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  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
45,268 Views
35 Pages

Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Algorithms: A Survey and Future Directions

  • David L. John,
  • Sebastian Binnewies and
  • Bela Stantic

15 August 2024

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have received substantial attention from investors, researchers and the media due to their volatile behaviour and potential for high returns. This interest has led to an expanding body of research aimed at predicting...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
24,296 Views
31 Pages

5 July 2024

In a dynamic business environment, the accuracy of sales forecasts plays a pivotal role in strategic decision making and resource allocation. This article offers a systematic review of the existing literature on techniques and methodologies used in f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
57 Citations
23,060 Views
14 Pages

Large Language Models: Their Success and Impact

  • Spyros Makridakis,
  • Fotios Petropoulos and
  • Yanfei Kang

25 August 2023

ChatGPT, a state-of-the-art large language model (LLM), is revolutionizing the AI field by exhibiting humanlike skills in a range of tasks that include understanding and answering natural language questions, translating languages, writing code, passi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
34 Citations
15,633 Views
23 Pages

22 March 2023

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 accelerated agricultural commodity prices and raised food insecurities worldwide. Ukraine and Russia are the leading global suppliers of wheat, corn, barley and sunflower oil. For this purpose, we i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
14,523 Views
17 Pages

16 February 2024

In today’s evolving global world, the pharmaceutical sector faces an emerging challenge, which is the rapid surge of the global population and the consequent growth in drug production demands. Recognizing this, our study explores the urgent nee...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
14,366 Views
21 Pages

Time Series Dataset Survey for Forecasting with Deep Learning

  • Yannik Hahn,
  • Tristan Langer,
  • Richard Meyes and
  • Tobias Meisen

3 March 2023

Deep learning models have revolutionized research fields like computer vision and natural language processing by outperforming traditional models in multiple tasks. However, the field of time series analysis, especially time series forecasting, has n...

  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
14,080 Views
49 Pages

This systematic literature review explores the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in financial market forecasting, with a focus on four asset classes: equities, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and foreign exchange ma...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
12,677 Views
17 Pages

23 April 2024

Since cryptocurrencies are among the most extensively traded financial instruments globally, predicting their price has become a crucial topic for investors. Our dataset, which includes fluctuations in Bitcoin’s hourly prices from 15 May 2018 t...

  • Review
  • Open Access
24 Citations
12,662 Views
27 Pages

19 October 2024

Global food security is under significant threat from climate change, population growth, and resource scarcity. This review examines how advanced AI-driven forecasting models, including machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and time-series forec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
11,301 Views
13 Pages

12 December 2023

Over the past few years, there has been growing attention to the Long-Term Time Series Forecasting task and solving its inherent challenges like the non-stationarity of the underlying distribution. Notably, most successful models in this area use dec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
11,161 Views
17 Pages

Is Football Unpredictable? Predicting Matches Using Neural Networks

  • Luiz E. Luiz,
  • Gabriel Fialho and
  • João P. Teixeira

12 December 2024

The growing sports betting market works on the premise that sports are unpredictable, making it more likely to be wrong than right, as the user has to choose between win, draw, or lose. So could football, the world’s most popular sport, be pred...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
9,676 Views
13 Pages

Forecasting the Traffic Flow by Using ARIMA and LSTM Models: Case of Muhima Junction

  • Vienna N. Katambire,
  • Richard Musabe,
  • Alfred Uwitonze and
  • Didacienne Mukanyiligira

14 November 2023

Traffic operation efficiency is greatly impacted by the increase in travel demand and the increase in vehicle ownership. The continued increase in traffic demand has rendered the importance of controlling traffic, especially at intersections. In gene...

  • Article
  • Open Access
42 Citations
9,312 Views
29 Pages

Performance Analysis of Statistical, Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models in Long-Term Forecasting of Solar Power Production

  • Ashish Sedai,
  • Rabin Dhakal,
  • Shishir Gautam,
  • Anibesh Dhamala,
  • Argenis Bilbao,
  • Qin Wang,
  • Adam Wigington and
  • Suhas Pol

22 February 2023

The Machine Learning/Deep Learning (ML/DL) forecasting model has helped stakeholders overcome uncertainties associated with renewable energy resources and time planning for probable near-term power fluctuations. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of lon...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
8,972 Views
32 Pages

27 November 2023

This paper assesses the usefulness of comprehensive payments data for macroeconomic predictions in Canada. Specifically, we evaluate which type of payments data are useful, when they are useful, why they are useful, and whether machine learning (ML)...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
8,305 Views
17 Pages

25 October 2024

This paper aims to demonstrate how machine deep learning techniques lead to relatively accurate forecasts of quarterly corporate income tax payments. Using quarterly data from Compustat for all U.S. publicly traded corporations from 2000 to 2024, I s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
8,150 Views
23 Pages

A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes

  • Daniel Manfre Jaimes,
  • Manuel Zamudio López,
  • Hamidreza Zareipour and
  • Mike Quashie

