Editor’s Choice Articles

Editor’s Choice articles are based on recommendations by the scientific editors of MDPI journals from around the world. Editors select a small number of articles recently published in the journal that they believe will be particularly interesting to readers, or important in the respective research area. The aim is to provide a snapshot of some of the most exciting work published in the various research areas of the journal.

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22 pages, 19332 KB  
Review
Bibliometric Analysis of Remote Sensing-Based Crop Vulnerability to Climate: Trends and Perspectives
by Walter Manuel Hoyos-Alayo, Jorge Luis Leiva-Piedra, Emilio Ramirez-Juidias and José-Lázaro Amaro-Mellado
Earth 2026, 7(4), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7040108 - 30 Jun 2026
Viewed by 389
Abstract
Climate change is intensifying droughts, heatwaves, and hydrological extremes, increasing crop vulnerability and threatening global food security. This study analyzes the scientific evolution of research on remote sensing-based crop vulnerability to climate, focusing on temporal trends, geographical patterns, thematic structures, remote sensing data, [...] Read more.
Climate change is intensifying droughts, heatwaves, and hydrological extremes, increasing crop vulnerability and threatening global food security. This study analyzes the scientific evolution of research on remote sensing-based crop vulnerability to climate, focusing on temporal trends, geographical patterns, thematic structures, remote sensing data, and methodological approaches. A quantitative, exploratory, descriptive, longitudinal, and retrospective bibliometric analysis was applied to 2343 Scopus-indexed documents published between 1985 and 2026. Bibliometrix 5.1.1 and VOSviewer 1.6.20 were used to assess productivity, collaboration, intellectual structure, keyword co-occurrence, thematic evolution, and Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy. Results show sustained growth, with a 4% annual growth rate and a sharp acceleration after 2015, reaching 487 publications in 2025. This trend reflects a transition from descriptive crop monitoring toward predictive and operational geospatial intelligence. China, the United States, and India lead scientific production, while specialized journals concentrate dissemination. The most common remote sensing data and indicators include NDVI, MODIS, Landsat, Sentinel imagery, SAR, drought indices, vegetation condition metrics, and Google Earth Engine. Frequent methods include bibliometric mapping, keyword co-occurrence analysis, thematic clustering, machine learning, time-series analysis, and multi-sensor integration. Overall, the field is mature but still faces challenges in interoperability, geographical representation, validation, and decision-oriented applications. Full article
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31 pages, 3577 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Weather Classification over Morocco Using Multi-Station METAR Observations
by Samir Saadane, Lahcen Hassine, Hatim Kharraz Aroussi and Rachid Saadane
Earth 2026, 7(3), 104; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030104 - 17 Jun 2026
Viewed by 621
Abstract
Accurate weather-regime classification is increasingly important for climate-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, aviation, disaster preparedness, and territorial planning, particularly in regions where strong climatic heterogeneity complicates conventional operational workflows. This study proposes a machine learning-based framework for broad-regime weather classification over Morocco using hourly [...] Read more.
Accurate weather-regime classification is increasingly important for climate-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, aviation, disaster preparedness, and territorial planning, particularly in regions where strong climatic heterogeneity complicates conventional operational workflows. This study proposes a machine learning-based framework for broad-regime weather classification over Morocco using hourly METAR observations collected from 22 meteorological stations between July 2022 and February 2024. The proposed workflow integrates data cleaning, missing-value imputation, feature transformation, categorical encoding, class-imbalance handling, and model optimization under a leakage-safe experimental protocol. To preserve temporal integrity, observations were chronologically split into training, validation, and independent test subsets; SMOTE and random undersampling were applied exclusively to the training subset, whereas the validation and test subsets retained their original class distributions. Seven classifiers were evaluated, including XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, and Logistic Regression, with hyperparameters optimized using Optuna. The results show that optimized boosting models are particularly effective for Moroccan station-based weather classification. XGBoost achieved the highest test-set accuracy of 95.1%, followed by LightGBM at 94.7% and CatBoost at 93.8%, with optimization improving accuracy by approximately 8–12 percentage points compared with baseline configurations. Because the dataset exhibits class imbalance, macro-averaged precision, recall, and F1-score were emphasized alongside accuracy to provide a more reliable assessment across weather classes. Confusion-matrix analysis indicates improved recognition of underrepresented regimes, especially Dust/Sand events, while residual confusion between Fog/Haze and Rain/Storm reflects both physical overlap and the limits of a four-class METAR taxonomy. Overall, the findings demonstrate that optimized ensemble learning can provide a robust, computationally efficient, and operationally relevant classification layer for regional meteorological decision support in Morocco, while future work should extend the framework to longer time series, finer weather taxonomies, and external regional validation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section AI and Big Data in Earth Science)
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30 pages, 62096 KB  
Article
GIS-Based Soil Erosion Susceptibility Mapping in Serbia Using a Modernized Erosion Intensity Coefficient (Z) with Satellite Remote Sensing: A National-Scale Prediction
by Uroš Durlević, Tanja Srejić, Sanja Manojlović, Marko V. Milošević, Natalija Batoćanin, Milica Dobrić, Jelena Svetozarević and Velibor Ilić
Earth 2026, 7(3), 103; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030103 - 16 Jun 2026
Viewed by 900
Abstract
In this study, a soil erosion intensity map for the territory of Serbia was produced using the Modernized Erosion Intensity Coefficient (MEIC-Z), combined with remote sensing data (Sentinel-2) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The analysis was based on contemporary geospatial data on lithology, [...] Read more.
In this study, a soil erosion intensity map for the territory of Serbia was produced using the Modernized Erosion Intensity Coefficient (MEIC-Z), combined with remote sensing data (Sentinel-2) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The analysis was based on contemporary geospatial data on lithology, land use, and terrain slope, with a spatial resolution of 30 m. Particular emphasis was placed on modifying the φ coefficient, which significantly improved estimates of erosion intensity. The average erosion intensity at the national level is 0.239, corresponding to the weak erosion class. Multivariate analysis of geographical conditions showed that the highest values of the erosion coefficient (Z) were determined by agricultural land (r = 0.826), while the lowest values were associated with terrain slope (r = −0.805) and forest cover (r = −0.767). In addition to the national-scale assessment, spatial differentiation of the results was performed at the local (municipal) level. Municipalities were differentiated into four clusters using Agglomerative Hierarchical Clustering. The advantage of the modified φ coefficient lies in the integration of land use and terrain slope, enabling a more realistic assessment of the intensity of erosion processes. Validation results demonstrated strong agreement between the modernized Z-derived erosion coefficient and the expert-defined erosion inventory, supporting the internal consistency of the model-derived erosion susceptibility patterns. This study significantly contributes to decision-making at both national and local levels by providing a scientific basis for developing strategies for sustainable forest management and soil conservation. Full article
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26 pages, 7274 KB  
Article
Assessing the Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Change on Ecological Environment Quality in Arid and Semi-Arid Grassland Regions: A Case Study of Siziwang Banner, Inner Mongolia
by Kai Wang, Huizhou Zuo, Jinzhu Ji, Xinpeng Wang and Qi Cao
Earth 2026, 7(3), 101; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030101 - 14 Jun 2026
Viewed by 488
Abstract
Siziwang Banner in Inner Mongolia is a typical arid and semi-arid grassland region where ecological environmental quality is highly sensitive to climate variability and land use and land cover change (LULCC). Clarifying the long-term coupling relationship between LULCC and ecological environmental quality is [...] Read more.
Siziwang Banner in Inner Mongolia is a typical arid and semi-arid grassland region where ecological environmental quality is highly sensitive to climate variability and land use and land cover change (LULCC). Clarifying the long-term coupling relationship between LULCC and ecological environmental quality is essential for regional ecological protection and sustainable land management. Based on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, this study integrated multi-temporal Landsat imagery and CLCD-based land use datasets, including an updated 2024 land use layer, to construct a Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI) using standardized and direction-corrected principal component analysis. land use transition matrix analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, ecological contribution rate calculation, and GeoDetector were further applied to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution patterns, ecological effects, and driving mechanisms of LULCC in Siziwang Banner from 2000 to 2024. The results showed that: (1) grassland was consistently the dominant land use type, accounting for more than 90% of the total area. The overall land use pattern was characterized by stable grassland dominance, decreasing farmland and unused land, and slight increases in grassland and construction land; forestland showed a high relative growth rate but remained very small in absolute area. (2) The regional ecological environmental quality remained at a lower-to-medium level, with mean RSEI values ranging from 0.27 to 0.47. RSEI showed a phased pattern of initial improvement, subsequent decline, and partial recovery; the marked decline around 2015 was associated with the combined effects of drought stress and land use degradation rather than a single driving factor. RSEI exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation, with Moran’s I values ranging from 0.898 to 0.993. High-value clusters were mainly distributed in the southern region, whereas low-value clusters were concentrated in the central and northern regions. (3) Different land use transitions produced differentiated ecological effects. The conversion of unused land to grassland contributed positively to ecological restoration, while grassland degradation and construction land expansion exerted negative effects. The positive RSEI response of some grassland-to-farmland transitions should be interpreted cautiously in relation to local irrigation and intensive farmland management. (4) GeoDetector results indicated that land use type and DEM were the dominant factors controlling the spatial differentiation of RSEI, with average q values of 0.7188 and 0.6178, respectively. The interaction between DEM and land use type showed the strongest explanatory power, indicating that ecological quality was jointly shaped by land use structure and natural background conditions. This study provides a scientific basis for grassland protection, unused-land restoration, farmland management, and spatially differentiated ecological restoration in Siziwang Banner and similar ecologically fragile arid and semi-arid grassland regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Land Cover and Ecological Change)
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33 pages, 16386 KB  
Article
Deep Learning-Based Classification of Aerial Imagery for Monitoring Climate Change Effects in the Maritime Alps
by Chiara Graziani, Francesca Matrone and Andrea Maria Lingua
Earth 2026, 7(3), 99; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030099 - 10 Jun 2026
Viewed by 589
Abstract
Mountain ecosystems are highly sensitive to climate change and require spatially explicit monitoring tools to support adaptive management. Within the framework of the Interreg-ALCOTRA “ACLIMO” project, this study investigates land cover dynamics in the Gesso Valley (Maritime Alps, Italy) over the period 2010–2021 [...] Read more.
Mountain ecosystems are highly sensitive to climate change and require spatially explicit monitoring tools to support adaptive management. Within the framework of the Interreg-ALCOTRA “ACLIMO” project, this study investigates land cover dynamics in the Gesso Valley (Maritime Alps, Italy) over the period 2010–2021 using deep learning–based classification of high-resolution aerial orthophotos integrated with climate data analysis. Multi-temporal RGB and NIR imagery (2010, 2018, 2021) was classified using convolutional neural networks (U-Net and MMSegmentation) in ArcGIS Pro, with CORINE Land Cover datasets used for training. The best-performing model, based on CLC + Backbone 2018, achieved an overall accuracy of 82%, increasing to 87% after fine-tuning. Change detection revealed a general shift towards increased vegetation cover, while climate analysis based on regional weather stations (1990–2021) identified a warming trend of +0.4 °C/decade and recent drier conditions. Logistic regression highlighted significant associations between land cover transitions and climate anomalies, with temperature positively influencing change probability (OR = 1.40). The study demonstrates the potential of operational GIS-integrated deep learning workflows for climate change monitoring in complex alpine environments under real-world data constraints. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers for AI and Big Data in Earth Science)
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22 pages, 4260 KB  
Article
Climate Variability-Induced Rainfall Trends in the Baitarani River Basin, India: A Spatio-Temporal and GIS-Based Assessment
by Sarthak Sahoo, Kshyana Prava Samal, Prabhash K. Mishra, Muthukrishnavellaisamy Kumarasamy, Aradhana Thakur, Dwarika Mohan Das and Dinagarapandi Pandi
Earth 2026, 7(3), 98; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030098 - 5 Jun 2026
Viewed by 610
Abstract
Understanding spatio-temporal rainfall variability is critical for water resource management, especially for climate-sensitive river basins. This study examines rainfall trends and variability in the Baitarani River Basin (eastern India) using high-resolution gridded data for 1979–2020. Rainfall trends were investigated using non-parametric Mann–Kendall test [...] Read more.
