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21 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
33 Citations
3,706 Views
22 Pages

12 February 2022

Accurate and reliable runoff prediction is critical for solving problems related to water resource planning and management. Deterministic runoff prediction methods cannot meet the needs of risk analysis and decision making. In this study, a runoff pr...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
956 Views
9 Pages

Annual Runoff Forecasting through Bayesian Causality

  • Santiago Zazo,
  • Jose-Luis Molina,
  • Carmen Patino-Alonso,
  • Fernando Espejo and
  • Juan Carlos García-Prieto

This contribution is focused on forecasting ability of Bayesian causality (BC) on annual runoff series. For that, the time series was synthetized through a Bayesian net, in which the probability propagation over the time was performed. The BC analyti...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,664 Views
19 Pages

Probabilistic flood forecasting requires flood models that are simple and fast. Many of the modelling applications in the literature tend to be complex and slow, making them unsuitable for probabilistic applications which require thousands of individ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,287 Views
23 Pages

13 November 2023

Reliable and accurate daily runoff predictions are critical to water resource management and planning. Probability density predictions of daily runoff can provide decision-makers with comprehensive information by quantifying the uncertainty of foreca...

  • Article
  • Open Access
54 Citations
8,598 Views
13 Pages

Multi-Model Grand Ensemble Hydrologic Forecasting in the Fu River Basin Using Bayesian Model Averaging

  • Bo Qu,
  • Xingnan Zhang,
  • Florian Pappenberger,
  • Tao Zhang and
  • Yuanhao Fang

24 January 2017

Statistical post-processing for multi-model grand ensemble (GE) hydrologic predictions is necessary, in order to achieve more accurate and reliable probabilistic forecasts. This paper presents a case study which applies Bayesian model averaging (BMA)...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,524 Views
14 Pages

6 December 2022

An increase in impermeable surface areas with urban development contributes to the rapid and large amount of surface runoff during rainfall. This often requires higher capacity stormwater collection systems, which can cause stress on the existing dra...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
560 Views
22 Pages

Probabilistic Forecast for Real-Time Control of Rainwater Pollutant Loads in Urban Environments

  • Annalaura Gabriele,
  • Federico Di Palma,
  • Ezio Todini and
  • Rudy Gargano

1 November 2025

Advanced wastewater management systems are necessary to effectively direct severely contaminated initial rainwater runoff to the treatment facility only when pollutant concentrations are elevated during the initial flush event, thereby reducing the r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,657 Views
13 Pages

Modeling Rainwater Harvesting and Storage Dynamics of Rural Impoundments in Dry Chaco Rangelands

  • Marcos Javier Niborski,
  • Osvaldo Antonio Martin,
  • Francisco Murray,
  • Esteban Gabriel Jobbágy,
  • Marcelo Daniel Nosetto,
  • Ricardo Andrés Paez and
  • Patricio Nicolás Magliano

25 June 2023

Transporting water to supply livestock is one of the great challenges of the drylands. Ranchers usually make impoundments, filled by runoff, to access freshwater for cattle supply in flat rangelands. The aim of this study was to understand rainfall-r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
38 Citations
5,863 Views
18 Pages

8 February 2019

Damage caused by flash floods is increasing due to urbanization and climate change, thus it is important to recognize floods in advance. The current physical hydraulic runoff model has been used to predict inundation in urban areas. Even though the p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,770 Views
40 Pages

28 December 2020

A framework for the assessment of relative risk to watershed-scale water resources from systemic changes is presented. It is composed of two experiments, or pathways, within a Monte Carlo structure and provides quantification of prediction uncertaint...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
3,459 Views
20 Pages

Development of a Hydrological Ensemble Prediction System to Assist with Decision-Making for Floods during Typhoons

  • Sheng-Chi Yang,
  • Tsun-Hua Yang,
  • Ya-Chi Chang,
  • Cheng-Hsin Chen,
  • Mei-Ying Lin,
  • Jui-Yi Ho and
  • Kwan Tun Lee

22 May 2020

Hydrological ensemble prediction systems (HEPSs) can provide decision makers with early warning information, such as peak stage and peak time, with enough lead time to take the necessary measures to mitigate disasters. This study develops a HEPS that...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,794 Views
17 Pages

18 December 2019

Ensemble flood forecasts are an established tool to provide information about the uncertainty of runoff predictions. However, their interpretation may not be straightforward, especially when dealing with extreme events; therefore, the development of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
696 Views
18 Pages

1 July 2025

For a long time, drought disasters have brought about a wide range of negative impacts on human socio-economics. Especially in large basins with many tributaries, once hydrological drought occurs synchronously in several tributaries, the hydrological...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,083 Views
16 Pages

Improving Green Roof Runoff Modeling for Sustainable Cities: The Role of Site-Specific Calibration in SCS-CN Parameters

  • Thiago Masaharu Osawa,
  • Fabio Ferreira Nogueira,
  • Brenda Chaves Coelho Leite and
  • José Rodolfo Scarati Martins

29 June 2025

Green roofs are increasingly recognized as effective Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) for urban stormwater management, contributing to sustainable and climate-resilient cities. The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) model is commonly used to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
3,695 Views
15 Pages

18 September 2020

Drought is one of the most destructive natural hazards and results in negative effects on the environment, agriculture, economics, and society. A meteorological drought originates from atmospheric components, while a hydrological drought is influence...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,232 Views
19 Pages

3 August 2024

The lack of data on flood events poses challenges in flood management. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to enhance flood-forecasting models by utilizing the capabilities of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to generate synthetic flood...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,786 Views
32 Pages

Sprinkler Drip Infiltration Quality Prediction for Moisture Space Distribution Using RSAE-NPSO

  • Zhongwei Liang,
  • Tao Zou,
  • Yupeng Zhang,
  • Jinrui Xiao and
  • Xiaochu Liu

Considering the high quality requirements related to agricultural production, the intelligent prediction of sprinkler drip infiltration quality (SDIQ) of the moisture space distribution in soil fields is an important issue in precision irrigation. Th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
24 Citations
6,616 Views
16 Pages

14 October 2015

In basins of South-eastern Spain; such as the semiarid Segura River Basin (SRB), a strong decrease in runoff from the end of the 1970s has been observed. However, in the SRB the decreasing trend is not only related with climate variability and change...

  • Review
  • Open Access
24 Citations
4,820 Views
29 Pages

16 January 2024

Accurate forecasting in hydrologic modeling is crucial for sustainable water resource management across various sectors, where predicting extreme flow phases holds particular significance due to their severe impact on the territory. Due to the inhere...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
5,285 Views
14 Pages

From Deterministic to Probabilistic Forecasts: The ‘Shift-Target’ Approach in the Milan Urban Area (Northern Italy)

  • Gabriele Lombardi,
  • Alessandro Ceppi,
  • Giovanni Ravazzani,
  • Silvio Davolio and
  • Marco Mancini

The number of natural catastrophes that affect people worldwide is increasing; among these, the hydro-meteorological events represent the worst scenario due to the thousands of deaths and huge damages to private and state ownership they can cause. To...

  • Review
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,693 Views
23 Pages

Requirements for the Development and Operation of a Freeze-Up Ice-Jam Flood Forecasting System

  • Karl-Erich Lindenschmidt,
  • Robert Briggs,
  • Amir Ali Khan and
  • Thomas Puestow

18 September 2024

This article provides a comprehensive overview of ice-jam flood forecasting methodologies applicable to rivers during freezing. It emphasizes the importance of understanding river ice processes and fluvial geomorphology for developing a freeze-up ice...