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2,086 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,530 Views
25 Pages

Intelligent Forecast Model for Project Cost in Guangdong Province Based on GA-BP Neural Network

  • Changqing Li,
  • Yang Xiao,
  • Xiaofu Xu,
  • Zhuoyu Chen,
  • Haofeng Zheng and
  • Huiling Zhang

18 November 2024

Project cost forecasting is a complex and critical process, and it is of paramount importance for the successful implementation of engineering projects. Accurately forecasting project costs can help project managers and relevant decision-makers make...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,073 Views
19 Pages

Inaccuracies in cost estimation on construction projects is a contested topic in praxis. Among the leading explanations for cost overrun (CO), factors accounting for large variances in actual cost are shown to have psychological or political roots. T...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
6,264 Views
29 Pages

31 October 2018

The high uncertainty of megaproject results in increasing complexity in the decision-making and ultimately leads to different degrees of cost overrun and project delays. One of the critical reasons for cost overrun and delay is the optimism bias of d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
7,694 Views
21 Pages

Climate change in recent years has produced viable shipping routes in the Arctic. However, critical uncertainties related to maritime operations in the Arctic make it difficult to predict ship speeds in ice and, thus, the voyage time and fuel costs....

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
7,395 Views
20 Pages

15 October 2012

Forecasting the unit cost of every product type in a factory is an important task. However, it is not easy to deal with the uncertainty of the unit cost. Fuzzy collaborative forecasting is a very effective treatment of the uncertainty in the distribu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
2,446 Views
22 Pages

Fuzzy Logic-Based Method for Forecasting Project Final Cost

  • Adel Alshibani,
  • Badr Eddin Hafez,
  • Mohammad A. Hassanain,
  • Awsan Mohammed,
  • Mohammed Al-Osta and
  • Ashraf Bahraq

24 November 2024

Forecasting the final cost of construction projects during the construction phases is challenging, particularly for long-duration projects, due to the rise in uncertainties associated with future cost performance index values after report dates and t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
9,664 Views
32 Pages

16 October 2024

The Construction Cost Index (CCI) is an important tool that is widely used in construction cost management to monitor cost fluctuations over time. Numerous studies have been conducted on CCI development and forecasting models, including time series,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
3,650 Views
17 Pages

Quantification of Forecast Error Costs of Photovoltaic Prosumers in Italy

  • Giovanni Brusco,
  • Alessandro Burgio,
  • Daniele Menniti,
  • Anna Pinnarelli,
  • Nicola Sorrentino and
  • Pasquale Vizza

1 November 2017

In recent years, the diffusion of electric plants based on renewable non-dispatchable sources has caused large imbalances between the power generation schedule and the actual generation in real time operations, resulting in increased costs for dispat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
2,904 Views
26 Pages

Cost Forecasting for Building Materials under Conditions of Uncertainty: Methodology and Practice

  • Svetlana S. Uvarova,
  • Svetlana V. Belyaeva,
  • Alexandr K. Orlov and
  • Vadim S. Kankhva

18 September 2023

Most large construction projects face the problem of cost overruns and failures to meet deadlines mainly due to changes in the cost of building materials. A lot of studies proved the high importance of the cost of building materials for the project b...

  • Review
  • Open Access
21 Citations
5,168 Views
24 Pages

15 June 2022

This study reviews the extant literature on hydrogen production cost forecasts to identify and analyze the historical trend of such forecasts in order to explore the feasibility of wider adoption. Hydrogen is an important energy source that can be us...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,378 Views
21 Pages

Electricity Cost Forecasting in the South African Mining Industry: A Gap Analysis

  • Andrea Cronje,
  • Jean H. van Laar,
  • Johann F. van Rensburg and
  • Jan C. Vosloo

30 May 2025

Despite the rapid improvement in the availability and resolution of real-time electricity data, budget development processes in mining have remained relatively unchanged. Currently, there is no standard for the evaluation of mine electricity cost bud...

