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187 Results Found

  • Review
  • Open Access
19 Citations
15,682 Views
29 Pages

Spatial epidemiology investigates the patterns and determinants of health outcomes over both space and time. Within this field, Bayesian spatiotemporal models have gained popularity due to their capacity to incorporate spatial and temporal dependenci...

  • Article
  • Open Access
34 Citations
8,658 Views
16 Pages

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a worldwide infectious disease, prominent in China. China’s HFMD data are sparse with a large number of observed zeros across locations and over time. However, no previous studies have considered such a z...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
1,953 Views
13 Pages

Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Modeling of the Dynamics of COVID-19 Deaths in Peru

  • César Raúl Castro Galarza,
  • Omar Nolberto Díaz Sánchez,
  • Jonatha Sousa Pimentel,
  • Rodrigo Bulhões,
  • Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales and
  • Paulo Canas Rodrigues

30 May 2024

Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of the disease is crucial for effective public health interventions. This study aims to analyze COVID-19 data in Peru using a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear mode...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,344 Views
15 Pages

22 September 2021

Chinese cities have been undergoing extraordinary changes in many respects during the process of urbanization, which has caused crime patterns to evolve accordingly. This research applies a Bayesian spatiotemporal model to explore and understand the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,701 Views
20 Pages

12 June 2024

Ecosystems are undergoing continuous degradation due to the dual perturbation of global climate change and human activities, posing unprecedented threats and challenges to the ecosystem services they provide. To gain a deeper understanding of the spa...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,826 Views
15 Pages

20 October 2020

Public availability of geo-coded or geo-referenced road collisions (crashes) makes it possible to perform geovisualisation and spatio-temporal analysis of road collisions across a city. This study aims to detect spatio-temporal clusters of road colli...

  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,783 Views
24 Pages

Advancements in Bayesian spatial and spatio-temporal modelling have been observed in recent years. Despite this, there are unresolved issues about the choice of appropriate spatial unit and adjacency matrix in disease mapping. There is limited system...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,449 Views
13 Pages

31 March 2022

Ozone concentrations are key indicators of air quality. Modeling ozone concentrations is challenging because they change both spatially and temporally with complicated structures. Missing data bring even more difficulties. One of our interests in thi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,675 Views
11 Pages

Previous studies have shown an association between mortality and ambient air pollution in South Korea. However, these studies may have been subject to bias, as they lacked adjustment for spatio-temporal structures. This paper addresses this research...

  • Article
  • Open Access
149 Views
30 Pages

2 January 2026

Driven by carbon neutrality policies, the cumulative issuance volume of the global green bond market has surpassed $2.5 trillion over the past five years, with China, as the second largest issuer, accounting for 15%. However, there exists a yield dif...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,348 Views
15 Pages

Quantile modeling has been seen as an alternative and useful complement to ordinary regression mainly focusing on the mean. To directly apply quantile modeling to areal data the discrete conditional quantile function of the data can be an issue. Alth...

  • Article
  • Open Access
30 Citations
5,190 Views
23 Pages

Comprehensive investigation on understanding geographical inequalities of healthcare resources and their influencing factors in China remains scarce. This study aimed to explore both spatial and temporal heterogeneous impacts of various socioeconomic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
4,180 Views
12 Pages

Analysis of Short-Term Effects of Air Pollution on Cardiovascular Disease Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models

  • Yi Liu,
  • Jingjie Sun,
  • Yannong Gou,
  • Xiubin Sun,
  • Dandan Zhang and
  • Fuzhong Xue

There has been an increasing number of clinical and epidemiologic research projects providing supporting evidence that short-term exposure to ambient air pollution contributes to the exacerbation of cardiovascular disease. However, few studies consid...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
5,371 Views
17 Pages

With the rapid industrial development and urbanization in China over the past three decades, PM2.5 pollution has become a severe environmental problem that threatens public health. Due to its unbalanced development and intrinsic topography features,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,645 Views
26 Pages

25 July 2025

Accurate dengue forecasting is essential for sustainable public health planning, especially in tropical regions where the disease remains a persistent threat. This study evaluates the predictive performance of seven modeling approaches—Seasonal...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,535 Views
18 Pages

Socioeconomic and Environmental Impacts on Regional Tourism across Chinese Cities: A Spatiotemporal Heterogeneous Perspective

  • Xu Zhang,
  • Chao Song,
  • Chengwu Wang,
  • Yili Yang,
  • Zhoupeng Ren,
  • Mingyu Xie,
  • Zhangying Tang and
  • Honghu Tang

Understanding geospatial impacts of multi-sourced drivers on the tourism industry is of great significance for formulating tourism development policies tailored to regional-specific needs. To date, no research in China has explored the combined impac...

