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Seasonal Inflow Shifts and Increasing Hot–Dry Stress for Eagle Mountain Lake Reservoir, Texas: SWAT Modeling with Downscaled CMIP6 Daily Climate and Observed Operations -
Assessing Environmental Status in Salt Marsh Transitional Waters Using High-Resolution Hydrodynamic Models -
Integrated Hydrological and Water Allocation Modelling for Drought Management and Restriction Planning in a Regulated River Basin: Application to the Olt River Basin (Romania) -
Stable Water Isotopes and Machine Learning Approaches to Investigate Seawater Intrusion in the Magra River Estuary (Italy)
Journal Description
Hydrology
Hydrology
is an international, peer-reviewed, open access journal on hydrology published monthly online by MDPI. The American Institute of Hydrology (AIH) and Japanese Society of Physical Hydrology (JSPH) are affiliated with Hydrology and their members receive discounts on the article processing charges.
- Open Access— free for readers, with article processing charges (APC) paid by authors or their institutions.
- High Visibility: indexed within Scopus, ESCI (Web of Science), PubAg, GeoRef, and other databases.
- Journal Rank: JCR - Q2 (Water Resources) / CiteScore - Q1 (Oceanography)
- Rapid Publication: manuscripts are peer-reviewed and a first decision is provided to authors approximately 16.5 days after submission; acceptance to publication is undertaken in 3.6 days (median values for papers published in this journal in the first half of 2026).
- Recognition of Reviewers: reviewers who provide timely, thorough peer-review reports receive vouchers entitling them to a discount on the APC of their next publication in any MDPI journal, in appreciation of the work done.
- Journal Clusters of Water Resources: Water, Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Hydrology, Resources, Oceans, Limnological Review, Coasts and Hydropower.
Impact Factor:
3.1 (2025);
5-Year Impact Factor:
3.4 (2025)
Latest Articles
Comparative Performance of SCS-CN and Green-Ampt Methods in HEC-HMS Under Spatio-Temporal Rainfall Variability in a Semi-Arid Mexican Basin
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 216; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080216 - 12 Aug 2026
Abstract
Pronounced spatio-temporal variability of rainfall in semi-arid basins remains a central challenge for rainfall–infiltration–runoff modeling, particularly in ungauged or newly instrumented catchments where continuous soil-moisture data are unavailable. This study evaluates the comparative predictive performance of the SCS-CN and Green-Ampt (GA) infiltration methods,
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Pronounced spatio-temporal variability of rainfall in semi-arid basins remains a central challenge for rainfall–infiltration–runoff modeling, particularly in ungauged or newly instrumented catchments where continuous soil-moisture data are unavailable. This study evaluates the comparative predictive performance of the SCS-CN and Green-Ampt (GA) infiltration methods, implemented within HEC-HMS at the sub-basin scale, using eight rainfall–runoff analysis time windows recorded during the 2020–2025 rainy seasons within a monitoring network operational since October 2019 in an instrumented semi-arid basin in Mexico. A blind-validation framework was adopted: parameters for both methods were derived a priori from tabulated sources indexed by land use, hydrologic soil group, soil textural class, and locally supported by textural analysis at three depths per sub-basin, in situ testing of saturated hydraulic conductivity, and gravimetric determination of field capacity; the initial moisture content required by GA was set equal to the measured field capacity (θi = θfc) to equate initial conditions between the two methods. Spatially distributed rainfall was captured by four monitoring stations under a one-to-one gauge–sub-basin assignment scheme, with monthly rainfall depth varying from 22.8 to 204.9 mm across the four sub-basins. Both methods reproduced observed discharge with varying levels of agreement: SCS-CN yielded very good performance (Pearson R = 0.95; Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency NSE = 0.76), whereas Green-Ampt yielded moderate correlation but unsatisfactory NSE (R = 0.70; NSE = 0.45) against the Levelogger records. Contrary to the initial expectation that the physically based GA would outperform SCS-CN, SCS-CN yielded substantially higher performance across windows, with the two simulated discharge series differing by a mean absolute deviation of 36.9 m3/s. A systematic sensitivity analysis (±6%, ±10%, ±20% perturbations) revealed an asymmetric response: SCS-CN was highly sensitive to Curve Number perturbations (mean-deviation amplitude 65.9 m3/s), whereas Green-Ampt was nearly insensitive to its compound soil-hydraulic parameterization (amplitude 3.2 m3/s), indicating a structural limitation of the physically based method under blind validation.
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(This article belongs to the Topic Advances in Hydrological Remote Sensing)
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Hydrological Connectivity in Sandy Loam Soil Mixed with Zeolite: Insights from FFC-NMR Relaxometry Applied to Laboratory and Field Samples
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Alessio Nicosia, Gaetano Guida, Calogero Librici, Pellegrino Conte and Vito Ferro
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 215; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080215 - 11 Aug 2026
Abstract
Using both laboratory and field samples, this paper investigates how zeolite concentration affects the hydrological connectivity of sandy-loam soil through Fast Field-Cycling Nuclear Magnetic Resonance relaxometry. Laboratory samples (LP) were prepared using four zeolite concentrations (0, 5, 10, and 15%), while field samples
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Using both laboratory and field samples, this paper investigates how zeolite concentration affects the hydrological connectivity of sandy-loam soil through Fast Field-Cycling Nuclear Magnetic Resonance relaxometry. Laboratory samples (LP) were prepared using four zeolite concentrations (0, 5, 10, and 15%), while field samples (FS) were collected in plots amended with the same concentrations to investigate the differences occurring during incubation time between LP and FS. For each zeolite concentration ZC, the results demonstrated that the F(T1) distribution of the FS systematically shifts towards the right compared to LP. This “scaling” effect between LP and FS was addressed using a dimensionless variable T1/σ(T1), where σ(T1) is the standard deviation of T1 considering the effects of pore size variability. The developed analysis demonstrated that the highest values of the structural connectivity index SCI correspond to ZC = 10% for LP, while ZC = 15% is necessary for FS, even if similar performance corresponds to ZC = 10%. Differences in the functional connectivity index (FCI) of LP and FS, which can be explained by environmental effects, were recognized. In conclusion, for sandy-loam soil, ZC = 10% is sufficient to improve the physical soil characteristics (highest values of structural connectivity) for both samples, while for FS, a ZC = 10% assures the minimum FCI values (the highest water-holding capacity).
