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26 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,245 Views
33 Pages

1 April 2026

Indonesia faces persistent challenges in crime forecasting and judicial resource management, compounded by chronic underreporting and inconsistent spatial resolution in official crime statistics. In this study, a multi-level spatio-temporal machine l...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning for Predictive Analytics: Models, Applications, and Challenges)
  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,854 Views
8 Pages

Crime forecasting has gained popularity in recent years; however, the majority of studies have been conducted in the United States, which may result in a bias towards areas with a substantial population. In this study, we generated different models c...

(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 10th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,515 Views
18 Pages

27 July 2025

As the demand for more accurate crime prediction and risk assessment grows, researchers have been developing smarter models that blend statistical methods with machine learning. This study compares a hybrid ARIMA-ANN model with traditional classifica...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,879 Views
13 Pages

In this article, we introduce the topic of crime forecasting performed in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany. We give a brief overview of three forecasting methods used in theory and practice: predictive policing, risk terrain modeling, and time series...

(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 8th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,485 Views
15 Pages

16 May 2023

Geographical mapping has revolutionized data analysis with the help of analytical tools in the fields of social and economic studies, whereby representing statistical research variables of interest as geographic characteristics presents visual insigh...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Urban Safety and Security Assessment)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,217 Views
17 Pages

1 August 2025

This study proposes an intelligent patrol planning framework that leverages reinforcement learning, spatiotemporal crime forecasting, and simulated sensor telemetry to optimize autonomous vehicle (AV) navigation in urban environments. Crime incidents...

(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,252 Views
9 Pages

In this article, we present the use of risk terrain modeling for the risk assessment of explosive ATM attacks in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany. We give a brief overview of three methods used for this purpose: risk terrain modeling, recapture rate i...

(This article belongs to the Proceedings of The 9th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
6,960 Views
19 Pages

Prostitution Arrest Spatial Forecasting in an Era of Increasing Decriminalization

  • Edward Helderop,
  • Tony H. Grubesic,
  • Dominique Roe-Sepowitz and
  • Jorge A. Sefair

24 December 2022

There is ongoing debate regarding the merits of decriminalization or outright legalization of commercial sex work in the United States. A few municipalities have officially legalized both the selling and purchasing of sex, while others unofficially c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
316 Views
34 Pages

9 September 2026

Ecuador has experienced one of the fastest escalations of lethal violence in Latin America, with annual intentional homicides rising from about 1000 in 2014–2019 to 9283 in 2025. This study evaluates how well such patterns can be forecast, and...

(This article belongs to the Section Information Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
12,541 Views
12 Pages

Short Time Series Forecasting: Recommended Methods and Techniques

  • Mariel Abigail Cruz-Nájera,
  • Mayra Guadalupe Treviño-Berrones,
  • Mirna Patricia Ponce-Flores,
  • Jesús David Terán-Villanueva,
  • José Antonio Castán-Rocha,
  • Salvador Ibarra-Martínez,
  • Alejandro Santiago and
  • Julio Laria-Menchaca

14 June 2022

This paper tackles the problem of forecasting real-life crime. However, the recollected data only produced thirty-five short-sized crime time series for three urban areas. We present a comparative analysis of four simple and four machine-learning-bas...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning and Data Analysis)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
7,813 Views
19 Pages

3 November 2022

Public governance has evolved in terms of safety and security management, incorporating digital innovation and smart-analytics-based tools to visualize abundant data collections. Urban safety and security are vital social problems that have many bran...

  • Article
  • Open Access
751 Views
27 Pages

Integrated Evidence on the Determinants of Perceived Crime Risk and Implications for Preventive Community Safety Policies

  • Massimo Arnone,
  • Angelo Leogrande,
  • Carlo Drago,
  • Alberto Costantiello and
  • Fabio Anobile

16 July 2026

This paper empirically examines the impact of various variables on Perceived Risk of Crime (PRC) for Italian regions in the period of 2004–2022 using data collected in the framework of the Benessere Equo e Sostenibile (BES, Equitable and Sustai...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Achieving Crime Prevention and Community Safety Through Evidence-Based and Theoretically-Driven Early Interventional, Diversionary, as Well as Community Building and Engagement Programs)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
727 Views
23 Pages

Global–Local Modulated Prototype Attention Network for Spatio-Temporal Crime Prediction

  • Yuchen Zhao,
  • Yanxia Zhou,
  • Yanli Chen,
  • Hanzhou Wu and
  • Zhicheng Dong

7 March 2026

Accurate spatial–temporal crime prediction is a critical component of proactive public safety governance, yet it remains challenging due to complex dependency structures and severe data sparsity in real-world crime datasets. Most existing metho...

