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Volume 18, June
 
 

J. Risk Financial Manag., Volume 18, Issue 7 (July 2025) – 47 articles

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15 pages, 280 KiB  
Article
From Risk Preferences to Portfolios: Comparing SCF Risk Scales and Their Predictive Power for Asset Ownership
by Shane Heddy, Congrong Ouyang and Yu Zhang
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 387; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070387 (registering DOI) - 12 Jul 2025
Viewed by 77
Abstract
This study compares two risk tolerance scales used in the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), namely the long-standing 4-point scale and the newer 11-point scale, to determine which better captures an individual’s investment risk preferences. The analysis includes exploring how each scale relates [...] Read more.
This study compares two risk tolerance scales used in the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), namely the long-standing 4-point scale and the newer 11-point scale, to determine which better captures an individual’s investment risk preferences. The analysis includes exploring how each scale relates to household demographics, socioeconomic factors, and ownership of risky versus conservative investments. By utilizing prospect theory, the findings reveal that while both scales effectively measure risk tolerance, the 11-point scale provides a more detailed understanding of differences in asset ownership across risk levels. For financial professionals, these results highlight the value of using a more granular risk assessment tool to better align investment strategies with client preferences, leading to improved client relationships and outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Risk)
31 pages, 1822 KiB  
Article
Banking Supervision and Risk Management in Times of Crisis: Evidence from Greece’s Systemic Banks (2015–2024)
by Georgios Dedeloudis, Petros Lois and Spyros Repousis
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 386; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070386 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 22
Abstract
This study examines the role of supervisory frameworks in shaping the risk management behavior of Greece’s four systemic banks during the period of 2015–2024. It explores how regulatory reforms under Capital Requirements Regulation II, Basel III, and European Central Bank oversight influenced capital [...] Read more.
This study examines the role of supervisory frameworks in shaping the risk management behavior of Greece’s four systemic banks during the period of 2015–2024. It explores how regulatory reforms under Capital Requirements Regulation II, Basel III, and European Central Bank oversight influenced capital adequacy, asset quality, and liquidity metrics. Employing a quantitative methodology, this study analyzes secondary data from Pillar III disclosures, annual financial reports, and supervisory statements. Key risk indicators (capital adequacy ratio, non-performing exposure ratio, liquidity coverage ratio, and risk-weighted assets) are evaluated in conjunction with regulatory interventions, such as International Financial Reporting Standards 9 transitional relief, the Hercules Asset Protection Scheme, and European Central Bank liquidity measures. The findings reveal that enhanced supervision contributed to improved resilience and regulatory compliance. International Financial Reporting Standards 9 transitional arrangements were pivotal in maintaining capital thresholds during stress periods. Supervisory flexibility and extraordinary European Central Bank support measures helped banks absorb shocks and improve risk governance. Differences across banks highlight the impact of institutional strategy on regulatory performance. This study offers a rare longitudinal assessment of supervisory influence on bank risk behavior in a high-volatility Eurozone context. Covering an entire decade (2015–2024), it uniquely links institutional strategies with evolving regulatory frameworks, including crisis-specific interventions such as International Financial Reporting Standards 9 relief and asset protection schemes. The results provide insights for policymakers and regulators on how targeted supervisory interventions and transitional mechanisms can enhance banking sector resilience during protracted crises. Full article
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14 pages, 296 KiB  
Article
Determinants of Capital Structure: Does Growth Opportunity Matter?
by Ndonwabile Zimasa Mabandla and Godfrey Marozva
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 385; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070385 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 13
Abstract
This study explores the impact of growth opportunities on the capital structure of South African banks, utilising panel data from registered banking institutions covering the period from 2014 to 2023. While a substantial body of literature examines the relationship between growth prospects and [...] Read more.
This study explores the impact of growth opportunities on the capital structure of South African banks, utilising panel data from registered banking institutions covering the period from 2014 to 2023. While a substantial body of literature examines the relationship between growth prospects and corporate leverage, limited attention has been paid to this interaction within the banking sector, particularly in emerging economies. By employing the dynamic panel Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimator to address endogeneity concerns, the analysis reveals a statistically significant positive relationship between growth opportunities and both the total debt ratio (TDR) and the long-term debt ratio (LTDR). In contrast, a significant negative association is found between growth opportunities and the short-term debt ratio (STDR). The findings suggest that banks with stronger growth prospects are more inclined to utilise long-term financing, possibly reflecting shareholder preferences for institutions with favourable future outlooks and lower refinancing risks. These results highlight the importance of aligning capital structure decisions with an institution’s growth trajectory, while indicating that this relationship shifts depending on the maturity of the debt considered. This study contributes to the existing literature by contextualising capital structure decisions within the framework of growth opportunities. Structure theory within the context of the banking sector in a developing market offers practical insights for strategic financial planning and regulatory policy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
25 pages, 1164 KiB  
Article
The Information Content of the Deferred Tax Valuation Allowance: Evidence from Venture-Capital-Backed IPO Firms
by Eric Allen
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 384; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070384 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 21
Abstract
This study examines the deferred tax valuation allowance disclosures of a sample of venture-capital-backed IPO firms that incurred a net operating loss (NOL) in the period prior to their public offering (IPO). I find that 82 percent of these firms record an allowance [...] Read more.
