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Stats, Volume 5, Issue 3

2022 September - 18 articles

Cover Story: Small area models have attracted increased attention among federal statistical agencies. The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA’s) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) conducts the Farm Labor Survey, which provides the basis for employment and wage estimates for all workers directly hired by farms and ranches in all states except Alaska. Implementing small area models for integrating survey estimates with auxiliary information provides more reliable official estimates and valid measures of uncertainty. The paper discusses several hierarchical Bayesian subarea-level models in support of estimates of interest in the Farm Labor Survey. The framework provides a complete set of coherent estimates for all required geographic levels. These methods were incorporated into the Farm Labor publication for the first time in 2020. View this paper
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Articles (18)

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,059 Views
18 Pages

16 September 2022

Penalized splines are frequently used in applied research for understanding functional relationships between variables. In most applications, statistical inference for penalized splines is conducted using the random effects or Bayesian interpretation...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,478 Views
18 Pages

Smoothing County-Level Sampling Variances to Improve Small Area Models’ Outputs

  • Lu Chen,
  • Luca Sartore,
  • Habtamu Benecha,
  • Valbona Bejleri and
  • Balgobin Nandram

11 September 2022

The use of hierarchical Bayesian small area models, which take survey estimates along with auxiliary data as input to produce official statistics, has increased in recent years. Survey estimates for small domains are usually unreliable due to small s...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Small Area Estimation: Theories, Methods and Applications)
  • Project Report
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,267 Views
17 Pages

8 September 2022

The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) and other federal statistical agencies have used probability-based surveys as the foundation for official statistics for over half a century. Non-survey data that can be used to improve the acc...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Small Area Estimation: Theories, Methods and Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5,384 Views
25 Pages

7 September 2022

This paper proposes a model for realized variance that exploits information in realized quarticity. The realized variance and quarticity measures are both highly persistent and highly correlated with each other. The proposed model incorporates inform...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Modern Time Series Analysis)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
7,335 Views
15 Pages

A New Benford Test for Clustered Data with Applications to American Elections

  • Katherine M. Anderson,
  • Kevin Dayaratna,
  • Drew Gonshorowski and
  • Steven J. Miller

31 August 2022

A frequent problem with classic first digit applications of Benford’s law is the law’s inapplicability to clustered data, which becomes especially problematic for analyzing election data. This study offers a novel adaptation of Benford&rs...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Benford's Law(s) and Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
3,301 Views
22 Pages

19 August 2022

Recently, there has been a growing interest in integer-valued time series models, especially in multivariate models. Motivated by the diversity of the infinite-patch metapopulation models, we propose an extension to the popular bivariate INAR(1) mode...

(This article belongs to the Section General Applied Statistics)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
7,242 Views
14 Pages

17 August 2022

Games of chance have historically played a critical role in the development and teaching of probability theory and game theory, and, in the modern age, computer programming and reinforcement learning. In this paper, we derive the optimal strategy for...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Paper Special Issue: Reinforcement Learning)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,270 Views
21 Pages

12 August 2022

Autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) models with time-dependent (td) coefficients and marginally heteroscedastic innovations provide a natural alternative to stationary ARMA models. Several theories have been developed in the last 25 years for parame...

(This article belongs to the Section General Applied Statistics)
  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
2,838 Views
11 Pages

12 August 2022

This paper addresses the modification of the F-test for count data following the Poisson distribution. The F-test when the count data are expressed in intervals is considered in this paper. The proposed F-test is evaluated using real data from climat...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
5,028 Views
18 Pages

Poisson Extended Exponential Distribution with Associated INAR(1) Process and Applications

  • Radhakumari Maya,
  • Christophe Chesneau,
  • Anuresha Krishna and
  • Muhammed Rasheed Irshad

5 August 2022

The significance of count data modeling and its applications to real-world phenomena have been highlighted in several research studies. The present study focuses on a two-parameter discrete distribution that can be obtained by compounding the Poisson...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,211 Views
17 Pages

Model-Based Estimates for Farm Labor Quantities

  • Lu Chen,
  • Nathan B. Cruze and
  • Linda J. Young

3 August 2022

The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA’s) National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) conducts the Farm Labor Survey to produce estimates of the number of workers, duration of the workweek, and wage rates for all agricult...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Small Area Estimation: Theories, Methods and Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,895 Views
24 Pages

30 July 2022

Variable transformations have a long and celebrated history in statistics, one that was rather academically glamorous at least until generalized linear models theory eclipsed their nurturing normal curve theory role. Still, today it continues to be a...

(This article belongs to the Section Statistical Theory and Methods)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,478 Views
25 Pages

A Variable Selection Method for Small Area Estimation Modeling of the Proficiency of Adult Competency

  • Weijia Ren,
  • Jianzhu Li,
  • Andreea Erciulescu,
  • Tom Krenzke and
  • Leyla Mohadjer

27 July 2022

In statistical modeling, it is crucial to have consistent variables that are the most relevant to the outcome variable(s) of interest in the model. With the increasing richness of data from multiple sources, the size of the pool of potential variable...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Small Area Estimation: Theories, Methods and Applications)
  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,953 Views
16 Pages

Multivariate Global-Local Priors for Small Area Estimation

  • Tamal Ghosh,
  • Malay Ghosh,
  • Jerry J. Maples and
  • Xueying Tang

25 July 2022

It is now widely recognized that small area estimation (SAE) needs to be model-based. Global-local (GL) shrinkage priors for random effects are important in sparse situations where many areas’ level effects do not have a significant impact on t...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Small Area Estimation: Theories, Methods and Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
6,827 Views
42 Pages

22 July 2022

Structural equation models (SEM), or confirmatory factor analysis as a special case, contain model parameters at the measurement part and the structural part. In most social-science SEM applications, all parameters are simultaneously estimated in a o...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Robust Statistics in Action)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,899 Views
14 Pages

14 July 2022

In this paper, we introduce a kernel-based nonlinear Bayesian model for a right-censored survival outcome data set. Our kernel-based approach provides a flexible nonparametric modeling framework to explore nonlinear relationships between predictors w...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Survival Analysis: Models and Applications)
  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,071 Views
11 Pages

5 July 2022

This paper studies a new nonconvex optimization problem aimed at recovering high-dimensional covariance matrices with a low rank plus sparse structure. The objective is composed of a smooth nonconvex loss and a nonsmooth composite penalty. A number o...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Multivariate Statistics and Applications)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,070 Views
23 Pages

2 July 2022

Temporal gene expression data contain ample information to characterize gene function and are now widely used in bio-medical research. A dense temporal gene expression usually shows various patterns in expression levels under different biological con...

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Stats - ISSN 2571-905X