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298 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
34 Citations
4,108 Views
16 Pages

7 June 2018

An accurate forecast of the exploitable energy from Renewable Energy Sources is extremely important for the stability issues of the electric grid and the reliability of the bidding markets. This paper presents a comparison among different forecasting...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,797 Views
19 Pages

28 May 2025

Accurate day-ahead photovoltaics (PV) power forecasting results are significant for power grid operation. According to different weather modes, the existing research has established a classification forecast framework to improve the accuracy of day-a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
45 Citations
6,643 Views
18 Pages

Day-Ahead Wind Power Forecasting in Poland Based on Numerical Weather Prediction

  • Bogdan Bochenek,
  • Jakub Jurasz,
  • Adam Jaczewski,
  • Gabriel Stachura,
  • Piotr Sekuła,
  • Tomasz Strzyżewski,
  • Marcin Wdowikowski and
  • Mariusz Figurski

13 April 2021

The role of renewable energy sources in the Polish power system is growing. The highest share of installed capacity goes to wind and solar energy. Both sources are characterized by high variability of their power output and very low dispatchability....

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
1,889 Views
18 Pages

7 June 2023

Grid operators of islands with limited system tolerance are often challenged by the need to curtail wind energy in order to maintain system stability and security of supply. At the same time, and in the absence of storage facilities and/or other mean...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,975 Views
23 Pages

Outlier Events of Solar Forecasts for Regional Power Grid in Japan Using JMA Mesoscale Model

  • Hideaki Ohtake,
  • Fumichika Uno,
  • Takashi Oozeki,
  • Yoshinori Yamada,
  • Hideaki Takenaka and
  • Takashi Y. Nakajima

11 October 2018

To realize the safety control of electric power systems under high penetration of photovoltaic power systems, accurate global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasts using numerical weather prediction models (NWP) are becoming increasingly important. T...

  • Article
  • Open Access
50 Citations
6,391 Views
13 Pages

ANN Sizing Procedure for the Day-Ahead Output Power Forecast of a PV Plant

  • Francesco Grimaccia,
  • Sonia Leva,
  • Marco Mussetta and
  • Emanuele Ogliari

15 June 2017

Since the beginning of this century, the share of renewables in Europe’s total power capacity has almost doubled, becoming the largest source of its electricity production. In 2015 alone, photovoltaic (PV) energy generation rose with a rate of more t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,486 Views
20 Pages

Changing the Day-Ahead Gate Closure to Wind Power Integration: A Simulation-Based Study

  • Hugo Algarvio,
  • António Couto,
  • Fernando Lopes and
  • Ana Estanqueiro

18 July 2019

Currently, in most European electricity markets, power bids are based on forecasts performed 12 to 36 hours ahead. Actual wind power forecast systems still lead to large errors, which may strongly impact electricity market outcomes. Accordingly, this...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
5,252 Views
20 Pages

29 August 2017

With large-scale integration of distributed energy resources (DERs), distribution networks have turned into active distribution networks (ADNs). However, management risks and obstacles are caused by this in due to renewable energy generation (REG) fo...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
13 Citations
2,787 Views
9 Pages

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources into the existing energy supply structure is challenging due to the intermittency typical of these energy sources, which implies problems of reliability and scheduling of grid operation. Concerni...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
4,350 Views
27 Pages

A Deep Neural Network-Assisted Approach to Enhance Short-Term Optimal Operational Scheduling of a Microgrid

  • Fatma Yaprakdal,
  • M. Berkay Yılmaz,
  • Mustafa Baysal and
  • Amjad Anvari-Moghaddam

22 February 2020

The inherent variability of large-scale renewable energy generation leads to significant difficulties in microgrid energy management. Likewise, the effects of human behaviors in response to the changes in electricity tariffs as well as seasons result...

  • Article
  • Open Access

A Multi-Task Learning and GCN-Transformer-Based Forecasting Method for Day-Ahead Power of Wind-Solar Clusters

  • Jianhong Jiang,
  • Yi He,
  • Yumo Zhang,
  • Jian Yan,
  • Zhiwei Lv,
  • Zifan Liu,
  • Haonan Dai and
  • Zhao Zhen

With the rapid increase in renewable energy penetration and the expansion of multi-regional interconnected power systems, there is a growing need to forecast the power output of renewable energy power plant clusters within a region. Existing methods...