This study examines the deferred tax valuation allowance disclosures of a sample of venture-capital-backed IPO firms that incurred a net operating loss (NOL) in the period prior to their public offering (IPO). I find that 82 percent of these firms record an allowance that reduces the associated deferred tax asset to zero, that the choice to record the allowance is largely driven by a firm’s history of losses, and that the allowance is associated with lower future book income. I further propose a new explanation for the presence of the allowance: the Section 382 ownership change limitation, which can cause firms to record an allowance independent of their past profitability or expectations about future earnings. I find that firms consider this limitation when recording the allowance, and that controlling for it can enhance the signal regarding future income. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Tax Avoidance and Earnings Management)
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23 pages, 504 KiB  
Article
Non-Performing Loans and Their Impact on Investor Confidence: A Signaling Theory Perspective—Evidence from U.S. Banks
by Richard Arhinful, Bright Akwasi Gyamfi, Leviticus Mensah and Hayford Asare Obeng
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 383; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070383 - 10 Jul 2025
Viewed by 201
Abstract
Bank operations are contingent upon investor confidence, particularly during periods of economic distress. If investor confidence drops, a bank faces difficulties obtaining money, higher borrowing costs, and lower stock values. Non-performing loans (NPLs) potentially jeopardize a bank’s long-term viability and short-term profitability, and [...] Read more.
Bank operations are contingent upon investor confidence, particularly during periods of economic distress. If investor confidence drops, a bank faces difficulties obtaining money, higher borrowing costs, and lower stock values. Non-performing loans (NPLs) potentially jeopardize a bank’s long-term viability and short-term profitability, and investors are naturally wary of institutions that pose a high credit risk. The purpose of the study was to explore how non-performing loans influence investor confidence in banks. A purposive sampling technique was used to identify 253 New York Stock Exchange banks in the Thomson Reuters Eikon DataStream that satisfied all the inclusion and exclusion selection criteria. The Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (CCEMG) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) models were used to analyze the data, providing insight into the relationship between the variables. The study discovered that NPLs had a negative and significant influence on price–earnings (P/E) and price-to-book value (P/B) ratios. Furthermore, the bank’s age was found to have a positive and significant relationship with the P/E and P/B ratio. The moderating relationship between NPLs and bank age was found to have a negative and significant influence on price–earnings (P/E) and price-to-book value (P/B) ratios. The findings underscore the importance of asset quality and institutional reputation in influencing market perceptions. Bank managers should focus on managing non-performing loans effectively and leveraging institutional credibility to sustain investor confidence, particularly during financial distress. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Markets and Institutions and Financial Crises)
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16 pages, 357 KiB  
Article
Socially Responsible Investing: Is Social Media an Influencer?
by Mindy Joseph, Congrong Ouyang and Joanne DeVille
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 382; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070382 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 131
Abstract
As digital connectivity transforms financial decision-making, this study offers one of the first empirical investigations into the relationship between social media use and socially responsible investing (SRI). Using data from the 2021 National Financial Capability Study, multinomial regression analysis was used to explore [...] Read more.
As digital connectivity transforms financial decision-making, this study offers one of the first empirical investigations into the relationship between social media use and socially responsible investing (SRI). Using data from the 2021 National Financial Capability Study, multinomial regression analysis was used to explore whether people who rely on social media for investment decisions were more likely to invest in ways that reflect their values. The results show that investors who use social media for investment information are more likely to value being socially responsible as an important reason for investing. Younger, less experienced, and more risk-tolerant investors were especially likely to follow SRI strategies, and certain platforms like Twitter were more associated with SRI interest than others. These findings suggest that social media is not just a platform for sharing information; it may also shape how people think about investing and the role their money can play in making a societal difference. As online platforms continue to influence financial behavior, understanding their impact on values-based investing becomes increasingly important. This research contributes novel insights to the emerging intersection of social media, behavioral finance, and values-driven investing. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
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17 pages, 445 KiB  
Article
From Boom to Bust: Unravelling the Cyclical Nature of Fiji’s Money Demand
by Nikeel Nishkar Kumar, Kulsoom Bibi and Rajesh Mohnot
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 381; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070381 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 175
Abstract
This study investigates cyclical asymmetries in money demand models considering the moderating effect of financial development. Prior research has overlooked this issue in the money demand literature within the Fijian context, where research is outdated. Using annual data from 1983 to 2023, we [...] Read more.
This study investigates cyclical asymmetries in money demand models considering the moderating effect of financial development. Prior research has overlooked this issue in the money demand literature within the Fijian context, where research is outdated. Using annual data from 1983 to 2023, we find that income elasticity is about positive unity, irrespective of recessions or expansions. In expansions, an increase in interest rates reduces money demand. An increase in interest rates reduces money demand nine times more strongly in recessions. These effects are accentuated with financial development. Declining interest rates do not impact money demand. The findings suggest that stable money demand could be achievable, but only once the impact of structural breaks is accounted for. Under ideal conditions—without such breaks—money demand exhibits stability, and its connection to income and interest rates appears predictable. However, in reality, structural disruptions complicate this relationship, making money demand less consistent with its key drivers and undermining the reliability of money supply as a monetary policy instrument. The findings align with the pulling on a string hypothesis that monetary contractions control inflation, but expansions may not impact output. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Macroeconomics and Financial Markets)
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23 pages, 1305 KiB  
Systematic Review
Biological Assets in Agricultural Accounting: A Systematic Review of the Application of IAS 41
by Priscila Campos-Llerena, Mauricio Arias-Pérez, Cecilia Toscano-Morales and Carlos Barreno-Córdova
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 380; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070380 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 189
Abstract
The valuation of biological assets represents a crucial component for the generation of accounting information, especially in the context of the agricultural sector, where assets subject to continuous transformation processes predominate. This study aims to analyze, through a systematic review of the literature, [...] Read more.
