facilities. In this study, a one-parameter exponential probability distribution has been modified by including...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,623 Views
19 Pages

Peaks-Over-Threshold-Based Regional Flood Frequency Analysis Using Regularised Linear Models

  • Xiao Pan,
  • Gokhan Yildirim,
  • Ataur Rahman,
  • Khaled Haddad and
  • Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

31 October 2023

Regional flood frequency analysis (RFFA) is widely used to estimate design floods in ungauged catchments. Most of the RFFA techniques are based on the annual maximum (AM) flood model; however, research has shown that the peaks-over-threshold (POT) mo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,453 Views
19 Pages

14 April 2024

We consider a constructive definition of the multivariate Pareto that factorizes the random vector into a radial component and an independent angular component. The former follows a univariate Pareto distribution, and the latter is defined on the sur...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
7,489 Views
18 Pages

Techniques used to analyze exceedances over a high threshold are in great demand for research in economics, environmental science, and other fields. The generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) has been widely used to fit observations exceeding the tail...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,970 Views
20 Pages

18 March 2024

Generalized Pareto distribution (GPD), an asymmetrical distribution, primarily models exceedances over a high threshold in many applications. Within the peaks-over-threshold (POT) framework, we consider a new GPD parameter estimation method to estima...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,117 Views
33 Pages

5 November 2021

The peaks-over-threshold (POT) method has a long tradition in modelling extremes in environmental variables. However, it has originally been introduced under the assumption of independently and identically distributed (iid) data. Since environmental...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,914 Views
27 Pages

Financial market data are abundant with outliers, and the search for an appropriate extreme value theory (EVT) approach to apply is an endless debate in the statistics of extremes research. This paper uses EVT methods to model the five-year daily all...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
2,813 Views
26 Pages

Comparison of Extreme Wind and Waves Using Different Statistical Methods in 40 Offshore Wind Energy Lease Areas Worldwide

  • Saravanan Bhaskaran,
  • Amrit Shankar Verma,
  • Andrew J. Goupee,
  • Subhamoy Bhattacharya,
  • Amir R. Nejad and
  • Wei Shi

3 October 2023

With the ongoing global drive towards renewable energy, several potential offshore wind energy lease areas worldwide have come into focus. This study aims to estimate the extreme wind and wave conditions across several newly designated offshore wind...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
3,705 Views
14 Pages

Extremal Analysis of Flooding Risk and Its Catastrophe Bond Pricing

  • Jiayi Li,
  • Zhiyan Cai,
  • Yixuan Liu and
  • Chengxiu Ling

27 December 2022

Catastrophic losses induced by natural disasters are receiving growing attention because of the severe increases in their magnitude and frequency. We first investigated the extreme tail behavior of flood-caused economic losses and maximum point preci...

  • Article
  • Open Access
39 Citations
4,994 Views
24 Pages

Comparative Analysis of Environmental Contour Approaches to Estimating Extreme Waves for Offshore Installations for the Baltic Sea and the North Sea

  • Linus Wrang,
  • Eirini Katsidoniotaki,
  • Erik Nilsson,
  • Anna Rutgersson,
  • Jesper Rydén and
  • Malin Göteman

At the stage of design load analysis for offshore installations such as wave energy systems, a critical step is the determination of environmental cases to be evaluated for the definition of the characteristic design load. A commonly used methodology...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,271 Views
19 Pages

Weather Regimes of Extreme Wind Speed Events in Xinjiang: A 10–30 Year Return Period Analysis

  • Yajie Li,
  • Dagui Liu,
  • Donghan Wang,
  • Sen Xu,
  • Bin Ma,
  • Yueyue Yu,
  • Jianing Li and
  • Yafei Li

24 September 2025

Xinjiang is a critical wind energy region in China. This study characterizes extreme wind speed (EWS) events in Xinjiang by using ERA5 reanalysis (1979–2023) and station observations (2022–2023). Through k-means clustering and wind power...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,801 Views
21 Pages

This paper analyzes the volatility dynamics in the financial markets of the (three) most powerful countries from a military perspective, namely, the U.S., Russia, and China, during the period 2015–2018 that corresponds to their intervention in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
33 Citations
5,510 Views
22 Pages

Climate Change Trends in a European Coastal Metropolitan Area: Rainfall, Temperature, and Extreme Events (1864–2021)

  • Luis Angel Espinosa,
  • Maria Manuela Portela,
  • José Pedro Matos and
  • Salem Gharbia

28 November 2022

This paper summarises an updated climate change trends analysis—developed for the period from 1 October 1864 to 30 September 2021 within the scope of a Horizon 2020-funded project to increase climate resilience in European coastal cities—...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
7,686 Views
33 Pages