  • Review
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,599 Views
35 Pages

An Overview of Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electricity Systems Operational Planning: Machine Learning Methods and the Brazilian Experience

  • Giancarlo Aquila,
  • Lucas Barros Scianni Morais,
  • Victor Augusto Durães de Faria,
  • José Wanderley Marangon Lima,
  • Luana Medeiros Marangon Lima and
  • Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz

4 November 2023

The advent of smart grid technologies has facilitated the integration of new and intermittent renewable forms of electricity generation in power systems. Advancements are driving transformations in the context of energy planning and operations in man...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
7,520 Views
15 Pages

A Day-Ahead Wind Power Scenario Generation, Reduction, and Quality Test Tool

  • Ceyhun Yıldız,
  • Mustafa Tekin,
  • Ahmet Gani,
  • Ö. Fatih Keçecioğlu,
  • Hakan Açıkgöz and
  • Mustafa Şekkeli

During the last decades, thanks to supportive policies of countries and a decrease in installation costs, total installed capacity of wind power has increased rapidly all around the world. The uncertain and variable nature of wind power has been a pr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
46 Citations
5,444 Views
22 Pages

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Production Forecasting

  • Spyros Theocharides,
  • Marios Theristis,
  • George Makrides,
  • Marios Kynigos,
  • Chrysovalantis Spanias and
  • George E. Georghiou

18 February 2021

A main challenge for integrating the intermittent photovoltaic (PV) power generation remains the accuracy of day-ahead forecasts and the establishment of robust performing methods. The purpose of this work is to address these technological challenges...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
3,088 Views
14 Pages

28 April 2021

At present, due to the errors of wind power, solar power and various types of load forecasting, the optimal scheduling results of the integrated energy system (IES) will be inaccurate, which will affect the economic and reliable operation of the inte...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
2,856 Views
20 Pages

30 October 2022

Integrating new renewable energy resources requires robust and reliable forecasts to ensure a stable electrical grid and avoid blackouts. Sophisticated representation learning techniques, such as autoencoders, play an essential role, as they allow fo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,763 Views
17 Pages

Day-Ahead and Intra-Day Optimal Scheduling Considering Wind Power Forecasting Errors

  • Dagui Liu,
  • Weiqing Wang,
  • Huie Zhang,
  • Wei Shi,
  • Caiqing Bai and
  • Huimin Zhang

11 July 2023

The aim of this paper is to address the challenges regarding the safety and economics of power system operation after the integration of a high proportion of wind power. In response to the limitations of the literature, which often fails to simultane...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
3,794 Views
19 Pages

21 March 2019

With increasing renewable energy generation capacities connected to the power grid, a number of decision-making problems require some form of consistency in the forecasts that are being used as input. In everyday words, one expects that the sum of th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
207 Views
28 Pages

15 January 2026

Accurate day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for secure operation and scheduling in power systems with high PV penetration, yet its performance is often constrained by the coarse spatial resolution of operational numerical weat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,936 Views
26 Pages

5 April 2025

Accurate interval forecasting of wind power is crucial for ensuring the safe, stable, and cost-effective operation of power grids. In this paper, we propose a hybrid deep learning model for day-ahead wind power interval forecasting. The model begins...

  • Article
  • Open Access
30 Citations
4,928 Views
23 Pages

22 July 2021

At the present time, power-system planning and management is facing the major challenge of integrating renewable energy resources (RESs) due to their intermittent nature. To address this problem, a highly accurate renewable energy generation forecast...

  • Article
  • Open Access
30 Citations
4,323 Views
17 Pages

Day-Ahead Wind Power Forecasting Based on Wind Load Data Using Hybrid Optimization Algorithm

  • Guangyu Qin,
  • Qingyou Yan,
  • Jingyao Zhu,
  • Chuanbo Xu and
  • Daniel M. Kammen

22 January 2021

Accurate wind power forecasting is essential to reduce the negative impact of wind power on the operation of the grid and the operation cost of the power system. Day-ahead wind power forecasting plays an important role in the day-ahead electricity sp...

  • Article
  • Open Access
94 Citations
10,607 Views
22 Pages

Application of Temporal Fusion Transformer for Day-Ahead PV Power Forecasting

  • Miguel López Santos,
  • Xela García-Santiago,
  • Fernando Echevarría Camarero,
  • Gonzalo Blázquez Gil and
  • Pablo Carrasco Ortega

19 July 2022

The energy generated by a solar photovoltaic (PV) system depends on uncontrollable factors, including weather conditions and solar irradiation, which leads to uncertainty in the power output. Forecast PV power generation is vital to improve grid stab...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,345 Views
27 Pages

Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on SN-Transformer-BiMixer

  • Xiaohong Huang,
  • Xiuzhen Ding,
  • Yating Han,
  • Qi Sima,
  • Xiaokang Li and
  • Yukun Bao

19 August 2025

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power is crucial for ensuring the safe and stable operation of power systems. However, the practical implementation of forecasting systems often faces challenges due to missing real-time historical power data...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
3,798 Views
27 Pages

Forecasting and Uncertainty Analysis of Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Based on WT-CNN-BiLSTM-AM-GMM

  • Bo Gu,
  • Xi Li,
  • Fengliang Xu,
  • Xiaopeng Yang,
  • Fayi Wang and
  • Pengzhan Wang

12 April 2023

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power is of great significance for the safe, stable, and economical operation of power grids. Therefore, a day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting (PPF) and uncertainty analysis method based on WT-CNN-BiLSTM...