Understanding spatio-temporal rainfall variability is critical for water resource management, especially for climate-sensitive river basins. This study examines rainfall trends and variability in the Baitarani River Basin (eastern India) using high-resolution gridded data for 1979–2020. Rainfall trends were investigated using non-parametric Mann–Kendall test (MK test) and Sen’s slope estimator (SSE). The shift point was detected using multiple homogeneity tests [Pettitt test, Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT), and Buishand test], while rainfall variability was quantified using an entropy-based Marginal Disorder Index (MDI). The analyses were performed at annual and seasonal scales. MK Z-statistic indicates the increasing or decreasing nature of a series, whereas Sen’s β slope provides the rate of change in that particular series. The MK test and SSE were applied again to examine trends before and after the identified change point. Finally, maps illustrating spatial trends and percentage changes were produced using ArcGIS 10.6. Over the 42-year period, the MK test revealed significant increasing annual trends in both districts, Keonjhar (Z = +2.4, β = 0.7 mm/year), with a percentage change of around +21.8%, and Mayurbhunj (Z = +2.4, β = 0.7 mm/year), with a percentage change of around +19.2%. During 1979–2020 post-monsoon rainfall showed the highest increase (62–70%) while, post 2001, monsoon rainfall declined substantially (1.7–3.3 mm/year) across all districts, with Balasore showing the largest decrease (−3.3 mm/year). The earlier period (1979–2001) had stable monsoon rainfall but greater variability in retreating monsoon, especially in northern regions. Entropy-based variability analysis indicated the Bhadrak and Balasore districts as having maximum variability with an MDI value of 1.44 and 1.35, respectively, for monsoon and annual rainfall series. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating changing seasonal dynamics into water-resource planning and flood-risk management for the Baitarani River Basin in the context of climate change. Full article
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28 pages, 17576 KB  
Article
Assessment of Soil Loss by Water Erosion at a Large Basin Scale: A Case Study of the Cheliff Basin, Algeria
by Mohammed Achite, Pandurang Choudhari, Abderrezak Kamel Toubal, Priyanshu Nathawat, Nehal Elshaboury, Nikola M. Milentijević and Tommaso Caloiero
Earth 2026, 7(3), 89; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030089 - 30 May 2026
Viewed by 1028
Abstract
Water erosion is the main driver of soil loss in semi-arid mountainous regions, particularly in Algeria. Identifying the spatial distribution of erosion is a crucial first step, providing decision-makers with essential information to develop effective mitigation strategies. The main objective of this study [...] Read more.
Water erosion is the main driver of soil loss in semi-arid mountainous regions, particularly in Algeria. Identifying the spatial distribution of erosion is a crucial first step, providing decision-makers with essential information to develop effective mitigation strategies. The main objective of this study is to apply the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) to estimate soil loss and rank the sub-basins of the Wadi Cheliff Basin (43,750 km2). Different geographical and non-spatial data sets have been employed to develop different thematic layers of the RUSLE factors, such as rainfall erosivity factor (R), soil erodibility factor (K), topographic factor (LS), crop management factor (C), and support practice factor (P). The RUSLE empirical model indicated strong spatial variability of soil loss across the Wadi Cheliff Basin, with estimated values ranging from 0 to 50 t ha−1 yr−1 during October 2017–May 2018. Higher erosion rates (20–50 t ha−1 yr−1) were concentrated in the northern part of the basin near the Mediterranean coast, primarily due to high rainfall erosivity (800–977 MJ mm ha−1 h−1 yr−1) and steep slopes (LS up to 29.48). In contrast, the southern part of the basin exhibited lower soil loss (0–10 t ha−1 yr−1), associated with lower rainfall and gentler slopes. Areas affected by extreme erosion (>50 t ha−1 yr−1) were very limited, representing only 0.02% in October 2017 and 0.40% in May 2018. Maximum soil loss values (224.00 t ha−1 yr−1 in October 2017 and 204.10 t ha−1 yr−1 in May 2018) indicate that high-intensity erosion is limited to specific localized hotspots, rather than being broadly distributed across the basin. Information on soil erosion patterns at the sub-basin level can guide the planning of effective conservation practices. Such information is helpful for the implementation of erosion control practices and improving overall environmental management in the basin. Full article
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14 pages, 1696 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Estimation of Daily Reference Evapotranspiration in Vojvodina, Serbia
by Milica Stajić, Dejan Mirčetić, Atila Bezdan, Radovan Savić, Sanja Antić, Nikola Santrač, Andrea Salvai, Milena Lakićević and Boško Blagojević
Earth 2026, 7(3), 88; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030088 - 26 May 2026
Viewed by 937
Abstract
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is most commonly estimated using the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith (PM) equation. However, its application is often limited by the lack of required meteorological parameters. Due to their flexibility, ability to operate with limited input, and high accuracy in estimating [...] Read more.
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is most commonly estimated using the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith (PM) equation. However, its application is often limited by the lack of required meteorological parameters. Due to their flexibility, ability to operate with limited input, and high accuracy in estimating ET0, machine learning models have become increasingly relevant in scientific research, offering a practical alternative under limited data conditions. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were applied to estimate daily ET0 using meteorological data from the Novi Sad station in Vojvodina (Serbia). The dataset consisted of eight meteorological variables relevant to evapotranspiration processes. Analysis showed that some variables had a stronger influence on ET0 prediction than others. To evaluate their combined effect, a series of ANN models with different input combinations were developed and tested. The random forests, gradient boosting and k-nearest neighbors models were used as a benchmark, and model performance was evaluated using R2, NSE, RMSE, and MAE. The highest accuracy was achieved when all variables were included, providing the model with maximum information. The best performance was obtained using a two-hidden-layer architecture with 32 and 16 neurons, resulting in R2 = 0.97, NSE = 97.07%, RMSE = 0.23 mm/day, and MAE = 0.21 mm/day. The results showed that a limited number of input variables can be used to estimate ET0 with high accuracy, achieving an R2 value of 0.95 using only three input variables. Therefore, the findings of this study may contribute to more accurate and cost-effective irrigation scheduling and water balance estimation, providing practical benefits for agricultural water management and farmers in Serbia. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers for AI and Big Data in Earth Science)
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22 pages, 31225 KB  
Article
SAR-Based Flood Extent Mapping with a Lightweight Siamese U-Net and Differential Attention Mechanism
by Ahmet Kaçmaz and Ugur Alganci
Earth 2026, 7(3), 87; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030087 - 25 May 2026
Viewed by 875
Abstract
Floods are among the most catastrophic natural disasters globally, causing significant damage to both life and infrastructure. Consequently, immediate and accurate assessment of inundated areas is critical for effective emergency response. While optical remote sensing is typically used for flood assessment, it is [...] Read more.
Floods are among the most catastrophic natural disasters globally, causing significant damage to both life and infrastructure. Consequently, immediate and accurate assessment of inundated areas is critical for effective emergency response. While optical remote sensing is typically used for flood assessment, it is often ineffective during active flood events due to persistent cloud cover and precipitation. To address this, this research develops a deep learning method utilizing Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), which offers all-weather, 24 h imaging capabilities. Specifically, an attention-based differential Siamese U-Net was developed to detect temporal changes in bi-temporal SAR imagery (e.g., Sentinel-1) acquired before and after flood events. The method was evaluated on the S1GFloods dataset, comprising 5360 bi-temporal Sentinel-1 SAR image pairs across 46 flood incidents on six continents. Experimental results demonstrate a flood Intersection over Union (IoU) of 92.43%, an F1 score of 96.07%, and a recall of 97.64%. These metrics rank the proposed approach third overall among top-performing methods on this dataset. Notably, the high recall rate indicates the model is particularly beneficial for emergency response, as it minimizes the number of undetected flooded areas. Despite utilizing a CNN-based architecture that is less complex than Vision Transformer models, this method achieves results comparable to the state-of-the-art DAM-Net, with a performance difference of only 0.77%. Full article
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31 pages, 31068 KB  
Article
Estimating the Impact of Agricultural Land-Use–Land-Cover Change on Riverbank Stability and Critical Inland Navigation Areas of the Danube River
by Maxim Arseni, Valentina-Andreea Calmuc, Madalina Calmuc, Laureana Odajiu, Silvius Stanciu and Puiu Lucian Georgescu
Earth 2026, 7(3), 85; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030085 - 22 May 2026
Viewed by 1472
Abstract
Intensive agriculture, deforestation, and frequent land-use changes contribute to increased soil erosion and sediment transport from both arable and non-arable lands into minor river channels. These factors directly and indirectly influence riverbank erosion and, in turn, sediment transport in rivers. Evidence on anthropogenic [...] Read more.
Intensive agriculture, deforestation, and frequent land-use changes contribute to increased soil erosion and sediment transport from both arable and non-arable lands into minor river channels. These factors directly and indirectly influence riverbank erosion and, in turn, sediment transport in rivers. Evidence on anthropogenic land-use/land-cover (LU-LC) change impact remains limited in both quantitative and spatial terms within the Danube River Basin. The study area includes research results from 17 locations concerning satellite-derived LU-LC changes along the Romanian sector of the Danube River, as well as validation results with particular highlighting on the Corabia area, Romania. According to results derived from combining LU-LC products based on Copernicus satellite data (comparing the years 2000 and 2018) and validated in the field through UAV flights conducted in 2025, the conversion of riparian vegetation into cultivated or uncultivated land accelerates bank failure. This is particularly evident where agricultural areas are located in the immediate vicinity of riverbanks. Such bank failures can be attributed to a reduction in root cohesion and a decrease in soil–bank structural stability. As a consequence, sediment delivery to the river channel increases via overland flow. The workflow proposed in this study offers a transferable and adaptable solution for areas with similar characteristics for a multitemporal approach regarding the influence of agricultural lands especially on sediment transport and riverbank erosion. Full article
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41 pages, 17124 KB  
Article
Assessing Existing and Potential Future Vulnerability to Water Resources Changing Conditions Using Dynamic Composite Indices in Latin America
by Christos A. Karavitis, Constantina Vasilakou, Dimitrios E. Tsesmelis, Nikolaos A. Skondras, Panagiotis D. Oikonomou, Kleomenis Kalogeropoulos, Panagiotis A. Balabanis, Rodrigo Maia, Enrique Playán, Nery Zapata, Jorge Gironás, Luiz Gabriel Azevedo, Monica Porto, Manuel Vanegas, Santiago Maria Reyna, Dionysis Assimacopoulos, João Pedro Pêgo, Andreas Tsatsaris, Garyfalia Economou, Stavros Alexandris, Vassilia Fassouli, Constantinos Chatzithomas, Iordanis Moustakidis and Pantelis E. Barouchasadd Show full author list remove Hide full author list
Earth 2026, 7(3), 81; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030081 - 18 May 2026
Viewed by 1257
Abstract
Integrated water resources management uses decision-making and planning techniques in developing long-term strategies to ensure the sustainability of water resources and the resulting water security of future generations. Policy formulation through such integrated planning interlinks with indicators serving as an information channel to [...] Read more.
Integrated water resources management uses decision-making and planning techniques in developing long-term strategies to ensure the sustainability of water resources and the resulting water security of future generations. Policy formulation through such integrated planning interlinks with indicators serving as an information channel to decision-makers. The present effort aims to develop a specific methodology using technical, environmental, and social indicators, formulating composite indices to identify vulnerability to changing water conditions. Thus, a set of indices developed through a multiyear research effort in Latin America, namely Drought Vulnerability Index (DVI), Water Stress Vulnerability Index (WSTVI), Water Scarcity Vulnerability Index (WSCVI), and Water Changing Conditions Vulnerability Index (WCCVI). Time series analysis covered the years 1991–2020, whereas the reference period was 1961–2020. Climate and water resources information is mainly obtained from ERA5-Land reanalysis; social, economic, infrastructure, and institutional data derived from harmonized sources (COROADO Project-EU, FAO, The World Bank, WHO/UNICEF JMP). Statistical tests and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) identified the indicators included in the equations for each index. Expert knowledge played an important role in the development as data were collected according to known local specificities and global trends, as well as scientific criteria and methodological rigor regarding the proposed new indices. Finally, application of such a framework for spatially explicit analysis indicated higher levels of vulnerability to changing water conditions in the northern part of Mexico, the Andes, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Central America, and lower levels in Chile, Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina. This application demonstrates that the produced composite indices may be implemented with matching success all over Latin America and, therefore, in diversified natural, technical, environmental, social and economic conditions. Full article
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16 pages, 14175 KB  
Article
Possibilities of Implementing Solar Sludge Drying Facilities in Existing Wastewater Treatment Plants in the Canary Islands
by Emilio Megías and Manuel García-Román
Earth 2026, 7(3), 79; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030079 - 12 May 2026
Viewed by 968
Abstract
Following the completion of the installation and commissioning of a solar sludge drying system serving the largest wastewater treatment plant on the island of Tenerife, a study has been carried out on the possibilities of implementing this type of infrastructure in other important [...] Read more.