12 March 2020

The determination of the return period of frequent discharges requires the definition of flood peak thresholds. Unlike daily data, the volume of data to be processed with the generalization of hourly data loggers or even with an even finer temporal r...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
4,522 Views
29 Pages

A Probabilistic Model for Maximum Rainfall Frequency Analysis

  • Maurycy Ciupak,
  • Bogdan Ozga-Zieliński,
  • Tamara Tokarczyk and
  • Jan Adamowski

28 September 2021

As determining the probability of the exceedance of maximum precipitation over a specified duration is critical to hydrotechnical design, particularly in the context of climate change, a model was developed to perform a frequency analysis of maximum...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,906 Views
19 Pages

28 December 2022

This paper investigates the short-term wind farm generation forecast. It is observed from the real wind farm generation measurements that wind farm generation exhibits distinct features, such as the non-stationarity and the heterogeneous dynamics of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,188 Views
21 Pages

27 March 2023

The proper assessment of design rainfalls with long return periods is very important because they are inputs for many flood studies. In this paper, estimations are performed on daily design rainfall totals from 16 meteorological stations located in t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,026 Views
19 Pages

30 November 2023

In the present paper, the process of estimating the important statistical properties of extreme wind loads on structures is investigated by considering the effect of large variability. In fact, for the safety design and operating conditions of struct...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,723 Views
25 Pages

24 April 2022

Air pollution is a major global problem, closely related to economic and social development and ecological environment construction. Air pollution data for most regions of China have a close correlation with time and seasons and are affected by multi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
6,971 Views
14 Pages

Site-Specific, Critical Threshold Barefoot Peak Plantar Pressure Associated with Diabetic Foot Ulcer History: A Novel Approach to Determine DFU Risk in the Clinical Setting

  • Caroline A. Abbott,
  • Katie E. Chatwin,
  • Satyan M. Rajbhandari,
  • Kanwal M. John,
  • Sushma Pabbineedi,
  • Frank L. Bowling,
  • Andrew J. M. Boulton and
  • Neil D. Reeves

21 January 2022

Background and Objectives: Barefoot peak plantar pressures (PPPs) are elevated in diabetes patients with neuropathic foot ulcer (DFU) history; however, there is limited reported evidence for a causative link between high barefoot PPP and DFU risk. We...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,314 Views
25 Pages

20 July 2020

Forecasting market risk lies at the core of modern empirical finance. We propose a new self-exciting probability peaks-over-threshold (SEP-POT) model for forecasting the extreme loss probability and the value at risk. The model draws from the point-p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
5,578 Views
24 Pages

9 February 2022

Most of the spacecraft telemetry anomaly detection methods based on statistical models suffer from the problems of high false negatives, long time consumption, and poor interpretability. Besides, complex interactions, which may determine the propagat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
59 Citations
10,520 Views
21 Pages

Step Detection Robust against the Dynamics of Smartphones

  • Hwan-hee Lee,
  • Suji Choi and
  • Myeong-jin Lee

26 October 2015

A novel algorithm is proposed for robust step detection irrespective of step mode and device pose in smartphone usage environments. The dynamics of smartphones are decoupled into a peak-valley relationship with adaptive magnitude and temporal thresho...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,462 Views
18 Pages

22 January 2024

The Sanshandao Gold Mine is currently in the deep mining stage. The ground pressure on the surrounding rocks is gradually becoming more considerable, and at the same time, threatened by the overlying seawater, the possibility of mine water inrush acc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,382 Views
17 Pages

Smartphone-Based Unconstrained Step Detection Fusing a Variable Sliding Window and an Adaptive Threshold

  • Ying Xu,
  • Guofeng Li,
  • Zeyu Li,
  • Hao Yu,
  • Jianhui Cui,
  • Jin Wang and
  • Yu Chen

19 June 2022

Step detection for smartphones plays an important role in the pedestrian dead reckoning (PDR) for indoor positioning. Aiming at the problem of low step detection accuracy of smartphones in complex unconstrained states in PDR, smartphone-based unconst...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,703 Views
27 Pages

Battery-powered automatic guided vehicles (B-AGVs) serve as crucial horizontal transportation equipment in terminals and significantly impact the terminal transportation efficiency. Imbalanced B-AGV availability during terminal peak and off-peak peri...