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue State-of-the-Art on Soil Erosion and Hydrological Connectivity)
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Comparing Analytic Hierarchy Process and Frequency Ratio Models for Delineating Groundwater Potential Zones in Northern Mozambique
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Larry Pax Chegbeleh, Wonder Mafuta, Gerald Albert Baeribameng Yiran, John Apambilla Akudago, Bob Alfa and Sandow Mark Yidana
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 214; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080214 - 10 Aug 2026
Abstract
This study investigated the effectiveness and accuracy of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and frequency ratio (FR) models, which integrated remote sensing (RS) and geographic information systems (GIS), for delineating and validating groundwater potential zones (GWPZs) in Northern Mozambique. For both methods, six
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This study investigated the effectiveness and accuracy of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and frequency ratio (FR) models, which integrated remote sensing (RS) and geographic information systems (GIS), for delineating and validating groundwater potential zones (GWPZs) in Northern Mozambique. For both methods, six key factors influencing groundwater potential were selected from which thematic maps were generated for each. In the AHP method, the influencing factors (IFs) were subjected to a hierarchy of criteria and sub-criteria. Then, using a pairwise comparison matrix based on professional assessment and literature review, relative weights were assigned to each factor. Analysis of the AHP ultimately resulted in the integration of the various thematic layers using the weighted sum tool in ArcGIS 10.8 to produce a composite GWPZ map. In the FR method, 1026 borehole locations for the area were randomly divided into two sets: 718 boreholes (70%) were used as a training dataset, and the remaining 308 boreholes (30%) were kept as a testing dataset for validation purposes. From the training dataset, the ratio of the probability of a groundwater event (wells) occurring in a class of influencing factors to the overall probability of that event happening in the study area was calculated as the FR for that class, representing the weight assigned to each factor. The overall FR was also computed using the weighted sum tool to produce a GWPZ map. The map produced from each model delineated the area into five zones: “very low”, “low”, “moderate”, “high” and “very high”. The testing dataset was then used to validate the GWPZ maps using the field data overlay technique. The respective validation results revealed the AHP model outperformed the FR model in terms of accuracy for delineating GWPZs.
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(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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Effect of Urban Drainage Inlet and Building Treatment on Urban Waterlogging Simulation Under Different Storms
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Feng Wang, Ziyan Rong, Maochuan Hu, Jian Zhou, Qing Wang, Mingzhong Xiao and Bingjun Liu
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 213; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080213 - 10 Aug 2026
Abstract
Waterlogging simulation is an important non-structural measure for flood-risk management; however, the heterogeneity of urban surfaces complicates reliable simulation. Urban drainage inlets and buildings strongly influence runoff routing, yet the effects of alternative modeling treatments remain uncertain. This study evaluated the impact of
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Waterlogging simulation is an important non-structural measure for flood-risk management; however, the heterogeneity of urban surfaces complicates reliable simulation. Urban drainage inlets and buildings strongly influence runoff routing, yet the effects of alternative modeling treatments remain uncertain. This study evaluated the impact of three inlet treatments and three building treatments on urban waterlogging simulation under different storms. Results show that (1) under rainfall pattern 1, the grate inlet produced 4–5.8% higher peak drainage discharge than curb-opening treatments, and point-scale water-level differences reached 0.49 m at hydraulically sensitive locations. Compared with the roof-to-drainage method, the roof-to-surface discharge method increased flood volume, flooded area, and average water depth by 43.5%, 21.3%, and 15.6%, respectively. (2) The effects of the two representation types responded differently to rainfall characteristics. Drainage inlet rankings were strongly rainfall-dependent: under rainfall pattern 2 at a 100-year return period, the hierarchy reversed, with the depressed curb-opening inlet slightly outperforming the grate inlet by 0.6%. By contrast, the building treatment methods (BTMs) ranking remained consistent across all rainfall scenarios, with the roof-to-surface discharge method producing the largest flood volume and extent regardless of rainfall pattern or return period. Overall, this study identifies urban drainage inlet and building representations as important sources of structural uncertainty, providing practical guidance for urban flood modeling and drainage planning.
