Search Results (68)

The dryline is a sharp boundary between moist air from the Gulf of Mexico and dry air from the desert Southwest. In West Texas, this boundary often surges east during the day and retreats west at night. Understanding exactly why it moves back and forth is critical for predicting where severe thunderstorms will form. Yet the physical drivers of dryline life cycle remain poorly understood and frequently under-predicted. This study utilizes a variable-resolution Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) configuration (3–60 km) with the YSU non-local planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme to investigate a representative dryline event from April 2017. The control simulation was validated against NWS Surface Analysis, demonstrating a high spatial correlation in both synoptic-scale pressure distributions and mesoscale moisture gradients, successfully resolving a nocturnal retrogression of approximately 170 km, with the dryline retreating from its peak afternoon surge at 100.7° W to a recovery point of 102.5° W between 0000 UTC and 0600 UTC 10 April. This recovery occurred at an average speed of 28.3 km/h, consistently constrained beneath a resilient capping inversion. To decouple the environmental drivers of this motion, two targeted sensitivity experiments were conducted: (1) Mechanical Forcing: A 50% reduction in regional topography confirms that the West Texas sloping ramp acts as a “topographic pump.” Without this gradient, the hydrostatic pressure falls were insufficient to drive the nocturnal retreat, causing the boundary to stall eastward. (2) Thermodynamic Regulation: A 50% reduction in soil moisture revealed an “energy swap,” the near-total partitioning of net radiation into sensible heat drove the planetary boundary layer to a higher peak value—a 600 m increase over the control simulation. These results provide a comprehensive physical framework for dryline mobility, demonstrating that while terrain plays an important role in the extent of the diurnal oscillation, soil moisture governs the vertical structure and moisture gradient intensity. Our findings suggest that high-resolution vertical layering and accurate land-surface initialization are prerequisites for capturing the inversion layer dynamics essential for dryline forecasting. However, these findings are based on a single event and require validation across a broader range of dryline cases. Full article

Vento Norte (VNOR; Portuguese for North Wind) is a downslope windstorm that develops over modest terrain in the central region of Rio Grande do Sul (RS), southern Brazil. The regional topography is characterized by an abrupt terrain transition with elevation differences of approximately 400–500 m. This atmospheric flow typically occurs during the cold season and is characterized by strong wind gusts, rapid warming, and drying of the planetary boundary layer (PBL). In this study, the performance of different PBL parameterization schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is assessed for simulating a VNOR event that occurred between 19 and 20 August 2021 in Santa Maria (SMA), RS. Five high-resolution numerical simulations were conducted using the Yonsei University (YSU), Asymmetric Convective Model version 2 (ACM2), Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino level 2.5 (MYNN2.5), Quasi-Normal Scale Elimination (QNSE), and Three-Dimensional Turbulent Kinetic Energy (3DTKE) PBL schemes. Model results were evaluated against observations from a flux tower providing turbulence measurements, twice-daily radiosoundings, and hourly surface meteorological observations. Statistical metrics indicate that the MYNN2.5 scheme provided the most accurate representation of the nighttime stable boundary layer preceding the VNOR, as well as its onset and subsequent evolution. Although this study analyzes a single VNOR event and the results may be case-dependent, the overall performance of the MYNN2.5 scheme suggests that it is a promising option for the operational forecasting of VNOR events. These findings provide new insights into the ability of different PBL schemes to reproduce the mean boundary-layer structure and turbulence characteristics associated with downslope windstorms over modest terrain, contributing to the understanding of these events. Full article

Accurate wind field simulation in forest areas is crucial for wind energy development but remains challenging for traditional WRF models due to complex terrain and vegetation heterogeneity. This study proposes a multi-source optimization framework integrating seasonal PBL scheme selection, localized leaf area index (LAI) adjustment, and 3DVAR data assimilation to improve WRF performance in forested terrain. The framework was validated using observations at 20 m, 50 m, and 100 m heights in Maoershan forest area. Results show that: (1) PBL schemes exhibit significant seasonal dependence—YSU performs best in spring (unstable conditions), while MYJ shows slight advantages near the surface in winter (stable conditions). (2) Localized LAI correction reduces near-surface wind speed bias by 35% and improves wind direction accuracy by 28%, with stronger effects in summer. (3) 3DVAR assimilation further enhances accuracy, achieving correlation coefficients of 0.869 for wind speed and 0.813 for wind direction, with greater improvements in summer and near the surface. (4) Winter wind power density at 100 m reaches 475 W/m², 38% higher than summer, indicating stable exploitable resources. The proposed framework provides a replicable methodology for wind field simulation in forest regions worldwide. Full article

