Climate change and intensified forest destruction are severely threatening the habitats of numerous wildlife species and plants. Known for its roots,
Eleutherococcus nodiflorus (
Araliaceae) is a plant used in traditional Chinese medicine, which contains diverse active compounds with significant medicinal value.
[...] Read more.
Climate change and intensified forest destruction are severely threatening the habitats of numerous wildlife species and plants. Known for its roots,
Eleutherococcus nodiflorus (
Araliaceae) is a plant used in traditional Chinese medicine, which contains diverse active compounds with significant medicinal value. However, studies indicate its wild populations are undergoing an accelerating decline due to combined pressures from climate change and human activities. To elucidate the climate change response of
E. nodiflorus habitat suitability, we used the ENMeval package to develop an optimized MaxEnt model, incorporating 184 occurrence records and 12 environmental factors. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios, we simulated and projected the potential distribution of this species across China for the current period and four future time intervals (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080, and 2081–2100). The results indicate that key environmental factors governing the distribution of
E. nodiflorus include November precipitation, January minimum temperature, temperature seasonality, and June minimum temperature. Currently, the suitable habitat for
E. nodiflorus spans approximately 1.38 × 10
6 km
2 and is predominantly located in central, eastern, and southern China. The high-suitability habitats are concentrated in Hunan Province, southern Anhui, and eastern Zhejiang. According to model projections under both climate scenarios, the suitable habitat of
E. nodiflorus will first expand and then contract, while its distribution centroid moves generally toward higher latitudes. Under the trend of ongoing global warming, this study provides valuable references for formulating effective climate change adaptation plans and protecting biodiversity.
Full article