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(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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Hourly Responses of Soil Moisture to Different Precipitation Phases Across Seasons in Alpine Regions: A Case Study from the Tanggula Mountains, Tibetan Plateau
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Han Yang, Bin Xu, Zhe Yuan, Xiaofeng Hong and Liqiang Yao
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 212; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080212 - 6 Aug 2026
Abstract
Quantifying the soil moisture (SM) response to precipitation is pivotal for predicting hydrologic resilience and ecosystem stability in fragile cold regions. This is true in alpine permafrost environments characterized by variable precipitation phases and strong seasonal freeze–thaw dynamics. However, critical knowledge gaps persist
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Quantifying the soil moisture (SM) response to precipitation is pivotal for predicting hydrologic resilience and ecosystem stability in fragile cold regions. This is true in alpine permafrost environments characterized by variable precipitation phases and strong seasonal freeze–thaw dynamics. However, critical knowledge gaps persist due to the scarcity of high-resolution, multi-layer in situ observations in these remote areas. Using hourly data from three sites in the Tanggula Mountains (2020–2024), this study employs an event-based analytical framework combining logistic regression and linear regression to quantify multi-layer (10–100 cm) SM responses to rain, snow, and mixed-phase precipitation across seasons. Core findings indicate the following: (1) Precipitation thresholds with 80% probability of triggering SM responses rise sharply with depth during the cold period (10 cm: 1–11 mm; 50–100 cm: often >15 mm or unreachable) but increase gradually in the warm period (10 cm: 0.4–5 mm; 50 cm: <15 mm). Mixed-phase precipitation refers to the lowest amount of precipitation (0.4–2.5 mm at 10 cm), followed by rain (1–11 mm) and snow (2–5 mm). (2) Warm-period regression slopes are consistently steeper than cold-period slopes (at 10 cm, 0.0024 vs. 0.0010 for rainfall). Mixed-phase precipitation yields the steepest slopes, approximately 50% higher than rainfall at 10 cm in the warm period (0.0037 vs. 0.0024), due to its longer duration and dual-supply mode. For lag time, cold-period values are more widely dispersed due to multiple interacting factors, while warm-period values are concentrated; only warm-period rainfall exhibits a clear monotonic increase in lag time with depth, consistent with unsaturated flow theory. (3) The quantified regression slopes, threshold values, and phase-specific efficiencies provide transferable metrics for calibrating infiltration models and evaluating frozen-ground hydrology schemes. The finding that mixed-phase events are the primary driver of deep-layer recharge, despite accounting for a smaller fraction of the total event count, has direct implications for water resource assessment in high-altitude catchments where precipitation phase composition is often oversimplified. Overall, this study moves beyond qualitative descriptions by providing quantifiable, transferable metrics that advance the mechanistic understanding of precipitation–SM coupling in alpine permafrost regions.
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(This article belongs to the Section Soil and Hydrology)
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A Water Budget Evaluation of a Tile-Drain-Fed Irrigation Pond in the Willamette Valley, Oregon, USA
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Noah Goodwin Bain, Carlos G. Ochoa, Derek C. Godwin, Abigail Tomasek and Arshdeep Singh
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 211; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080211 - 4 Aug 2026
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Agricultural systems face heightened risks from extreme weather events and water insecurity. Producers commonly use irrigation ponds to secure or improve crop yields. The hydrology and storage efficiency of irrigation ponds in the Willamette Valley, Oregon, USA, are not well understood. This study
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Agricultural systems face heightened risks from extreme weather events and water insecurity. Producers commonly use irrigation ponds to secure or improve crop yields. The hydrology and storage efficiency of irrigation ponds in the Willamette Valley, Oregon, USA, are not well understood. This study evaluated the hydrological interactions of a tile-drain-fed irrigation pond. A water balance approach was applied over the irrigation season using weather data, evaporation estimates, metered irrigation withdrawals, and bathymetry analysis for pond stage–volume estimates to quantify water budget components. Irrigation withdrawals were the largest output, with 75% of effective pond storage utilized, followed by evaporation (24.5%). Evaporation far exceeded precipitation over the same period. The unaccounted-for proportion of the water balance was negligible, indicating that net drain tile inflows and groundwater exchange had a minimal impact on seasonal irrigation water availability and seepage losses. This study provides an example for measuring water balance components and assessing water input–output relationships of an irrigation pond within a headwaters stream and catchment (<5 ha) of an important agricultural corridor in the Pacific Northwest region in the USA. The study methodology can be replicated in other similar agricultural areas with irrigation ponds worldwide. Findings from this study can be used by farmers, irrigation districts, and other stakeholders to better inform irrigation planning and water management decisions for similar site conditions.
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Dynamic Refinement of Temporally Static Land-Use Maps Using Satellite-Derived Moisture Signatures
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Nutchanart Sriwongsitanon, Chainarong Ophaphaibun, James Alexander Williams, Raj Mehrotra and Hubert H. G. Savenije
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 210; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080210 - 4 Aug 2026
Abstract
Accurate land use/land cover (LULC) classification in monsoon-driven and heterogeneous landscapes is challenged by strong seasonal variability and inconsistencies between dynamic satellite observations and static reference datasets. This study proposes a time-series-based framework integrating MODIS-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference
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Accurate land use/land cover (LULC) classification in monsoon-driven and heterogeneous landscapes is challenged by strong seasonal variability and inconsistencies between dynamic satellite observations and static reference datasets. This study proposes a time-series-based framework integrating MODIS-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Infrared Index (NDII) with unsupervised K-means clustering and a temporally consistent refinement strategy. Multi-temporal NDVI (23 composites year−1) and NDII (46 composites year−1) data from 2010–2021 were used to derive spectral clusters and aggregate them into five land use classes using percentile-based temporal signatures and RMSE-based similarity with Land Development Department (LDD) data. To reconcile discrepancies between dynamic satellite observations and static reference datasets, a refinement procedure combining spatial agreement and temporal similarity was applied to reassign misclassified pixels. Initial classifications achieved Overall Accuracies (OA) of 57.35% for NDII and 51.27% for NDVI, increasing to 87.28% and 86.24% after refinement, with Kappa coefficients of 0.82 and 0.81, respectively. NDII consistently outperformed NDVI, highlighting the value of moisture-sensitive indices for distinguishing vegetation classes in tropical environments. The modular Python-based version 3.11 implementation ensures reproducibility and transferability, providing a robust and scalable framework for LULC classification in dynamic landscapes.