Following the completion of the installation and commissioning of a solar sludge drying system serving the largest wastewater treatment plant on the island of Tenerife, a study has been carried out on the possibilities of implementing this type of infrastructure in other important plants in the Canary Archipelago. To this end and given the favorable climatic conditions found in the Canary Islands for this type of facility, the availability of land and possible impacts on surrounding areas have been studied. There are potential implementations on the islands. Thanks to these facilities, the volume of sludge to be transported to disposal or reuse areas is drastically reduced. The major drawback of these systems is the significant amount of land required, which is not always available on densely populated islands with rugged terrain. Full article
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26 pages, 14224 KB  
Article
Impact of AIFS and GFS Initialization on WRF Operational Forecasts During High-Impact Storms in Spain (2025)
by Raúl Arasa Agudo, Matilde García-Valdecasas Ojeda, Miquel Picanyol Sadurní and Bernat Codina Sánchez
Earth 2026, 7(3), 77; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030077 - 9 May 2026
Viewed by 1305
Abstract
The Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS), recently released by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), represents a major shift in global weather prediction by replacing traditional physically based approaches with machine-learning methods. This study evaluates the impact of using AIFS as [...] Read more.
The Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS), recently released by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), represents a major shift in global weather prediction by replacing traditional physically based approaches with machine-learning methods. This study evaluates the impact of using AIFS as initial and lateral boundary conditions for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, in contrast to the well-established physically based GFS. The aim of this work is to analyze the sensitivity of these different modelling configurations during three high-impact storms that affected Spain in 2025 and the effects of replacing GFS for AIFS as lateral and boundary conditions for WRF over the accuracy of operational forecasts. The analysis focuses on maximum wind gusts, accumulated precipitation, and the generation of meteorological warnings. Results show that AIFS substantially underestimates wind gusts with mean bias values between −13 and −25 km/h, and its forecasts differ markedly from those of GFS. When coupled with WRF, however, both AIFS-WRF and GFS-WRF produce similar results, with a general tendency to overestimate gusts, with mean bias values between 4 and 15 km/h. In all cases, WRF adds value, improving the representation of wind-related variables compared with the raw global model outputs. For accumulated precipitation, both WRF configurations reproduce the main rainfall patterns associated with the storms. AIFS-WRF shows a stronger tendency to overestimate precipitation, with RMSE values of 64, 23, and 12 mm for the different high-impact storms considered, although it also achieves the highest correlations. Finally, the analysis of meteorological warnings indicates that AIFS alone generates almost no wind gusts alerts. Once coupled with WRF, both configurations generate warnings in the regions where the most severe conditions occurred. Overall, while the added value of mesoscale models such as WRF is well established and confirmed here, the AI-based AIFS does not show clear advantages in comparison with traditional global models for these high-impact events being analyzed. Full article
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25 pages, 11704 KB  
Article
Impact of Impervious Surface Expansion on Urban Thermal Environment Across Tropical Southeast Asian Megacities: Reliable Assessment Through Foundation Model Embeddings
by Sitthisak Moukomla, Phurith Meeprom and Kritchayan Intarat
Earth 2026, 7(3), 76; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030076 - 8 May 2026
Viewed by 1759
Abstract
Rapid urbanization in tropical Southeast Asia is transforming pervious land into impervious surfaces, intensifying the surface urban heat island (SUHI) effect and increasing the need for consistent urban thermal monitoring. This study assesses how impervious surface area (ISA) expansion relates to the urban [...] Read more.
Rapid urbanization in tropical Southeast Asia is transforming pervious land into impervious surfaces, intensifying the surface urban heat island (SUHI) effect and increasing the need for consistent urban thermal monitoring. This study assesses how impervious surface area (ISA) expansion relates to the urban thermal environment across five tropical megacities (Bangkok, Jakarta, Manila, Kuala Lumpur, and Ho Chi Minh City). AlphaEarth geospatial foundation model embeddings were used to reduce observation gaps caused by persistent cloud-cover, while MODIS land surface temperature (LST) was used to quantify the thermal response. We compared AlphaEarth classification against conventional Sentinel-2/NDVI approaches and an additional fairer annual Sentinel-2 full-band-plus-index Random Forest baseline, quantified ISA expansion for 2017–2024, and related ISA fraction to dry-season LST at 1 km resolution. Repeated random-holdout tests based on Google Earth Engine samples showed AlphaEarth mean IoU = 0.866 (95% CI: 0.857–0.875), compared with 0.758 (0.749–0.767) for the annual Sentinel-2 full-band-plus-index baseline and 0.686 (0.674–0.698) for the best single-date 5-index baseline. Spatial-block holdout tests gave similar but slightly lower values (AlphaEarth IoU = 0.859; annual Sentinel-2 baseline = 0.747; best single-date baseline = 0.673). Ho Chi Minh City experienced the fastest ISA expansion (+11.0 percentage points; slope = 1.48 pp yr−1, 95% CI: 1.06–1.91), whereas Bangkok reached the highest ISA fraction (65.1%). ISA fraction and LST were consistently and positively associated across cities and years (Pearson r = 0.748–0.900), and mean SUHI intensity during 2017–2024 ranged from 4.01 °C in Bangkok to 8.51 °C in Manila. These results indicate that foundation model embeddings can support cloud-resilient mapping of impervious surface change and thereby improve assessment of tropical urban thermal environments, while also highlighting the need for independent ground-truth validation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate-Sensitive Urban Design for Heatwave Mitigation)
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17 pages, 2135 KB  
Article
Evolution of DOM Composition and Hydrochemical Characteristics in Rivers of the Huaibei Plain: Gradient Effects from Agriculture to Urbanization
by Kangdong Wang, Songbao Feng and Hao Yu
Earth 2026, 7(3), 75; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030075 - 4 May 2026
Viewed by 531
Abstract
Rapid urbanization imposes significant pressure on riverine water environments, yet the evolution of hydrochemical characteristics and dissolved organic matter (DOM) in rivers across urbanization gradients within developing regions, such as the Huaibei Plain, remains inadequately understood. Thus, this study investigates the hydrochemical and [...] Read more.
Rapid urbanization imposes significant pressure on riverine water environments, yet the evolution of hydrochemical characteristics and dissolved organic matter (DOM) in rivers across urbanization gradients within developing regions, such as the Huaibei Plain, remains inadequately understood. Thus, this study investigates the hydrochemical and DOM characteristics of rivers across distinct urbanization gradients (suburban, peri-urban, and urban) in this area. Using an excitation–emission matrix coupled with a parallel factor analysis (EEM-PARAFAC) and hydrochemical analyses, we found that while rock weathering is the primary major ion source, human activities distinctly alter water profiles. Agriculturally dominated suburban rivers had significantly higher nitrate (NO3) concentrations than those in urban and peri-urban rivers. Their DOM was predominantly humic-like (C1, C3) with a high humification index (HIX), indicating a substantial input of soil-derived humic substances driven by runoff from the agricultural catchment. Conversely, urban and peri-urban rivers exhibited higher chloride (Cl) concentrations due to domestic sewage. Their DOM was dominated by protein-like components (C2 and C4, averaging 65–68%), with high biological indices (BIX) reflecting autochthonous origins. Correlation analysis confirmed these anthropogenic impacts: NO3 positively correlated with humic-like components and HIX, while Cl strongly correlated with protein-like components. These findings confirm that DOM components and spectral indices are effective tracers of anthropogenic disturbance and hold promise for monitoring and predicting water quality, thus providing a scientific basis for improved water resource management and restoration strategies. Full article
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34 pages, 14730 KB  
Article
Multiscale Drought Assessment in Kien Giang Province, Vietnam: Comparing MSPI and MSPEI for Monitoring in a Coastal Mekong Delta Setting
by Dang Thi Hong Ngoc, Ngo Thi Hieu, Tran Van Ty, Nguyen Anh Hung, Pankaj Kumar, Nigel K. Downes and Huynh Vuong Thu Minh
Earth 2026, 7(3), 71; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7030071 - 28 Apr 2026
Viewed by 788
Abstract
Drought is a recurrent hazard in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD), with major implications for agriculture, water resources, and rural livelihoods. This study assesses drought variability in Kien Giang Province, Vietnam, from 1992 to 2024 using two multiscale indicators: the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation [...] Read more.
Drought is a recurrent hazard in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD), with major implications for agriculture, water resources, and rural livelihoods. This study assesses drought variability in Kien Giang Province, Vietnam, from 1992 to 2024 using two multiscale indicators: the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Index (MSPI) and the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (MSPEI). Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)- and Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)-based time series spanning multiple accumulation periods (3–48 months) to derive integrated drought signals and to reduce redundancy across timescales. The results show that the first principal component (PC1) captured a high proportion of total variance across stations, indicating strong coherence in drought dynamics across the province. Both MSPI and MSPEI successfully identified major historical drought episodes, particularly the severe events of 2004–2005 and 2015–2016. However, the two indices differed in their temporal behaviour: MSPI responded more directly to precipitation deficits, whereas MSPEI showed slower post-drought recovery in recent years, suggesting greater sensitivity to evaporative demand and climatic water-balance stress. These differences indicate that evapotranspiration-sensitive indices may provide added analytical value in warming coastal environments. Overall, the combined multiscale framework offers a robust basis for drought monitoring, comparative assessment, and water-resource planning in Kien Giang and other drought-prone coastal delta settings. Full article
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25 pages, 11541 KB  
Review
Mapping Scientific Research on Microplastics in Wetland Ecosystems in South Asia and Southeast Asia: Bibliometric Insights on Remediation Technologies, Including Nanoremediation
by Thuruthiyil Bahuleyan Subhamgi, Brema Jayanarayanan, Jibu Thomas and Priya Krishnamoorthy Lakshmi Ammal
Earth 2026, 7(2), 69; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020069 - 21 Apr 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1341
Abstract
Microplastic (MP) contamination has become a widespread environmental concern in coastal and freshwater wetlands, ecosystems that play a crucial role in hydrological regulation, nutrient cycling, and biodiversity conservation. Despite their ecological importance, research on MPs in wetlands remains fragmented and comparatively underexplored. This [...] Read more.
Microplastic (MP) contamination has become a widespread environmental concern in coastal and freshwater wetlands, ecosystems that play a crucial role in hydrological regulation, nutrient cycling, and biodiversity conservation. Despite their ecological importance, research on MPs in wetlands remains fragmented and comparatively underexplored. This study presents a comprehensive bibliometric and visualization analysis of global research on MPs in coastal wetlands. A total of 17,523 publications were retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection (2002–2025) using predefined search strings and screening criteria. Analytical tools, including VOSviewer version 1.6.20, were employed to examine co-authorship networks, country contributions, and keyword co-occurrence patterns. The results indicate a significant increase in MP-related publications after 2016, with China, the United States, and India emerging as leading contributors. However, wetland-specific studies constitute only a small fraction compared to marine-focused MP research, highlighting a substantial research gap. Key research themes identified include MP sources, transport pathways, sediment–water interactions, and ecotoxicological impacts. Additionally, there is growing attention to remediation approaches, particularly those involving TiO2, ZnO, Fe3O4, and graphene derivatives, employing photocatalytic, magnetic, and adsorptive mechanisms. Overall, the findings underscore the limited focus on wetland ecosystems in MP research and emphasize the urgent need for integrated research efforts and management strategies to address MP contamination in these vulnerable ecosystems. Full article
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26 pages, 2187 KB  
Review
Environmental Drivers of Legume–Rhizobium Symbiosis Across the Five Mediterranean-Type Regions of the World
by María A. Pérez-Fernández, Irene Ariadna De Lara-Del Rey and Anathi Magadlela
Earth 2026, 7(2), 66; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020066 - 16 Apr 2026
Viewed by 2245
Abstract
Mediterranean-type ecosystems (METs) occur on five continents and represent some of the most climatically constrained yet biologically rich regions on Earth. In these environments, legumes and their nitrogen-fixing rhizobial symbionts—including widely distributed genera such as Rhizobium, Bradyrhizobium, and Ensifer—play a [...] Read more.