The valuation of biological assets represents a crucial component for the generation of accounting information, especially in the context of the agricultural sector, where assets subject to continuous transformation processes predominate. This study aims to analyze, through a systematic review of the literature, how the measurement methods established by International Accounting Standard 41 (IAS 41) affect the quality, accuracy, and usefulness of accounting reports. The results show that the correct valuation of biological assets significantly improves strategic and financial decision-making by providing more reliable and representative data on the economic reality of the sector. Finally, the study highlights the main practical challenges in the application of IAS 41, including fair value volatility, the subjectivity of estimates, the limited availability of reliable data, and the need for more flexible accounting frameworks that consider the cultural, climatic, and productive realities of each environment. Based on these findings, the importance of strengthening transparency and accounting disclosure and adapting measurement methods to the particularities of the agricultural sector in order to improve the quality of information and the confidence of external users is highlighted. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial and Sustainability Reporting in a Digital Era, 2nd Edition)
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23 pages, 395 KiB  
Article
What Is Green Fintech?
by Daniel Broby and Zhenjia Yang
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 379; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070379 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 204
Abstract
This paper addresses the definitional ambiguity surrounding the term “green fintech” and its distinction from related concepts such as green finance and sustainable finance. We argue that the lack of clarity impedes accountability and facilitates greenwashing. To resolve this, we develop a conceptual [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the definitional ambiguity surrounding the term “green fintech” and its distinction from related concepts such as green finance and sustainable finance. We argue that the lack of clarity impedes accountability and facilitates greenwashing. To resolve this, we develop a conceptual framework grounded in a six-step “litmus test” that specifies the necessary conditions for an initiative to qualify as green fintech. These include demonstrable environmental objectives, the application of innovative financial technologies, and regulatory alignment. The test functions as a diagnostic tool, enhancing verifiability and reducing the risk of misrepresentation. We illustrate its practical use and integrate the Dynamic Integrated Model of Climate and the Economy (DICE) to support the analysis. Green fintech is defined as the implementation of green climate objectives through the medium of financial technology. This contribution provides both definitional precision and a means to assess the credibility of green fintech initiatives, offering clarity in an increasingly complex and contested area of sustainable finance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Technology (Fintech) and Sustainable Financing, 3rd Edition)
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27 pages, 363 KiB  
Article
CEO Dynamics and Real Earnings Management: A Gender Diversity Perspective from Sub-Saharan Africa
by Onyinyechi Precious Edeh, Ovbe Simon Akpadaka, Musa Adeiza Farouk and Musa Inuwa Fodio
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 378; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070378 - 8 Jul 2025
Viewed by 231
Abstract
Sub-Saharan Africa’s (SSA) corporate environment, like many emerging markets, is marked by institutional voids, weak oversight structures, and patriarchal leadership norms, which heighten the risk of real earnings management (REM). This study examines how CEO characteristics and audit committee gender diversity influence REM [...] Read more.
Sub-Saharan Africa’s (SSA) corporate environment, like many emerging markets, is marked by institutional voids, weak oversight structures, and patriarchal leadership norms, which heighten the risk of real earnings management (REM). This study examines how CEO characteristics and audit committee gender diversity influence REM among listed manufacturing firms in 12 SSA countries from 2012 to 2023. Anchored in agency theory and Upper Echelon Theory, this study draws on 1189 firm-year observations and employs Pooled OLS, Random Effects, Fixed Effects, Feasible Generalised Least Squares (FGLS), and System GMM estimators. Findings show that female CEOs are consistently associated with lower REM, underscoring the ethical conservatism linked to gender-inclusive leadership. CEO ownership shows a positive and significant association with REM in System GMM, though findings vary across models, indicating potential institutional effects. The firm size is negatively and significantly related to REM in Pooled, RE, and FGLS models, but becomes nonsignificant in FE and System GMM, suggesting the role of external scrutiny may be sensitive to model dynamics. Leverage exhibits a positive and significant relationship with REM in most models, but turns negative and nonsignificant under System GMM, pointing to endogeneity concerns. Interaction effects and country-specific regressions affirm that governance impacts differ across contexts. Policy reforms should prioritise gender-diverse leadership and tailored oversight mechanisms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
25 pages, 548 KiB  
Article
Does Sustainability Pay Off? Examining Governance, Performance, and Debt Costs in Southeast Asian Companies (A Survey of Public Companies in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand for the 2021–2023 Period)
by Fransisca Fransisca, Arie Pratama and Kamaruzzaman Muhammad
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 377; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070377 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 202
Abstract
Sustainability performance is an important criterion for investors and lenders when making financing decisions. This study aims to analyze whether sustainability governance influences sustainability performance and the extent to which sustainability performance affects a company’s cost of debt. This study analyzed 209 publicly [...] Read more.
Sustainability performance is an important criterion for investors and lenders when making financing decisions. This study aims to analyze whether sustainability governance influences sustainability performance and the extent to which sustainability performance affects a company’s cost of debt. This study analyzed 209 publicly listed companies in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand. Sustainability governance was measured using two proxies from the Refinitiv Eikon database: (1) the existence of a sustainability committee and (2) the existence of sustainability assurance. Sustainability performance and the cost of debt were assessed using scores obtained from the same database. Quantitative analysis was performed using descriptive statistics, ANOVA, and structural equation modeling (SEM) with path analysis. The results showed that sustainability governance has a strong positive impact on sustainability performance. However, the results also show that higher sustainability performance leads to a higher cost of debt. This finding suggests that companies that integrate sustainability into their core business strategies face challenges in obtaining funding to support sustainability initiatives. This research implies that a well-developed sustainable ecosystem needs to be established before companies can realize a lower cost of debt. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
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16 pages, 692 KiB  
Article
Exchange Rate Volatility and Its Impact on International Trade: Evidence from Zimbabwe
by Iveny Makore and Chisinga Ngonidzashe Chikutuma
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 376; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070376 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 707
Abstract
Zimbabwe’s economy has experienced extreme exchange rate fluctuations over the past decades, driven by persistent macroeconomic instability and episodes of hyperinflation. The instability in exchange rates can significantly impact trade balances, inflation rates, and overall economic resilience. Understanding the impact of exchange rate [...] Read more.