  • Review
  • Open Access
58 Citations
9,915 Views
13 Pages

Epidemiological data often include excess zeros. This is particularly the case for data on rare conditions, diseases that are not common in specific areas or specific time periods, and conditions and diseases that are hard to detect or on the rise. I...

  • Article
  • Open Access
26 Citations
4,625 Views
13 Pages

Spatiotemporal Distribution of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Guangdong Province, China and Potential Predictors, 2009–2012

  • Yijing Wang,
  • Yingsi Lai,
  • Zhicheng Du,
  • Wangjian Zhang,
  • Chenyang Feng,
  • Ruixue Li and
  • Yuantao Hao

Background: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common infectious disease among children. Guangdong Province is one of the most severely affected provinces in south China. This study aims to identify the spatiotemporal distribution characterist...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,693 Views
19 Pages

A substantially growing health expenditure has become an important global issue. Thus, how and why health expenditure is rising should be urgently investigated in systematic research. The Bayesian space-time model and the Bayesian least absolute shri...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
6,167 Views
17 Pages

Assessing the Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Forest Species via Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling

  • Óscar Rodríguez de Rivera,
  • Antonio López-Quílez and
  • Marta Blangiardo

16 September 2018

Climatic change is expected to affect forest development in the short term, as well as the spatial distribution of species in the long term. Species distribution models are potentially useful tools for guiding species choices in reforestation and for...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,353 Views
16 Pages

29 June 2022

Crime is a negative phenomenon that affects the daily life of the population and its development. When modeling crime data, assumptions on either the spatial or the temporal relationship between observations are necessary if any statistical analysis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
567 Views
13 Pages

Environmental Conditions and Mite Vectors Shape the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Scrub Typhus in Guangdong Province, Mainland China

  • Peiwei Fan,
  • Tian Ma,
  • Ze Meng,
  • Fangyu Ding,
  • Shuai Chen,
  • Mengmeng Hao,
  • Jiaqi Li,
  • Jun Zhuo,
  • Jiping Dong and
  • Wenqi Xie
  • + 7 authors

Scrub typhus has emerged as a life-threatening and increasingly prevalent vector-borne disease. While the spatial and temporal distributions of scrub typhus have been studied by the research community, the main driving factors that influence the spat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,413 Views
18 Pages

8 October 2024

An important parameter in the monitoring and surveillance systems is the probability of detection. Advanced wildlife monitoring systems rely on camera traps for stationary wildlife photography and have been broadly used for estimation of population s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,599 Views
18 Pages

Spatiotemporal Traffic Prediction Using Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling

  • Taghreed Alghamdi,
  • Khalid Elgazzar and
  • Taysseer Sharaf

30 August 2021

Hierarchical Bayesian models (HBM) are powerful tools that can be used for spatiotemporal analysis. The hierarchy feature associated with Bayesian modeling enhances the accuracy and precision of spatiotemporal predictions. This paper leverages the hi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
5,920 Views
9 Pages

Malaria Transmission and Spillover across the Peru–Ecuador Border: A Spatiotemporal Analysis

  • Annika K. Gunderson,
  • Rani E. Kumar,
  • Cristina Recalde-Coronel,
  • Luis E. Vasco,
  • Andree Valle-Campos,
  • Carlos F. Mena,
  • Benjamin F. Zaitchik,
  • Andres G. Lescano,
  • William K. Pan and
  • Mark M. Janko

Border regions have been implicated as important hot spots of malaria transmission, particularly in Latin America, where free movement rights mean that residents can cross borders using just a national ID. Additionally, rural livelihoods largely depe...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
5,745 Views
17 Pages