Mediterranean-type ecosystems (METs) occur on five continents and represent some of the most climatically constrained yet biologically rich regions on Earth. In these environments, legumes and their nitrogen-fixing rhizobial symbionts—including widely distributed genera such as Rhizobium, Bradyrhizobium, and Ensifer—play a pivotal role in sustaining plant productivity, nutrient cycling, and ecosystem resilience. This review synthesizes current knowledge on the environmental regulation of legume–Rhizobium symbiosis specifically within Mediterranean-type ecosystems, focusing on how nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) availability, light conditions, and carbon allocation trade-offs shape symbiotic performance across the five Mediterranean-type regions of the world (California, central Chile, the Cape Region of South Africa, southwestern Australia, and the Mediterranean Basin). By integrating physiological, ecological, and biogeochemical perspectives, we highlight how the shared features of these regions—strong seasonal drought, chronic nutrient limitation (particularly P in southwestern Australia and the Cape Region), recurrent fires, and exceptionally high plant diversity—constrain and, at the same time, favor the ecological success of symbiotic legumes. Throughout the review, we use case studies from key legume genera such as Lupinus in Chile and southwestern Australia, Virgilia and other Cape legumes in South Africa, Acacia in Australian kwongan and woodlands, and Medicago and Cytisus in the Mediterranean Basin and California to illustrate how general principles of legume–Rhizobium ecology manifest under Mediterranean-type climatic and edaphic constraints. Beyond summarizing established mechanisms, we critically examine the limitations of current metagenomic approaches, which often provide descriptive inventories of soil microbial communities without linking microbial composition to functional outcomes. We argue that advancing the field requires integrated, hypothesis-driven research that combines multi-omic tools with plant eco-physiology, soil nutrient dynamics, and temporal replication. Finally, we outline key priorities for future research, including the integration of functional ‘omics’, the study of microbiome interactions beyond rhizobia, the development of predictive models for Mediterranean-type ecosystems under climate change, and the application of symbiotic principles to restoration and agroecological management. By bridging molecular, physiological, and ecosystem perspectives, this review provides a conceptual framework for understanding and enhancing legume–Rhizobium symbiosis across five continents in a rapidly changing world. Full article
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28 pages, 16414 KB  
Article
Geomorphological Change and Water Quality Demonstrating Environmental Resilience in Mediterranean Watersheds Amidst Climatic and Socio-Economic Transformations: Evidence from Greece
by Konstantinos Tsimnadis, Konstantinos Merakos Vanias, Elena Kallikantzarou, Christos Karavitis and Panagiotis Trivellas
Earth 2026, 7(2), 64; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020064 - 13 Apr 2026
Viewed by 1634
Abstract
Mountainous Mediterranean rivers provide essential ecosystem services but are increasingly affected by land-use change, hydraulic works, and inadequate wastewater management. This study investigates the links between geomorphological transformation and river water quality in the Central Eurytania drainage basin (Greece) over the past two [...] Read more.
Mountainous Mediterranean rivers provide essential ecosystem services but are increasingly affected by land-use change, hydraulic works, and inadequate wastewater management. This study investigates the links between geomorphological transformation and river water quality in the Central Eurytania drainage basin (Greece) over the past two decades, within the institutional framework of European and Greek environmental legislation, with emphasis on the protection and restoration of aquatic ecosystems. Georeferenced satellite imagery from 2003/2010 and 2023, Google Earth Engine (GEE, Python Earth Engine API: 1.7.20)-based spatial analysis, high-resolution UAV orthomosaics, and seasonal spectrophotometric analyses were integrated to assess spatial and temporal dynamics. Results indicate that land-use changes, including the construction of solar parks, expansion of tourism infrastructure, and partial agricultural abandonment, reflect ongoing socio-economic shifts influencing fluvial processes. Water-quality analyses further showed that channel alteration and wastewater inputs jointly degrade ecological conditions. The findings highlight the need for integrated watershed management focused on riparian buffer restoration, improved wastewater control, and systematic monitoring of hydromorphological change. The proposed interdisciplinary framework contributes to the assessment of environmental resilience in Mediterranean mountainous watersheds, which are increasingly vulnerable to climatic and socio-economic pressures. Full article
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37 pages, 7413 KB  
Review
Beyond Soil Health: Soil Security Underpinning a National Framework for Sustainable Australian Agriculture
by Alex McBratney, Sandra Evangelista, Nicolas Francos, Anilkumar Hunakunti, Ho Jun Jang, Wartini Ng, Thomas O’Donoghue, Julio Cesar Pachón Maldonado, Minhyung Park, Amin Sharififar, Quentin Styc and Yijia Tang
Earth 2026, 7(2), 62; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020062 - 10 Apr 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1373
Abstract
The long-term sustainability of Australian agriculture is fundamentally constrained by the capacity, condition, availability, and governance of soil resources. Australian soils are among the oldest and most weathered globally, highly heterogeneous, and often slow or effectively irreversible to recover once degraded. Traditional approaches [...] Read more.
The long-term sustainability of Australian agriculture is fundamentally constrained by the capacity, condition, availability, and governance of soil resources. Australian soils are among the oldest and most weathered globally, highly heterogeneous, and often slow or effectively irreversible to recover once degraded. Traditional approaches centred on soil health, while valuable at paddock scale, are insufficient to address national-scale challenges related to spatial variability, data continuity, economic valuation, and policy integration. This paper examines soil security as a policy-relevant framework for supporting more sustainable Australian agriculture. Building on the dimensions of soil security (capacity, condition, capital, connectivity, and codification), we synthesise recent Australian case studies to show how soil security extends beyond soil health to integrate biophysical properties, digital soil infrastructure, socio-economic value, and governance mechanisms. Drawing on recent Australian case studies, this review identifies advances in digital soil mapping, national soil assessments, economic valuation of soil capital, stakeholder connectivity, and emerging policy frameworks, while also identifying persistent gaps in regulation, data standardisation, and institutional coordination. The paper argues that soil security can help operationalise 3-N agriculture—Net-Zero, Nature-Positive, and Nutrient-Balanced systems—by translating sustainability goals into spatially explicit, place-based decisions grounded in soil realities. By explicitly accounting for soil capacity limits, condition trajectories, capital value, information flows, and codified rules, soil security can support more realistic climate mitigation strategies, targeted nature-positive interventions, and durable nutrient security outcomes. We conclude that embedding soil security more explicitly within Australian agricultural research, policy, and governance would strengthen efforts to deliver productive, resilient, and socially legitimate food and fibre systems. Without soil security, sustainability frameworks may remain difficult to operationalise consistently; with soil security, they can be translated more effectively into measurable, place-based, and durable decisions. Full article
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27 pages, 22570 KB  
Article
Development of High-Resolution Agroclimatic Zoning Method to Determine Micro-Agroclimatic Zones in Greece
by Nikolaos-Fivos Galatoulas, Dimitrios E. Tsesmelis, Angeliki Kavga, Kleomenis Kalogeropoulos and Pantelis E. Barouchas
Earth 2026, 7(2), 61; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020061 - 9 Apr 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1117
Abstract
Climate variability and rising water scarcity are major challenges to agricultural sustainability, particularly in Mediterranean climates with high spatial heterogeneity. Agroclimatic zoning is a fundamental analytical tool for digital agriculture and climate-resilient agriculture. The current effort proposes an integrated agroclimatic and micro-agroclimatic zoning [...] Read more.
Climate variability and rising water scarcity are major challenges to agricultural sustainability, particularly in Mediterranean climates with high spatial heterogeneity. Agroclimatic zoning is a fundamental analytical tool for digital agriculture and climate-resilient agriculture. The current effort proposes an integrated agroclimatic and micro-agroclimatic zoning approach for Greece, based on the Aridity Index (AI), CORINE Land Cover 2018 land-use data, and topographic factors. Daily precipitation and reference evapotranspiration data from 139 meteorological stations and 382 rain gauges were spatially interpolated using Empirical Bayesian Kriging, identifying eight agroclimatic classes adapted to the country’s specific conditions. The results indicate a high degree of variability in space, with most agricultural areas being classified as dry to sub-humid, suggesting higher irrigation requirements and sensitivity to drought. Micro-agroclimatic zones have been identified by combining agroclimatic classes, land use, and elevation. Consequently, the derived zones can be used as groundwork for designing methodologies towards more efficient agrometeorological monitoring through the improved localization of IoT agrometeorological stations. Validation with the Köppen–Geiger climate classification reveals high spatial and statistical agreement (χ2 = 248,454.09, df = 49, p < 0.001), proving the climatic validity of the proposed approach and its higher sensitivity to local water balance conditions. Full article
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24 pages, 2237 KB  
Article
Binary Logistic Regression Outperforms Decision Tree Modeling for Event-Based Landslide Prediction: Application to Dynamic Hazard and Threshold Mapping in Central Italy
by Matteo Gentilucci, Hamed Younes, Rihab Hadji and Gilberto Pambianchi
Earth 2026, 7(2), 56; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020056 - 31 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 848
Abstract
The increasing frequency of disasters caused by landslides, mainly due to climate change leading to more intense extreme events, requires reliable predictive models for risk mitigation. Italy, in particular, is a country at high risk of landslides, but the lack of an updated [...] Read more.
The increasing frequency of disasters caused by landslides, mainly due to climate change leading to more intense extreme events, requires reliable predictive models for risk mitigation. Italy, in particular, is a country at high risk of landslides, but the lack of an updated catalogue of landslide activation dates poses a significant challenge for defining reliable activation thresholds. This study develops a methodology for mapping landslide susceptibility based on events in a pilot area of central Italy, integrating a database of landslides with known activation dates with predisposing and triggering parameters. Two statistical techniques were compared to assess their predictive performance in discriminating landslide from non-landslide conditions during extreme precipitation events. A comparison between binary logistic regression (BLR) and decision trees (QUEST) revealed the clear superiority of the BLR model, which achieved excellent predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.913). The model identified clay-rich lithology, gentle slopes (0–16°) and maximum daily precipitation as the most significant controlling factors. This result led to the generation of three derivative products: a susceptibility map, a hazard map for an extreme precipitation scenario with a 100-year return period, and a spatially distributed map of activation thresholds. This threshold map quantifies the intensity of precipitation required to exceed a critical probability of landslide initiation (p > 0.7) at any point in the territory. The susceptibility map highlights critical areas within the study area, while the hazard map also includes the return period of the event. The threshold map is a direct and operational tool for early warning systems, transforming a statistical model into a guide for real-time risk management. The study area serves as a pilot area that could allow this methodology to be replicated. With the integration of real-time meteorological data, it could function as a real-time warning system. The proposed framework therefore provides a directly actionable tool for civil protection agencies, land-use planning authorities, and emergency managers, enabling location-specific rainfall alert thresholds to be issued rather than a single regional value, with the potential to reduce both false alarms and missed warnings. Full article
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20 pages, 2393 KB  
Review
Remote Sensing Applications for Land-Use and Land-Cover Change Research in South African Landscapes: A Review
by Nzuzo Nxumalo, Ntombifuthi Precious Nzimande and Sifiso Xulu
Earth 2026, 7(2), 54; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020054 - 21 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2551
Abstract
In response to land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes in South Africa, which have varied effects on biodiversity, several studies have characterized LULC changes using remote sensing data due to its cost-effectiveness, repetitiveness, spatial coverage and flexibility. However, the geotemporal and methodological characteristics of [...] Read more.
In response to land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes in South Africa, which have varied effects on biodiversity, several studies have characterized LULC changes using remote sensing data due to its cost-effectiveness, repetitiveness, spatial coverage and flexibility. However, the geotemporal and methodological characteristics of these studies remain relatively unknown. In this regard, we review remote sensing-based studies conducted in South Africa using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). From the 343 articles retrieved from Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Scopus databases, 103 studies were eligible for analysis. The analysis showed that (a) various remote sensing datasets were increasingly and effectively used to characterize LULC in South Africa over the period 2001–2024, primarily Landsat data with integration of various advanced classification algorithms; (b) most studies were conducted in the eastern seaboard, particularly in the Maputaland–Pondoland–Albany hotspot and highveld to the north, and (c) much research dealt with issues pertaining to “pristine class” conversion to urban area and other human-induced activities, mainly in biodiversity-rich landscapes. Overall, LULC studies achieved consistently reliable accuracies, largely using publicly available geospatial datasets, thereby creating an accessible foundation for all researchers. LULC research is expected to increase as conservation efforts strengthen amid ongoing developments in South Africa. Full article
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20 pages, 9407 KB  
Systematic Review
A Systematic Review of River Discharge Measurement Methods: Evolution and Modern Applications in Water Management and Environmental Protection
by Oscar Abel González-Vergara, María Teresa Alarcón-Herrera, Ana Elizabeth Marín-Celestino, Armando Daniel Blanco-Jáquez, Joel García-Pazos, Samuel Villarreal-Rodríguez, Yolocuauhtli Salazar and Diego Armando Martínez-Cruz
Earth 2026, 7(2), 41; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020041 - 6 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1689
Abstract
Accurate river discharge estimation is fundamental for water resource management under increasingly variable hydrological conditions. While conventional in situ techniques remain hydrometric reference standards, their operational deployment is constrained by cost, accessibility, and limited spatial coverage. Advances in remote sensing and artificial intelligence [...] Read more.
