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Most Cited

  • Article
  • Open Access
59 Citations
7,413 Views
16 Pages

A Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Prediction via Transfer Learning and Deep Neural Networks

  • Seyed Mahdi Miraftabzadeh,
  • Cristian Giovanni Colombo,
  • Michela Longo and
  • Federica Foiadelli

17 February 2023

Climate change and global warming drive many governments and scientists to investigate new renewable and green energy sources. Special attention is on solar panel technology, since solar energy is considered one of the primary renewable sources and s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
57 Citations
23,060 Views
14 Pages

Large Language Models: Their Success and Impact

  • Spyros Makridakis,
  • Fotios Petropoulos and
  • Yanfei Kang

25 August 2023

ChatGPT, a state-of-the-art large language model (LLM), is revolutionizing the AI field by exhibiting humanlike skills in a range of tasks that include understanding and answering natural language questions, translating languages, writing code, passi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
42 Citations
9,312 Views
29 Pages

Performance Analysis of Statistical, Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models in Long-Term Forecasting of Solar Power Production

  • Ashish Sedai,
  • Rabin Dhakal,
  • Shishir Gautam,
  • Anibesh Dhamala,
  • Argenis Bilbao,
  • Qin Wang,
  • Adam Wigington and
  • Suhas Pol

22 February 2023

The Machine Learning/Deep Learning (ML/DL) forecasting model has helped stakeholders overcome uncertainties associated with renewable energy resources and time planning for probable near-term power fluctuations. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of lon...

  • Review
  • Open Access
38 Citations
5,479 Views
24 Pages

Data-Driven Methods for the State of Charge Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries: An Overview

  • Panagiotis Eleftheriadis,
  • Spyridon Giazitzis,
  • Sonia Leva and
  • Emanuele Ogliari

14 September 2023

In recent years, there has been a noticeable shift towards electric mobility and an increasing emphasis on integrating renewable energy sources. Consequently, batteries and their management have been prominent in this context. A vital aspect of the B...

  • Article
  • Open Access
34 Citations
15,633 Views
23 Pages

22 March 2023

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 accelerated agricultural commodity prices and raised food insecurities worldwide. Ukraine and Russia are the leading global suppliers of wheat, corn, barley and sunflower oil. For this purpose, we i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
6,436 Views
18 Pages

Day Ahead Electric Load Forecast: A Comprehensive LSTM-EMD Methodology and Several Diverse Case Studies

  • Michael Wood,
  • Emanuele Ogliari,
  • Alfredo Nespoli,
  • Travis Simpkins and
  • Sonia Leva

2 March 2023

Optimal behind-the-meter energy management often requires a day-ahead electric load forecast capable of learning non-linear and non-stationary patterns, due to the spatial disaggregation of loads and concept drift associated with time-varying physics...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
9,676 Views
13 Pages

Forecasting the Traffic Flow by Using ARIMA and LSTM Models: Case of Muhima Junction

  • Vienna N. Katambire,
  • Richard Musabe,
  • Alfred Uwitonze and
  • Didacienne Mukanyiligira

14 November 2023

Traffic operation efficiency is greatly impacted by the increase in travel demand and the increase in vehicle ownership. The continued increase in traffic demand has rendered the importance of controlling traffic, especially at intersections. In gene...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
5,965 Views
15 Pages

20 June 2023

This study analyzes the transmission of market uncertainty on key European financial markets and the cryptocurrency market over an extended period, encompassing the pre-, during, and post-pandemic periods. Daily financial market indices and price obs...

  • Review
  • Open Access
24 Citations
12,662 Views
27 Pages

19 October 2024

Global food security is under significant threat from climate change, population growth, and resource scarcity. This review examines how advanced AI-driven forecasting models, including machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and time-series forec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
8,150 Views
23 Pages

A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes

  • Daniel Manfre Jaimes,
  • Manuel Zamudio López,
  • Hamidreza Zareipour and
  • Mike Quashie

19 July 2023

This paper proposes a new hybrid model to forecast electricity market prices up to four days ahead. The components of the proposed model are combined in two dimensions. First, on the “vertical” dimension, long short-term memory (LSTM) neu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
3,985 Views
25 Pages

Impact of PV and EV Forecasting in the Operation of a Microgrid

  • Giampaolo Manzolini,
  • Andrea Fusco,
  • Domenico Gioffrè,
  • Silvana Matrone,
  • Riccardo Ramaschi,
  • Marios Saleptsis,
  • Riccardo Simonetti,
  • Filip Sobic,
  • Michael James Wood and
  • Sonia Leva
  • + 1 author

