(Hendry 1980, p. 403) The three golden rules of econometrics are “test, test, and test”. The current paper applies that approach to model the forecasts of the Federal Open Market Committee over 1992–2019 and to forecast those forecasts themselves. Mo...
Monetary policy is forward looking and, in its pursuit of transparency, it communicates its economic projections to the public at large. As a result, there is interest in whether these projections are credible. We argue that central to that credibili...
Expectations about policy rates play a central role in financial and insurance markets. This paper asks whether Polymarket, an offshore cryptocurrency-collateralized prediction market, contributes independently to price discovery about Federal Open M...
Conventional explanations of monetary policy decisions in the United States assume that the longer-run Federal funds rate is determined by a representative central banker (i.e., the Fed) using longer-term forecasts of economic activity and unemployme...
This study investigates how the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) statements impact healthcare spending, mental health trends, and stock performance in healthcare and tech sectors By analyzing FOMC’s sentiment from 2018 to 2024, we f...
Fusarium oxysporum f. sp. radicis-lycopersici (Forl) causes crown and root rot disease in tomato, effecting severe economic losses. However, research on the pathogenicity genes and infection strategy of Forl is limited compared to that on F. oxysporu...
How does the Federal Reserve sound when it speaks? We measure the delivery of the Chair across 84 FOMC press conferences from 2011 to 2026, using Google’s Gemini 2.5 Flash to annotate 11,156 sixty-second segments spanning the Bernanke, Yellen,...
Federal Reserve press conferences convey policy path information and uncertainty beyond formal decisions. This study tests whether transcript-derived risk language predicts the magnitude of financial market responses after policy surprises and event...
The US has undertaken both unconventional and conventional monetary policy stances in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine–Russia conflict, and there has been much debate on the effects of these various monetary policies on global...
The application of the flipped voltage follower to implement two high-performance circuits is presented: (1) The first is a class AB cascode flipped voltage follower that shows an improved slew rate and an improved bandwidth by very large factors and...
This paper examines the relationship between Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) communication surprises, global risk sentiment, and net portfolio debt inflows to twelve major emerging market economies over the period 2000–2024. Exploiting a h...
Organic wastes applied as composted amendments may improve the quality of degraded soils and modify the fate of pesticides. This work has set out to study the dissipation kinetics of the herbicides chlorotoluron and flufenacet during their second-yea...