  • Technical Note
  • Open Access
36 Citations
5,139 Views
8 Pages

Day-Ahead Forecasting of Hourly Photovoltaic Power Based on Robust Multilayer Perception

  • Chao Huang,
  • Longpeng Cao,
  • Nanxin Peng,
  • Sijia Li,
  • Jing Zhang,
  • Long Wang,
  • Xiong Luo and
  • Jenq-Haur Wang

19 December 2018

Photovoltaic (PV) modules convert renewable and sustainable solar energy into electricity. However, the uncertainty of PV power production brings challenges for the grid operation. To facilitate the management and scheduling of PV power plants, forec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
80 Citations
6,656 Views
21 Pages

Forecasting Photovoltaic Power Generation with a Stacking Ensemble Model

  • Abdallah Abdellatif,
  • Hamza Mubarak,
  • Shameem Ahmad,
  • Tofael Ahmed,
  • G. M. Shafiullah,
  • Ahmad Hammoudeh,
  • Hamdan Abdellatef,
  • M. M. Rahman and
  • Hassan Muwafaq Gheni

5 September 2022

Nowadays, photovoltaics (PV) has gained popularity among other renewable energy sources because of its excellent features. However, the instability of the system’s output has become a critical problem due to the high PV penetration into the exi...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
904 Views
18 Pages

24 October 2025

Efficient wind power forecasting is critical in achieving large-scale integration of wind energy in modern electricity systems. On the other hand, limited availability of wealthy, long-term historical data of wind power generation for many sites of i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
1,835 Views
21 Pages

7 November 2023

Although the accuracy of short-term prediction of building-integrated photovoltaics is essential to making an optimal decision on the management of the generated electricity, the weather forecasting service in many countries provides insufficient fea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
34 Citations
6,797 Views
23 Pages

4 December 2017

The power generated by wind generators is usually associated with uncertainties, due to the intermittency of wind speed and other weather variables. This creates a big challenge for transmission system operators (TSOs) and distribution system operato...

  • Review
  • Open Access
42 Citations
8,907 Views
23 Pages

9 November 2021

Forecasting the electricity price and load has been a critical area of concern for researchers over the last two decades. There has been a significant economic impact on producers and consumers. Various techniques and methods of forecasting have been...

  • Article
  • Open Access
203 Views
24 Pages

A Highly Accurate and Efficient Statistical Framework for Short-Term Load Forecasting: A Case Study for Mexico

  • Luis Conde-López,
  • Monica Borunda,
  • Gerardo Ruiz-Chavarría and
  • Tomás Aparicio-Cárdenas

Short-term load forecasting is fundamental for the effective and reliable operation of power systems. Very accurate forecasting methods often involve complex hybrid approaches that combine statistical, physical, and/or intelligent techniques. In this...

  • Article
  • Open Access
692 Views
22 Pages

3 November 2025

Day-ahead wind power forecasting is often limited to on-site Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) datasets without Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) information. In this regime, practitioners extend autoregressive windows over many varia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
27 Citations
5,616 Views
15 Pages

Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader

  • Christopher Kath,
  • Weronika Nitka,
  • Tomasz Serafin,
  • Tomasz Weron,
  • Przemysław Zaleski and
  • Rafał Weron

1 January 2020

Motivated by a practical problem faced by an energy trading company in Poland, we investigate the profitability of balancing intermittent generation from renewable energy sources (RES). We consider a company that buys electricity generated by a pool...

  • Article
  • Open Access
65 Citations
8,122 Views
20 Pages

Charge Scheduling Optimization of Plug-In Electric Vehicle in a PV Powered Grid-Connected Charging Station Based on Day-Ahead Solar Energy Forecasting in Australia

  • Sheik Mohammed S.,
  • Femin Titus,
  • Sudhakar Babu Thanikanti,
  • Sulaiman S. M.,
  • Sanchari Deb and
  • Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar

16 March 2022

Optimal charge scheduling of electric vehicles in solar-powered charging stations based on day-ahead forecasting of solar power generation is proposed in this paper. The proposed algorithm’s major objective is to schedule EV charging based on t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
185 Citations
12,927 Views
23 Pages

25 December 2017

Accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is an essential tool for mitigating the negative effects caused by the uncertainty of PV output power in systems with high penetration levels of solar PV generation. Weather classification based mode...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
3,474 Views
22 Pages

