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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 19, Issue 1

2026 January - 94 articles

Cover Story: This study asks what role Qatar's reform progress has played in the strengthening of its sovereign credit quality, a commonly used dynamic and forward-looking measure of economic resilience perceived by investors. It does so by using novel monthly macroeconomic forecasts for a panel of countries in the Middle Eastern and North African regions. The progressive tightening of Qatar's external sovereign credit spreads was underpinned by holistic reforms, fiscal spending discipline, and monetary policy credibility. Investors may view fiscal spending discipline as an integral part of Qatar's holistic reform and economic diversification. Greater broad-based reform progress also boosts the resilience of sovereign credit spreads to external shocks. View this paper
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Articles (94)

  • Article
  • Open Access
433 Views
28 Pages

Employing textual analysis of the “short-term vision” vocabulary in annual reports, we investigate the impact of managerial myopia on firm innovation and performance. Our results indicate that managerial myopia hampers innovation, and thi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
334 Views
15 Pages

This study analyzes the relationship between macroeconomic distress and financial dollarization in Türkiye using annual regional panel data for 26 Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics 2 regions over the period 2005–2021. Macroe...

  • Systematic Review
  • Open Access
1,314 Views
43 Pages

(1) Background: The convergence of Big Data and the Internet of Things (IoT) is transforming digital accounting from retrospective documentation into real-time operational intelligence. This systematic review examines how Industry 4.0 technologies&md...

  • Article
  • Open Access
254 Views
20 Pages

Option-Implied Zero-Coupon Yields: Unifying Bond and Equity Markets

  • Ting-Jung Lee,
  • W. Brent Lindquist,
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev and
  • Abootaleb Shirvani

This paper addresses a critical inconsistency in models of the term structure of interest rates (TSIR), where zero-coupon bonds are priced under risk-neutral measures distinct from those used in equity markets. We consider a unified TSIR framework th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,371 Views
17 Pages

Artificial intelligence technology has increased in popularity in the domain of accounting. Previous studies have focused on analysing the impact of AI integration on accounting in general and on work performance, with few researchers analysing the i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
267 Views
25 Pages

This paper compares actively managed bond vs. equity mutual fund performance using modified False Discovery Rate (q) and percent simulated t(α) < Actual t(α). Bond funds are more likely to outperform than equity funds: q&lowast...

  • Article
  • Open Access
237 Views
22 Pages

Morbidity-Based Pension Benefit Evaluation and Payment Option Comparison

  • Dekun Zhai,
  • Yvette Feng,
  • Gao Niu,
  • James Bishop and
  • John T. Quinn

In this paper, the authors survey and summarize the widely researched morbidities and their life expectancy results. A constant impaired mortality adjustment for each morbidity is defined so that life expectancy is consistent with current medical res...

  • Article
  • Open Access
533 Views
18 Pages

This study examines the relationship between publicly traded Thai companies’ ESG performance and value as well as how board structures moderate this. In the Thai context, there is a limited number of empirical studies that employ the board of d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
657 Views
18 Pages

We investigate the underlying risk exposures of ETFs compared with their indices using a Principal Component Analysis approach. Then, we test whether ETFs’ tracking errors can capture the risk exposure difference between ETFs and their underlyi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
400 Views
16 Pages

Optimization of Working Capital for Financial Sustainability in Manufacturing Companies: A Statistical Model

  • Karla Estefanía Morales,
  • Edison Roberto Valencia-Nuñez,
  • Josselyn Paredes-León and
  • Freddy Armijos-Arcos

Background: Working capital management plays a critical role in ensuring business liquidity and financial sustainability. However, few studies in developing economies have employed multivariate statistical techniques to optimize working capital decis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
274 Views
11 Pages

We have developed a comprehensive mathematical framework that delineates the complete transition of a firm from private to public ownership. This framework explicitly formalizes the endogenous decision to list, pre-listing restructuring, regulatory f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
305 Views
13 Pages

Stock Returns and Income Inequality

  • Margaret Rutendo Magwedere and
  • Godfrey Marozva

This study investigates the relationship between stock returns and income inequality in South Africa, a country marked by persistently high levels of income disparities and a sophisticated and structurally unique financial market. Despite the Johanne...