This study evaluates the performance of eleven Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) schemes within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over the Central Amazon Basin, focusing on contrasting wet and dry season conditions observed during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign. High-resolution (1 km) simulations were conducted for representative periods in each season and validated against in situ observations. Model performance was assessed using multiple statistical metrics with the explicit separation of daytime convective and nighttime stable PBL regimes. Results reveal substantial variability among PBL schemes, strongly modulated by the season and diurnal cycle. Overall performance was higher during the wet period, whereas dry period simulations exhibited larger uncertainties, particularly under nocturnal conditions. The Shin–Hong (SH) PBL scheme had the best skill on average to reproduce the observed PBL height (PBLH) during the wet period, while the University of Washington (UW) PBL scheme was the best during the dry period. The Mellor–Yamada–Janjic (MYJ) PBL scheme had the best skill for daytime PBLH in both periods. Spatial analysis demonstrated how PBL schemes impact the PBLH distribution over the Central Amazon Basin, revealing a river-influenced pattern. These findings highlight the strong sensitivity of the Amazon PBL depth to PBL schemes and underscore the importance of appropriate PBL parameterizations and the vertical resolution for tropical applications. Full article

Estimating future air quality under the warming climate is an urgent task for all populated regions. Often, climate models are evaluated with respect to air temperature and precipitation, but without a focus on other air quality-related meteorological variables. This study evaluated a regional ensemble system over the southeast Australian region driven by five selected CMIP6 global climate models (downscaled by two regional models, making the ensemble size ten) in terms of a range of surface variables relevant for air quality from seasonal to diurnal timescales. Results showed that the two regional climate models, although only differing in their planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations, performed quite differently. In general, the regional model with the MYNN2 PBL scheme (named R3) performed better than the other. While most meteorological variables, including surface wind speed, were verified well, wind direction showed large biases and variability among models. When downscaled (~4 km resolution) atmospheric variables were applied to drive the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model, the ensemble members, particularly the two versions of the regional model, resulted in different chemical species concentrations. A model ranking scheme was developed based on various spatiotemporal timescales and identified slightly superior performance by the regional model R3. The findings provide a valuable reference for selecting optimized model members for future air quality projections. Full article

The planetary boundary layer (PBL) exerts strong control on heat, moisture, and momentum exchange, yet its representation over the steep mountains and deep valleys of Liangshan remains poorly understood. This study evaluates six Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) PBL schemes (ACM2, BL, MYJ, MYNN2.5, QNSE, and YSU) using multi-source observations from radiosondes, surface stations, and wind profiling radar during clear-sky dry-season cases in spring and winter. The schemes exhibit substantial differences in governing turbulent mixing and stratification. For the specific cases studied, QNSE best reproduces 2 m temperature in both seasons by realistically capturing nocturnal stability and large diurnal ranges, while non-local schemes overestimate nighttime temperatures due to excessive mixing. MYNN2.5 performs robustly for boundary layer growth in spring, and BL aligns most closely with radar-derived PBL height (PBLH). Vertical profile comparisons show that QNSE and MYJ better represent the lower–middle level thermodynamic structure, whereas all schemes underestimate extreme near-surface winds, reflecting unresolved terrain-induced variability. PBLH simulations reproduce diurnal cycles but differ in amplitude, with QNSE occasionally producing unrealistic spikes. Overall, no scheme performs optimally for all variables. However, QNSE and MYNN2.5 show the most balanced performance across seasons. These findings provide guidance for selecting PBL schemes for high-resolution modeling and fire–weather applications over complex terrain. Full article

