Investigating Seismic Events along the Eurasian Plate between Greece and Turkey: 10 Years of Seismological Analysis and Implications
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- Chapter 2: Seismotectonics of the North Aegean region. In this section, the geological structure and seismotectonic activity of the study area are presented. In particular, the main tectonic faults and the history of seismic events affecting the region are discussed.
- Chapter 3: Methodology and Data Collection. The methods used for data collection and analysis are described. The techniques used to monitor seismic activity and the tools used to process the data are analyzed.
- Chapter 4: Seismic Event Analysis. Findings from the analysis of seismic events recorded over the last decade are presented. The analysis focused on the frequency, magnitude, and distribution of earthquakes and their impact on the study area.
- Chapter 5: Earthquake Risk Assessment. In this chapter, seismic risk assessment for the North Aegean region is discussed. The data obtained from the research are analyzed, and measures to reduce risk are proposed.
- Chapter 6: Conclusions and Future Directions. The final chapter summarizes the main findings of this study and suggests directions for future research. It also identifies the limitations of the current study and suggests ways for further improvements.
2. Seismotectonics of the North Aegean Region
2.1. Geological and Tectonic Background
2.2. Main Faults and Seismogenic Zones
- The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) is one of the most active and long-term seismogenic faults in the region, extending from the Black Sea to the North Aegean Sea, with significant slip movements that cause large earthquakes.
- North Aegean Fault: This fault is responsible for several strong earthquakes in the region, with extensional movements shaping the geology of the Aegean seabed.
- The Myrtoo and Chalkidiki faults: Smaller-scale faults are also observed in a wider area, contributing to the overall seismicity of the region.
2.3. Seismic Activities and Focal Mechanisms of Earthquakes
- Sliding earthquakes: caused by plate displacement along the North Anatolia and North Aegean faults;
- Extensional earthquakes: the expansion and subduction of the Greek microplate, mainly in coastal and submarine segments.
2.4. Seismotectonic Impacts
- Fault movements: Earthquakes can cause significant displacements and movements along faults, thereby affecting the stability of geological formations.
- Risk to settlements: Coastal towns and settlements in the region are exposed to seismic risks, making it imperative to have effective prevention and management measures.
3. Data Processing
- The data belong to the area of the North Aegean Sea, Greece;
- The time window is defined as 2013–2023;
- Shallow mainshocks and a rich aftershock sequence.
3.1. Seismological Analysis of the North Aegean Sea’s Strong Earthquakes
Stations | Network Code | Location | Latitude (°N) | Longitude (°E) | Elevation (m) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SIGR | HT | Sigri | 39.2114 | 25.8553 | 297 |
PRK | HL | Ag. Paraskevi, Lesvos | 39.2456 | 26.2649 | 130 |
CHOS | HT | Chios, Island | 38.3869 | 26.0506 | 854 |
SMG | HL | Samos, Island | 37.7042 | 26.8377 | 348 |
KOSD | HL | Kos, Island | 36.7027 | 26.9469 | 243 |
NISR | HL | Nisyros, Island | 36.6106 | 27.1309 | 48 |
APE | HL/GE | Apeiranthos, Naxos | 37.0727 | 25.5230 | 608 |
LIA | HL | Limnos, Island | 39.8972 | 25.1805 | 67 |
SMTH | HL | Samothraki, Island | 40.4709 | 25.5304 | 365 |
SKY | HL | Skyros, Island | 38.8831 | 24.5482 | 608 |
KARP | HL/GE | Karpathos | 35.5471 | 27.1610 | 524 |
ARG | HL | Archangelos Rhodes | 36.2135 | 28.1212 | 148 |
ALN | HT | Alexandroupoli | 40.8957 | 26.0497 | 110 |
Stations | Latitude (°) | Longitude (°) | Code | Elevation (m) |
---|---|---|---|---|
SMTA | 40.4709 | 25.5304 | HL | 360 |
LIAA | 39.8972 | 25.1805 | HL | 58 |
PRKA | 39.2456 | 26.2651 | HL | 120 |
MTLA | 39.1042 | 26.5532 | HL | 12 |
PSRA | 38.5397 | 25.562 | HL | 13 |
CHIA | 38.3713 | 26.1362 | HL | 8 |
SAMA | 37.7537 | 26.9806 | HL | 16 |
IKRA | 37.6111 | 26.2928 | HL | 30 |
TNSA | 37.5394 | 25.1631 | HL | 21 |
AMGA | 36.8315 | 25.8938 | HL | 300 |
KLNA | 36.957 | 26.9727 | HL | 35 |
NSRA | 36.6106 | 27.1309 | HL | 40 |
ASTA | 36.5454 | 26.3528 | HL | 65 |
THRA | 36.415 | 25.4324 | HL | 220 |
RODB | 36.4471 | 28.2211 | HL | 26 |
ARCA | 36.2135 | 28.1214 | HL | 177 |
EFSA | 39.5401 | 24.9886 | HL | 5 |
3.2. Fault Plane Solutions (FPSs)
- The Mw = 7.0 30 October 2022 Samos Earthquake
- 2.
