Table of Contents
Water, Volume 11, Issue 7 (July 2019)
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Cover Story (view full-size image) Conceptual uncertainty is considered one of the major sources of uncertainty in groundwater flow [...] Read more. Conceptual uncertainty is considered one of the major sources of uncertainty in groundwater flow modelling. In this regard, hypothesis testing is essential to increase system understanding by refuting alternative hydrogeological conceptual models. Often a stepwise approach to the groundwater modelling workflow, with respect to complexity, is promoted, but hypothesis testing of simple groundwater models is rarely applied. We present an approach to model-based Bayesian hypothesis testing in a simple groundwater balance model, which involves optimization of a model in function of both parameter values and conceptual model through trans-dimensional sampling. View this paper.