This single high-impact case study investigates the impact of planetary boundary layer (PBL) representation on long-range transport of Amazon fire smoke that reached the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo (MASP) from 15 to 20 August 2019, using the WRF model to compare three PBL schemes (MYNN 2.5, YSU, and BouLac) and three source-tagged tracers. The simulations are evaluated against MODIS-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD), the Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) time–height curtain over MASP, and HYSPLIT forward trajectories. Transport is diagnosed along the source-to-MASP pathway using six-hourly cross-sections and two integrative metrics: the projected mean wind in the 700–600 hPa layer and the vertical moment of tracer mass above the boundary layer. Outflow and downwind impact are strongest when a persistent reservoir between 2 and 4 km coexists with projected winds for several hours. In this episode, MYNN maintains an elevated 2–5 km transport layer and matches the observed arrival time and altitude, YSU yields a denser but delayed column, and BouLac produces discontinuous pulses with reduced coherence over the city. A negatively tilted trough, jet coupling, and a nearly stationary front establish a northwest-to-southeast corridor consistent across model fields, trajectories, and satellite signal. Seasonal robustness should be assessed with multi-event, multi-model analyses. Full article

The Upper Blue Nile Basin (UBNB), which contributes about 60% to the annual Nile flow, plays a critical role in the Nile water management. However, its complex terrain and climate create significant challenges for accurate regional climate simulations, which are essential for climate impact assessments. This study aims to address the challenges of climate simulation over the UBNB by enhancing the Regional Climate Model system (RegCM5) with its new non-hydrostatic dynamical core (MOLOCH) to simulate precipitation and temperature. The model is driven by ERA5 reanalysis for the period (2000–2009), and two scenarios are simulated using two different schemes of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL): Holtslag (Hol) and University of Washington (UW). The two scenarios, noted as (MOLOCH-Hol and MOLOCH-UW), are compared to the previously best-performing hydrostatic configuration. The MOLOCH-UW scenario showed the best precipitation performance relative to observations, with an accepted dry Bias% up to 22%, and a high annual cycle correlation >0.85. However, MOLOCH-Hol showed a very good performance only in the wet season with a wet bias of 4% and moderate correlation of ≈0.6. For temperature, MOLOCH-UW also outperformed, achieving the lowest cold/warm bias range of −2% to +3%, and high correlations of ≈0.9 through the year and the wet season. This study concluded that the MOLOCH-UW is the most reliable configuration for reproducing the climate variability over the UBNB. This developed configuration is a promising tool for the basin’s hydroclimate applications, such as dynamical downscaling of the seasonal forecasts and future climate change scenarios produced by global circulation models. Future improvements could be achieved through convective-permitting simulation at ≤4 km resolution, especially in the application of assessing the land use change impact. Full article

Despite significant progress, precipitation forecasting in West Africa remains challenging due to the complexity of atmospheric processes and the region’s climatic variability. This study aims to identify optimal configurations of the WRF model to improve precipitation forecasting. To evaluate the sensitivity of the model’s physical parameterizations, 15 configurations were tested by combining various cumulus parameterization schemes (CPSs) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes. The analysis examines two contrasting rainfall events in Senegal: one characterized by widespread intense precipitation and another featuring localized moderate rainfall. Simulated rainfall, temperature, and humidity were validated against rain gauges, satellite products (ENACTS, ARC2, CHIRPS, and IMERG), and ERA5 reanalysis data. The results show that the WRF configurations achieve correlation coefficients (r) ranging from 0.27 to 0.62 against ENACTS and from 0.15 to 0.41 against rain gauges. The sensitivity analysis reveals that PBL schemes primarily influence temperature and humidity, while CPSs significantly affect precipitation. For the heavy rainfall event, several configurations accurately captured the observed patterns, particularly those using Tiedtke or Grell–Devenyi CPSs coupled with the Mellor–Yamada–Janjic (MYJ) PBL. However, the model showed limited skill in simulating localized convection during the moderate rainfall event. These findings highlight the importance of selecting appropriate parameterizations to enhance WRF-based precipitation forecasting, especially for extreme weather events in West Africa. Full article