19 July 2023

This paper proposes a new hybrid model to forecast electricity market prices up to four days ahead. The components of the proposed model are combined in two dimensions. First, on the “vertical” dimension, long short-term memory (LSTM) neu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
8,108 Views
21 Pages

Predicting Power Consumption Using Deep Learning with Stationary Wavelet

  • Majdi Frikha,
  • Khaled Taouil,
  • Ahmed Fakhfakh and
  • Faouzi Derbel

23 September 2024

Power consumption in the home has grown in recent years as a consequence of the use of varied residential applications. On the other hand, many families are beginning to use renewable energy, such as energy production, energy storage devices, and ele...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
3 Citations
7,928 Views
12 Pages

Assessing Spurious Correlations in Big Search Data

  • Jesse T. Richman and
  • Ryan J. Roberts

28 February 2023

Big search data offers the opportunity to identify new and potentially real-time measures and predictors of important political, geographic, social, cultural, economic, and epidemiological phenomena, measures that might serve an important role as lea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
7,893 Views
22 Pages

Machine Learning-Enhanced Pairs Trading

  • Eli Hadad,
  • Sohail Hodarkar,
  • Beakal Lemeneh and
  • Dennis Shasha

11 June 2024

Forecasting returns in financial markets is notoriously challenging due to the resemblance of price changes to white noise. In this paper, we propose novel methods to address this challenge. Employing high-frequency Brazilian stock market data at one...

  • Article
  • Open Access
59 Citations
7,413 Views
16 Pages

A Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Prediction via Transfer Learning and Deep Neural Networks

  • Seyed Mahdi Miraftabzadeh,
  • Cristian Giovanni Colombo,
  • Michela Longo and
  • Federica Foiadelli

17 February 2023

Climate change and global warming drive many governments and scientists to investigate new renewable and green energy sources. Special attention is on solar panel technology, since solar energy is considered one of the primary renewable sources and s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,063 Views
23 Pages

1 February 2024

This research proposes an investigative experiment employing binary classification for short-term electricity price spike forecasting. Numerical definitions for price spikes are derived from economic and statistical thresholds. The predictive task em...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
6,975 Views
17 Pages

A Composite Tool for Forecasting El Niño: The Case of the 2023–2024 Event

  • Costas Varotsos,
  • Nicholas V. Sarlis,
  • Yuri Mazei,
  • Damir Saldaev and
  • Maria Efstathiou

7 March 2024

Remotely sensed data play a crucial role in monitoring the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is an oceanic-atmospheric phenomenon occurring quasi-periodically with several impacts worldwide, such as specific biological...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
6,619 Views
30 Pages

30 April 2024

The objective of this work is to predict the impact of technology on employment demand by profession in Spain between 2023 and 2035. The evaluation of this effect involved the comparison of two scenarios: a trend scenario obtained by predicting the e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
6,436 Views
18 Pages

Day Ahead Electric Load Forecast: A Comprehensive LSTM-EMD Methodology and Several Diverse Case Studies

  • Michael Wood,
  • Emanuele Ogliari,
  • Alfredo Nespoli,
  • Travis Simpkins and
  • Sonia Leva

2 March 2023

Optimal behind-the-meter energy management often requires a day-ahead electric load forecast capable of learning non-linear and non-stationary patterns, due to the spatial disaggregation of loads and concept drift associated with time-varying physics...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,146 Views
23 Pages

29 July 2024

This study showcased the Markov switching autoregressive model with time-varying parameters (MSAR-TVP) for modeling nonlinear time series with structural changes. This model enhances the MSAR framework by allowing dynamic parameter adjustments over t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
6,100 Views
25 Pages

Electricity Consumption Forecasting: An Approach Using Cooperative Ensemble Learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations

  • Eduardo Luiz Alba,
  • Gilson Adamczuk Oliveira,
  • Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro and
  • Érick Oliveira Rodrigues

20 September 2024

Electricity expense management presents significant challenges, as this resource is susceptible to various influencing factors. In universities, the demand for this resource is rapidly growing with institutional expansion and has a significant enviro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
5,965 Views
15 Pages

20 June 2023

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre-, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and price obs...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
5,941 Views
33 Pages

14 September 2024

We analyze the predictability of daily data on the CBOE VIX and SKEW indices, used to capture the average level of risk-neutral risk and downside risk, respectively, as implied by S&P 500 index options. In particular, we use f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,773 Views
16 Pages

27 March 2023

The price of oil is nowadays a hot topic as it affects many areas of the world economy. The price of oil also plays an essential role in how the economic situation is currently developing (such as the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation and others) or the p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,739 Views
14 Pages

White Noise and Its Misapplications: Impacts on Time Series Model Adequacy and Forecasting

  • Hossein Hassani,
  • Leila Marvian Mashhad,
  • Manuela Royer-Carenzi,
  • Mohammad Reza Yeganegi and
  • Nadejda Komendantova

This paper contributes significantly to time series analysis by discussing the empirical properties of white noise and their implications for model selection. This paper illustrates the ways in which the standard assumptions about white noise typical...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,504 Views
31 Pages

Optimizing Credit Risk Prediction for Peer-to-Peer Lending Using Machine Learning

  • Lyne Imene Souadda,
  • Ahmed Rami Halitim,
  • Billel Benilles,
  • José Manuel Oliveira and
  • Patrícia Ramos

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is critical for enhancing the predictive performance of machine learning models in credit risk assessment for peer-to-peer (P2P) lending. This study evaluates four HPO methods, Grid Search, Random Search, Hyperopt, a...