- The Mw = 6.3 12 June 2017 Lesvos Earthquake
Samos Island Earthquake, 30 October 2020 (11:51, UTC), Mw 7.0 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Institute | Lat (°N) | Lon (°E) | Mw | Mo (dyn × cm) | Depth (km) | Strike (°) | Dip (°) | Rake (°) | Strike (°) | Dip (°) | Rake (°) |
Our Study | 37.915 | 26.793 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 12 | 290 | 30 | −85 | 98 | 65 | −80 |
USGS | 37.800 | 26.700 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 12 | 275 | 29 | −87 | 93 | 60 | −91 |
GCMT | 37.800 | 26.700 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 12 | 270 | 37 | −95 | 96 | 53 | −86 |
KOERI | 37.900 | 26.800 | 6.9 | 2.81 × 1026 | 10 | 97 | 34 | −85 | 272 | 55 | −93 |
GFZ | 37.900 | 26.800 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 15 | 97 | 41 | −85 | 272 | 48 | −93 |
UOA | 37.900 | 26.800 | 6.9 | 2.81 × 1026 | 13 | 270 | 50 | −81 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
OCA | 37.900 | 26.800 | 7.2 | 3.16 × 1026 | 10 | 275 | 45 | −96 | 103 | 45 | −85 |
IPGP | 37.900 | 26.800 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 14 | 260 | 36 | −116 | 111 | 58 | −72 |
INGV | 37.800 | 26.700 | 7.0 | 3.16 × 1026 | 10 | 289 | 40 | −69 | 82 | 53 | −107 |
NOA | 37.900 | 26.800 | 6.9 | 2.81 × 1026 | 6 | 294 | 54 | −65 | 76 | 43 | −120 |
ERD | 37.900 | 26.800 | 6.9 | 2.81 × 1026 | 11 | 95 | 43 | −87 | 270 | 43 | −91 |
3.3. Statistical Analysis
4. Sensor Technologies for Detecting Seismic Events
5. Discussion
- Detailed well mapping: Conducting detailed geological and geophysical surveys to map active fault systems more accurately is a fundamental direction for research. Understanding the geometry and segmentation of faults is essential for evaluating the potential for large earthquakes to occur. Through these investigations, we will be able to identify areas that are more likely to be affected by future seismic activity, and better prepare response and mitigation plans.
- Installation of additional seismometers: Increasing the density of seismic stations (Appendix A), particularly in under-monitored areas, will improve the detection and characterization of seismic events. Enhanced spatial coverage provides more comprehensive datasets for the analysis. For more accurate seismic-hazard models, they need to be constantly monitored and require data collection, along with the need for more advanced analytical methods. To deal with the complicated problems that seismic risks in this area cause, it is also important to conduct studies that include geological, geophysical, and technical points of view.