Zimbabwe’s economy has experienced extreme exchange rate fluctuations over the past decades, driven by persistent macroeconomic instability and episodes of hyperinflation. The instability in exchange rates can significantly impact trade balances, inflation rates, and overall economic resilience. Understanding the impact of exchange rate volatility (ERV) on international trade is crucial in such a context. This study investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility (ERV) on international trade in Zimbabwe, addressing a literature gap related to its unique economic challenges and hyperinflation. Using the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model on data from 1990 to 2023, the study finds a negative relationship between ERV and international trade. The analysis suggests that inflation reduces imports, but foreign direct investment (FDI) and balance of payments (BOP) increase export uncertainties. This study recommends optimal fiscal and monetary management to mitigate ERV and enhance trade stability, offering insights for policymakers to strengthen Zimbabwe’s trade resilience amid exchange rate fluctuations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
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71 pages, 8428 KiB  
Article
Bridging Sustainability and Inclusion: Financial Access in the Environmental, Social, and Governance Landscape
by Carlo Drago, Alberto Costantiello, Massimo Arnone and Angelo Leogrande
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 375; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070375 - 6 Jul 2025
Viewed by 470
Abstract
In this work, we examine the correlation between financial inclusion and the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors of sustainable development with the assistance of an exhaustive panel dataset of 103 emerging and developing economies spanning 2011 to 2022. The “Account Age” variable, [...] Read more.
In this work, we examine the correlation between financial inclusion and the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors of sustainable development with the assistance of an exhaustive panel dataset of 103 emerging and developing economies spanning 2011 to 2022. The “Account Age” variable, standing for financial inclusion, is the share of adults owning accounts with formal financial institutions or with the providers of mobile money services, inclusive of both conventional and digital entry points. Methodologically, the article follows an econometric approach with panel data regressions, supplemented by Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) with instrumental variables in order to control endogeneity biases. ESG-specific instruments like climate resilience indicators and digital penetration measures are utilized for the purpose of robustness. As a companion approach, the paper follows machine learning techniques, applying a set of algorithms either for regression or for clustering for the purpose of detecting non-linearities and discerning ESG-inclusion typologies for the sample of countries. Results reflect that financial inclusion is, in the Environmental pillar, significantly associated with contemporary sustainability activity such as consumption of green energy, extent of protected area, and value added by agriculture, while reliance on traditional agriculture, measured by land use and value added by agriculture, decreases inclusion. For the Social pillar, expenditure on education, internet, sanitation, and gender equity are prominent inclusion facilitators, while engagement with the informal labor market exhibits a suppressing function. For the Governance pillar, anti-corruption activity and patent filing activity are inclusive, while diminishing regulatory quality, possibly by way of digital governance gaps, has a negative correlation. Policy implications are substantial: the research suggests that development dividends from a multi-dimensional approach can be had through enhancing financial inclusion. Policies that intersect financial access with upgrading the environment, social expenditure, and institutional reconstitution can simultaneously support sustainability targets. These are the most applicable lessons for the policy-makers and development professionals concerned with the attainment of the SDGs, specifically over the regions of the Global South, where the trinity of climate resilience, social fairness, and institutional renovation most significantly manifests. Full article
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18 pages, 715 KiB  
Article
Bridging the Distance: Spatial and Social Factors Influencing Audit Quality and Auditor Independence in Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises
by Jomjai Sampet, Naruanard Sarapaivanich and Jiradacha Wanchuplow
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 374; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070374 - 6 Jul 2025
Viewed by 234
Abstract
Audit quality is crucial, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), due to their significant economic role. This study examined how spatial distance (physical separation) and social distance (perceived dissimilarity) between auditors and SME clients influence audit quality, focusing on technical quality (the [...] Read more.
Audit quality is crucial, particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), due to their significant economic role. This study examined how spatial distance (physical separation) and social distance (perceived dissimilarity) between auditors and SME clients influence audit quality, focusing on technical quality (the tangible outputs of auditing) and process quality (the manner of service delivery). Using data from 449 SME executives across Thailand, the study investigated the mediating role of auditor independence within these relationships. The results from structural equation modeling revealed that spatial distance has no direct impact on audit quality but a negative effect on perceived auditor independence, which, in turn, diminishes audit quality indirectly. Conversely, social distance negatively impacts both technical and process quality directly and indirectly through auditor independence. The findings suggest that despite technological advancements facilitating remote auditing, maintaining some physical interaction remains vital for preserving client trust. Additionally, aligning auditor–client social similarities significantly enhances audit quality perceptions. This study provides practical implications for audit firms in managing client interactions effectively, particularly within SMEs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Entrepreneurship in Emerging Economies)
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24 pages, 524 KiB  
Article
Margin Trading and Cryptocurrency Investment Among U.S. Investors: Evidence from the National Financial Capability Study
by Ferdous Ahmmed, Boakye Yam Boadi and Michael Guillemette
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 373; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070373 - 5 Jul 2025
Viewed by 384
Abstract
This study examined the relationship between margin trading and cryptocurrency investment using data from the 2018 and 2021 waves of the National Financial Capability Study (NFCS) Investor Survey. Guided by behavioral finance theory, which suggests that cognitive biases may influence risk-taking, the study [...] Read more.