Accurate river discharge estimation is fundamental for water resource management under increasingly variable hydrological conditions. While conventional in situ techniques remain hydrometric reference standards, their operational deployment is constrained by cost, accessibility, and limited spatial coverage. Advances in remote sensing and artificial intelligence (AI) have introduced non-contact discharge estimation frameworks based on image-derived observations. This systematic review, conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 reporting guidelines, examines the evolution of river discharge measurement methods between 2004 and 2024 through a structured two-stage design. An initial search in Web of Science and Scopus identified 2809 records, of which 249 were retained for first-stage synthesis. A focused second-stage screening isolated seven studies that directly integrate image-based data with machine learning or deep learning architectures for discharge estimation. The analysis reveals a methodological transition from instrument-based hydrometry toward computationally assisted, image-driven approaches. The retained studies employ close-range and satellite imagery combined with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTMs), and related models. Although reported validation metrics indicate strong predictive capability under specific conditions, performance remains dependent on site-specific calibration and reference discharge records. Broader operational deployment requires improved transferability, uncertainty integration, and cross-basin validation. Full article
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30 pages, 12858 KB  
Article
Tracking Mountain Degradation for the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Using the State of Colorado (USA) as an Example
by Arati Budhathoki, Christopher J. Post, Elena A. Mikhailova, Mark A. Schlautman, Hamdi A. Zurqani, Lili Lin, Zhenbang Hao and Nilesh Timilsina
Earth 2026, 7(2), 38; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020038 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1678
Abstract
Mountain ecosystems, strongly affected by climate-related variability and human impact, are degrading faster than other terrestrial ecosystems. Currently, the United Nations (UN) utilizes Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 15: Life on Land (Target 15.4 and Sub-indicators 15.4.2a and 15.4.2b), along with the System for [...] Read more.
Mountain ecosystems, strongly affected by climate-related variability and human impact, are degrading faster than other terrestrial ecosystems. Currently, the United Nations (UN) utilizes Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 15: Life on Land (Target 15.4 and Sub-indicators 15.4.2a and 15.4.2b), along with the System for Earth Observation Data Access, Processing and Analysis for Land Monitoring, commonly referred to as SEPAL, to track mountain degradation. This SEPAL analysis does not include soil data, which is critical to understanding mountain degradation. The present research focuses on improving the tracking and evaluation of mountain land degradation (LD) utilizing soil data in the state of Colorado (CO) in the United States of America (USA) as an example. Total anthropogenic LD affects an estimated 19% of Colorado’s territory as of 2024, driven mainly by agricultural activities (80%). Between 2001 and 2024, overall LD in CO decreased (−0.4%), but LD from development increased by 23.3%. For mountain areas in CO, the mountain green cover index (MGCI) was 96% for 2024, and it decreased (−0.4%) between 2001 and 2024. The mountain LD proportion was 2.5% as determined by the SEPAL method compared to 4.4% by LULC analysis. Incorporation of soil data into LULC analysis found that between 2001 and 2024 LD increased to 6.6%. All soil types in the mountains exhibited anthropogenic LD due to development with a total developed area of 1385.1 km2. Current total mountain LD (inherent + anthropogenic) in CO may be as high as 38.9%. Future estimates of total mountain LD should include both inherent and anthropogenic LD. Full article
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19 pages, 8300 KB  
Article
Multi-Source Integration for Assessing Air Quality Dynamics in China: The Interplay of Anthropogenic Drivers, Meteorology, and Topography
by Hossam Aldeen Anwer and Yunfeng Hu
Earth 2026, 7(2), 37; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7020037 - 1 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 749
Abstract
Air pollution remains a major public health and environmental challenge in China, driven by complex non-linear interactions among anthropogenic activities, meteorological conditions, and topographic features that go beyond simple linear relationships. This study presents a comprehensive spatio-temporal assessment of key air pollutants (CO, [...] Read more.
Air pollution remains a major public health and environmental challenge in China, driven by complex non-linear interactions among anthropogenic activities, meteorological conditions, and topographic features that go beyond simple linear relationships. This study presents a comprehensive spatio-temporal assessment of key air pollutants (CO, NO2, SO2, and PM2.5) and their relationships with Total Column Ozone (TCO) across China’s provinces from 2019 to 2023. Multi-source high-resolution satellite data from Sentinel-5P/TROPOMI, the China High PM2.5 dataset, MODIS, and ERA5-Land reanalysis were integrated. A tiered analytical framework was applied, combining linear Pearson correlations, non-linear Spearman rank correlations, and interpretable XGBoost machine learning with SHAP values. Results reveal a distinct seasonal “seesaw” pattern, with primary pollutants peaking during winter stagnation and TCO reaching maximum levels in late winter and spring. Non-linear analyses uncover critical threshold effects, including exponential increases in PM2.5 and SO2 when surface temperatures drop below 0 °C, very strong SO2-TCO coupling (ρ = 0.93), and significant pollutant trapping in low-elevation regions (CO-elevation ρ = −0.82). These findings support the development of precision environmental policies with dynamic, temperature-threshold-based emission controls and topography-specific strategies to effectively mitigate air pollution in China. Full article
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24 pages, 8252 KB  
Article
Characterization of Fluid Flow and Heat Transfer Patterns in the Seulawah Agam Volcanic Geothermal System Using Integrated Geophysical and Geochemical Data
by Dian Budi Dharma, Rinaldi Idroes, Umar Muksin, Syamsul Rizal, Arifullah Arifullah and Lilik Eko Widodo
Earth 2026, 7(1), 30; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010030 - 16 Feb 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1373
Abstract
The Seulawah Agam volcano, located in Aceh, hosts one of Indonesia’s largest unexploited geothermal resources that is included in the Indonesian Green Energy Program. Previous studies of the Seulawah geothermal system (SGS) have used partial data and methods without developing a comprehensive conceptual [...] Read more.
The Seulawah Agam volcano, located in Aceh, hosts one of Indonesia’s largest unexploited geothermal resources that is included in the Indonesian Green Energy Program. Previous studies of the Seulawah geothermal system (SGS) have used partial data and methods without developing a comprehensive conceptual model of the reservoir and its fluid flow and heat transfer patterns. This study aims to characterize the groundwater flow and heat transfer patterns of the SGS through numerical modeling based on integrated geological, geophysical, and geochemical data. Numerical modeling was conducted along two representative transects: Ie Seum, Ie Jue, and Kawah van Heutsz manifestations. MODFLOW 6 was used to model groundwater flow and heat transfer using a new conceptual model derived from magnetotelluric data, chemical composition and physical properties of the fluid, isotopic data, and mineragraphic data. The low resistivity anomalies are closely related to fluid discharges beneath the Ie Seum and Ie Jue areas. The depth of the Ie Seum reservoir is around 1.0–2.5 km, with estimated temperatures of 120–242 °C, while the depth of the Ie Jue and Kawah van Heutsz reservoirs is between 0.8 and 2.5 km, with estimated temperatures of 150–316 °C. The modeling suggests that the Ie Seum and the Ie Jue–Kawah van Heutsz systems represent regional groundwater and intermediate-local flow regimes, respectively. It is suggested that drilling be conducted around the local Ie Jue hydrothermal system, which is more economical given the shallower reservoir and higher temperature. Full article
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27 pages, 4345 KB  
Review
Global Carbon Sequestration and the Roles of Tropical Forests and Crops: Prospects for Using Innovative Carbon Trading Approaches to Address the Climate Emergency
by Denis J. Murphy and Shana Yong
Earth 2026, 7(1), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010022 - 5 Feb 2026
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3178
Abstract
The global carbon cycle has become increasingly unbalanced over the past century as anthropogenic fluxes into the atmosphere far exceed the sequestration capacity of land and ocean systems. Data from 2025 show estimated annual anthropogenic emissions of ≈11.2 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), while [...] Read more.
The global carbon cycle has become increasingly unbalanced over the past century as anthropogenic fluxes into the atmosphere far exceed the sequestration capacity of land and ocean systems. Data from 2025 show estimated annual anthropogenic emissions of ≈11.2 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), while only ≈5.6 GtC are sequestered by land and ocean sinks mainly provided by photosynthetic CO2 fixation. The resulting surplus of carbon emissions has led to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations above pre-industrial values to ≈430 ppm, which is a major driver of increasingly erratic climatic phenomena. Recent data indicate that fossil fuel use will continue rising up to and beyond 2050, largely negating the drive to cut CO2 emissions as recommended by the IPCC and other reputable transnational bodies. Hence, there is an urgent need to reduce atmospheric CO2 levels via carbon sequestration. This review focuses on the proven capacity of biological mechanisms to sequester CO2 at a global scale with an annual capacity in the range of gigatonnes of carbon. New measures such as re- and a-forestation, plus improved and more sustainable management of tropical tree crops, can further increase the carbon sequestration potential of these plants. By implementing these and other nature-based solutions, the highly productive tropical vegetation belt could contribute an additional 1–2 Gt of carbon sequestration via natural forests and perennial tree crops. In order to expedite this process, we examine the use of new modalities of transparent carbon trading systems that include selected tropical crops. As highlighted at COP30 in Brazil and elsewhere, this would enable tropical countries to derive benefit for costs incurred in land management changes such as reforestation, regenerative farming, and intercropping to benefit smallholders and other rural communities. In particular, carbon finance is emerging as a critical driver, with appropriately regulated and transparent carbon credit schemes offering fungible monetary compensation for climate-positive land management. Full article
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32 pages, 10921 KB  
Article
Initial Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Aridity Dynamics in North Macedonia (1991–2020)
by Bojana Aleksova, Nikola Milentijević, Uroš Durlević, Stevan Savić and Ivica Milevski
Earth 2026, 7(1), 20; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010020 - 4 Feb 2026
Viewed by 3129
Abstract
Aridity represents a fundamental climatic constraint governing water resources, ecosystem functioning, and agricultural systems in transitional climate zones. This study examines the spatial organization and temporal variability of aridity and thermal continentality in North Macedonia using observational records from 13 meteorological stations distributed [...] Read more.
Aridity represents a fundamental climatic constraint governing water resources, ecosystem functioning, and agricultural systems in transitional climate zones. This study examines the spatial organization and temporal variability of aridity and thermal continentality in North Macedonia using observational records from 13 meteorological stations distributed across contrasting altitudinal and physiographic settings. The analysis is based on homogenized monthly and annual air temperature and precipitation series covering the period 1991–2020. Aridity and continentality were quantified using the Johansson Continentality Index (JCI), the De Martonne Aridity Index (IDM), and the Pinna Combinative Index (IP). Temporal consistency and trend behavior were evaluated using Pettitt’s nonparametric change-point test, linear regression, the Mann–Kendall test, and Sen’s slope estimator. Links between aridity variability and large-scale atmospheric circulation were examined using correlations with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). The results show a spatially consistent and statistically significant increase in mean annual air temperature, with a common change point around 2006, while precipitation displays strong spatial variability and limited temporal coherence. Aridity patterns display a strong altitudinal control, with extremely humid to very humid conditions prevailing in mountainous western regions and semi-humid to semi-dry conditions dominating lowland and southeastern areas, particularly during summer. Trend analyses do not reveal statistically significant long-term changes in aridity or continentality over the study period, although low-elevation stations exhibit weak drying tendencies. A moderate positive association between IDM and IP (r = 0.66) confirms internal consistency among aridity indices, while summer aridity shows a statistically significant relationship with the NAO. These results provide a robust climatic reference for North Macedonia, establishing a first climatological baseline of aridity conditions based on multiple indices applied to homogenized observations, and contributing to regional assessments of hydroclimatic variability relevant to climate adaptation planning. Full article
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26 pages, 6479 KB  
Article
Smart Solutions for Mitigating Eutrophication in the Romanian Black Sea Coastal Waters Through an Integrated Approach Using Random Forest, Remote Sensing, and System Dynamics
by Luminita Lazar, Elena Ristea and Elena Bisinicu
Earth 2026, 7(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010013 - 23 Jan 2026
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1587
Abstract
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines [...] Read more.
Eutrophication remains a persistent challenge in the Romanian Black Sea coastal zone, driven by excess nutrient inputs from riverine and coastal sources and further intensified by climate change. This study assesses eutrophication dynamics and explores mitigation options using an integrated framework that combines in situ observations, satellite-derived chlorophyll a data, machine learning, and system dynamics modelling. Water samples collected during two field campaigns (2023–2024) were analyzed for nutrient concentrations and linked with chlorophyll a products from the Copernicus Marine Service. Random Forest analysis identified dissolved inorganic nitrogen, phosphate, salinity, and temperature as the most influential predictors of chlorophyll a distribution. A system dynamics model was subsequently used to explore relative ecosystem responses under multiple management scenarios, including nutrient reduction, enhanced zooplankton grazing, and combined interventions. Scenario-based simulations indicate that nutrient reduction alone produces a moderate decrease in chlorophyll a (45% relative to baseline conditions), while restoration of grazing pressure yields a comparable response. The strongest reduction is achieved under the combined scenario, which integrates nutrient reduction with biological control and lowers normalized chlorophyll a levels by approximately two thirds (71%) relative to baseline. In contrast, a bloom-favourable scenario results in a several-fold increase in chlorophyll a of 160%. Spatial analysis highlights persistent eutrophication hotspots near the Danube mouths and urban discharge areas. These results demonstrate that integrated strategies combining nutrient source control with ecological restoration are substantially more effective than single-measure interventions. The proposed framework provides a scenario-based decision-support tool for ecosystem-based management and supports progress toward achieving Good Environmental Status under the Marine Strategy Framework Directive. Full article
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26 pages, 1891 KB  
Article
Effect of Climatic Aridity on Above-Ground Biomass, Modulated by Forest Fragmentation and Biodiversity in Ghana
by Elisha Njomaba, Ben Emunah Aikins and Peter Surový
Earth 2026, 7(1), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010007 - 7 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1040
Abstract
Forests play a vital role in the global carbon cycle but face growing anthropogenic pressures, with climate change and forest fragmentation among the most critical. In West Africa, particularly in Ghana, the interaction between increasing aridity and forest fragmentation remains underexplored, despite its [...] Read more.