- 3D seismic velocity models: The development of high-resolution 3D models of the crust and upper mantle is critical for better understanding seismic wave propagation and heterogeneities in the Earth’s structure. These models can assist in the simulation and prediction of earthquakes more accurately. They will also help us to find places where large earthquakes are most likely to occur. Three-dimensional models will also help improve early warning systems and make towns more able to handle earthquakes.
- Integration of new technologies: The use of cutting-edge technologies such as satellite remote sensing and ground-based LIDAR can complement traditional seismological methods. These technologies offer detailed information about how the ground is changing shape and how faults are moving. Researchers can find small changes in the Earth’s surface caused by earthquakes using satellite systems such as Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). This technology allows continuous monitoring of large areas and the analysis of ground deformation with millimeter precision. Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) on the ground can also provide exact 3D data of the ground surface. In places prone to earthquakes, this technology is particularly helpful for mapping faults and studying geomorphology. Researchers can create full models of seismic activity by mixing data from ground-based LIDAR, satellite remote sensing, and regular seismographs. This combination provides a fuller picture of the events that happen to cause earthquakes.
- Integration with climate studies and studying socioeconomics: This involves looking into how climate change might affect seismicity, mainly in terms of rising sea levels and how they affect fault systems along the coast, and working with social scientists to learn about the human aspects of earthquake risk, such as how prepared communities are, how people think about risk, and the best ways to communicate about public safety.
- Analysis of historical seismicity: This involves compiling and analyzing historical and paleoseismic records to identify long-term patterns and cycles of seismic activity. This can provide information on the recurrence intervals of major earthquakes.
- Sequences of aftershocks and foreshocks: This involves studying the temporal and spatial characteristics of aftershock and foreshock sequences to improve earthquake prediction models and early warning systems.
6. Conclusions
- The North Aegean area has experienced a significant number of earthquakes, considering the complicated tectonic reactions between the colliding plates. Most earthquakes that have occurred in the last ten years have been very strong.
- A detailed analysis of seismological data revealed patterns in the occurrence of earthquakes over time, with periodic episodes of enhanced seismic activity followed by quieter periods.
- This comprehensive study, which combines a spatial–temporal analysis with research on source mechanisms, provides more information than previous studies on the seismic processes that control this very active area.
- Major earthquakes that occurred in both 2017 and 2020 indicated the complexity of the seismicity and risk of earthquakes in this area, which affected people and buildings nearby. A close study of these types of events helps us learn more about how earthquakes occur and the dangers that come with them.
- To become more accurate at determining how dangerous earthquakes are and to prepare for them, we need to keep an eye on them and perform more advanced seismological research. For effective methods to reduce risks, we need to study the long-term patterns, cycles, and triggers of earthquakes.