This study examined the relationship between margin trading and cryptocurrency investment using data from the 2018 and 2021 waves of the National Financial Capability Study (NFCS) Investor Survey. Guided by behavioral finance theory, which suggests that cognitive biases may influence risk-taking, the study explored whether margin loan use and margin calls are associated with higher cryptocurrency participation. Margin loans are inherently risky, as they must be repaid regardless of investment outcomes, and margin calls are triggered when an investor’s equity falls below a required threshold. The results showed a positive and statistically significant association between margin activity and cryptocurrency investment. Specifically, individuals with a margin loan were 17 percentage points more likely to invest in cryptocurrency, while those who have experienced a margin call were 23 percentage points more likely. Given the extreme volatility of cryptocurrencies, these results highlight the increased risks investors face when using leverage in speculative markets. The analysis is based on cross-sectional data from U.S. investors; therefore, the findings should be interpreted as correlational rather than causal. Full article
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22 pages, 541 KiB  
Article
Innovation over ESG Performance? The Trade-Offs of STEM Leadership in Top Sustainable Firms
by Iman Harymawan, Doddy Setiawan, Desi Adhariani and Atikah Azmi Ridha Paramayuda
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 372; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070372 - 5 Jul 2025
Viewed by 262
Abstract
Considered as innovation-oriented, this research was conducted to examine whether STEM-educated CEOs drive better ESG performance. Using OLS regression, this research was conducted using listed companies assessed for their ESG performance on Sustainalytics in 2022 and identified as “top sustainable companies”, encompassing 1039 [...] Read more.
Considered as innovation-oriented, this research was conducted to examine whether STEM-educated CEOs drive better ESG performance. Using OLS regression, this research was conducted using listed companies assessed for their ESG performance on Sustainalytics in 2022 and identified as “top sustainable companies”, encompassing 1039 observations. The findings of this research reveal that STEM-educated CEOs are negatively associated with ESG performance in the top sustainable companies. Robustness analysis was also conducted to prevent endogeneity issues. This study introduces the novel idea of strategic trade-offs in ESG leadership. While STEM leaders drive innovation, their focus might lead to underinvestment in other crucial ESG aspects within already-sustainable firms. In addition, this research offers a contribution to governance and ESG research by bringing new insight on CEO selection for top ESG companies to better consider a balanced skillset beyond technological solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
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14 pages, 244 KiB  
Article
How Capital Leases Affect Firm Performance: An Analysis in the Shipping Industry
by Ioannis C. Negkakis
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 371; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070371 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 229
Abstract
This study examines the effects of capital lease arrangements on the operating performance of shipping firms as proxied by Return on Assets (ROA). The maritime industry is highly capital-intensive, often requiring substantial investments in fleet acquisition and maintenance, making ROA particularly relevant as [...] Read more.
This study examines the effects of capital lease arrangements on the operating performance of shipping firms as proxied by Return on Assets (ROA). The maritime industry is highly capital-intensive, often requiring substantial investments in fleet acquisition and maintenance, making ROA particularly relevant as it captures the effectiveness of firms in utilizing their leased and owned assets to generate operating income. As such, many firms rely on lease arrangements to access necessary resources while preserving liquidity and financial flexibility. Using an international sample of 209 shipping firms, we estimate fixed effects regressions to assess the relationship between lease intensity and performance of the shipping firms. The findings reveal that capital lease intensity is positively associated with operating performance, indicating that leasing can be a value-enhancing financing strategy in this sector. However, the performance benefits of capital leases diminish under IFRS 16 reporting, particularly for firms with higher leverage. These findings offer important implications for investors, regulators, and managers evaluating capital structure decisions and financial reporting strategies in capital-intensive industries post-IFRS 16 implementation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bridging Financial Integrity and Sustainability)
43 pages, 7399 KiB  
Article
Analysis of the Effectiveness of Classical Models in Forecasting Volatility and Market Dynamics: Insights from the MASI and MASI ESG Indices in Morocco
by Oumaima Hamou, Mohamed Oudgou and Abdeslam Boudhar
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 370; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070370 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 336
Abstract
This research evaluates the effectiveness of traditional models in predicting movements in the Moroccan financial market, with a focus on the MASI and MASI ESG indices. As environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria gain prominence in financial analysis, this study examines the strengths [...] Read more.
This research evaluates the effectiveness of traditional models in predicting movements in the Moroccan financial market, with a focus on the MASI and MASI ESG indices. As environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria gain prominence in financial analysis, this study examines the strengths and limitations of conventional predictive models. The findings reveal a significant correlation between the two indices while underscoring the challenges traditional models face in effectively integrating extra-financial dimensions, particularly environmental and social factors. These limitations hinder their ability to fully capture the complexities of the Moroccan financial market, where ESG considerations are increasingly shaping economic trends. Given these constraints, the study emphasizes the need for more advanced forecasting tools, particularly models that comprehensively incorporate ESG factors. Such advancements would enhance the understanding of ongoing economic transformations and address emerging challenges. By refining these tools, predictive models could become more relevant and better equipped to meet the specific demands of Morocco’s evolving financial landscape. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning, Economic Forecasting, and Financial Markets)
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42 pages, 4966 KiB  
Article
From Optimism to Recalibration: The Temporal Dynamics of Market Reactions to Women’s Board Appointments in Saudi Arabia
by Ezer Ayadi, Noura Ben Mbarek and Ines Chaabouni
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 369; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070369 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 161
Abstract
This study examines stock market reactions to female board appointments among 34 publicly listed companies in Saudi Arabia between 2021 and 2024. We employ a multi-method approach covering 36 announcements. Our primary methodology is an event study, which we complement with two distinct [...] Read more.