One-Day-Ahead Hourly Wind Power Forecasting Using Optimized Ensemble Prediction Methods

  • Chao-Ming Huang,
  • Shin-Ju Chen,
  • Sung-Pei Yang and
  • Hsin-Jen Chen

13 March 2023

This paper proposes an optimal ensemble method for one-day-ahead hourly wind power forecasting. The ensemble forecasting method is the most common method of meteorological forecasting. Several different forecasting models are combined to increase for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,102 Views
13 Pages

28 August 2019

Among renewable energy sources, solar power is rapidly growing as a major power source for future power systems. However, solar power has uncertainty due to the effects of weather factors, and if the penetration rate of solar power in the future incr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
73 Citations
5,134 Views
20 Pages

12 April 2020

The high utilization of renewable energy to manage climate change and provide green energy requires short-term photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting. In this paper, a novel forecasting strategy that combines a convolutional neural network (CNN) and a s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
4,369 Views
16 Pages

3 February 2020

The main goal of the present paper is to improve the X-model used for day-ahead electricity price and volume forecasting. The key feature of the X-model is that it makes a day-ahead forecast for the entire wholesale supply and demand curves. The inte...

  • Article
  • Open Access
27 Citations
4,636 Views
13 Pages

Robust 24 Hours ahead Forecast in a Microgrid: A Real Case Study

  • Alfredo Nespoli,
  • Marco Mussetta,
  • Emanuele Ogliari,
  • Sonia Leva,
  • Luis Fernández-Ramírez and
  • Pablo García-Triviño

1 December 2019

Forecasting the power production from renewable energy sources (RESs) has become fundamental in microgrid applications to optimize scheduling and dispatching of the available assets. In this article, a methodology to provide the 24 h ahead Photovolta...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
4,297 Views
14 Pages

Practical Operation Strategies for Energy Storage System under Uncertainty

  • Minsoo Kim,
  • Kangsan Kim,
  • Hyungeun Choi,
  • Seonjeong Lee and
  • Hongseok Kim

21 March 2019

Recent advances in battery technologies have reduced the financial burden of using the energy storage system (ESS) for customers. Peak cut, one of the benefits of using ESS, can be achieved through proper charging/discharging scheduling of ESS. Howev...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
4,424 Views
19 Pages

18 April 2017

In a conventional electricity market, trading is conducted based on power forecasts in the day-ahead market, while the power imbalance is regulated in the real-time market, which is a separate trading scheme. With large-scale wind power connected int...

  • Article
  • Open Access
43 Citations
6,369 Views
14 Pages

Day-Ahead Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Demand with Deep Neural Networks

  • Gilles Van Kriekinge,
  • Cedric De Cauwer,
  • Nikolaos Sapountzoglou,
  • Thierry Coosemans and
  • Maarten Messagie

The increasing penetration rate of electric vehicles, associated with a growing charging demand, could induce a negative impact on the electric grid, such as higher peak power demand. To support the electric grid, and to anticipate those peaks, a gro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,863 Views
18 Pages

Revolutionizing Solar Power Forecasts by Correcting the Outputs of the WRF-SOLAR Model

  • Cheng-Liang Huang,
  • Yuan-Kang Wu,
  • Chin-Cheng Tsai,
  • Jing-Shan Hong and
  • Yuan-Yao Li

22 December 2023

Climate change poses a significant threat to humanity. Achieving net-zero emissions is a key goal in many countries. Among various energy resources, solar power generation is one of the prominent renewable energy sources. Previous studies have demons...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,488 Views
26 Pages

30 August 2024

Integrating distributed generations (DGs) into distribution networks poses a challenge for active distribution networks (ADNs) when managing distributed resources for optimal scheduling. To address this issue, this paper proposes a day-ahead and intr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
3,280 Views
17 Pages

1 June 2024

Day-ahead electricity price forecasting (DAEPF) holds critical significance for stakeholders in energy markets, particularly in areas with large amounts of renewable energy sources (RES) integration. In Japan, the proliferation of RES has led to inst...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
3,629 Views
25 Pages

18 June 2019

This paper presents a mixed receding horizon control (RHC) strategy for the optimal scheduling of a battery energy storage system (BESS) in a hybrid PV and wind power plant while satisfying multiple operational constraints. The overall optimisation p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
4,296 Views
22 Pages

9 December 2021

Unit Commitment (UC) is a complicated integrational optimization method used in power systems. There is previous knowledge about the generation that has to be committed among the available ones to satisfy the load demand, reduce the generation cost a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,027 Views
22 Pages

25 March 2023

An optimal dispatching strategy for a multi-source complementary power generation system taking source–load uncertainty into account is proposed, in order to address the effects of large-scale intermittent renewable energy consumption and power...

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