Forests play a vital role in the global carbon cycle but face growing anthropogenic pressures, with climate change and forest fragmentation among the most critical. In West Africa, particularly in Ghana, the interaction between increasing aridity and forest fragmentation remains underexplored, despite its significance for forest biomass dynamics and carbon storage processes. This study examined how spatial variation in climatic aridity (Aridity Index, AI) affects above-ground biomass (AGB) in Ghana’s ecological zones, both directly and indirectly through forest fragmentation and biodiversity, using structural equation modeling (SEM) and generalized additive models (GAMs). Results from this study show that AGB declines along the aridity gradient, with humid zones supporting the highest biomass and semi-arid zones the lowest. The SEM analysis revealed that areas with a lower aridity index (drier conditions) had significantly lower AGB, indicating that arid conditions are associated with lower forest biomass. Fragmentation patterns align with this relationship, while biodiversity (as measured by species richness) showed weak associations, likely reflecting both ecological and data limitations. GAMs highlighted nonlinear fragmentation effects: mean patch area (AREA_MN) was the strongest predictor, showing a unimodal relationship with biomass, whereas number of patches (NP), edge density (ED), and landscape shape index (LSI) reduced AGB. Overall, these findings demonstrate that aridity and spatial configuration jointly control biomass, with fragmentation acting as a key mediator of this relationship. Dry and transitional forests emerge as particularly vulnerable, emphasizing the need for management strategies that maintain large, connected forest patches and integrate restoration into climate adaptation policies. Full article
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17 pages, 2223 KB  
Article
Physicochemical Properties and Diatom Diversity in the Sediments of Lake Batur: Insights from a Volcanic Alkaline Ecosystem
by Ulvienin Harlianti, Silvia Jannatul Fajar, Satria Bijaksana, Irwan Iskandar, Rachmat Fajar Lubis, Rey Donne S. Papa, Putu Billy Suryanata and Ni Komang Tri Suandayani
Earth 2026, 7(1), 5; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth7010005 - 3 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1212
Abstract
Lake Batur, located within a volcanic caldera in Bali, Indonesia, is subjected to anthropogenic pressures related to agriculture, aquaculture, tourism, and religious activities, which may affect its water quality and ecology condition. This study investigates the physicochemical properties of lake water and diatom [...] Read more.
Lake Batur, located within a volcanic caldera in Bali, Indonesia, is subjected to anthropogenic pressures related to agriculture, aquaculture, tourism, and religious activities, which may affect its water quality and ecology condition. This study investigates the physicochemical properties of lake water and diatom assemblages preserved in lake sediments to provide insight into environmental conditions in this volcanic alkaline ecosystem. Water quality parameters, including pH, temperature, electrical conductivity (EC), and total dissolved solids (TDS), were measured. Vertical profiles of temperature and conductivity revealed stable stratification, with minimal variation below 20 m water depth. Elevated nitrogen concentrations, including nitrate (NO3), nitrite (NO2), and ammonium (NH4+), were observed, particularly in the southern basin, suggesting localized nutrient enrichment. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) analysis of lake sediment samples identified ten diatom genera, including Ulnaria, Denticula, and Discostella, which are commonly associated with nutrient-enriched freshwater environments. Overall, the results indicate that Lake Batur exhibits conditions consistent with early-stage eutrophication in localized areas, highlighting the importance of continuous monitoring and targeted management strategies to protect the ecological integrity of this volcanic lake system. Full article
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24 pages, 4253 KB  
Article
Spatial and Temporal Changes in Suspended Sediment Load and Their Contributing Factors in the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River
by Suiji Wang
Earth 2025, 6(4), 152; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040152 - 4 Dec 2025
Viewed by 970
Abstract
In recent decades, the suspended sediment load (SSL) of many rivers around the world has shown a significant decreasing trend, which is particularly prominent in large river basins such as the Yangtze River and the Yellow River. One of the key challenges currently [...] Read more.
In recent decades, the suspended sediment load (SSL) of many rivers around the world has shown a significant decreasing trend, which is particularly prominent in large river basins such as the Yangtze River and the Yellow River. One of the key challenges currently faced is how to quantitatively determine the relative influence of the dominant factors on the basis of systematically assessing the changing trend of SSL. This study takes the upper reaches of the Yangtze River as the research object. Based on the observation data from representative hydrological stations during 1966–2024, it systematically analyzes the interannual variation trend of SSL in different sections of the study river reach, identifies several mutation points, and divides the SSL change process into a baseline period, change period I, and change period II. Using the SCRCQ (slope change ratio of cumulative quantity) method, the study finds that the contribution ratio of human activities to the reduction of SSL in different sections of the study river reach ranges from 87.5% to 111.9%, the contribution ratio of precipitation change ranges from −14.3% to 12.4%, and the contribution ratio of evapotranspiration change ranges from −0.1% to 0.6%. For the entire upper Yangtze River basin, the contribution ratios of human activities to the reduction of SSL during change period I and change period II are 87.5% and 95.1%, respectively, while those of climate change are 12.4% and 4.9%, respectively. Human activities play an absolutely dominant role in the reduction of SSL in the upper Yangtze River. The results of this study can provide guidance for the scientific management of river reaches with concentrated large-scale reservoirs in the upper Yangtze River and also offer references for the formulation of management measures for similar rivers worldwide. Full article
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16 pages, 1298 KB  
Article
Assessment of Stone Wall Soil Conservation Techniques for Mitigating Rainfall-Induced Erosion in Sloping Areas of an Arid Region
by Mamoun A. Gharaibeh, Hafsa Al-Zubi, Nabil Eltaif and Nikolaos Monokrousos
Earth 2025, 6(4), 150; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040150 - 28 Nov 2025
Viewed by 1405
Abstract
Water erosion is a major driver of soil degradation in arid and semi-arid regions, where the lack of vegetative cover and intense rainfall accelerate erosion processes. Field experiments were conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of stone walls (SW) as a soil conservation practice [...] Read more.
Water erosion is a major driver of soil degradation in arid and semi-arid regions, where the lack of vegetative cover and intense rainfall accelerate erosion processes. Field experiments were conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of stone walls (SW) as a soil conservation practice in reducing soil erosion using the universal soil loss equation. Furthermore, the support practice factor (P) was estimated via integrating computational measurements of changes in A horizon thickness with slope profiles. Six sites with varying slope gradients (8%, 10%, 15%, and 25%) implementing SW were compared to neighboring sites lacking this practice in the northeastern parts of Jordan. SW reduced average annual soil loss by 83%, lowering the average annual erosion rate from 58 t.ha−1.yr−1 (severe risk) to 10 t.ha−1.yr−1 (slight risk). The implementation of SW stabilized the thickness of the A horizon and organic matter contents across different slope gradients. In contrast, the absence of SW led to greater soil displacement and accumulation of organic matter at the lower slopes, indicating higher erosion risks. The average estimated P factor was 0.35. These findings underscore the effectiveness of conservation practices in controlling soil erosion, enhancing soil quality, and promoting sustainable land use in arid and semi-arid environments. Wider adoption of such measures can significantly contribute to combating soil degradation and improving agricultural productivity in similar regions worldwide. Full article
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19 pages, 1758 KB  
Article
Analysis and Characterization of the Behavior of Air Pollutants and Their Relationship with Climate Variability in the Main Industrial Zones of Hidalgo State, México
by Fernando Salas-Martínez, Aldo Márquez-Grajales, José Belisario Leyva-Morales, César Camacho-López, Claudia Romo-Gómez, Otilio Arturo Acevedo-Sandoval and César Abelardo González-Ramírez
Earth 2025, 6(4), 144; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040144 - 6 Nov 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 3847
Abstract
The concentration of air pollutants could be affected by climate change in industrial park zones in Hidalgo state, Mexico (IPHSs). The goals of this work were: (a) to describe the aerosols’ behavior (PM10 and PM2.5) and air pollutants (SO2 [...] Read more.
The concentration of air pollutants could be affected by climate change in industrial park zones in Hidalgo state, Mexico (IPHSs). The goals of this work were: (a) to describe the aerosols’ behavior (PM10 and PM2.5) and air pollutants (SO2, NO2, O3, and CO) in the IPHSs and (b) determine the climate variable behavior regarding the presence in IPHSs. The methodology consisted of structuring the time series of climate variables and air pollutants in six analysis regions. Afterwards, an annual average calculation, a count of days exceeding the allowed limits set by the official Mexican norms, an analysis of annual behavior by season, the Sen slope calculation, and correlation among variables were performed. Results demonstrated that Zone 2 is the most polluted, exceeding the allowed limits in the annual average (PM10 > 36 μg/m3, PM2.5 > 10 μg/m3, and NO2 > 0.021 ppm) and having more than 1000, 96, and 11 days where the daily limit was exceeded in PM10, PM2.5, and SO2, respectively. The minimum concentrations of the pollutants were observed during the summer–autumn seasons, coinciding with the highest precipitation. Regarding the correlations, the pollutants are negatively and statistically significantly correlated with precipitation (ranging from −0.81 to −0.43); meanwhile, the maximum temperature (ranging from +0.41 to +0.51) and evaporation (ranging from +0.39 to +0.54) are positively and statistically significantly correlated. In conclusion, the results could suggest that the presence of pollutants in the atmosphere may be influenced by the behavior of nearby regional climatic conditions in the IPHSs. Full article
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22 pages, 4905 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Surface Temperature Changes Before and After Ecological Restoration of Mines in the Plateau Alpine Permafrost Regions Based on Landsat Images
by Lei Chen, Linxue Ju, Junxing Liu, Sen Jiao, Yi Zhang, Xianyang Yin and Caiya Yue
Earth 2025, 6(4), 141; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040141 - 6 Nov 2025
Viewed by 880
Abstract
Land surface temperature (LST) is a key indicator reflecting the ecological environmental disturbance caused by open-pit coal mining activities and determining the ecological status in alpine permafrost regions. Thus, it is crucial to study the spatiotemporal variations and influencing mechanisms of LST throughout [...] Read more.
Land surface temperature (LST) is a key indicator reflecting the ecological environmental disturbance caused by open-pit coal mining activities and determining the ecological status in alpine permafrost regions. Thus, it is crucial to study the spatiotemporal variations and influencing mechanisms of LST throughout all stages of small-scale mining–large-scale land surface damage–ecological restoration. Landsat imagery over nine periods was extracted from the growing seasons between 1990 and 2024. This study retrieved LST while simultaneously calculating albedo, soil moisture, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for each time phase. By integrating land use/cover (LUCC) data, the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of LST in the mining area throughout all stages were revealed. Based on the Geodetector method, an identification approach for factors influencing LST spatial differentiation was established. This approach was applicable to the entire process characterized by significant land type transitions. The results indicate that the spatiotemporal variations in LST were significantly correlated with land surface damage and restoration caused by human activities in the mining area. With the implementation of ecological restoration, high and ultra-high temperatures decreased by about 25.98% compared to the period when the surface damage was the most severe. The main influencing factors of LST differentiation were identified for different land use types, i.e., natural and restored meadows (soil wetness, albedo, and NDVI), mine pits (albedo, aspect, and elevation), and mining waste dumps (aspect and albedo before restoration; aspect and NDVI after restoration). This study can provide a reference for monitoring the ecological environment changes and ecological restoration of global coalfields with the same climatic characteristics. Full article
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64 pages, 8275 KB  
Article
Atmospheric Processes over the Broader Mediterranean Region 1980–2024: Effect of Volcanoes, Solar Activity, NAO, and ENSO
by Harry D. Kambezidis
Earth 2025, 6(4), 138; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040138 - 1 Nov 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2742
Abstract
The Mediterranean region is regarded as a hot spot on Earth because of its placement at the junction of many aerosols. Numerous studies have demonstrated that the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is closely related to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, influences [...] Read more.