This study examines stock market reactions to female board appointments among 34 publicly listed companies in Saudi Arabia between 2021 and 2024. We employ a multi-method approach covering 36 announcements. Our primary methodology is an event study, which we complement with two distinct robustness checks: the Local Projections (LP) method to capture the evolving nature of market responses and the Quantile-on-Quantile analysis to investigate how market conditions interact with the three phases surrounding the event—the anticipation period before the appointment, the appointment event itself, and the post-appointment adjustment period. This comprehensive methodological framework allows us to capture the immediate market response to appointment announcements and the longer-term implications for firm performance while accounting for various econometric challenges inherent in financial market data. Our findings reveal a negative market reaction that gradually intensifies, becoming marginally significant by the tenth trading day. This pattern suggests that investors in the Saudi market may initially view female board appointments with skepticism, potentially reflecting uncertainty about the impact of gender diversity in a traditionally male-dominated business environment. Furthermore, the evolution from 2021 to 2024 suggests a market that is progressively developing more sophisticated frameworks for evaluating female board appointments. Rather than exhibiting a monotonic trend toward either increasingly positive or negative reactions, the market appears to be engaging in a learning process characterized by periodic reassessments. Moreover, our results indicate that while the immediate event and anticipation phases yield mixed impacts across the return distribution, the adjustment period exhibits a robust and significantly negative interaction with market returns. These findings suggest that market overreactions, particularly during bullish periods, contribute to a pronounced correction effect following female board appointments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
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28 pages, 759 KiB  
Article
Sustainable Investments in the Blue Economy: Leveraging Fintech and Adoption Theories
by Vikas Sharma, Ramona Rupeika-Apoga, Tejinder Singh and Munish Gupta
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 368; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070368 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 925
Abstract
This study investigates the attributes influencing the adoption of fintech services for sustainable investment within the blue economy. Specifically, it integrates the Diffusion of Innovations (DOI) theory and the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) to examine how the perceived relative advantages, compatibility, complexity, trialability, [...] Read more.
This study investigates the attributes influencing the adoption of fintech services for sustainable investment within the blue economy. Specifically, it integrates the Diffusion of Innovations (DOI) theory and the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) to examine how the perceived relative advantages, compatibility, complexity, trialability, and observability of fintech services influence their perceived ease of use and perceived usefulness, and it explores their impact on the intention to adopt fintech services. Finally, the study assesses how the intention to adopt fintech services affects sustainable investment decisions in the blue economy. Data were collected from 224 stakeholders in the blue economy sectors in India during the summer of 2024 and analyzed using structural equation modeling with partial least squares (SEM-PLS). The results reveal which attributes significantly influence perceived ease of use and perceived usefulness. Additionally, perceived ease of use and perceived usefulness significantly influence the intention to adopt fintech services. The intention to adopt fintech services positively impacts sustainable investment decisions in the blue economy. This study provides a comprehensive framework for advancing fintech services that support sustainable investment decisions, thereby contributing to the growth of the blue economy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Technology (Fintech) and Sustainable Financing, 3rd Edition)
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21 pages, 1175 KiB  
Article
The Effects of ESG Scores and ESG Momentum on Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from U.S. Markets
by Luis Jacob Escobar-Saldívar, Dacio Villarreal-Samaniego and Roberto J. Santillán-Salgado
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 367; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070367 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 530
Abstract
The impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) scores on financial performance remains a subject of debate, as the literature reports mixed evidence regarding their effect on stock returns. This research aims to examine the relationship between ESG ratings and the change in [...] Read more.
The impact of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) scores on financial performance remains a subject of debate, as the literature reports mixed evidence regarding their effect on stock returns. This research aims to examine the relationship between ESG ratings and the change in ESG scores, or ESG Momentum, concerning both returns and risk of a large sample of stocks traded on U.S. exchanges. The study examined a sample of 3856 stocks traded on U.S. exchanges, considering 20 years of quarterly data from December 2002 to December 2022. We applied multi-factor models and tested them through pooled ordinary, fixed effects, and random effects panel regression methods. Our results show negative relationships between ESG scores and stock returns and between ESG Momentum and volatility. Contrarily, we find positive associations between ESG Momentum and returns and between ESG scores and volatility. Although high ESG scores are generally associated with lower long-term stock returns, an increase in a company’s ESG rating tends to translate into immediate positive returns and reduced risk. Accordingly, investors may benefit from strategies that focus on companies actively improving their ESG performance, while firms themselves stand to gain by signaling continuous advancement in ESG-related areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Trends and Innovations in Corporate Finance and Governance)
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25 pages, 722 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Financial Technology (FinTech) on Bank Risk-Taking and Profitability in Small Developing Island States: A Study of Fiji
by Shasnil Avinesh Chand, Baljeet Singh, Krishneel Narayan and Anish Chand
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 366; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070366 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 517
Abstract
With the increasing adoption of technologies such as mobile banking and blockchain, the banking sector in developing and emerging economies is experiencing both opportunities and challenges. This study examines the impact of FinTech on bank risk-taking and profitability in the small island economy [...] Read more.