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(This article belongs to the Topic Remote Sensing Research and Application of Agricultural Drought and Water Management)
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Comparative Evaluation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Soil Wetting Front Dynamics Under Drip Irrigation System
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Oluwaseun Temitope Faloye, Oluwaseyi Matthew Abioye, Abiodun Afolabi Okunola, Olusegun K. Abass, Peter Pelumi Ikubanni, Natdanai Sinsamutpadung, Laemthong Laokhongthavorn and Viroon Kamchoom
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 209; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080209 - 3 Aug 2026
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Accurate prediction of wetted width and wetted depth is essential for optimizing water use efficiency in drip irrigation systems. Existing empirical models are often restricted to specific soil textures and cannot adequately capture the complex nonlinear interactions among soil hydro-physical and chemical properties,
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Accurate prediction of wetted width and wetted depth is essential for optimizing water use efficiency in drip irrigation systems. Existing empirical models are often restricted to specific soil textures and cannot adequately capture the complex nonlinear interactions among soil hydro-physical and chemical properties, irrigation variables, and different soil textures. This study evaluated four machine learning algorithms—Linear Support Vector Machine (Linear SVM), Medium Gaussian Support Vector Machine (Medium Gaussian SVM), Matern 5/2 Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), and Boosted Tree Regression—for predicting wetted width and wetted depth in sand and sandy loam soils. Model inputs included emitter discharge, irrigation duration, and selected soil hydro-physical and chemical properties. Models were developed using a 70% training dataset and validated with the remaining 30%. The Matern 5/2 GPR achieved the highest training accuracy for wetted width (R2 = 0.99; RMSE = 0.74) and wetted depth (R2 = 0.98; RMSE = 0.90), but validation errors increased to RMSE values of 2.27 and 3.84, respectively. Medium Gaussian SVM yielded the lowest validation RMSE (2.11) for wetted width, whereas Boosted Tree Regression achieved the best wetted depth prediction (RMSE = 2.11; MAE = 1.69). These findings demonstrate the importance of model-specific selection for reliable irrigation management.
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Climate Change and Irrigation Effects on Hydrology and Crop Yield in the Geba Watershed, Tigray Region, Northern Ethiopia
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Adane Weldengus Meresa, Muuz Gebretsadik Gebremariam, Anthony Lehmann and Mostafa Jafari
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 208; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080208 - 3 Aug 2026
Abstract
Climate change and irrigation expansion are expected to substantially alter hydrological processes and agricultural productivity in the semi-arid watersheds of northern Ethiopia; however, their combined impacts remain insufficiently quantified. This study evaluated the effects of future climate change and irrigation management on watershed
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Climate change and irrigation expansion are expected to substantially alter hydrological processes and agricultural productivity in the semi-arid watersheds of northern Ethiopia; however, their combined impacts remain insufficiently quantified. This study evaluated the effects of future climate change and irrigation management on watershed hydrology and crop yield in the Geba watershed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool Plus (SWAT+). The model was calibrated and validated using observed daily streamflow data for the 2006–2020 period and driven by an ensemble of five bias-corrected CORDEX Africa regional climate models (RCMs) under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios for the mid-century (2046–2060) and late-century (2086–2100) periods. Two agricultural management systems, namely rainfed and irrigation-rainfed integrated management, were evaluated. Model performance was satisfactory for streamflow simulation, with NSE values of 0.56 and 0.50 and KGE values of 0.64 and 0.54 during calibration and validation, respectively. The results indicate a progressive shift toward an evapotranspiration-dominated hydrological regime under future climate conditions. Under rainfed management, surface runoff and evapotranspiration increased by up to 60% and 30%, respectively, whereas groundwater recharge and lateral flow declined substantially. Irrigation scenarios intensified hydrological stress by reducing percolation, lateral flow, and water yield by up to 80%, 60%, and 55%, respectively. Statistical analyses revealed that climate forcing, management type, and their interactions significantly affected hydrological responses (p < 0.001), with emission pathways representing the dominant driver of variability. Crop responses varied considerably among management systems and crop types. Rainfed maize and wheat exhibited moderate yield increases under mid-century conditions, whereas teff consistently showed negative responses under most climate scenarios, indicating high vulnerability to warming and moisture stress. Under irrigation management, most crops experienced substantial yield reductions during late-century periods, although tomatoes showed localized gains under high-emission scenarios. Overall, the findings demonstrate that irrigation expansion alone may not provide sustainable adaptation under increasing climate stress because it intensifies evapotranspiration and reduces groundwater recharge. Integrated watershed management, climate-resilient crop selection, efficient irrigation practices, and soil-moisture conservation strategies are therefore essential for sustaining agricultural productivity and water availability in semi-arid Ethiopian watersheds.
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(This article belongs to the Topic Linking Agricultural–Hydrological Processes and Extreme Events Under a Changing Climate)
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Serendipity in Settings and Hydrologic Processes Helped People Survive Extreme Environments of the Sahara Desert
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Franklin Schwartz and Ganming Liu
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 207; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080207 - 3 Aug 2026
Abstract
This paper explores the intricate relationship between novel paleo-hydrological settings and the sustainability of ancient human societies in the Sahara Desert, focusing on the sandstone massifs of Tassili n’Ajjer, Tadrart Acacus, and Messak Settafet. While this region is currently hyper-arid, archeological evidence reveals
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This paper explores the intricate relationship between novel paleo-hydrological settings and the sustainability of ancient human societies in the Sahara Desert, focusing on the sandstone massifs of Tassili n’Ajjer, Tadrart Acacus, and Messak Settafet. While this region is currently hyper-arid, archeological evidence reveals a history of significant human settlement facilitated by the African Humid Period (AHP). The core of the research is the idea that the natural geological and hydrogeological settings worked to magnify rainfall in a manner that is analogous to modern techniques in water systems engineering. Serendipitous features of geology, structural settings, and stream networks are presented, along with illustrative calculations to suggest how this system functioned as an accidental rainwater harvesting system, concentrating runoff into conveniently located lakes. On the Messak Settafet, the archaeologic evidence points to a rising water table and more robust groundwater flow as runoff infiltrated. We conceptualize this behavior as a managed aquifer recharge system. This natural system worked effectively by storing ephemeral surface water in a sandstone aquifer, shielded from the high evaporation rates of the Sahara. These “natural technologies” created perennial water sources such as lakes, ponds, and springs that supported hunter-gatherers and pastoralist societies. Long after the end of the Holocene AHP, the Garamantian Empire arose with the help of qanat technology that was able to produce the stored groundwater. This paper illustrates how an unlikely array of components worked to create natural technologies able to provide “livable niches.” These findings offer instructive lessons for modern sustainability, demonstrating how integrated landscape management can secure water resources in water-stressed environments.