The Mediterranean region is regarded as a hot spot on Earth because of its placement at the junction of many aerosols. Numerous studies have demonstrated that the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which is closely related to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, influences the weather in the area. However, a recent study by the same author examined the ENSO effect on atmospheric processes in this area and discovered a slight but notable influence. This study builds on that earlier work, but it divides the Mediterranean region into four smaller regions during the same time span as the previous study, which is extended by two years, from 1980 to 2024. The division is based on geographical, climatological, and atmospheric process features. The findings demonstrate that volcanic eruptions significantly affect the total amount of aerosols. Additionally, the current study reveals that the Granger-causality test of the physical phenomena of solar activity, ENSO, and NAO indicates that all have a significant impact, either separately or in combination, on the atmospheric process over the four Mediterranean regions, and this effect can last up to six months. Moreover, a taxonomy of the different forms of aerosols across the four subregions is given. Full article
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14 pages, 4613 KB  
Article
Exploring Trends in Earth’s Precipitation Using Satellite-Gauge Estimates from NASA’s GPM-IMERG
by José J. Hernández Ayala and Maxwell Palance
Earth 2025, 6(4), 130; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040130 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 3262
Abstract
Understanding global precipitation trends is critical for managing water resources, anticipating extreme events, and assessing the impacts of climate change. This study analyzes spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation from 1998 to 2024 using NASA’s Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals [...] Read more.
Understanding global precipitation trends is critical for managing water resources, anticipating extreme events, and assessing the impacts of climate change. This study analyzes spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation from 1998 to 2024 using NASA’s Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for (IMERG) Version 7, which merges satellite observations with rain-gauge data at 0.1° resolution. A total of 324 monthly datasets were aggregated into annual and seasonal composites to evaluate annual and seasonal trends in global precipitation. The non-parametric Mann–Kendall test was applied at the pixel scale to detect statistically significant monotonic trends, and Sen’s slope estimator method was used to quantify the magnitude of change in mean annual and seasonal global precipitation. Results reveal robust and geographically consistent patterns: significant wetting trends are evident in high-latitude regions, with the Arctic and Southern Oceans showing the strongest increases across multiple seasons, including +0.04 mm/day in December–January–February for the Arctic Ocean and +0.04 mm/day in June–July–August for the Southern Ocean. Northern China also demonstrates persistent increases, aligned with recent intensification of extreme late-season precipitation. In contrast, significant drying trends are detected in the tropical East Pacific (up to −0.02 mm/day), northern South America, and some areas in central-southern Africa, highlighting regions at risk of sustained hydroclimatic stress. The North Atlantic south of Greenland emerges as a summer drying hotspot, consistent with Greenland Ice Sheet melt enhancing stratification and reducing precipitation. Collectively, the findings underscore a dual pattern of wetting at high latitudes and drying in tropical belts, emphasizing the role of polar amplification, ocean–atmosphere interactions, and climate variability in shaping Earth’s precipitation dynamics. Full article
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28 pages, 1421 KB  
Article
Climate, Crops, and Communities: Modeling the Environmental Stressors Driving Food Supply Chain Insecurity
by Manu Sharma, Sudhanshu Joshi, Priyanka Gupta and Tanuja Joshi
Earth 2025, 6(4), 121; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040121 - 9 Oct 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2195
Abstract
As climate variability intensifies, its impacts are increasingly visible through disrupted agricultural systems and rising food insecurity, especially in climate-sensitive regions. This study explores the complex relationships between environmental stressors, such as rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, and soil degradation, with food insecurity outcomes [...] Read more.
As climate variability intensifies, its impacts are increasingly visible through disrupted agricultural systems and rising food insecurity, especially in climate-sensitive regions. This study explores the complex relationships between environmental stressors, such as rising temperatures, erratic rainfall, and soil degradation, with food insecurity outcomes in selected districts of Uttarakhand, India. Using the Fuzzy DEMATEL method, this study analyzes 19 stressors affecting the food supply chain and identifies the nine most influential factors. An Environmental Stressor Index (ESI) is constructed, integrating climatic, hydrological, and land-use dimensions. The ESI is applied to three districts—Rudraprayag, Udham Singh Nagar, and Almora—to assess their vulnerability. The results suggest that Rudraprayag faces high exposure to climate extremes (heatwaves, floods, and droughts) but benefits from a relatively stronger infrastructure. Udham Singh Nagar exhibits the highest overall vulnerability, driven by water stress, air pollution, and salinity, whereas Almora remains relatively less exposed, apart from moderate drought and connectivity stress. Simulations based on RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios indicate increasing stress across all regions, with Udham Singh Nagar consistently identified as the most vulnerable. Rudraprayag experiences increased stress under the RCP 8.5 scenario, while Almora is the least vulnerable, though still at risk from drought and pest outbreaks. By incorporating crop yield models into the ESI framework, this study advances a systems-level tool for assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change. This research holds global relevance, as food supply chains in climate-sensitive regions such as Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America face similar compound stressors. Its novelty lies in integrating a Fuzzy DEMATEL-based Environmental Stressor Index with crop yield modeling. The findings highlight the urgent need for climate-informed food system planning and policies that integrate environmental and social vulnerabilities. Full article
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21 pages, 3114 KB  
Article
Event-Driven Shoreline Dynamics of the Nile, Indus, and Yellow River Deltas: A 50-Year Analysis of Trends and Responses
by Muhammad Risha and Paul Liu
Earth 2025, 6(4), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040120 - 9 Oct 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2464
Abstract
The Nile, Indus, and Yellow River deltas are historically significant and have experienced extensive shoreline changes over the past 50 years, yet the roles of human interventions and natural events remain unclear. In this study, the Net Shoreline Movement and End Point Rate [...] Read more.
The Nile, Indus, and Yellow River deltas are historically significant and have experienced extensive shoreline changes over the past 50 years, yet the roles of human interventions and natural events remain unclear. In this study, the Net Shoreline Movement and End Point Rate (EPR) were calculated to quantify the erosion and accretion of the shoreline, respectively. Subsequently, linear trend analysis was employed to identify potential directional shifts in shoreline behavior. These measures are combined with segment-scale cumulative area and the EPR trend to reveal where erosion or accretion intensifies, weakens, or reverses through time. Results show distinct, system-specific trajectories, the Nile lost ~27 km2 from 1972 to1997 as a result of the dam construction and sediment reduction, and lost only ~3 km2 more from 1997 to 2022, with local stabilization. The Indus switched from intermittent gains before 1990s to sustained loss after that, totaling ~300 km2 of cumulative land loss mainly due to upstream dam constructions and storm events. The Yellow River gained ~500 km2 from 1973 to 1996 then lost ~200 km2 after main-channel relocation and reduced sediment supply despite active-mouth management. These outcomes indicate that deltas are very vulnerable to system wide human activities and natural events. Combined, satellite-derived metrics can help prioritize locations, guide feasible interventions, establish annual monitoring and trigger action. A major caveat of this study is that yearly shoreline rates and 5–10-yearaverages can mask short-lived or very local shifts. Targeted field surveys and finer-scale modeling (hydrodynamics, subsidence monitoring, bathymetry) are therefore needed to refine the design and inform better policy choices. Full article
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23 pages, 4380 KB  
Review
Miyawaki and Urban Tiny Forests in Italy
by Bartolomeo Schirone, Antonio Pica, Fabiola Fratini, Patrizia Menegoni and Kevin Cianfaglione
Earth 2025, 6(4), 116; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040116 - 26 Sep 2025
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4978
Abstract
Rapid urbanization and climate change demand innovative green solutions in city planning. Tiny forests—small artificial wooded areas in urban or peri-urban settings—are gaining attention. This paper explores the use of the Miyawaki method to establish such forests in Italy, highlighting their environmental and [...] Read more.
Rapid urbanization and climate change demand innovative green solutions in city planning. Tiny forests—small artificial wooded areas in urban or peri-urban settings—are gaining attention. This paper explores the use of the Miyawaki method to establish such forests in Italy, highlighting their environmental and educational benefits. The study defines micro-forests (100–200 m2) and mini-forests (200–2000 m2) per legislative standards and describes the qualitative features needed for self-sustaining ecosystems. Mimicking natural succession, these forests support biodiversity, reduce urban heat, improve air quality, and act as carbon sinks. Beyond ecological functions, they offer strong pedagogical value, fostering naturalistic intelligence and reconnecting people with natural rhythms and ecosystems. Case studies from Vigevano and Rome show practical applications, demonstrating how tiny forests can enhance sustainability, community well-being, and environmental awareness in cities. Full article
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25 pages, 4999 KB  
Review
Water and Waste Water Treatment Research in Mexico and Its Occurrence in Relation to Sustainable Development Goal 6
by Liliana Reynoso-Cuevas, Adriana Robledo-Peralta, Naghelli Ortega-Avila and Norma A. Rodríguez-Muñoz
Earth 2025, 6(4), 114; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6040114 - 25 Sep 2025
Viewed by 5523
Abstract
In Mexico, 95% of the population has access to drinking water sources, but only about 65% of domestic waste water is treated to safe levels. This study analyzes forty years of Mexican scientific production on water and waste water treatment through a bibliometric [...] Read more.
In Mexico, 95% of the population has access to drinking water sources, but only about 65% of domestic waste water is treated to safe levels. This study analyzes forty years of Mexican scientific production on water and waste water treatment through a bibliometric and conceptual approach, evaluating its contribution Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6. The analysis identified three major research clusters: (1) biological processes for water treatment, (2) development and optimization of physical–chemical processes, and (3) water quality and management. These themes reflect the evolution of biological approaches for identifying and removing organic contaminants, the application of advanced techniques for improving water quality, and the promotion of sustainable water use. The study also highlights the growing attention to emerging contaminants, nanotechnology, integrated water resource management, and persistent challenges in sanitation. With respect to SDG 6, Mexican research has mainly focused on targets 6.1 (universal and equitable access to drinking water), 6.3 (water quality), and 6.5 (water resources management), while targets 6.2 (sanitation), 6.a (international cooperation), and 6.b (community participation) remain underrepresented compared with the international benchmarks, where the research trend is on water management, resources, and the water–food–energy nexus. Finally, the findings also show synergies with SDGs 11 (sustainable cities and communities), 9 (industry, innovation, and infrastructure), and 3 (good health and well-being), although gaps persist in addressing equitable access to water and society participation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water Management in the Age of Climate Change)
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15 pages, 8842 KB  
Article
Applying Satellite-Based and Global Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets to Simulate Sulphur Dioxide Plume Dispersion from Mount Nyamuragira 2006 Volcanic Eruption
by Thabo Modiba, Moleboheng Molefe and Lerato Shikwambana
Earth 2025, 6(3), 102; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030102 - 1 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1441
Abstract
Understanding the dispersion of volcanic sulphur dioxide (SO2) plumes is crucial for assessing their environmental and climatic impacts. This study integrates satellite-based and reanalysis datasets to simulate as well as visualise the dispersion patterns of volcanic SO2 under diverse atmospheric [...] Read more.
Understanding the dispersion of volcanic sulphur dioxide (SO2) plumes is crucial for assessing their environmental and climatic impacts. This study integrates satellite-based and reanalysis datasets to simulate as well as visualise the dispersion patterns of volcanic SO2 under diverse atmospheric conditions. By incorporating data from the MERRA-2 (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2), CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations), and OMI (Ozone Monitoring Instrument) datasets, we are able to provide comprehensive insights into the vertical and horizontal trajectories of SO2 plumes. The methodology involves modelling SO2 dispersion across various atmospheric pressure surfaces, incorporating wind directions, wind speeds, and vertical column mass densities. This approach allows us to trace the evolution of SO2 plumes from their source through varying meteorological conditions, capturing detailed vertical distributions and plume paths. Combining these datasets allows for a comprehensive analysis of both natural and human-induced factors affecting SO2 dispersion. Visual and statistical interpretations in the paper reveal overall SO2 concentrations, first injection dates, and dissipation patterns detected across altitudes of up to ±20 km in the stratosphere. This work highlights the significance of combining satellite-based and global atmospheric reanalysis datasets to validate and enhance the accuracy of plume dispersion models while having a general agreement that OMI daily data and MERRA-2 reanalysis hourly data are capable of accurately accounting for SO2 plume dispersion patterns under varying meteorological conditions. Full article
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24 pages, 3796 KB  
Article
Research on Grassland Fire Prevention Capabilities and Influencing Factors in Qinghai Province, China
by Wenjing Xu, Qiang Zhou, Weidong Ma, Fenggui Liu and Long Li
Earth 2025, 6(3), 101; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030101 - 22 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1827
Abstract
Frequent grassland fires have severely affected regional ecosystems as well as the production and living conditions of local residents. Grassland fire prevention capabilities constitute an integral part of the disaster prevention and mitigation system and play an important role in improving grassroots governance. [...] Read more.