  • Review
  • Open Access
38 Citations
5,479 Views
24 Pages

Data-Driven Methods for the State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries: An Overview

  • Panagiotis Eleftheriadis,
  • Spyridon Giazitzis,
  • Sonia Leva and
  • Emanuele Ogliari

14 September 2023

In recent years, there has been a noticeable shift towards electric mobility and an increasing emphasis on integrating renewable energy sources. Consequently, batteries and their management have been prominent in this context. A vital aspect of the B...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
5,305 Views
19 Pages

16 January 2024

Denoising is an integral part of the data pre-processing pipeline that often works in conjunction with model development for enhancing the quality of data, improving model accuracy, preventing overfitting, and contributing to the overall robustness o...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
5,278 Views
27 Pages

Predictive Maintenance Framework for Fault Detection in Remote Terminal Units

  • Alexios Lekidis,
  • Angelos Georgakis,
  • Christos Dalamagkas and
  • Elpiniki I. Papageorgiou

25 March 2024

The scheduled maintenance of industrial equipment is usually performed with a low frequency, as it usually leads to unpredicted downtime in business operations. Nevertheless, this confers a risk of failure in individual modules of the equipment, whic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,192 Views
14 Pages

28 February 2025

In the past, South African monetary policy aimed to protect the external value of the domestic currency (Rand); however, these efforts failed. Later, its monetary policy approach changed to allow the foreign exchange rate market to determine the exch...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,983 Views
13 Pages

30 August 2024

In this study, we propose a model to forecast container throughput for the Singapore port, one of the busiest ports globally. Accurate forecasting of container throughput is critical for efficient port operations, strategic planning, and maintaining...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,873 Views
19 Pages

10 September 2025

Accurate and efficient cryptocurrency price prediction is vital for investors in the volatile crypto market. This study comprehensively evaluates nine models—including baseline, zero-shot, and deep learning architectures—on 21 major crypt...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,743 Views
17 Pages

20 December 2023

Southeast Asia (SEA), known for its diverse climate and broad coastal regions, is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. The purpose of this study is to enhance the spatial resolution of temperature projections over Southeast Asia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,730 Views
16 Pages

Accurate Day-Ahead Energy Price (DAEP) forecasting is essential for optimizing energy market operations. This study introduces a machine learning framework to predict the DAEP with a 24 h lead time, leveraging historical data and forecasts available...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4,729 Views
27 Pages

18 February 2023

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a catastrophic effect on the healthcare system including organ transplants worldwide. The number of living donor transplants performed in the US was affected more significantly by the pandemic with a 22.6% decrease in co...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,677 Views
33 Pages

In numerous domains of finance and economics, modelling and predicting stock market volatility is essential. Predicting stock market volatility is widely used in the management of portfolios, analysis of risk, and determination of option prices. This...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,512 Views
21 Pages

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for modeling complex dynamic systems, ensuring robustness and interpretability. This study extends Physics-Guided Bayesian Neural Networks (PG-BNNs) to enhance model robustness by integrating physical laws...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,433 Views
19 Pages

14 November 2024

The rising frequency and severity of droughts requires accurate monitoring and forecasting to reduce the impact on water resources and communities. This study aims to investigate drought monitoring and categorization, while enhancing drought forecast...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,303 Views
17 Pages

Forecasting Convective Storms Trajectory and Intensity by Neural Networks

  • Niccolò Borghi,
  • Giorgio Guariso and
  • Matteo Sangiorgio

19 May 2024

Convective storms represent a dangerous atmospheric phenomenon, particularly for the heavy and concentrated precipitation they can trigger. Given their high velocity and variability, their prediction is challenging, though it is crucial to issue reli...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,203 Views
19 Pages

17 April 2023

Climate change is considered one of the biggest challenges around the globe as it has been causing alterations in hydrological extremes. Climate change and variability have an impact on future streamflow conditions, water quality, and ecological bala...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,196 Views
15 Pages

7 March 2023

With the rapid increase in the number of vehicles on the road, traffic accidents have become a rapidly growing threat, causing the loss of human life and economic assets. The reason for this is the rapid growth of the human population and the develop...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,181 Views
16 Pages

4 June 2024

In this article, we document the use of hail cannons in Mexico to dispel or suppress heavy rain episodes, a common practice among farmers, without scientific evidence to support its effectiveness. This study uses two rain databases: one compiled from...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
4,068 Views
23 Pages

20 June 2024

Transportation significantly influences greenhouse gas emissions—particularly carbon dioxide (CO2)—thereby affecting climate, health, and various socioeconomic aspects. Therefore, in developing and implementing targeted and effective poli...

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Forecasting - ISSN 2571-9394