Table of Contents
Forests, Volume 10, Issue 4 (April 2019)
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Cover Story (view full-size image) The DISTRIB-II model individually quantifies environmental associations for 125 tree species from [...] Read more. The DISTRIB-II model individually quantifies environmental associations for 125 tree species from the eastern United States to map current and potential future habitat responses under lower (RCP 4.5) and higher (RCP 8.5) emission scenarios of climate change to 2100. Climate change is shown to have larger impacts on suitable habitat under the higher vs. lower emission scenarios, with 114 of 125 species gaining or losing >10% habitat importance, and 81 species habitat centers potentially moving over 100 km under RCP 8.5. There is a high potential for reshuffling suitable habitats, and these will reshape competitive pressures and ultimate final outcomes that are beyond any modeling approach. Therefore, we intend these models to be one piece of a package of information that practitioners use for decisions related to adapting to the changing climate we now face. View this paper