31 July 2024

The electrification of the transport sector together with large renewable energy deployment requires powerful tools to efficiently use energy assets and infrastructure. In this framework, the forecast of electric vehicle demand and solar photovoltaic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
14,523 Views
17 Pages

16 February 2024

In today’s evolving global world, the pharmaceutical sector faces an emerging challenge, which is the rapid surge of the global population and the consequent growth in drug production demands. Recognizing this, our study explores the urgent nee...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
6,975 Views
17 Pages

A Composite Tool for Forecasting El Niño: The Case of the 2023–2024 Event

  • Costas Varotsos,
  • Nicholas V. Sarlis,
  • Yuri Mazei,
  • Damir Saldaev and
  • Maria Efstathiou

7 March 2024

Remotely sensed data play a crucial role in monitoring the El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is an oceanic-atmospheric phenomenon occurring quasi-periodically with several impacts worldwide, such as specific biological...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
5,278 Views
27 Pages

Predictive Maintenance Framework for Fault Detection in Remote Terminal Units

  • Alexios Lekidis,
  • Angelos Georgakis,
  • Christos Dalamagkas and
  • Elpiniki I. Papageorgiou

25 March 2024

The scheduled maintenance of industrial equipment is usually performed with a low frequency, as it usually leads to unpredicted downtime in business operations. Nevertheless, this confers a risk of failure in individual modules of the equipment, whic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
5,305 Views
19 Pages

16 January 2024

Denoising is an integral part of the data pre-processing pipeline that often works in conjunction with model development for enhancing the quality of data, improving model accuracy, preventing overfitting, and contributing to the overall robustness o...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
4,068 Views
23 Pages

20 June 2024

Transportation significantly influences greenhouse gas emissions—particularly carbon dioxide (CO2)—thereby affecting climate, health, and various socioeconomic aspects. Therefore, in developing and implementing targeted and effective poli...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
6,100 Views
25 Pages

Electricity Consumption Forecasting: An Approach Using Cooperative Ensemble Learning with SHapley Additive exPlanations

  • Eduardo Luiz Alba,
  • Gilson Adamczuk Oliveira,
  • Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro and
  • Érick Oliveira Rodrigues

20 September 2024

Electricity expense management presents significant challenges, as this resource is susceptible to various influencing factors. In universities, the demand for this resource is rapidly growing with institutional expansion and has a significant enviro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
8,108 Views
21 Pages

Predicting Power Consumption Using Deep Learning with Stationary Wavelet

  • Majdi Frikha,
  • Khaled Taouil,
  • Ahmed Fakhfakh and
  • Faouzi Derbel

23 September 2024

Power consumption in the home has grown in recent years as a consequence of the use of varied residential applications. On the other hand, many families are beginning to use renewable energy, such as energy production, energy storage devices, and ele...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
24,296 Views
31 Pages

5 July 2024

In a dynamic business environment, the accuracy of sales forecasts plays a pivotal role in strategic decision making and resource allocation. This article offers a systematic review of the existing literature on techniques and methodologies used in f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
8,972 Views
32 Pages

27 November 2023

This paper assesses the usefulness of comprehensive payments data for macroeconomic predictions in Canada. Specifically, we evaluate which type of payments data are useful, when they are useful, why they are useful, and whether machine learning (ML)...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
11,301 Views
13 Pages

12 December 2023

Over the past few years, there has been growing attention to the Long-Term Time Series Forecasting task and solving its inherent challenges like the non-stationarity of the underlying distribution. Notably, most successful models in this area use dec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,743 Views
17 Pages

20 December 2023

Southeast Asia (SEA), known for its diverse climate and broad coastal regions, is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. The purpose of this study is to enhance the spatial resolution of temperature projections over Southeast Asia...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
4,196 Views
15 Pages

7 March 2023

With the rapid increase in the number of vehicles on the road, traffic accidents have become a rapidly growing threat, causing the loss of human life and economic assets. The reason for this is the rapid growth of the human population and the develop...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
14,366 Views
21 Pages

Time Series Dataset Survey for Forecasting with Deep Learning

  • Yannik Hahn,
  • Tristan Langer,
  • Richard Meyes and
  • Tobias Meisen

3 March 2023

Deep learning models have revolutionized research fields like computer vision and natural language processing by outperforming traditional models in multiple tasks. However, the field of time series analysis, especially time series forecasting, has n...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,433 Views
19 Pages