  • Article
  • Open Access
277 Views
38 Pages

25 December 2025

Construction price indices play a critical role in shaping construction activity and determining the economic success of building projects in Germany, where they can serve as central inputs to cost planning and to updating trade-level project budgets...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,571 Views
21 Pages

7 August 2019

Precise and steady substation project cost forecasting is of great significance to guarantee the economic construction and valid administration of electric power engineering. This paper develops a novel hybrid approach for cost forecasting based on a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,580 Views
17 Pages

Traffic forecasting is an important task for transportation engineering as it helps authorities to plan and control traffic flow, detect congestion, and reduce environmental impact. Deep learning techniques have gained traction in handling such compl...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
5,656 Views
26 Pages

5 August 2018

Accurately forecasting streamflow values is essential to achieve an efficient, integrated water resources management strategy and to provide consistent support to water decision-makers. We present a simple, low-cost, and robust approach for forecasti...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,264 Views
33 Pages

Estimation and Forecasting of the Average Unit Cost of Energy Supply in a Distribution System Using Multiple Linear Regression and ARIMAX Modeling in Ecuador

  • Pablo Alejandro Mendez-Santos,
  • Nathalia Alexandra Chacón-Reino,
  • Luis Fernando Guerrero-Vásquez,
  • Jorge Osmani Ordoñez-Ordoñez and
  • Paul Andrés Chasi-Pesantez

10 July 2025

The accurate estimation of electricity supply costs has become increasingly relevant due to growing demand, variable generation sources, and regulatory changes in emerging power systems. This study models the average unit cost of electricity supply (...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,668 Views
22 Pages

Raising the final contract cost (FCC) is a significant risk for project owners. This study hypothesizes that the factors that cause owner’s cost estimation (OCE) accuracy and FCC changes share the same causes, and a case study confirmed that th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
9,523 Views
45 Pages

23 June 2025

In today’s volatile market environment, supply chain management (SCM) must address complex challenges such as fluctuating demand, fraud, and delivery delays. This study applies machine learning techniques—Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoos...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,450 Views
17 Pages

1 July 2024

Perishable products are very common, but managing inventory of perishable products can be very challenging for firms, especially in distribution systems, including multiple chain stores. In this environment, we consider a dynamic lot-sizing problem f...

  • Project Report
  • Open Access
22 Citations
11,386 Views
60 Pages

Basic Concepts for Convection Parameterization in Weather Forecast and Climate Models: COST Action ES0905 Final Report

  • Jun–Ichi Yano,
  • Jean-François Geleyn,
  • Martin Köhler,
  • Dmitrii Mironov,
  • Johannes Quaas,
  • Pedro M. M. Soares,
  • Vaughan T. J. Phillips,
  • Robert S. Plant,
  • Anna Deluca and
  • Zeljka Fuchs
  • + 2 authors

26 December 2014

The research network “Basic Concepts for Convection Parameterization in Weather Forecast and Climate Models” was organized with European funding (COST Action ES0905) for the period of 2010–2014. Its extensive brainstorming suggests how the subgrid-sc...

  • Review
  • Open Access
22 Citations
5,896 Views
17 Pages

Assessing and Comparing Short Term Load Forecasting Performance

  • Pekka Koponen,
  • Jussi Ikäheimo,
  • Juha Koskela,
  • Christina Brester and
  • Harri Niska

20 April 2020

When identifying and comparing forecasting models, there may be a risk that poorly selected criteria could lead to wrong conclusions. Thus, it is important to know how sensitive the results are to the selection of criteria. This contribution aims to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
2,699 Views
18 Pages

21 August 2023

The growing interest in deploying photovoltaic systems and achieving their benefits as sustainable energy supplier raises the need to seek reliable medium-term and long-term operations with optimal performance and efficient use of economic resources....

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,555 Views
28 Pages

12 May 2022

Certain wind turbine maintenance tasks require specialist equipment, such as a large crane for heavy lift operations. Equipment hire often has a lead time of several weeks but equipment use is restricted by future weather conditions through wind spee...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,180 Views
26 Pages

Developing a Parametric Cash Flow Forecasting Model for Complex Infrastructure Projects: A Comparative Study

  • Mahir Msawil,
  • Faris Elghaish,
  • Krisanthi Seneviratne and
  • Stephen McIlwaine

13 October 2021

Forecasting the cash flow for infrastructure projects has not received much attention in the existing models. Moreover, disregarding the cost flow behaviour and proposing models that entail a relatively high dimensionality of inputs have been the mai...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,686 Views
17 Pages

An accurate cost estimate not only plays a key role in project feasibility studies but also in achieving a final successful outcome. Conventionally, estimating cost typically relies on the experience of professionals and cost data from previous proje...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
2,947 Views
16 Pages

31 August 2024

In the scope of energy management systems (EMSs) for microgrids, the forecasting module stands out as an essential element, significantly influencing the efficacy of optimal solution policies. Forecasts for consumption, generation, and market prices...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
4,251 Views
25 Pages

30 October 2021

The unevenness of the electricity consumption schedule at enterprises leads to a peak power increase, which leads to an increase in the cost of electricity supply. Energy storage devices can optimize the energy schedule by compensating the planned sc...