With the increasing adoption of technologies such as mobile banking and blockchain, the banking sector in developing and emerging economies is experiencing both opportunities and challenges. This study examines the impact of FinTech on bank risk-taking and profitability in the small island economy of Fiji, spanning the period from 2000 to 2024. We employ a fixed-effects model and conduct robustness checks using random effects, pooled ordinary least squares (OLS), and the generalized method of moments (GMM) method, focusing on seven banks (five commercial banks and two non-bank financial institutions). Our analysis evaluates the effect of FinTech while controlling for other bank-specific factors that may influence risk-taking and profitability. The results indicate that FinTech development significantly reduces bank risk-taking and enhances profitability, suggesting a positive and substantial impact on financial performance and stability. The findings highlight the need for banks operating in Fiji and similar small economies to continue and expand their investments in FinTech innovations. Furthermore, the study suggests that regulatory bodies and policymakers should strengthen institutional and regulatory frameworks to support and guide FinTech’s evolution within the banking sector. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Commercial Banking and FinTech in Emerging Economies)
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28 pages, 1219 KiB  
Article
Inflation Forecasting: LSTM Networks vs. Traditional Models for Accurate Predictions
by Tormod Rygh, Camilla Vaage, Sjur Westgaard and Petter Eilif de Lange
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 365; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070365 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 355
Abstract
This study investigates the effectiveness of neural network models, particularly LSTM networks, in enhancing the accuracy of inflation forecasting. We compare LSTM models with traditional univariate time series models such as SARIMA and AR(p) models, as well as machine learning approaches like LASSO [...] Read more.
This study investigates the effectiveness of neural network models, particularly LSTM networks, in enhancing the accuracy of inflation forecasting. We compare LSTM models with traditional univariate time series models such as SARIMA and AR(p) models, as well as machine learning approaches like LASSO regression. To improve the standard LSTM model, we apply advanced feature selection techniques and introduce data augmentation using the MBB method. Our analysis reveals that LASSO-LSTM hybrid models generally outperform LSTM models utilizing PCA for feature selection, particularly in datasets with multiple features, as measured by RMSE. However, despite these enhancements, LSTM models tend to underperform compared to simpler models like LASSO regression, AR(p), and SARIMA in the context of inflation forecasting. These findings suggest that, for policymakers and central bankers seeking reliable inflation forecasts, traditional models such as LASSO regression, AR(p), and SARIMA may offer more practical and accurate solutions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Financial Technology and Innovation)
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24 pages, 2014 KiB  
Article
A Behavioral Theory of the Income-Oriented Investors: Evidence from Japanese Life Insurance Companies
by Hiroyuki Sasaki
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 364; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070364 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 274
Abstract
This study investigates the yield-seeking behavior of income-oriented institutional investors, who are essential players in financial markets. While external pressures compelling firms to “reach for yield” are well-documented, the firm-level behavioral drivers underlying this phenomenon remain largely underexplored. Drawing on the behavioral theory [...] Read more.
This study investigates the yield-seeking behavior of income-oriented institutional investors, who are essential players in financial markets. While external pressures compelling firms to “reach for yield” are well-documented, the firm-level behavioral drivers underlying this phenomenon remain largely underexplored. Drawing on the behavioral theory of the firm, this study argues that an investor’s performance relative to their social aspiration level (the peer average) influences their yield-seeking decisions, and that this effect is moderated by “portfolio slack,” defined as unrealized gains or losses. To test this theory in the context of persistent low-yield pressure, this study constructs and analyzes a panel dataset of Japanese life insurance companies from 2000 to 2019. The analysis reveals that these investors increase their portfolio income yield after underperforming their peers and decrease it after outperforming. Furthermore, greater portfolio slack amplifies yield increases after underperformance and mitigates yield decreases after outperformance. In contrast, organizational slack primarily mitigates yield reductions after outperformance. This research extends the behavioral theory of the firm to the asset management context by identifying distinct performance feedback responses and proposing portfolio slack as an important analytical construct, thereby offering key insights for investment managers and financial regulators. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
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25 pages, 468 KiB  
Review
Analysing the Factors Contributing to the Decline of Auditors Globally and Avenue for Future Research: A Scoping Review
by Thameenah Abrahams and Masibulele Phesa
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 363; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070363 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 465
Abstract
Aim: This article explores the contributing factors to the decline in the number of auditors globally and aims to provide the consequences and possible recommendations. Auditors play a critical role in ensuring transparency, trust, and credibility of financial statements. However, the profession is [...] Read more.
Aim: This article explores the contributing factors to the decline in the number of auditors globally and aims to provide the consequences and possible recommendations. Auditors play a critical role in ensuring transparency, trust, and credibility of financial statements. However, the profession is experiencing a decline across the globe. The decrease in the number of registered auditors has become a pressing issue, raising concerns about the future of the assurance industry’s ability to maintain the number of registered auditors and continue providing assurance services to public and private entities or companies. Methodology: A scoping-review methodology was adopted to analyse the existing literature on the global decline in the number of auditors. This approach utilises research evidence to identify trends, challenges, and opportunities within the audit profession. Relevant studies were sourced from databases such as ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, and ResearchGate, as well as the grey literature. Main findings: This study identifies a combination of factors driving the decline of auditors globally. Economic pressures, such as cost reduction initiatives and outsourcing, have impacted the demand for traditional auditing services. Complex regulatory requirements have increased barriers to entry, while technological advancements, such as artificial intelligence, are disrupting traditional auditing roles. Additionally, the profession suffers from negative perceptions regarding workload, remuneration, and work–life balance, discouraging new entrants. Practical implications: The findings emphasise the urgent need for the auditing profession to adapt to evolving challenges. Stakeholders, including regulatory bodies and professional organisations, must address issues such as technological integration, career development pathways, and regulatory simplification. Enhanced public awareness campaigns and training initiatives are critical to attracting and retaining professional talent. Contribution: This study contributes to the limited body of knowledge on the global decline of auditors by creating a broad spectrum of evidence. It highlights actionable strategies to address the profession’s challenges and provides a foundation for future research on sustaining the relevance of auditors in a dynamic global economy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Management)
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28 pages, 1030 KiB  
Article
A Quantum Leap in Asset Pricing: Explaining Anomalous Returns
by James W. Kolari, Jianhua Huang, Wei Liu and Huiling Liao
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 362; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070362 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 267
Abstract
This paper investigates the ability of asset pricing models to explain the cross-section of average stock returns of anomaly portfolios. A large sample of 286 anomaly portfolios are employed. We perform out-of-sample cross-sectional regression tests of both prominent asset pricing models and a [...] Read more.