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(This article belongs to the Section Surface Waters and Groundwaters)
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Validation of Downscaled and Bias-Corrected WorldClim 2.1– CRU-TS v4.09 Climate Dataset for Hydrological Modeling in a Semi-Arid Ecotonal Catchment of Central South Africa
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Kassaye Hussien and Yali E. Woyessa
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 206; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080206 - 28 Jul 2026
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Reliable climate data are essential for hydroclimatic assessment and water-resources management in data-scarce regions. This study evaluated the performance of the WorldClim 2.1 historical weather dataset (WC2.1– CRU-TS v4.09), downscaled and bias-corrected from CRU-TS v4.0 using WorldClim 2.1 climatology, against observed meteorological records
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Reliable climate data are essential for hydroclimatic assessment and water-resources management in data-scarce regions. This study evaluated the performance of the WorldClim 2.1 historical weather dataset (WC2.1– CRU-TS v4.09), downscaled and bias-corrected from CRU-TS v4.0 using WorldClim 2.1 climatology, against observed meteorological records within the semi-arid C5 Secondary Drainage Region (C5 SDR; comprising the Riet and Modder River catchments) in central South Africa for the period 1950–2023. Precipitation, maximum temperature (TMAX), and minimum temperature (TMIN) were assessed using statistical performance evaluation metrics, scatter and residual analyses, Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), Rescaled Adjusted Partial Sums (RAPS), and extreme-event evaluation based on the 95th-percentile threshold. The results showed strong agreement between observed and gridded precipitation records, with correlation coefficients ranging (R) from 0.78 to 0.90 and Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values between 0.61 and 0.90. Temperature datasets exhibited similarly good performance, with TMAX showing stronger agreement than TMIN. ITA and RAPS analyses demonstrated that the dataset successfully reproduced long-term climatic trends, hydroclimatic regime shifts, and interannual variability observed in station records. Performance varied spatially, with the strongest agreement occurring at lower-elevation stations and comparatively lower performance at stations influenced by localized convective rainfall and topographic variability. Extreme-event analysis revealed that although the dataset effectively reproduced the timing and occurrence of high-rainfall years (R2 = 0.974–0.997), it systematically underestimated the magnitude of extreme precipitation events, with percent bias values ranging from −5.5% to −21.0%. In contrast, extreme temperature events were reproduced with very high accuracy and minimal bias. Overall, the WC2.1– CRU-TS v4.09 dataset provides a reliable climatic baseline for hydroclimatic assessments in the C5 SDR. However, caution is required when applying the dataset to analyses sensitive to localized precipitation extremes. The results provide confidence in the use of this dataset for climate characterization, drought assessment, hydrological modeling, ecosystem service evaluation, and future climate-change impact investigations in data-scarce semi-arid environments.
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Spatiotemporal and Future Changes in Water Use Efficiency in the Agro-Pastoral Ecotone of Northern China Under Climate Warming and Vegetation Greening
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Yujiao Liu, Mengzhu Liu, Borui Li and Hongwei Pei
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 205; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080205 - 28 Jul 2026
Abstract
The water use efficiency (WUE) in North China is undergoing rapid changes due to climate warming and vegetation “greening”, significantly impacting the ecosystem’s carbon and water cycles. Existing research lacks quantitative analysis of WUE or an understanding of future trends. This study selected
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The water use efficiency (WUE) in North China is undergoing rapid changes due to climate warming and vegetation “greening”, significantly impacting the ecosystem’s carbon and water cycles. Existing research lacks quantitative analysis of WUE or an understanding of future trends. This study selected the rapidly greening Agro-Pastoral Ecotone of Northern China (APENC) as a case study, utilizing linear regression, Hurst index analysis, and residual analysis to analyze the past and future changes and driving mechanisms of WUE. The results indicated that: (1) The multi-year (2001–2023) annual mean WUE in the APENC spatially ranged from 0.32 to 2.50 g C kg−1 H2O. (2) Gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), and WUE showed significant increasing trends of 10.22 g C m−2 yr−2, 5.62 kg H2O m−2 yr−2, and 0.01 g C kg−1 H2O yr−1, respectively. (3) Precipitation had highly positive impacts on GPP and ET, while non-climatic factors (land use, human activities, etc.) explained 62% of WUE variations in the APENC, and energy conditions (air temperature and solar radiation) were not the decisive factor of WUE. (4) The Hurst exponent of WUE indicates that WUE in the APENC region generally exhibits anti-persistent behavior. In terms of future trends, WUE is projected to shift from rising to declining in 58.9% of the region, while 28.5% is expected to continue increasing.