  • Article
  • Open Access
285 Views
39 Pages

This study proposes a neural-augmented Libor Market Model (LMM) for swaption surface calibration that enhances expressive power while maintaining the interpretability, arbitrage-free structure, and numerical stability of the classical framework. Clas...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
476 Views
13 Pages

Is It a Case of Safe Haven? Analyzing Stablecoin Returns Considering Cryptocurrency Dynamics

  • Vitor Fonseca Machado Beling Dias and
  • Rodrigo Fernandes Malaquias

In this study, we evaluated the returns and return volatility of a Brazilian stablecoin linked to fertilizers during periods preceding its discontinuation. In light of the safe haven literature, we also tested the correlation between this stablecoin...

  • Article
  • Open Access
589 Views
23 Pages

Harnessing Blockchain for Transparent and Sustainable Accounting in Creative MSMEs amid Digital Disruption: Evidence from Indonesia

  • I Made Dwi Hita Darmawan,
  • Ni Putu Noviyanti Kusuma,
  • Nir Kshetri,
  • Ketut Tri Budi Artani and
  • Wina Pertiwi Putri Wardani

Blockchain is widely promoted as a tool for enhancing transparency, trust, and sustainability in business, yet little is known about how creative micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in emerging economies can meaningfully adopt it for finance...

  • Article
  • Open Access
408 Views
22 Pages

Pairs trading via futures calendar spreads offers a robust market-neutral approach to exploiting transient mispricings, yet real-time implementation is hindered by asynchronous trading. This paper introduces a Cointegrated Ising Spin Model, CISM, for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
460 Views
24 Pages

Before the enactment of the Dodd–Frank Act, firm size was taken into account by rating agencies in determining the credit ratings of banks. Therefore, the “too-big-to-fail” problem was, at least partially, reflected in big banks&rsq...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,118 Views
26 Pages

Accurate volatility forecasting in energy markets is paramount for risk management, derivative pricing, and strategic policy planning. Traditional econometric models like the Heterogeneous Auto-regressive (HAR) model effectively capture the long-memo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
351 Views
34 Pages

Taking climate funds (e.g., the Green Climate Fund) as the main financial mechanism for providing funding to developing countries, this paper examines a long-term climate funding relationship between two parties—the rich country and the poor co...

  • Article
  • Open Access
399 Views
16 Pages

Two main perspectives exist regarding the interaction between fiscal deficits and expansionary monetary policy. The first perspective argues that fiscal deficits raise interest rates, thereby increasing interest payments and complicating monetary sta...

  • Article
  • Open Access
636 Views
20 Pages

Fintech Firms’ Valuations: A Cross-Market Analysis in Asia

  • Neha Parashar,
  • Rahul Sharma,
  • Pranav Saraswat,
  • Apoorva Joshi and
  • Sumit Banerjee

This study investigates the valuation dynamics of 30 publicly listed fintech firms across six Asian economies from January 2021 to December 2025. It examines how intrinsic firm-level scale (market capitalization) and extrinsic macroeconomic condition...

  • Article
  • Open Access
401 Views
28 Pages

Credit Risk Index as a Support Tool for the Financial Inclusion of Smallholder Coffee Producers

  • María-Cristina Ordoñez,
  • Ivan Dario López,
  • Juan Fernando Casanova Olaya and
  • Javier Mauricio Fernández

This study aimed to develop a credit risk index to classify coffee producers according to socioeconomic, agronomic, and financial performance variables, with the purpose of strengthening financial inclusion. We combined qualitative and quantitative m...

  • Article
  • Open Access
880 Views
35 Pages

Predicting Financial Contagion: A Deep Learning-Enhanced Actuarial Model for Systemic Risk Assessment

  • Khalid Jeaab,
  • Youness Saoudi,
  • Smaaine Ouaharahe and
  • Moulay El Mehdi Falloul

Financial crises increasingly exhibit complex, interconnected patterns that traditional risk models fail to capture. The 2008 global financial crisis, 2020 pandemic shock, and recent banking sector stress events demonstrate how systemic risks propaga...