14 November 2024

The rising frequency and severity of droughts requires accurate monitoring and forecasting to reduce the impact on water resources and communities. This study aims to investigate drought monitoring and categorization, while enhancing drought forecast...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,776 Views
28 Pages

19 August 2024

The main source of electricity worldwide stems from fossil fuels, contributing to air pollution, global warming, and associated adverse effects. This study explores wind energy as a potential alternative. Nevertheless, the variable nature of wind int...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,815 Views
15 Pages

Short-Term Probabilistic Load Forecasting in University Buildings by Means of Artificial Neural Networks

  • Carla Sahori Seefoo Jarquin,
  • Alessandro Gandelli,
  • Francesco Grimaccia and
  • Marco Mussetta

13 April 2023

Understanding how, why and when energy consumption changes provides a tool for decision makers throughout the power networks. Thus, energy forecasting provides a great service. This research proposes a probabilistic approach to capture the five inher...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
2,994 Views
15 Pages

Data-Driven Models to Forecast the Impact of Temperature Anomalies on Rice Production in Southeast Asia

  • Sabrina De Nardi,
  • Claudio Carnevale,
  • Sara Raccagni and
  • Lucia Sangiorgi

31 January 2024

Models are a core element in performing local estimation of the climate change input. In this work, a novel approach to perform a fast downscaling of global temperature anomalies on a regional level is presented. The approach is based on a set of dat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,063 Views
23 Pages

1 February 2024

This research proposes an investigative experiment employing binary classification for short-term electricity price spike forecasting. Numerical definitions for price spikes are derived from economic and statistical thresholds. The predictive task em...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,311 Views
21 Pages

2 August 2024

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are prominent in predictive analytics for accurately forecasting target variables. However, inherent uncertainties necessitate constructing prediction intervals for reliability. The existing literature often lacks practica...

  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
45,268 Views
35 Pages

Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Algorithms: A Survey and Future Directions

  • David L. John,
  • Sebastian Binnewies and
  • Bela Stantic

15 August 2024

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have received substantial attention from investors, researchers and the media due to their volatile behaviour and potential for high returns. This interest has led to an expanding body of research aimed at predicting...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
2,521 Views
18 Pages

In this work, we present a novel approach for predicting short-term electrical energy consumption. Most energy consumption methods work well for their case study datasets. The proposed method utilizes a cloud computing platform that allows for integr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,638 Views
13 Pages

Constructing Cybersecurity Stocks Portfolio Using AI

  • Avishay Aiche,
  • Zvi Winer and
  • Gil Cohen

19 November 2024

This study explores the application of artificial intelligence, specifically ChatGPT-4o, in constructing and managing a portfolio of cybersecurity stocks over the period from Q1 2018 to Q1 2024. Leveraging advanced machine learning models, fundamenta...

  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
14,080 Views
49 Pages

This systematic literature review explores the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in financial market forecasting, with a focus on four asset classes: equities, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and foreign exchange ma...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
5,739 Views
14 Pages

White Noise and Its Misapplications: Impacts on Time Series Model Adequacy and Forecasting

  • Hossein Hassani,
  • Leila Marvian Mashhad,
  • Manuela Royer-Carenzi,
  • Mohammad Reza Yeganegi and
  • Nadejda Komendantova

This paper contributes significantly to time series analysis by discussing the empirical properties of white noise and their implications for model selection. This paper illustrates the ways in which the standard assumptions about white noise typical...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,865 Views
23 Pages

Exploring the Role of Online Courses in COVID-19 Crisis Management in the Supply Chain Sector—Forecasting Using Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) Models

  • Dimitrios K. Nasiopoulos,
  • Dimitrios A. Arvanitidis,
  • Dimitrios M. Mastrakoulis,
  • Nikos Kanellos,
  • Thomas Fotiadis and
  • Dimitrios E. Koulouriotis

20 November 2023

Globalization has gotten increasingly intense in recent years, necessitating accurate forecasting. Traditional supply chains have evolved into transnational networks that grow with time, becoming more vulnerable. These dangers have the potential to d...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
12,677 Views
17 Pages

23 April 2024

Since cryptocurrencies are among the most extensively traded financial instruments globally, predicting their price has become a crucial topic for investors. Our dataset, which includes fluctuations in Bitcoin’s hourly prices from 15 May 2018 t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,512 Views
21 Pages