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Install Date | Station Name | Network | Region | Lat (°N) | Lon (°E) | Start | Stop | Sensor/Digitizer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20080422 | OUR | HT | Ouranopolis, Greece | 40.3325 | 23.9791 | 2014-09-02 | Present | CMG-3ESP, 100 s, 2000 V/m/s-Centaur, 40 vpp | |
20080524 | NIS1 | HT | Nisyros Island, Greece | 36.6023 | 27.1781 | 2008-05-24 | Present | CMG-3ESP, 100 s, 2000 V/m/s-Taurus, 40 Vpp | |
20071221 | SIGR | HT | SIGRI, Greece | 39.2114 | 25.8553 | 2010-05-25 | Present | CMG-3ESP, 100 s, 2000 V/m/s-Trident, 40 Vpp | |
20120704 | CHOS | HT | Chios Island, Greece | 38.3869 | 26.0506 | 2014-11-28 | Present | CMG-3ESP, 100 s, 2000 V/m/s-Centaur, 40 vpp | |
20231012 | LES3 | HT | Lafionas (Lesvos), Greece | 39.3032 | 26.1806 | 2023-10-12 | Present | Unknown | |
20240321 | AMPK | HT | Ampeliko, Lesvos, Greece | 39.0574 | 26.3130 | 2024-03-21 | Present | Trillium 120 | |
20140524 | ALN | HT | Alexandroupolis, Greece | 40.8850 | 26.0460 | 2014-05-24 | Present | Trillium 120 Posthole, generation 3, 120 s, 1203 V | |
20090408 | SMTH | HL | Samothraki Island, Greece | 40.4709 | 25.5304 | 2009-04-08 | Present | PS6-SC | CMG-3ESPC/60 |
20011109 | LIA | HL | Limnos Island, Greece | 36.1503 | 29.5856 | 2001-11-09 | 2006-06-08 | DR24-SC | CMG-40T/30 |
2006-06-08 | 2006-10-09 | DR24-SC | Le3D/20 | ||||||
2006-10-09 | 2007-05-03 | DR24-SC | CMG-40T/30 | ||||||
2007-05-03 | 2009-05-22 | DR24-SC | STS-2 | ||||||
2009-05-22 | 2017-02-22 | DR24-SC | 3ESPC/60 | ||||||
2017-02-22 | Present | PS6-SC | 3ESPC/60 | ||||||
19980305 | PRK | HL | Agia Paraskevi Lesvos | 39.2456 | 26.2649 | 1998-03-05 | 2007-04-26 | DR24-SC | Le3D/20 |
2007-04-26 | 2012-12-29 | DR24-SC | STS-2 | ||||||
2012-12-29 | Present | EDR-209 | STS-2 + CMG-5TC | ||||||
20000518 20000518 | SMG | HL HL | Samos Island, Greece | 37.7042 | 26.8377 | 2000-05-18 | 2007-11-15 | DR24-SC | Le3D/20 |
2007-11-15 | 2008-08-17 | DR24-SC | CMG-3ESPC/60 | ||||||
2008-08-17 | 2009-06-05 | PS6-SC | CMG-3ESPC/60 | ||||||
2009-06-05 | 2011-11-03 | PS6-SC | Trillium 120P | ||||||
2011-11-03 | Present | DR24-SC | Trillium 120P | ||||||
20080104 | NISR | HL | Nisyros Island, Greece | 36.6106 | 28.1212 | 2008-01-04 | 2010-06-15 | PS6-SC | Le3D/20 |
2010-06-15 | Present | PS6-SC | CMG-40T/30 | ||||||
20020710 | LIM1 | ITSAK | Myrina, Lesvos, Greece | 2002-07-10 | 20130601 | 2-st R/C | |||
20010718 | SMG1 | ITSAK | Vathi, Samos, Greece | Unknown | Unknown | 2001-07-18 | Present | 2-st R/C | |
20041020 | ALX2 | ITSAK | Alexandroupolis, Greece | 2004-10-20 | Present | 3-st R/C | |||
20010801 | KOS1 | ITSAK | Kos, Island, Greece | 2001-08-01 | Present | 2-st R/C | |||
Unknown | KOSD | HL | Kos Island, Greece | 36.7027 | 26.9469 | Unknown | Unknown |
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Moshou, A. Investigating Seismic Events along the Eurasian Plate between Greece and Turkey: 10 Years of Seismological Analysis and Implications. Earth 2024, 5, 311-331. https://doi.org/10.3390/earth5030017
Moshou A. Investigating Seismic Events along the Eurasian Plate between Greece and Turkey: 10 Years of Seismological Analysis and Implications. Earth. 2024; 5(3):311-331. https://doi.org/10.3390/earth5030017
Chicago/Turabian StyleMoshou, Alexandra. 2024. "Investigating Seismic Events along the Eurasian Plate between Greece and Turkey: 10 Years of Seismological Analysis and Implications" Earth 5, no. 3: 311-331. https://doi.org/10.3390/earth5030017
APA StyleMoshou, A. (2024). Investigating Seismic Events along the Eurasian Plate between Greece and Turkey: 10 Years of Seismological Analysis and Implications. Earth, 5(3), 311-331. https://doi.org/10.3390/earth5030017