  • Review
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,739 Views
21 Pages

A Survey of Data-Driven Construction Materials Price Forecasting

  • Qi Liu,
  • Peikai He,
  • Si Peng,
  • Tao Wang and
  • Jie Ma

3 October 2024

The construction industry is heavily influenced by the volatility of material prices, which can significantly impact project costs and budgeting accuracy. Traditional econometric methods have been challenged by their inability to capture the frequent...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
5,188 Views
25 Pages

29 November 2024

Machine learning technologies have recently emerged as transformative tools for enhancing project management accuracy and efficiency. This study introduces a data-driven model that leverages the hybrid eXtreme Gradient Boosting-Simulated Annealing (X...

  • Article
  • Open Access
42 Citations
4,971 Views
27 Pages

2 August 2018

Existing works in photovoltaic (PV) power generation focus on accurately predicting the PV power output on a forecast horizon. As the solar power generation is heavily influenced by meteorological conditions such as solar radiation, the weather forec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,157 Views
38 Pages

Decentralized Energy Management for Microgrids Using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Networks and Modified Cheetah Optimizer

  • Zulfiqar Ali Memon,
  • Ahmed Bilal Awan,
  • Hasan Abdel Rahim A. Zidan and
  • Mohana Alanazi

27 July 2025

This paper presents a decentralized energy management system (EMS) based on Multilayer Perceptron Artificial Neural Networks (MLP-ANNs) and a Modified Cheetah Optimizer (MCO) to account for uncertainty in renewable generation and load demand. The pro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,646 Views
29 Pages

Evaluation of Cost-Sensitive Learning Models in Forecasting Business Failure of Capital Market Firms

  • Pejman Peykani,
  • Moslem Peymany Foroushany,
  • Cristina Tanasescu,
  • Mostafa Sargolzaei and
  • Hamidreza Kamyabfar

23 January 2025

Classifying imbalanced data is a well-known challenge in machine learning. One of the fields inherently affected by imbalanced data is credit datasets in finance. In this study, to address this challenge, we employed one of the most recent methods de...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
4,679 Views
24 Pages

Particulate air pollution has aggravated cardiovascular and lung diseases. Accurate and constant air quality forecasting on a local scale facilitates the control of air pollution and the design of effective strategies to limit air pollutant emissions...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,032 Views
20 Pages

21 October 2025

To accurately assess the development potential of a high-speed rail (HSR) express in the logistics system, this study constructs a forecasting method for HSR express volume. Grey relational analysis is used to identify key influencing factors, and a...

  • Review
  • Open Access
9 Citations
19,378 Views
24 Pages

13 February 2025

This article presents a systematic literature review exploring the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies in project management (PM). Key applications include cost estimation, duration forecasting, and risk assessment, which are cr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,153 Views
23 Pages

A Novel AI Framework for PM Pollution Prediction Applied to a Greek Port City

  • Fotios K. Anagnostopoulos,
  • Spyros Rigas,
  • Michalis Papachristou,
  • Ioannis Chaniotis,
  • Ioannis Anastasiou,
  • Christos Tryfonopoulos and
  • Paraskevi Raftopoulou

7 September 2023

Particulate matter (PM) pollution is a major global concern due to its negative impact on human health. To effectively address this issue, it is crucial to have a reliable and efficient forecasting system. In this study, we propose a framework for pr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,149 Views
28 Pages

17 October 2022

We propose a new approach for estimating the state-level direct and indirect economic cost of obesity in the United States for the time period 1996 to 2018. Our unique top-down methodology integrates a prevalence-based method with various medical-lev...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
7,148 Views
14 Pages

29 August 2018

This study evaluates eight-year ownership costs for battery electric vehicles (BEV) versus non-plugin hybrid vehicles, using forecasting to estimate future electricity and conventional gasoline prices and incorporating these in a multiple design of e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
38 Citations
7,724 Views
23 Pages