Accurately simulating near-surface wind speeds is indispensable for wind energy development, particularly under extreme weather conditions. This study utilizes the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with a 6 km resolution to evaluate 80 m wind speed simulations over Europe, using the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) as initial and lateral boundary conditions. Two cases were analyzed: a normal case with relatively weak winds, and an extreme case with intense cyclonic activity over 7 days, focusing on offshore wind farm regions and validated against Forschungsplattformen in Nord- und Ostsee (FINO) observational data. Sensitivity experiments were conducted by modifying key physical parameterizations associated with wind simulation to assess their impact on accuracy. Results reveal that while the model realistically captured temporal wind speed variations, errors were significantly amplified in extreme cases, with overestimation in weak wind regimes and underestimation in strong winds (approximately 1–3 m/s). The Asymmetrical Convective Model 2 (ACM2) planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme demonstrated superior performance in extreme cases, while there were no significant differences among experiments under normal cases. These findings emphasize the critical role of physical parameterizations and the need for improved modeling approaches under extreme wind conditions. This research contributes to developing reliable wind speed simulations, supporting the operational stability of wind energy systems. Full article

This study investigates the effectiveness of the large eddy simulation version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-LES) in reproducing the atmospheric conditions observed during a Perdigão field experiment. When comparing the results of the WRF-LES with observations, using LES settings can accurately represent both large-scale events and the specific characteristics of atmospheric circulation at a small scale. Six sensitivity experiments are performed to evaluate the impact of different planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes, including the MYNN, YSU, and Shin and Hong (SH) PBL models, as well as large eddy simulation (LES) with Smagorinsky (SMAG), a 1.5-order turbulence kinetic energy closure (TKE) model, and nonlinear backscatter and anisotropy (NBA) subgrid-scale (SGS) stress models. Two case studies are selected to be representative of flow conditions. In the northeastern flow, the MYNN NBA simulation yields the best result at a height of 100 m with an underestimation of 3.4%, despite SH generally producing better results than PBL schemes. In the southwestern flow, the MYNN TKE simulation at station Mast 29 is the best result, with an underestimation of 1.2%. The choice of SGS models over complex terrain affects wind field features in the boundary layer more than above the boundary layer. The NBA model generally produces better results in complex terrain when compared to other SGS models. In general, the WRF-LES can model the observed flow with high-resolution topographic maps in complex terrain with different SGS models for both flow regimes. Full article

This study evaluates the sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model in its version 4.3.3 during different experiments on a torrential precipitation event associated with the 2017 El Niño Costero in Peru. The results are compared with two reference datasets: precipitation estimations from CHIRPS satellite data and SENAMHI meteorological station values. The event, which had significant economic and social impacts, is simulated using two nested domains with resolutions of 9 km (d01) and 3 km (d02). A total of 22 experiments are conducted, resulting from the combination of two planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes: Yonsei University (YSU) and Mellor–Yamada–Janjic (MYJ), with five cumulus parameterization schemes: Betts–Miller–Janjic (BMJ), Grell–Devenyi (GD), Grell–Freitas (GF), Kain–Fritsch (KF), and New Tiedtke (NT). Additionally, the effect of turning off cumulus parameterization in the inner domain (d02) or in both (d01 and d02) is explored. The results show that the YSU scheme generally provides better results than the MYJ scheme in detecting the precipitation patterns observed during the event. Furthermore, it is concluded that turning off cumulus parameterization in both domains produces satisfactory results for certain regions when it is combined with the YSU PBL scheme. However, the KF cumulus parameterization is considered the most effective for intense precipitation events in this region, although it tends to overestimate precipitation in high mountain areas. In contrast, for lighter rains, combinations of the YSU PBL scheme with the GD or NT parameterization show a superior performance. It is worth nothing that for all experiments here used, there is a clear underestimation in terms of precipitation, except in high mountain regions, where the model tends to overestimate rainfall. Full article