(This article belongs to the Section Computing and Artificial Intelligence)
  • Article
  • Open Access
702 Views
22 Pages

Crime forecasting in heterogeneous urban contexts remains challenging due to the combined effects of territorial heterogeneity and complex temporal dynamics. However, a large portion of the existing literature tends to address territorial segmentatio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
27 Citations
7,029 Views
18 Pages

Forecasting the Volume of Tourism Services in Uzbekistan

  • Bahodirhon Safarov,
  • Hisham Mohammad Al-Smadi,
  • Makhina Buzrukova,
  • Bekzot Janzakov,
  • Alexandru Ilieş,
  • Vasile Grama,
  • Dorina Camelia Ilieș,
  • Katalin Csobán Vargáné and
  • Lóránt Dénes Dávid

25 June 2022

The aim of the present research is to assess the impact of factors such as welfare, infrastructure, security, and the environment on inbound tourism as well as to develop its forecast. Six proxy indicators of the above-mentioned factors were selected...

(This article belongs to the Collection Tourism Research and Regional Sciences)
  • Article
  • Open Access
33 Citations
37,436 Views
14 Pages

20 June 2021

There has been a significant focus on predictive policing systems, as law enforcement agents embrace modern technology to forecast criminal activity. Most developed nations have implemented predictive policing, albeit with mixed reactions over its ef...

  • Article
  • Open Access
127 Views
40 Pages

8 October 2026

Urban forecasting systems increasingly draw on mobility and other dynamic data, yet improved test accuracy alone cannot show whether an added source lowers an information-constrained error bound or merely benefits a particular model. We develop a fin...

(This article belongs to the Section Computing and Artificial Intelligence)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,556 Views
28 Pages

19 February 2023

Emergency calls are defined by an ever-expanding utilisation of information and sensing technology, leading to extensive volumes of spatio-temporal high-resolution data. The spatial and temporal character of the emergency calls is leveraged by author...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applied Statistical Modeling and Data Mining)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,725 Views
27 Pages

3 June 2025

An event is an occurrence that takes place at a specific time and location that can be either weather-related (snowfall), social (crime), natural (earthquake), political (political unrest), or medical (pandemic) in nature. These events do not belong...

(This article belongs to the Section Information Systems and Data Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,822 Views
14 Pages

13 August 2020

Ecologically motivated violence that manifests itself in the animal-rights and environmental forms is not a declining phenomenon. The fluctuating increase of the number of ecologically motivated crimes during the last 50 years, the multiplicity of th...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emergencies and Public Health Crisis Management- Current Perspectives on Risks and Multiagency Collaboration)
  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,664 Views
24 Pages

This article presents the development of a geo-visualization tool, which provides police officers or any other type of law enforcement officer with the ability to conduct the spatiotemporal predictive geo-visualization of criminal activities in short...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Human-Induced Disaster and Conflict Analysis, Prediction, and Prevention by Geospatial Analytics and Information Systems)
  • Article
  • Open Access
487 Views
21 Pages

24 July 2026

Learning transferable region embeddings is fundamental to urban computing, supporting applications from economic forecasting to public safety. Existing multi-view fusion methods predominantly rely on coarse-grained fusion, applying uniform weights ac...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Computer Vision, Deep Learning and Artificial Intelligence, 2nd Edition)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,157 Views
33 Pages

Predictive Accuracy of Statistical and Machine Learning Models on Perceived Feelings of Safety in South Africa

  • Boitumelo Mooketsi,
  • Johannes Tshepiso Tsoku and
  • Patrick Malose Leeto Shogole

This study compares the predictive performance of traditional multivariate time series models and machine learning (ML) techniques in modelling perceived feelings of safety among South African residents. The analysis uses secondary data from the Gove...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
599 Views
24 Pages

13 May 2026

The smart environment hides numerous security challenges that need to be addressed promptly. Smart cities have emerged as a novel concept, integrating emerging technologies and data-driven solutions to improve urban living conditions. Traffic surveil...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Transport: Logistic, Optimization, Traffic Flow and Road Safety)
  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
8,357 Views
22 Pages

Countering Cybercrime Risks in Financial Institutions: Forecasting Information Trends

  • Aleksandra Kuzior,
  • Paulina Brożek,
  • Olha Kuzmenko,
  • Hanna Yarovenko and
  • Tetyana Vasilyeva

This article aims to forecast the information trends related to the most popular cyberattacks, seen as the cyber-crimes’ consequences reflecting on the Internet. The study database was formed based on online users’ search engine requests...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Trends in Information Technology)
  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
5,815 Views
18 Pages

Leveraged by a large-scale diffusion of sensing networks and scanning devices in modern cities, huge volumes of geo-referenced urban data are collected every day. Such an amount of information is analyzed to discover data-driven models, which can be...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Review Papers in Big Data, Cloud-Based Data Analysis and Learning Systems)