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(This article belongs to the Topic Ecohydrology and Water Resources Sustainability, 2nd Edition)
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Multivariate Characterization of Hydrochemically Similar Groundwaters: Resolving Hydrochemical Structure and Process-Related Variability
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Riccardo Aigotti, Eugenio Alladio, Alberto Asteggiano and Claudio Medana
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 204; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080204 - 28 Jul 2026
Abstract
Groundwater systems sharing similar major-ion facies may still differ in their hydrochemical organization and mineralization pathways, particularly in structurally complex aquifer settings. This study evaluated multivariate chemometric approaches for investigating two hydrochemically similar groundwater systems (MAJA and MAJA2) examined within the regulatory framework
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Groundwater systems sharing similar major-ion facies may still differ in their hydrochemical organization and mineralization pathways, particularly in structurally complex aquifer settings. This study evaluated multivariate chemometric approaches for investigating two hydrochemically similar groundwater systems (MAJA and MAJA2) examined within the regulatory framework for natural mineral water recognition. The dataset consisted of a 13-month monitoring campaign complemented by an independent multi-year validation dataset. Hydrochemical variables were organized into chemical and process-related blocks, including major ions, physicochemical parameters, D’Amore indices, and mineral saturation indices. SIMCA was applied to evaluate the intra-class hydrochemical structure, and OPLS-DA was used to investigate predictive and orthogonal sources of variability. Model robustness and parameter reproducibility were assessed using jackknife resampling, Leave-One-Month-Out cross-validation, repeated double cross-validation, and permutation testing. SIMCA identified PC1 as the only consistently reproducible latent component across resampling iterations. An exploratory Structural Response Coefficient ( ) was introduced as a model-derived descriptor integrating explained and residual variance within the SIMCA model. OPLS-DA models showed stable class-related latent structures under nested validation conditions. Electrical conductivity, sulphate, potassium, SI_gypsum, SI_halite, and D’Amore index A were the variables most consistently associated with discriminant variability. Stable isotope data indicated a common meteoric origin and similar recharge conditions for both systems. The results illustrate how multivariate chemometric analysis, combined with stability-oriented validation procedures, may aid the interpretation of hydrochemical variability in compositionally similar groundwater systems.
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(This article belongs to the Topic Advances in Groundwater Science and Engineering)
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Model Predictive Control-Based Hydrodynamic Regulation Framework for the Lower Ganjiang River
by
Sufen Zhou, Xinming Zhang, Zhiwen Huang and Limo Tang
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 203; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080203 - 27 Jul 2026
Abstract
The Lower Ganjiang River is a multi-branch delta with highly uneven spatial and temporal flow distribution, and conventional static diversion or threshold-based operation fails to stabilise the water level or optimise flow allocation under varying inflows. This study develops a hydrodynamic regulation framework
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The Lower Ganjiang River is a multi-branch delta with highly uneven spatial and temporal flow distribution, and conventional static diversion or threshold-based operation fails to stabilise the water level or optimise flow allocation under varying inflows. This study develops a hydrodynamic regulation framework that couples an improved integral time-delay model and model predictive control (MPC). A nonlinear state-space equation is constructed using a quadratic storage–water level relationship and rolling optimisation is solved with CasADi-IPOPT to minimise water-level tracking error, discharge deviation and control effort. The framework is validated offline against MIKE21 simulations for three historical flow scenarios (September 2016, February 2017 and March 2018). Under these scenarios, the Waizhou water level is maintained at 15.5 ± 0.2 m, daily water level variation is limited to ≤0.5 m/d, and the diversion ratio deviation is ≤5%. Compared with the natural state, water level fluctuation is reduced by 21.3% (September 2016 storage scenario). The proposed MPC framework effectively alleviates the spatiotemporal hydrodynamic imbalance of the Lower Ganjiang River, showing satisfactory model accuracy, constraint compliance, and engineering applicability, and offers a promising approach for advanced regulation of complex multi-branch river networks.
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(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological Measurements and Instrumentation)
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Hydroclimatic Variability and Floodplain Wetland Dynamics in the Magdalena River: A Case Study of Zambrano, Colombia
by
Ana Carolina Torregroza-Espinosa, Juan Camilo Restrepo, Rodney Correa-Solano, David Alejandro Blanco-Álvarez and Laura Salas Cantillo
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 202; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080202 - 25 Jul 2026
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Understanding the interactions between vegetation dynamics and surface water availability is essential for assessing the resilience of tropical floodplain ecosystems under increasing hydroclimatic variability. This study analyzes the spatio-temporal dynamics of vegetation cover, surface water, and land use in Zambrano, a floodplain-dominated sector
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Understanding the interactions between vegetation dynamics and surface water availability is essential for assessing the resilience of tropical floodplain ecosystems under increasing hydroclimatic variability. This study analyzes the spatio-temporal dynamics of vegetation cover, surface water, and land use in Zambrano, a floodplain-dominated sector of the lower Magdalena River basin (Colombian Caribbean), over the period 1990–2025. Multi-temporal Landsat imagery was used to derive the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), enabling the evaluation of seasonal and interannual ecohydrological variability under contrasting dry and rainy conditions. In addition, land-use classification was performed using a CORINE Land Cover methodology adapted for Colombia (CLC-C) to characterize the spatial organization of the landscape and its influence on vegetation–water interactions. Results show that vegetation dynamics are strongly controlled by hydroclimatic seasonality. Dense vegetation consistently expands during rainy periods, while dry seasons promote the expansion of open and sparse vegetation, reflecting seasonal vegetation stress rather than long-term degradation. NDWI patterns indicate that surface water and soil moisture are highly seasonal and spatially constrained, with open water largely confined to the Magdalena River channel and localized floodplain depressions. Extreme hydroclimatic events associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) produce abrupt but temporary changes in vegetation structure and surface moisture distribution. A strong inverse correlation between NDVI and NDWI reflects the contrasting spectral responses of vegetation and water surfaces resulting from the shared near-infrared (NIR) band in both indices. This spectral relationship is consistent with the observed seasonal variations in vegetation greenness and surface moisture across the floodplain. Land-use analysis reveals the progressive consolidation of the landscape, where the agropastoral matrix expanded from ~18,000 ha in 1990 to over 22,000 ha by 2025, driving a systematic reduction in natural and semi-natural forest structures. Forest conservation areas serve as critical ecological buffers, exhibiting lower seasonal variability in vegetation greenness. Overall, the results indicate that the Zambrano floodplain functions as a structurally stable yet highly responsive ecohydrological system, where vegetation dynamics and surface water availability are predominantly governed by interannual hydroclimatic pulses rather than long-term directional degradation. These findings demonstrate that while the structural matrix of the floodplain exhibits strong baseline resilience, its ecological functioning remains critically coupled with, and vulnerable to, the extreme phase shifts in ENSO cycles.