This paper investigates the ability of asset pricing models to explain the cross-section of average stock returns of anomaly portfolios. A large sample of 286 anomaly portfolios are employed. We perform out-of-sample cross-sectional regression tests of both prominent asset pricing models and a relatively new model dubbed the ZCAPM. Empirical tests strongly support the lesser known ZCAPM but not other multifactor models. Further analyses of out-of-sample mispricing errors of the models reveal that the ZCAPM provides much more accurate pricing of anomaly portfolios than other models. We conclude that anomalies are anomalous to popular multifactor models but not the ZCAPM. By implication, the efficient market hypothesis is supported. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Reporting Quality and Capital Markets Efficiency)
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16 pages, 933 KiB  
Article
Decoding ESG: Consumer Perceptions, Ethical Signals and Financial Outcomes
by Stacie F. Waites
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 361; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070361 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 283
Abstract
This study investigates how consumers respond to firm communications emphasizing Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) dimensions. Through experimental design, how consumers distinguish among ESG components and how each affects behavioral finance outcomes, including purchase intentions, willingness to buy and brand trust is assessed. [...] Read more.
This study investigates how consumers respond to firm communications emphasizing Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) dimensions. Through experimental design, how consumers distinguish among ESG components and how each affects behavioral finance outcomes, including purchase intentions, willingness to buy and brand trust is assessed. Results confirm that consumers perceive the ESG dimensions as distinct from a non-ESG control message. However, the Social and Governance dimensions are perceived as closely related. Importantly, all three dimensions—Environmental, Social, and Governance—significantly improved behavioral outcomes, supporting the persuasive power of ESG messaging. Mediation analyses reveal that perceived ethicality drives these effects across all dimensions, while perceived authenticity plays a stronger mediating role for social messaging. These findings contribute to finance literature by illuminating the consumer-level mechanisms through which ESG communication influences firm value and offer strategic insights for both practitioners and investors seeking to leverage ESG as a market signal. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Finance and ESG Investment)
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22 pages, 2233 KiB  
Article
From Disruption to Integration: Cryptocurrency Prices, Financial Fluctuations, and Macroeconomy
by Zhengyang Chen
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 360; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070360 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 433
Abstract
This paper examines cryptocurrency shock transmission to financial markets and the macroeconomy using a Bayesian structural VAR with Pandemic Priors from 2015 to 2024. By affecting overall risk appetite, cryptocurrency price shocks generate positive financial market spillovers, accounting for 18% of equity and [...] Read more.
This paper examines cryptocurrency shock transmission to financial markets and the macroeconomy using a Bayesian structural VAR with Pandemic Priors from 2015 to 2024. By affecting overall risk appetite, cryptocurrency price shocks generate positive financial market spillovers, accounting for 18% of equity and 27% of commodity price fluctuations. Real economic effects are significant in driving investment but remain limited, contributing only 4% to unemployment and 6% to industrial production variance. However, cryptocurrency shocks explain 18% of price-level forecast error variance at long horizons. Narrative analysis reveals sentiment and technology as primary shock drivers. These findings demonstrate cryptocurrency’s deep financial system integration with important inflation implications for monetary policy. Full article
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21 pages, 328 KiB  
Article
Impact of Digitalization on Sustainable Development: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing Economies
by Nahed Zghidi and Riadh Trabelsi
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 359; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070359 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 304
Abstract
The role of digitization in promoting Sustainable Development (SD), as a key topic in recent scientific research, remains a subject of debate. In order to investigate this, a panel dataset covering 28 developed and 27 developing countries from 2000 to 2020 was used [...] Read more.
The role of digitization in promoting Sustainable Development (SD), as a key topic in recent scientific research, remains a subject of debate. In order to investigate this, a panel dataset covering 28 developed and 27 developing countries from 2000 to 2020 was used to assess the impact of the digital economy on SD. The findings show that while digital indicators have varying effects on the Human Development Index (HDI), factors like mobile subscriptions, internet users, and broadband access significantly influence human development, with impacts differing by country’s development level. These results offer nuanced insights for policymakers, highlighting that digital transformation must be supported by adequate infrastructure, institutional quality, and inclusive policies to effectively contribute to sustainable development in developing countries. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Finance for Fair Green Transition)
26 pages, 2184 KiB  
Article
Analyzing the Criteria of Private Equity Investment in Emerging Markets: The Case of Tunisia
by Amira Neffati, Wided Khiari, Azhaar Lajmi and Farah Mejri
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 358; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070358 - 1 Jul 2025
Viewed by 286
Abstract
Restrictive conditions that financial institutions require on credit allocation remain the main constraints to developing and creating new businesses. In this context, the concept of private equity came to fill this problem. However, because it is a riskier business, investors thoroughly assess before [...] Read more.
Restrictive conditions that financial institutions require on credit allocation remain the main constraints to developing and creating new businesses. In this context, the concept of private equity came to fill this problem. However, because it is a riskier business, investors thoroughly assess before investing in a firm’s capital. This work aims to analyze the criteria of private equity investment and explore how Tunisian private equity investors make investment decisions. The methodology applied aligns with prior works studying investment criteria used by private equity investors. Results show that 100% of investors prefer to invest in firms that aim to achieve some growth and are in the development phase. In addition, under informational asymmetry between entrepreneurs and investors, the latter place greater importance on the business plan, information gathered during interviews with promoters, and information on the products. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Trends and Innovations in Corporate Finance and Governance)
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