  • Article
  • Open Access
945 Views
11 Pages

Fat-Free Mass Normalization Impacts Cardiorespiratory Fitness in Overweight Adolescents

  • Srijan Oduru,
  • Kartik Nagaraj,
  • Anvi Charvu,
  • Gautham Ravindran,
  • Marco Meucci and
  • Valerio Bonavolontà

Accurate assessment of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) in adolescents is critical. However, normalizing oxygen consumption (VO2) to body mass (BM) may underestimate CRF in overweight (OW) youth by including metabolically inactive fat mass. This study...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,948 Views
11 Pages

Extraction of Peak Velocity Profiles from Doppler Echocardiography Using Image Processing

  • Amirtahà Taebi,
  • Richard H. Sandler,
  • Bahram Kakavand and
  • Hansen A. Mansy

The objective of this study is to extract positive and negative peak velocity profiles from Doppler echocardiographic images. These profiles are currently estimated using tedious manual approaches. Profiles can be used to establish realistic boundary...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,303 Views
16 Pages

Development and Application of a Novel Snow Peak Sighting Forecast System over Chengdu

  • Chengwei Lu,
  • Ting Chen,
  • Xinyue Yang,
  • Qinwen Tan,
  • Xue Kang,
  • Tianyue Zhang,
  • Zihang Zhou,
  • Fumo Yang,
  • Xi Chen and
  • Yuancheng Wang

21 July 2023

As air quality has improved rapidly in recent years, the public has become more interested in whether a famous snow peak, Yaomei Feng on the Tibetan Plateau, can be seen from Chengdu, a megacity located on the western plain of the Sichuan Basin, east...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,840 Views
15 Pages

A Comparative Study on the Performance Profile of Under-17 and Under-19 Handball Players Trained in the Sports School System

  • Tomasz Gabrys,
  • Arkadiusz Stanula,
  • Subir Gupta,
  • Urszula Szmatlan-Gabrys,
  • Daniela Benešová,
  • Łukasz Wicha and
  • Jakub Baron

This study evaluates the anatomical profiles, jump, sprint, power outputs, endurance, and peak blood lactate levels ([LA]peak) of handball players of two age groups—U17 (n = 77) and U19 (n = 46)—and analyses the role of training in their...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,771 Views
26 Pages

Understanding Changing Trends in Extreme Rainfall in Saudi Arabia: Trend Detection and Automated EVT-Based Threshold Estimation

  • Said Munir,
  • Turki M. A. Habeebullah,
  • Arjan O. Zamreeq,
  • Muhannad M. A. Alfehaid,
  • Muhammad Ismail,
  • Alaa A. Khalil,
  • Abdalla A. Baligh,
  • M. Nazrul Islam,
  • Samirah Jamaladdin and
  • Ayman S. Ghulam

16 November 2025

The increasing occurrence of extreme rainfall events often leads to flash floods, infrastructure damage, loss of human life, and significant economic impacts. There is a pressing need for data-driven assessments and the application of robust analytic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
1,670 Views
24 Pages

Economic Peaks and Value-at-Risk Analysis: A Novel Approach Using the Laplace Distribution for House Prices

  • Jondeep Das,
  • Partha Jyoti Hazarika,
  • Morad Alizadeh,
  • Javier E. Contreras-Reyes,
  • Hebatallah H. Mohammad and
  • Haitham M. Yousof

In this article, a new extension of the standard Laplace distribution is introduced for house price modeling. Certain important properties of the new distribution are deducted throughout this study. We used the new extension of the Laplace model to c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
7,384 Views
11 Pages

Introduction: Multiple studies have shown that peak oxygen consumption is reduced in the majority of ME/CFS patients, using the golden standard for measuring exercise intolerance: cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). A 2-day CPET protocol has sho...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
11,057 Views
11 Pages

(1) Introduction: Multiple studies have shown that peak oxygen consumption is reduced in the majority of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS )patients, using the gold standard for measuring exercise intolerance: cardiopulmonary...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
5,126 Views
13 Pages

18 February 2021

In ECG applications, the correct recognition of R-peaks is extremely important for detecting abnormalities, such as arrhythmia and ventricular hypertrophy. In this work, a novel ECG enhancement and R-peak detection method based on window variability...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,555 Views
22 Pages

11 April 2025

With the impacts of climate change, floods have become increasingly frequent in recent years. Estimating flood hazard thresholds and peak floodwater levels based on flood frequency analysis is crucial for anticipating and preparing for potential floo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
8,532 Views
19 Pages

31 March 2017

The marine surface wind field (10 m) over the Greek seas is analyzed in this study using The RegCM. The model’s spatial resolution is dynamically downscaled to 10 km × 10 km, in order to simulate more efficiently the complex coastlines and the numero...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,022 Views
13 Pages

Enhanced Anomaly Detection in IoT Through Transformer-Based Adversarial Perturbations Model