Alcohol outlets have been associated with different social problems, such as crime, violence, intimate partner violence, and child maltreatment. The spatial analysis of neighborhood availability of alcohol outlets is key for better understanding of t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
8,058 Views
18 Pages

Fine-Tuning Heat Stress Algorithms to Optimise Global Predictions of Mass Coral Bleaching

  • Liam Lachs,
  • John C Bythell,
  • Holly K East,
  • Alasdair J Edwards,
  • Peter J Mumby,
  • William J Skirving,
  • Blake L Spady and
  • James R. Guest

7 July 2021

Increasingly intense marine heatwaves threaten the persistence of many marine ecosystems. Heat stress-mediated episodes of mass coral bleaching have led to catastrophic coral mortality globally. Remotely monitoring and forecasting such biotic respons...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
4,305 Views
22 Pages

6 February 2019

Studies of land surface dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes often require satellite images with a high resolution, both in time and space. However, the design of satellite sensors often inherently limits the availability of such images. Images with...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,223 Views
12 Pages

Validating a Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model to Predict La Crosse Virus Human Incidence in the Appalachian Mountain Region, USA

  • Maggie McCarter,
  • Stella C. W. Self,
  • Huixuan Li,
  • Joseph A. Ewing,
  • Lídia Gual-Gonzalez,
  • Mufaro Kanyangarara and
  • Melissa S. Nolan

La Crosse virus (LACV) is a rare cause of pediatric encephalitis, yet identifying and mitigating transmission foci is critical to detecting additional cases. Neurologic disease disproportionately occurs among children, and survivors often experience...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,478 Views
16 Pages

The urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon has been identified and studied for over two centuries. As one of the most important factors, land use, in terms of both composition and configuration, strongly influences the UHI. As a result of the availabilit...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,874 Views
11 Pages

Loss to follow-up (LTFU) is a risk factor for poor outcomes in HIV patients. The spatio-temporal risk of LTFU is useful to identify hotspots and guide policy. Secondary data on adult HIV patients attending a clinic in provinces of Zimbabwe between 20...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
2,355 Views
15 Pages

27 October 2021

In China, ground-level ozone has shown an increasing trend and has become a serious ambient pollutant. An accurate spatiotemporal distribution of ground-level ozone concentrations (GOCs) is urgently needed. Generalized linear models (GLMs) and Bayesi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,551 Views
15 Pages

Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Multilevel Modelling of Patient-Reported Quality of Life following Prostate Cancer Surgery

  • Zemenu Tadesse Tessema,
  • Getayeneh Antehunegn Tesema,
  • Win Wah,
  • Susannah Ahern,
  • Nathan Papa,
  • Jeremy Laurence Millar and
  • Arul Earnest

Background: Globally, prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer deaths among males. It is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in Australia. The quality of life of prostate cancer patients is poorer when compared to the general population d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,919 Views
14 Pages

Introduction: Malaria is a life-threatening disease ocuring mainly in developing countries. Almost half of the world’s population was at risk of malaria in 2020. Children under five years age are among the population groups at considerably high...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,869 Views
21 Pages

22 April 2024

To establish a safety monitoring method for the uplift pressure of concrete dams, spatiotemporal information from monitoring data is needed. In the present study, the method of ordering points to identify the clustering structure is employed to spati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
581 Views
26 Pages

26 September 2025

Fluctuations in precipitation usually affect the ecological environment and human socioeconomics through events such as floods and droughts, resulting in substantial economic losses. The high-resolution models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Pro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,338 Views
23 Pages

Multivariate Bayesian Semiparametric Regression Model for Forecasting and Mapping HIV and TB Risks in West Java, Indonesia

  • I. Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya,
  • Budhi Handoko,
  • Yudhie Andriyana,
  • Anna Chadidjah,
  • Farah Kristiani and
  • Mila Antikasari

23 August 2023

Multivariate “Bayesian” regression via a shared component model has gained popularity in recent years, particularly in modeling and mapping the risks associated with multiple diseases. This method integrates joint outcomes, fixed effects...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,188 Views
10 Pages