  • Article
  • Open Access
554 Views
28 Pages

This study examines how inclusive finance organisations are adapting to the European Union (EU)’s digital–green twin transition and how regulatory design can reinforce this alignment. Drawing on qualitative insights from 26 institutions&m...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,069 Views
21 Pages

We investigate the profitability of systematic sector rotation strategies in the Canadian equity market using TSX 60 constituents (2000–2025). Testing 72 distinct strategies across three theoretical frameworks—momentum, mean-reversion, an...

  • Article
  • Open Access
688 Views
27 Pages

Performance and Risk Analytics of Asian Exchange-Traded Funds

  • Bhathiya Divelgama,
  • Nancy Asare Nyarko,
  • Naa Sackley Dromo Aryee,
  • Abootaleb Shirvani and
  • Svetlozar T. Rachev

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide low-cost, liquid access to broad equity and fixed-income exposures, including rapidly growing Asian and Asia-focused markets. Yet the academic evidence on Asian ETF portfolio construction remains fragmented, often...

  • Article
  • Open Access
565 Views
21 Pages

Does Earning Management Matter for the Tax Avoidance and Investment Efficiency Nexus? Evidence from an Emerging Market

  • Ingi Hassan Sharaf,
  • Racha El-Moslemany,
  • Tamer Elswah,
  • Abdullah Almutairi and
  • Samir Ibrahim Abdelazim

This study examines the impact of tax avoidance practices on investment efficiency in Egypt, with particular emphasis on the moderating role of earnings management by exploring whether these tactics reflect managerial opportunism or serve as a mechan...

  • Article
  • Open Access
864 Views
24 Pages

This research aims to analyze strategic risks from financial digitalization, highlighting the disruptive role of Fintech firms and Neobanks, the associated challenges and opportunities, and how traditional banks can adapt to remain competitive and st...

  • Article
  • Open Access
620 Views
19 Pages

This paper examines the association between company reputation and internal control quality. The prior literature suggests that reputation concerns reduce the range of risky choices by management. Building on this idea, we propose that reputation con...

  • Article
  • Open Access
373 Views
27 Pages

Socio-Cultural and Behavioral Determinants of FinTech Adoption and Credit Access Among Ecuadorian SMEs

  • Reyner Pérez-Campdesuñer,
  • Alexander Sánchez-Rodríguez,
  • Rodobaldo Martínez-Vivar,
  • Roberto Xavier Manciati-Alarcón,
  • Margarita De Miguel-Guzmán and
  • Gelmar García-Vidal

This study analyzes the socio-cultural and behavioral determinants of FinTech adoption and access to credit among Ecuadorian SMEs. A probabilistic sample of 600 firms, operating in the services, commerce, information and communication technologies (I...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
692 Views
27 Pages

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) has become a major component of digital asset markets, yet accurately valuing protocol performance remains difficult due to high volatility, nonlinear pricing dynamics, and persistent disclosure gaps that amplify valuatio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
388 Views
20 Pages

Optimal Investment and Consumption Problem with Stochastic Environments and Delay

  • Stanley Jere,
  • Danny Mukonda,
  • Edwin Moyo and
  • Samuel Asante Gyamerah

This paper examines an optimal investment–consumption problem in a setting where the financial environment is influenced by both stochastic factors and delayed effects. The investor, endowed with Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) preferenc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
570 Views
27 Pages

Enforcing Good Deeds: Investment Efficiency of Indian Firms Going Through CSR Law

  • Swati Kumaria Puri,
  • Jiali Fang,
  • Udomsak Wongchoti and
  • Wei Hao

With the enactment of the 2013 government mandate, Indian corporations meeting specific criteria no longer have the discretion to forgo CSR expenditures. Previous studies have reported negative capital market reactions to this regulatory intervention...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
1,026 Views
12 Pages

Overfitting remains a critical challenge in data-driven financial modelling, where machine learning (ML) systems learn spurious patterns in historical prices and fail out of sample and in deployment. This paper introduces the GT-Score, a composite ob...