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Open AccessArticle
Enhancing Daily Runoff Prediction via Uniform Design and Meta-Learning Integrated Hyperparameter Optimization Embedded in Transformer
by
Wenxue Wang, Liuyang Li, Donghui Su, Xin Zhang, Haibin Tong, Tiantian Shao and Jiaxin Fan
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 201; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080201 - 25 Jul 2026
Abstract
Accurate runoff prediction is an essential foundation for water resource management, flood prevention, and drought warning. Despite the superior performance of deep learning models in runoff prediction, the high-dimensional hyperparameter optimization limits their widespread application. To address this challenge, this study proposed a
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Accurate runoff prediction is an essential foundation for water resource management, flood prevention, and drought warning. Despite the superior performance of deep learning models in runoff prediction, the high-dimensional hyperparameter optimization limits their widespread application. To address this challenge, this study proposed a hyperparameter optimization strategy that integrated Uniform Design (UD) and Meta-Learning (ML) within the Transformer framework (UD-ML-Transformer) for daily runoff prediction. Performance of the proposed model was systematically evaluated against five benchmark models, including the UD-Transformer, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-Transformer, and three Receptance Weighted Key Value (RWKV)-based models (PSO-RWKV, UD-RWKV, and UD-ML-RWKV), using hydroclimatic data spanning 1980 to 2014 from the Rio Pueblo de Taos watershed in USA. Results showed that the UD-ML-Transformer model performed the best in both prediction accuracy and peak flow, with the highest Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.906, and the lowest Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.004, 0.062, and 0.034, respectively. The UD-Transformer ranked second in performance, followed by the PSO-Transformer. The integrated UD-ML hyperparameter optimization strategy also improved the performance of RWKV-based models. Compared with the PSO-RWKV and UD-RWKV models, the UD-ML-RWKV model exhibited an NSE improvement of 0.45–7.65% and an RMSE reduction of 1.47–21.18%, respectively. Moreover, cross-watershed validation conducted in the Ford River watershed, USA, also demonstrated the satisfactory performance of the proposed UD-ML-Transformer model, with the highest NSE of 0.890, and the lowest MSE, RMSE, and MAE of 0.088, 0.296, and 0.141, respectively. These findings highlight the superiority of integrating UD and ML for hyperparameter optimization in runoff forecasting.
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(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hydrological Modeling and Sustainable Water Resources Management, 2nd Edition)
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Evaporative Water Consumption and Heat Redistribution Under Pumped-Storage Hydropower Operation in an Arid Region
by
Jinhan Wang, Xinjun Yan, Shaolei Wang, Kewu Han, Kebin Shi and Dexin Zhao
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 200; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080200 - 24 Jul 2026
Abstract
Pumped-storage hydropower (PSH) can modify reservoir evaporation in arid regions by altering water-level dynamics, surface-area exposure, and thermal exchange between reservoirs. This study quantifies operation-induced evaporation changes at the Fukang PSH station in Xinjiang, China, using a one-dimensional lumped hydrodynamic–thermal model driven by
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Pumped-storage hydropower (PSH) can modify reservoir evaporation in arid regions by altering water-level dynamics, surface-area exposure, and thermal exchange between reservoirs. This study quantifies operation-induced evaporation changes at the Fukang PSH station in Xinjiang, China, using a one-dimensional lumped hydrodynamic–thermal model driven by hourly station observations and ERA5 reanalysis for 2024. A four-scenario factorial design separates thermal, surface-area, and interaction effects within a unified water energy framework. Under station forcing, fully coupled operation reduces annual system-scale evaporation from 135.36 × 104 m3 to 115.45 × 104 m3, corresponding to a net reduction of 19.91 × 104 m3 (14.7%). Energy-budget analysis identifies advective heat transport as the main pathway linking dispatch, reservoir thermal evolution, and evaporation response, with annual cumulative values of +205 TJ in the upper reservoir and −333 TJ in the lower reservoir. Dispatch-regime experiments further show that stronger exchange-flow operation does not necessarily increase evaporation reduction: the low, baseline, and enhanced schedules produce system-scale net changes of 37.70 × 104 m3, 19.91 × 104 m3, and −3.41 × 104 m3, respectively. These results indicate that evaporation effects in arid-region PSH systems depend on the timing of surface-area exposure relative to local evaporative demand, rather than on exchange-flow magnitude or operating duration alone.