31 July 2015

In the context of sustainable buildings, this paper investigates power flow management for an isolated DC microgrid and focuses on efficiency and energy cost reduction by optimal scheduling. Aiming at high efficiency, the local produced power has to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
7,220 Views
28 Pages

5 May 2021

This article investigates integrated maintenance, production, and product quality control policy for a supply chain consisting of a single machine producing only one type of product, a main storage warehouse, and multi-purchases warehouses. The varia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,355 Views
13 Pages

Whole Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Transmission Lines Using the Economic Life Interval Method

  • Wenhui Zeng,
  • Jiayuan Fan,
  • Wentao Zhang,
  • Yu Li,
  • Bin Zou,
  • Ruirui Huang,
  • Xiao Xu and
  • Junyong Liu

27 November 2023

With the large-scale construction and commissioning of transmission lines over the past two decades, the grid is facing a large-scale centralized decommissioning of transmission lines. The transmission line’s economic life is crucial to rationa...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
5,005 Views
20 Pages

30 October 2024

Cost overruns are a significant issue in infrastructure projects, adversely affecting not only economic performance but also sustainability goals by straining resources and extending project timelines. There is consensus among researchers about the p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
890 Views
25 Pages

Smarter Chains, Safer Medicines: From Predictive Failures to Algorithmic Fixes in Global Pharmaceutical Logistics

  • Kathleen Marshall Park,
  • Sarthak Pattnaik,
  • Natasya Liew,
  • Triparna Kundu,
  • Ali Ozcan Kures and
  • Eugene Pinsky

12 December 2025

Pharmaceutical manufacturing and logistics rely on accurate prediction and decision making to safeguard product quality, delivery reliability, and patient outcomes. Despite rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), few...

  • Review
  • Open Access
442 Citations
69,631 Views
18 Pages

Healthcare Data Breaches: Insights and Implications

  • Adil Hussain Seh,
  • Mohammad Zarour,
  • Mamdouh Alenezi,
  • Amal Krishna Sarkar,
  • Alka Agrawal,
  • Rajeev Kumar and
  • Raees Ahmad Khan

The Internet of Medical Things, Smart Devices, Information Systems, and Cloud Services have led to a digital transformation of the healthcare industry. Digital healthcare services have paved the way for easier and more accessible treatment, thus maki...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
14,410 Views
23 Pages

Cost Estimating Using a New Learning Curve Theory for Non-Constant Production Rates

  • Dakotah Hogan,
  • John Elshaw,
  • Clay Koschnick,
  • Jonathan Ritschel,
  • Adedeji Badiru and
  • Shawn Valentine

16 October 2020

Traditional learning curve theory assumes a constant learning rate regardless of the number of units produced. However, a collection of theoretical and empirical evidence indicates that learning rates decrease as more units are produced in some cases...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
3,639 Views
20 Pages

2 July 2018

In a deregulated electricity market, optimal hydropower operation should be achieved through informed decisions to facilitate the delivery of energy production in forward markets and energy purchase level from other power producers within real-time m...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,418 Views
24 Pages

Demand for mental health support has exerted unprecedented pressure on statutory services. Innovative solutions such as Green or Nature-Based Social Prescribing (NBSP) programmes may help address unmet need, improve access to personalised treatment,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,979 Views
19 Pages

3 February 2025

Saudi Arabia relies heavily on fossil fuels for electricity generation, leading to significant environmental challenges, including high levels of greenhouse gas emissions. This study evaluates the environmental and financial impacts of integrating so...

  • Article
  • Open Access
35 Citations
3,607 Views
30 Pages

5 July 2021

The prediction accuracy of support vector regression (SVR) is highly influenced by a kernel function. However, its performance suffers on large datasets, and this could be attributed to the computational limitations of kernel learning. To tackle this...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
8,969 Views
25 Pages

Machine Learning as a Strategic Tool for Helping Cocoa Farmers in Côte D’Ivoire

  • Stefano Ferraris,
  • Rosa Meo,
  • Stefano Pinardi,
  • Matteo Salis and
  • Gabriele Sartor

3 September 2023

Machine learning can be used for social good. The employment of artificial intelligence in smart agriculture has many benefits for the environment: it helps small farmers (at a local scale) and policymakers and cooperatives (at regional scale) to tak...

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