  • Article
  • Open Access
744 Views
19 Pages

We investigate informed trading in the Bitcoin market throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, we find that informed trading is significantly higher in the affective first stage of the pandemic, before reverting to its p...

  • Review
  • Open Access
1,193 Views
22 Pages

As corporate sustainability reporting evolves into a pivotal resource for investors, regulators, and stakeholders, the imperative to evaluate and elevate ESG disclosure quality intensifies amid persistent challenges like opacity, inconsistency, and g...

  • Article
  • Open Access
703 Views
25 Pages

This study examines the determinants of goodwill impairment recognition under IFRS 3 in the context of Moroccan listed firms. Using an unbalanced panel covering the period of 2006–2024 and comprising 862 firm-year observations, we employ a thre...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
552 Views
20 Pages

Over the last decade, there has been a significant increase in banks’ investment in technology, alongside a substantial rise in CEO compensation. Research on executive compensation has primarily focused on traditional performance metrics, such...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,265 Views
28 Pages

This study investigates the influence of major regulatory interventions on decentralised finance (DeFi) token markets by conducting an event study of six high-profile announcements issued between 2023 and 2025. The analysis reveals that these interve...

  • Review
  • Open Access
682 Views
30 Pages

Between 2018 and 2025, alternative finance expanded while micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises in emerging economies continued to face a substantial funding gap. This study examines how entrepreneurial frugality articulates frugal ecosystems,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
607 Views
14 Pages

This paper examines how International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending affects financial markets across emerging and developed economies from 2002 to 2023 using an event study approach. Our findings indicate that IMF loans are typically granted during per...

  • Article
  • Open Access
797 Views
12 Pages

Emerging Use of AI and Its Relationship to Corporate Finance and Governance

  • John De Leon,
  • John E. Gamble,
  • Katherine Taken Smith and
  • Lawrence Murphy Smith

Artificial intelligence (AI) use has become a major emerging trend in corporate finance and governance. AI is used for a variety of business tasks, such as assessing credit risk, document analysis, corporate default forecasting, and detecting fraud....

  • Article
  • Open Access
702 Views
32 Pages

This study classifies corporate financial performance in countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, addressing the critical need for accurate and early identification of high-, moderate-, and low-performance companies. The selection...

  • Article
  • Open Access
454 Views
21 Pages

This study examines how environmental, social, and governance (ESG) occurrences relate to firm performance and how these relationships depend on firms’ investments in brand capital. Using firm-level data spanning more than two decades, we analy...

  • Article
  • Open Access
336 Views
13 Pages

Internal accounting control personnel constitute the operational foundation through which firms ensure the accuracy and reliability of financial reporting, yet their relevance to capital market outcomes remains insufficiently documented. This study e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
465 Views
34 Pages

This paper develops a quantitative framework for climate–financial risk measurement that combines a spatially explicit jump–diffusion asset–loss model with prudentially aligned risk metrics. The approach connects regional physical h...

  • Article
  • Open Access
362 Views
18 Pages

This paper empirically analyses variation in use of formally, semi-formally, and informally regulated finance using the South African National Income Dynamics Study longitudinal data. The logistic regressions indicate that many individuals use a comb...

  • Article
  • Open Access
594 Views
24 Pages

Investment Inefficiency and Geopolitical Risks: Evidence from Vietnam

  • Thinh Tien Bui,
  • Huong Thi Mai Le and
  • Nuong Thi My Le

This study examines the effects of geopolitical risks on the investment efficiency of Vietnamese firms from 2017 to 2024 using fixed effect models and a series of robustness tests. The research findings reveal a negative effect of geopolitical risks...

  • Article
  • Open Access
490 Views
28 Pages

How Overlapping Returns Inflate Measured Time Series Momentum

  • Keunbae Ahn,
  • Gerhard Hambusch and
  • KiHoon Jimmy Hong

This study investigates the measurement bias introduced by the widespread use of overlapping returns in time series momentum (TSM) research, which can materially overstate the strength of TSM signals. Using a univariate AR(1) framework, simulations,...

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J. Risk Financial Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074