Hospital Emergency Room Savings via Health Line S24 in Portugal

  • Paula Simões,
  • Sérgio Gomes and
  • Isabel Natário

Hospital emergency departments are often overused by patients that do not really need urgent care. These admissions are one of the major factors contributing to hospital costs, which should not be allowed to compromise the response and effectiveness...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
6,554 Views
16 Pages

The field of spatio-temporal modelling has witnessed a recent surge as a result of developments in computational power and increased data collection. These developments allow analysts to model the evolution of health outcomes in both space and time s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
660 Views
23 Pages

31 August 2025

The growing deployment of electric vehicles (EVs) offers a unique opportunity to utilize them as mobile energy resources during large-scale emergencies. However, existing emergency dispatch strategies often neglect the compounded uncertainties of haz...

  • Article
  • Open Access
338 Views
15 Pages

Performance Comparison of Argos and Iridium Tracking Technologies for Sea Turtle Movement Ecology Studies

  • Paolo Casale,
  • Christine Figgener,
  • Michael Arendt,
  • Annette C. Broderick,
  • Simona A. Ceriani,
  • Yakup Kaska,
  • Pamela Plotkin,
  • Cheryl L. Sanchez,
  • Jeffrey Schwenter and
  • Robin Snape
  • + 3 authors

15 December 2025

Satellite tracking has dramatically improved research on wide-ranging large marine vertebrates such as sea turtles. Traditionally, sea turtle tracking has relied on Argos-based satellite telemetry tags, which estimate location via Doppler shift and c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
6,221 Views
15 Pages

Bayesian Regression and Neuro-Fuzzy Methods Reliability Assessment for Estimating Streamflow

  • Yaseen A. Hamaamin,
  • Amir Pouyan Nejadhashemi,
  • Zhen Zhang,
  • Subhasis Giri and
  • Sean A. Woznicki

13 July 2016

Accurate and efficient estimation of streamflow in a watershed’s tributaries is prerequisite parameter for viable water resources management. This study couples process-driven and data-driven methods of streamflow forecasting as a more efficient and...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
87 Citations
11,746 Views
25 Pages

15 February 2019

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. Recently, as deep learning models hav...

  • Article
  • Open Access
46 Citations
6,883 Views
28 Pages

Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review

  • Nushrat Nazia,
  • Zahid Ahmad Butt,
  • Melanie Lyn Bedard,
  • Wang-Choi Tang,
  • Hibah Sehar and
  • Jane Law

The spread of the COVID-19 pandemic was spatially heterogeneous around the world; the transmission of the disease is driven by complex spatial and temporal variations in socioenvironmental factors. Spatial tools are useful in supporting COVID-19 cont...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,983 Views
16 Pages

31 January 2024

Spatiotemporal disease mapping modeling with count data is gaining increasing prominence. This approach serves as a benchmark in developing early warning systems for diverse disease types. Spatiotemporal modeling, characterized by its inherent comple...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
7,231 Views
17 Pages

Background: Diarrhea in children under five years of age remains a challenge in reducing child mortality in Nepal. Understanding the spatiotemporal patterns and influencing factors of the disease is important for control and intervention. Methods: Da...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,307 Views
13 Pages

19 November 2024

Epidemiological approaches for examining human health responses to environmental exposures in observational studies frequently address confounding by employing advanced matching techniques and statistical methods grounded in conditional likelihood. T...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,932 Views
20 Pages

30 August 2018

In this paper, we present algorithms for predicting a spatio-temporal random field measured by mobile robotic sensors under uncertainties in localization and measurements. The spatio-temporal field of interest is modeled by a sum of a time-varying me...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,646 Views
19 Pages

Spatio-temporal Bayesian disease mapping is the branch of spatial epidemiology interested in providing valuable risk estimates in certain geographical regions using administrative areas as statistical units. The aim of the present paper is to describ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
4,200 Views
24 Pages

Exploring spatiotemporal patterns of traffic accidents from historic crash databases is one essential prerequisite for road safety management and traffic risk prevention. Presently, with the emergence of GIS and data mining technologies, numerous geo...

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