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for modeling complex dynamic systems, ensuring robustness and interpretability. This study extends Physics-Guided Bayesian Neural Networks (PG-BNNs) to enhance model robustness by integrating physical laws...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,730 Views
16 Pages

Accurate Day-Ahead Energy Price (DAEP) forecasting is essential for optimizing energy market operations. This study introduces a machine learning framework to predict the DAEP with a 24 h lead time, leveraging historical data and forecasts available...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,654 Views
27 Pages

This paper investigates the dynamics of Hurricane-Induced Failure (HIF) by developing a probabilistic framework using a Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN) model. The model captures the complex interplay of factors influencing Hurricane Wind Speed Intensi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,418 Views
21 Pages

Utilizing the Honeybees Mating-Inspired Firefly Algorithm to Extract Parameters of the Wind Speed Weibull Model

  • Abubaker Younis,
  • Fatima Belabbes,
  • Petru Adrian Cotfas and
  • Daniel Tudor Cotfas

22 May 2024

This study introduces a novel adjustment to the firefly algorithm (FA) through the integration of rare instances of cannibalism among fireflies, culminating in the development of the honeybee mating-based firefly algorithm (HBMFA). The IEEE Congress...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,351 Views
17 Pages

24 June 2024

This research aims to study and develop a model to demonstrate the causal relationships of factors used to forecast CO2 emissions from energy consumption in the industrial building sector and to make predictions for the next 10 years (2024–2033...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,264 Views
26 Pages

Predictive Analytics of Air Temperature in Alaskan Permafrost Terrain Leveraging Two-Level Signal Decomposition and Deep Learning

  • Aymane Ahajjam,
  • Jaakko Putkonen,
  • Emmanuel Chukwuemeka,
  • Robert Chance and
  • Timothy J. Pasch

9 January 2024

Local weather forecasts in the Arctic outside of settlements are challenging due to the dearth of ground-level observation stations and high computational costs. During winter, these forecasts are critical to help prepare for potentially hazardous we...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,950 Views
28 Pages

Granger Causality-Based Forecasting Model for Rainfall at Ratnapura Area, Sri Lanka: A Deep Learning Approach

  • Shanthi Saubhagya,
  • Chandima Tilakaratne,
  • Pemantha Lakraj and
  • Musa Mammadov

29 November 2024

Rainfall forecasting, especially extreme rainfall forecasting, is one of crucial tasks in weather forecasting since it has direct impact on accompanying devastating events such as flash floods and fast-moving landslides. However, obtaining rainfall f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,593 Views
23 Pages

4 October 2024

This study investigates wind speed prediction using advanced machine learning techniques, comparing the performance of Vanilla long short-term memory (LSTM) and convolutional neural network (CNN) models, alongside the application of extreme value the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
8,305 Views
17 Pages

25 October 2024

This paper aims to demonstrate how machine deep learning techniques lead to relatively accurate forecasts of quarterly corporate income tax payments. Using quarterly data from Compustat for all U.S. publicly traded corporations from 2000 to 2024, I s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,773 Views
16 Pages

27 March 2023

The price of oil is nowadays a hot topic as it affects many areas of the world economy. The price of oil also plays an essential role in how the economic situation is currently developing (such as the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation and others) or the p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,146 Views
23 Pages

29 July 2024

This study showcased the Markov switching autoregressive model with time-varying parameters (MSAR-TVP) for modeling nonlinear time series with structural changes. This model enhances the MSAR framework by allowing dynamic parameter adjustments over t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,303 Views
17 Pages

Forecasting Convective Storms Trajectory and Intensity by Neural Networks

  • Niccolò Borghi,
  • Giorgio Guariso and
  • Matteo Sangiorgio

19 May 2024

Convective storms represent a dangerous atmospheric phenomenon, particularly for the heavy and concentrated precipitation they can trigger. Given their high velocity and variability, their prediction is challenging, though it is crucial to issue reli...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
3 Citations
7,928 Views
12 Pages

Assessing Spurious Correlations in Big Search Data

  • Jesse T. Richman and
  • Ryan J. Roberts

28 February 2023

Big search data offers the opportunity to identify new and potentially real-time measures and predictors of important political, geographic, social, cultural, economic, and epidemiological phenomena, measures that might serve an important role as lea...

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Forecasting - ISSN 2571-9394