In order to promote the development of bridge assembly technology and accelerate the application of rectangular steel-tube–concrete composite truss bridges, this study focuses on the Yellow River Diversion Jiqing Main Canal Bridge as the engineering example and conducts a numerical analysis of a rectangular steel-tube–concrete composite truss bridge. Based on the results of the analysis, structural optimization is achieved in three dimensions—structural design, construction methods, and force analysis—leading to the establishment of key design parameters for through-type ultra-high-performance rectangular steel-tube–concrete composite truss bridges. The results show that filling the hollow sections with ultra-high-strength concrete can significantly enhance the load-bearing capacity. Additionally, employing prestressed concrete components addresses the bending and tensile load capacity challenges of composite structures, thus maximizing the material strength advantages. The proposed preliminary design scheme incorporates prestressed PBL-reinforced tie rods filled with ultra-high-performance concrete with optimal design parameters, such as high span ratios, wide span ratios, and ideal segment lengths, are suggested to ensure that the strength, stiffness, and stability comply with relevant standards. While ensuring that the structure meets safety, applicability, and durability criteria, the preliminary design scheme reduces steel usage by 23.5%, concrete usage by 11.6%, and overall costs by 17.29% compared to the original design. The proposed design demonstrates distinct advantages over the original in terms of mechanical performance, construction efficiency, economic viability, and durability, highlighting its promising application potential. Full article

The weather research and forecasting (WRF) model is frequently used to investigate the meteorological field around nuclear installations. The configuration of physical process parameterization schemes in the WRF model has a significant impact on the accuracy of the simulation results. Consequently, carrying out a pre-experiment to quickly obtain the optimal combination of parameterization schemes is essential before conducting meteorological parameter research. To obtain the optimal combination of physical process parameterization schemes from the planetary boundary layer (PBL), land surface (LSF), microphysical (MP), long-wave (LW), and short-wave (SW) radiation processes of the WRF model for simulating the near-surface meteorological variables near a nuclear power plant in Sanshan Town, Fuqing City, Fujian Province, China on 4 June 2019 were observed. Orthogonal experimental design (OED), a comprehensive evaluation method based on the CRiteria Import Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) weight analysis, and comprehensive balance method were employed for the first time to conduct the research. The sensitivity of meteorological variables to physical processes was first discussed. The findings revealed that the PBL scheme configuration had a profound impact on simulating wind fields. Furthermore, the LSF scheme configuration had a significant influence on simulating near-surface temperature and relative humidity, which was much greater than that of other physical processes. In addition, the choice of the radiation scheme had a significant impact on how the temperature was distributed close to the ground and how the wind field was simulated. Furthermore, the configuration of the MP scheme was found to exert a certain influence on the simulation of relative humidity; however, it demonstrated a weak influence on other meteorological variables. Secondly, The MYNN3 scheme for PBL process, the NoahMP scheme for LSF process, the WSM5 scheme for MP process, the RRTMG scheme for LW process, and the Dudhia scheme for SW process are found to be the comprehensive optimal physical process parameterization scheme combination for simulating meteorological variables in the research area selected in this study. As evident from the findings, the use of the OED method to obtain the combinations of the optimal physical process parameterization scheme could successfully reproduce the wind field, temperature, and relative humidity in the current study. Thus, this method appears to be highly reliable and effective for use in the WRF models to explore the optimal combinations of the physical process parameterization scheme, which could provide theoretical support to quickly analyzing accurate meteorological field data for longer periods and contribute to deeply investigating the migration and diffusion behavior of airborne pollutants in the atmosphere. Full article

Numerical experiments using the WRF model were conducted to analyze the sensitivity of Typhoon Mangkhut intensification simulations to seven widely used planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes, including YSU, MYJ, QNSE, MYNN2, MYNN3, ACM2, and BouLac. The results showed that all simulations generally reproduced the tropical cyclone (TC) track and intensity, with YSU, QNSE, and BouLac schemes better capturing intensification processes and closely matching observed TC intensity. In terms of surface layer parameterization, the QNSE scheme produced the highest C_k/C_d ratio, resulting in stronger TC intensity based on Emanuel’s potential intensity theory. In terms of PBL parameterization, the YSU and BouLac schemes, with the same revised MM5 surface layer scheme, simulated weaker turbulent diffusivity K_m and shallower mixing height, leading to stronger TC intensity. During the intensification period, the BouLac, YSU, and QNSE PBL schemes exhibited stronger tangential wind, radial inflow within the boundary layer, and updraft around the eye wall, consistent with TC intensity results. Both PBL and surface layer parameterization significantly influenced simulated TC intensity. The QNSE scheme, with the largest C_k/C_d ratio, and the YSU and BouLac schemes, with weaker turbulent diffusivity, generated stronger radial inflow, updraft, and warm core structures, contributing to higher storm intensity. Full article