Frequent grassland fires have severely affected regional ecosystems as well as the production and living conditions of local residents. Grassland fire prevention capabilities constitute an integral part of the disaster prevention and mitigation system and play an important role in improving grassroots governance. To gain a deeper understanding of the practical foundation and influencing mechanisms of grassland fire prevention capabilities, establish an evaluation index system for prevention capabilities covering the four dimensions of disaster prevention, disaster resistance, disaster relief, and recovery. Combining micro-level survey data, a quantile regression model is used to analyze the influencing factors. The research findings indicate that (1) disaster resistance (0.49) plays a prominent role in grassland fire prevention capabilities, with economic foundations and individual disaster relief capabilities being particularly critical for overall improvement. Although residents have strong fire prevention awareness, their organizational collaboration capabilities are relatively weak, and there are significant differences in prevention capabilities across regions, necessitating tailored, precise enhancements. (2) There are significant differences in prevention capabilities among residents of different agricultural and pastoral production types, with semi-agricultural and semi-pastoral areas having the strongest comprehensive capabilities and pastoral areas relatively weaker. (3) A significant analysis of factors influencing grassland fire prevention capabilities: effective and diverse risk communication is a prerequisite for enhancing residents’ prevention capabilities; the level of panic regarding grassland fires and road infrastructure are important influencing factors, but residents’ understanding of climate change and grassroots organizations’ capacity for mechanism construction have insignificant impacts. Therefore, in future grassland fire disaster prevention and mitigation efforts, it is essential to strengthen risk communication, improve infrastructure, monitor environmental changes and the spatiotemporal patterns of grassland fires, enhance residents’ understanding of climate change, reinforce the emergency response capabilities of grassroots organizations, and stimulate public participation awareness to collectively build a multi-tiered grassland fire prevention system. Full article
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30 pages, 7914 KB  
Article
Impact of Climate Change on Water-Sensitive Urban Design Performances in the Wet Tropical Sub-Catchment
by Sher Bahadur Gurung, Robert J. Wasson, Michael Bird and Ben Jarihani
Earth 2025, 6(3), 99; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030099 - 19 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2316
Abstract
Existing drainage systems have limited capacity to mitigate future climate change-induced flooding problems effectively. However, some studies have evaluated the effectiveness of integrating Water-Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) with existing drainage systems in mitigating flooding in tropical regions. This study examined the performance of [...] Read more.
Existing drainage systems have limited capacity to mitigate future climate change-induced flooding problems effectively. However, some studies have evaluated the effectiveness of integrating Water-Sensitive Urban Design (WSUD) with existing drainage systems in mitigating flooding in tropical regions. This study examined the performance of drainage systems and integrated WSUD options under current and future climate scenarios in a sub-catchment of Saltwater Creek, a tropical catchment located in Cairns, Australia. A combination of one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (1D2D) runoff generation and routing models (RORB, storm injector, and MIKE+) is used for simulating runoff and inundation. Several types of WSUDs are tested alongside different climate change scenarios to assess the impact of WSUD in flood mitigation. The results indicate that the existing grey infrastructure is insufficient to address the anticipated increase in precipitation intensity and the resulting flooding caused by climate change in the Engineers Park sub-catchment. Under future climate change scenarios, moderate rainfall events contribute to a 25% increase in peak flow (95% confidence interval = [1.5%, 0.8%]) and total runoff volume (95% confidence interval = [1.05%, 6.5%]), as per the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 in the 2090 scenario. Integrating WSUD with existing grey infrastructure positively contributed to reducing the flooded area by 18–54% under RCP 8.5 in 2090. However, the efficiency of these combined systems is governed by several factors such as rainfall characteristics, the climate change scenario, rain barrel and porous pavement systems, and the size and physical characteristics of the study area. In the tropics, the flooding problem is estimated to increase under future climatic conditions, and the integration of WSUD with grey infrastructure can play a positive role in reducing floods and their impacts. However, careful interpretation of results is required with an additional assessment clarifying how these systems perform in large catchments and their economic viability for extensive applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Water Management in the Age of Climate Change)
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20 pages, 2629 KB  
Article
Identification of Non-Turbulent Motions for Enhanced Estimation of Land–Atmosphere Transport Through the Anisotropy of Turbulence
by Zihan Liu, Hongsheng Zhang, Xuhui Cai and Yu Song
Earth 2025, 6(3), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030094 - 10 Aug 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3130
Abstract
Quantifying land–atmosphere transport remains crucial for advancing climate prediction and weather forecasting efforts. To improve turbulent flux estimation, the anisotropy of turbulence is taken into consideration. The parameters xB and yB, which quantify anisotropy degrees across motion scales, form trajectories [...] Read more.
Quantifying land–atmosphere transport remains crucial for advancing climate prediction and weather forecasting efforts. To improve turbulent flux estimation, the anisotropy of turbulence is taken into consideration. The parameters xB and yB, which quantify anisotropy degrees across motion scales, form trajectories in the barycentric map. Using the Hilbert–Huang transform, the scale-dependent properties of anisotropy in observational data from multiple sites are investigated. Analysis reveals consistent patterns in the average yBxB trajectories across stratification conditions: as scale increases, xB increases from 0.4 to 0.9, while yB initially climbs from 0.5 to 0.7 before declining to 0. Meanwhile, individual case trajectories sometimes deviate from this pattern, indicating contamination by non-turbulent motions that typically cause turbulent flux overestimation. Crucially, identifying the scale at which deviations occur allows effective separation of atmospheric turbulence from non-turbulent motions, which enables the reconstruction of turbulence data. Results demonstrate that corrected fluxes reduce overestimation inherent in traditional eddy covariance systems by approximately 30%, with enhancements for CO2 and air pollutants reaching 45–83%. Furthermore, the correlation between anisotropy and stratification suggests potential for refining similarity theories into a broader scope, such as carbon cycle assessment and pollution control. Therefore, anisotropy shows promise in quantifying the land–atmosphere transport. Full article
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20 pages, 8429 KB  
Article
Altitude and Temperature Drive Spatial and Temporal Changes in Vegetation Cover on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau
by Yu Feng, Hongjin Zhu, Xiaojuan Zhang, Feilong Qin, Peng Ye, Pengtao Niu, Xueman Wang and Songlin Shi
Earth 2025, 6(3), 92; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030092 - 6 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1329
Abstract
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is experiencing higher warming rates than elsewhere, which may affect regional vegetation growth. Particularly on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), where the topography is diverse and rich in biodiversity, it is necessary to clarify the drivers of climate and [...] Read more.
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is experiencing higher warming rates than elsewhere, which may affect regional vegetation growth. Particularly on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), where the topography is diverse and rich in biodiversity, it is necessary to clarify the drivers of climate and topography on vegetation cover. In this research, we selected the Shaluli Mountains (SLLM) in the ETP as the study area, monitored the spatial and temporal dynamics of the regional vegetation cover using remote sensing methods, and quantified the drivers of vegetation change using Geodetector (GD). The results showed a decreasing trend in annual precipitation (PRE) (−2.4054 mm/year) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) (−0.1813/year) in the SLLM. Annual maximum temperature (TMX) on the spatial and temporal scales showed an overall increasing trend, and the regional climate tended to become warmer and drier. Since 2000, fractional vegetation cover (FVC) has shown a fluctuating upward trend, with an average value of 0.6710, and FVC has spatially shown a pattern of “low in the middle and high in the surroundings”. The areas with non-significant increases (p > 0.05) and significant increases (p < 0.05) in FVC accounted for 46.03% and 5.76% of the SLLM. Altitude (q = 0.3517) and TMX (q = 0.3158) were the main drivers of FVC changes. As altitude and TMX increased, FVC showed a trend of increasing and then decreasing. The results of this study help us to clarify the influence of climate and topography on the vegetation ecosystem of the ETP and provide a scientific basis for regional biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. Full article
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23 pages, 7962 KB  
Article
Predictive Analysis of Hydrological Variables in the Cahaba Watershed: Enhancing Forecasting Accuracy for Water Resource Management Using Time-Series and Machine Learning Models
by Sai Kumar Dasari, Pooja Preetha and Hari Manikanta Ghantasala
Earth 2025, 6(3), 89; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030089 - 4 Aug 2025
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 3311
Abstract
This study presents a hybrid approach to hydrological forecasting by integrating the physically based Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model with Prophet time-series modeling and machine learning–based multi-output regression. Applied to the Cahaba watershed, the objective is to predict key environmental variables [...] Read more.
This study presents a hybrid approach to hydrological forecasting by integrating the physically based Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model with Prophet time-series modeling and machine learning–based multi-output regression. Applied to the Cahaba watershed, the objective is to predict key environmental variables (precipitation, evapotranspiration (ET), potential evapotranspiration (PET), and snowmelt) and their influence on hydrological responses (surface runoff, groundwater flow, soil water, sediment yield, and water yield) under present (2010–2022) and future (2030–2042) climate scenarios. Using SWAT outputs for calibration, the integrated SWAT-Prophet-ML model predicted ET and PET with RMSE values between 10 and 20 mm. Performance was lower for high-variability events such as precipitation (RMSE = 30–50 mm). Under current climate conditions, R2 values of 0.75 (water yield) and 0.70 (surface runoff) were achieved. Groundwater and sediment yields were underpredicted, particularly during peak years. The model’s limitations relate to its dependence on historical trends and its limited representation of physical processes, which constrain its performance under future climate scenarios. Suggested improvements include scenario-based training and integration of physical constraints. The approach offers a scalable, data-driven method for enhancing monthly water balance prediction and supports applications in watershed planning. Full article
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9 pages, 3035 KB  
Commentary
A Lens on Fire Risk Drivers: The Role of Climate and Vegetation Index Anomalies in the May 2025 Manitoba Wildfires
by Afshin Amiri, Silvio Gumiere and Hossein Bonakdari
Earth 2025, 6(3), 88; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030088 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 3604
Abstract
In early May 2025, extreme wildfires swept across Manitoba, Canada, fueled by unseasonably warm temperatures, prolonged drought, and stressed vegetation. We explore how multi-source satellite indicators—such as anomalies in snow cover, precipitation, temperature, vegetation indices, and soil moisture in April–May—jointly signal landscape preconditioning [...] Read more.
In early May 2025, extreme wildfires swept across Manitoba, Canada, fueled by unseasonably warm temperatures, prolonged drought, and stressed vegetation. We explore how multi-source satellite indicators—such as anomalies in snow cover, precipitation, temperature, vegetation indices, and soil moisture in April–May—jointly signal landscape preconditioning for fire, highlighting the potential of these compound anomalies to inform fire risk awareness in boreal regions. Results indicate that rainfall deficits and diminished snowpack significantly reduced soil moisture, which subsequently decreased vegetative greenness and created a flammable environment prior to ignition. This concept captures how multiple moderate anomalies, when occurring simultaneously, can converge to create high-impact fire conditions that would not be flagged by individual thresholds alone. These findings underscore the importance of integrating climate and biosphere anomalies into wildfire risk monitoring to enhance preparedness in boreal regions under accelerating climate change. Full article
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20 pages, 16348 KB  
Article
The Recent Extinction of the Carihuairazo Volcano Glacier in the Ecuadorian Andes Using Multivariate Analysis Techniques
by Pedro Vicente Vaca-Cárdenas, Eduardo Antonio Muñoz-Jácome, Maritza Lucia Vaca-Cárdenas, Diego Francisco Cushquicullma-Colcha and José Guerrero-Casado
Earth 2025, 6(3), 86; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030086 - 1 Aug 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 4918
Abstract
Climate change has accelerated the retreat of Andean glaciers, with significant recent losses in the tropical Andes. This study evaluates the extinction of the Carihuairazo volcano glacier (Ecuador), quantifying its area from 1312.5 m2 in September 2023 to 101.2 m2 in [...] Read more.
Climate change has accelerated the retreat of Andean glaciers, with significant recent losses in the tropical Andes. This study evaluates the extinction of the Carihuairazo volcano glacier (Ecuador), quantifying its area from 1312.5 m2 in September 2023 to 101.2 m2 in January 2024, its thickness (from 2.5 m to 0.71 m), and its volume (from 2638.85 m3 to 457.18 m3), before its complete deglaciation in February 2024; this rapid melting and its small size classify it as a glacierette. Multivariate analyses (PCA and biclustering) were performed to correlate climatic variables (temperature, solar radiation, precipitation, relative humidity, vapor pressure, and wind) with glacier surface and thickness. The PCA explained 70.26% of the total variance, with Axis 1 (28.01%) associated with extreme thermal conditions (temperatures up to 8.18 °C and radiation up to 16.14 kJ m−2 day−1), which probably drove its disappearance. Likewise, Axis 2 (21.56%) was related to favorable hydric conditions (precipitation between 39 and 94 mm) during the initial phase of glacier monitoring. Biclustering identified three groups of variables: Group 1 (temperature, solar radiation, and vapor pressure) contributed most to deglaciation; Group 2 (precipitation, humidity) apparently benefited initial stability; and Group 3 (wind) played a secondary role. These results, validated through in situ measurements, provide scientific evidence of the disappearance of the Carihuairazo volcano glacier by February 2024. They also corroborate earlier projections that anticipated its extinction by the middle of this decade. The early disappearance of this glacier highlights the vulnerability of small tropical Andean glaciers and underscores the urgent need for water security strategies focused on management, adaptation, and resilience. Full article
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