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(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources and Risk Management)
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Frequency-Dependent Groundwater Responses to Canal Regulation and Extreme Rainfall in the Huaibei Plain
by
Zhaokai Wang, Hongwei Yuan, Jiwei Yang, Tao Shen and Youzhen Wang
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080199 - 23 Jul 2026
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Groundwater levels in gated agricultural drainage networks respond to canal-stage changes, rainfall, antecedent storage, and changing operating conditions. We examined groundwater and surface-water records from the Chezegou Watershed, Huaibei Plain, China (2019–2024), using analytical solutions of the linearized Boussinesq equation. Groundwater was measured
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Groundwater levels in gated agricultural drainage networks respond to canal-stage changes, rainfall, antecedent storage, and changing operating conditions. We examined groundwater and surface-water records from the Chezegou Watershed, Huaibei Plain, China (2019–2024), using analytical solutions of the linearized Boussinesq equation. Groundwater was measured mostly at intervals of about five days, and analyses used the original observation dates. Using the half-power criterion |Z|2 = 1/2 and hydraulic diffusivities of 5.27 × 103–1.05 × 104 m2 d−1, cutoff periods were 56.1–111.7 d at 150 m and 399.1–794.1 d at 400 m; the half-power distance for a 30 d cycle was 77.7–109.7 m. The record also includes a 106 mm storm on 12 July 2020. Groundwater depth at J5 (490 m from the canal) decreased from 2.23 to 0.54 m in 48 h, a 1.69 m water-level rise, while J9 (1020 m) rose by 1.79 m over five days. These observations show a rapid shallow-groundwater head response, although water-level records alone do not separate vertical recharge from hydraulic-pressure transmission. Canal influence depends on forcing duration and aquifer properties, while rainfall responses also reflect lateral boundaries and the shrink-swell behavior of Shajiang black soil. The calculated time-distance relations provide site-specific reference values for canal operation.
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Groundwater Vulnerability Assessment Using an Integrated GIS-Based DRASTIC, Land-Use, and Expert Elicitation Framework in Southern Egypt
by
Mohamed El-Sayed El-Mahdy, Sally Sayed Saad, Ibraheem A. H. Yousif, Mohamed Ahmed Shahba and Abd-Alrahman S. Ahmed
Hydrology 2026, 13(8), 198; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080198 - 23 Jul 2026
Abstract
Groundwater vulnerability refers to an aquifer’s susceptibility to contamination based on natural hydrogeological properties, including geology, soil, topography, and unsaturated zone characteristics. In low-recharge arid systems, limited recharge reduces dilution and flushing, allowing contaminants introduced through anthropogenic activities to persist over time. This
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Groundwater vulnerability refers to an aquifer’s susceptibility to contamination based on natural hydrogeological properties, including geology, soil, topography, and unsaturated zone characteristics. In low-recharge arid systems, limited recharge reduces dilution and flushing, allowing contaminants introduced through anthropogenic activities to persist over time. This study assesses groundwater vulnerability in El-Farafra, El-Kharga, and Tushka using a GIS-based DRASTIC approach, enhanced with a Land-Use DRASTIC model to incorporate human activities. Parameters, including the depth-to-water table, net recharge, aquifer media, soil media, topography, the vadose zone, and hydraulic conductivity, were spatially analyzed to generate vulnerability indices. Sentinel-2 imagery was used for land-use classification. In addition, expert elicitation from twenty hydrogeology specialists provided alternative parameter weightings, which were compared with the standard DRASTIC weights. Results show that incorporating land use and expert-based weights refines vulnerability patterns, particularly in agricultural, urban, and industrial zones. El-Farafra exhibits the highest vulnerability due to intensive land use and hydrogeological conditions, El-Kharga shows moderate vulnerability, and Tushka shows lower vulnerability, where recharge from Lake Nasser enhances dilution and reduces contaminant persistence. The study highlights the importance of integrating land-use information and expert knowledge to improve vulnerability assessment in data-scarce arid environments and supports improved groundwater management strategies.
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(This article belongs to the Section Surface Waters and Groundwaters)
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Analysis of Soil Infiltration Characteristics and Their Influencing Factors Under Different Vegetation Based on a PLS-SEM Model
by
Xuemin Tang, Yutong Peng, Jianli Zhang, Dandan Li, Yang Cao, Weiquan Zhao and Yunjie Wu
Hydrology 2026, 13(7), 197; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13070197 - 22 Jul 2026
Abstract
Urban rocky desertification areas are characterized by shallow soils, rock–soil mosaics, and strong human disturbance, so infiltration processes may differ from those in homogeneous soils. However, interactions among multiple controlling factors remain insufficiently quantified. This study compared soil infiltration under artificially restored vegetation
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Urban rocky desertification areas are characterized by shallow soils, rock–soil mosaics, and strong human disturbance, so infiltration processes may differ from those in homogeneous soils. However, interactions among multiple controlling factors remain insufficiently quantified. This study compared soil infiltration under artificially restored vegetation (planted grassland (PG) and planted woodland (PW)), and natural secondary vegetation (secondary grassland (SG) and secondary woodland (SW)). Saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ks) and falling-head duration (T) were measured using falling-head tests on undisturbed soil columns. Soil physical properties were then integrated with partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) to assess the effects of rocky desertification, soil aggregates, and porosity. Soil bulk density was significantly lower under artificially restored vegetation, whereas capillary porosity, non-capillary porosity, and water-holding capacity were significantly higher (p < 0.05). Infiltration performance followed PW > PG > SW > SG. PLS-SEM indicated that rocky desertification (−0.78), porosity (0.51), and aggregates (−0.03) jointly regulated infiltration, with non-capillary porosity as the dominant positive factor. Higher infiltration in artificially restored plots was mainly associated with improved pore structure. These findings support vegetation configuration and soil–water management in urban rocky desertification areas.
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(This article belongs to the Section Soil and Hydrology)
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