  • Saher Zia,
  • Nargis Bibi,
  • Samah Alhazmi,
  • Nazeer Muhammad and
  • Afnan Alhazmi

Ensuring data security in IoT systems requires effective anomaly detection, particularly in multivariate time series data generated by sensor networks. This study introduces a transformer-based method to detect anomalies by capturing complex temporal...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,645 Views
14 Pages

Inter-Individual Variability in Motor Output Is Driven by Recruitment Gain in the Corticospinal Tract Rather Than Motor Threshold

  • Arkaprovo Sarkar,
  • Alish Dipani,
  • Giorgio Leodori,
  • Traian Popa,
  • Panagiotis Kassavetis,
  • Mark Hallett and
  • Nivethida Thirugnanasambandam

17 October 2022

Variability in the response of individuals to various non-invasive brain stimulation protocols is a major problem that limits their potential for clinical applications. Baseline motor-evoked potential (MEP) amplitude is the key predictor of an indivi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,509 Views
24 Pages

The reliability of extreme wind speed predictions at large mean recurrence intervals (MRI) is assessed by bootstrapping samples from representative known distributions. The classical asymptotic generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) and the gen...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,845 Views
23 Pages

28 July 2021

This paper introduces the concept of fault-tolerant control (FTC) of a multi-string battery energy storage system (BESS) in the dynamic reduction system of a traction substation load (DROPT). The major task of such a system is to reduce the maximum d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
2,287 Views
20 Pages

To obtain the load spectrum of the traction resistance of the three-point suspension device under tractor-plowing conditions, a load spectrum extrapolation method based on a genetic algorithm optimal threshold selection is proposed. This article firs...

  • Article
  • Open Access
874 Views
20 Pages

6 November 2025

This study examines the exposure of the U.S. insurance sector to climate-related risks using a two-step approach combining factor modeling and Extreme Value Theory. The analysis first constructs a climate risk factor from transition-sensitive sectors...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
7,732 Views
17 Pages

10 September 2017

Floods are costly natural disasters that are projected to increase in severity and frequency into the future. Exceedances over a high threshold and analysis of their distributions, as determined through the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method and approx...

  • Article
  • Open Access
325 Views
17 Pages

Urban catchments are increasingly vulnerable to hydrologic extremes driven by land-use change and climate variability, challenging the traditional assumption of stationarity. This study develops a computational framework to assess the nonstationary b...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
11,645 Views
12 Pages

Introduction: Effort intolerance along with a prolonged recovery from exercise and post-exertional exacerbation of symptoms are characteristic features of myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). The gold standard to measure the d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
2,971 Views
13 Pages

The study of extreme waves is important for the protection of coastal and ocean structures. In this work, a 22-year (1990–2011) wave hindcast in the Yellow Sea is employed to perform the assessment of extreme significant wave heights in this ar...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
1,538 Views
30 Pages

A New Logistic Distribution and Its Properties, Applications and PORT-VaR Analysis for Extreme Financial Claims

  • Piotr Sulewski,
  • Morad Alizadeh,
  • Jondeep Das,
  • Gholamhossein G. Hamedani,
  • Partha Jyoti Hazarika,
  • Javier E. Contreras-Reyes and
  • Haitham M. Yousof

This paper introduces a new extension of exponentiated standard logistic distribution. Some important statistical properties of the novel family of distributions are discussed. A simulation study is also conducted to observe the behavior of the estim...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
1,681 Views
20 Pages

A New Weighted Lindley Model with Applications to Extreme Historical Insurance Claims

  • Morad Alizadeh,
  • Mahmoud Afshari,
  • Gauss M. Cordeiro,
  • Ziaurrahman Ramaki,
  • Javier E. Contreras-Reyes,
  • Fatemeh Dirnik and
  • Haitham M. Yousof

15 January 2025

In this paper, we propose a weighted Lindley (NWLi) model for the analysis of extreme historical insurance claims. It extends the classical Lindley distribution by incorporating a weight parameter, enabling more flexibility in modeling insurance clai...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
6 Citations
875 Views
4 Pages

Longitudinal Changes in Exercise Capacity among Adult Cystic Fibrosis Patients

  • Afroditi K. Boutou,
  • Katerina Manika,
  • Marija Hajimitrova,
  • Georgia Pitsiou,
  • Pinelopi Giannakopoulou,
  • Evdokia Sourla and
  • Ioannis Kioumis

24 October 2020

Introduction: Longitudinal data regarding changes in exercise capacity among adult cystic fibrosis (CF) patients are currently scarce. The aim of this brief report was to assess changes in exercise capacity among adult CF patients with stable and mil...

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