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Risks, Volume 11, Issue 3

2023 March - 17 articles

Cover Story: Risk analysis in motor insurance aims to identify factors that increase the frequency of accidents. Telematics data is used to measure behavioural information of drivers. Contextual variables include temperature, rain, sunshine, wind, and traffic conditions that are external to the driver but that may also influence the probability of having an accident, as well as vehicle and personal characteristics. A sample of drivers in Spain in 2018–2019 is analysed with information on claiming frequency per month, combined with weather data, revealing that external factors affect the expected claims frequencies. Reckless speeding behaviour and intense urban circulation increase the risk of an accident, which also increases with windy conditions. View this paper
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Articles (17)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
10,037 Views
22 Pages

20 March 2023

We propose a model for risk adjustment, in the context of IFRS 17, for surrender risk. Surrender rates are assumed to follow a stochastic process, underpinned by data. The distribution of the present value of future individual cash flows is calculate...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
7,713 Views
15 Pages

Gender Pension Gap in EU Countries: A Between-Group Inequality Approach

  • Antonio Abatemarco,
  • Elena Lagomarsino and
  • Maria Russolillo

20 March 2023

Pension entitlements are influenced by individual career paths and labor market conditions, which often result in gender-based disparities. Women face several challenges during their working lives, such as late entry into the labor market, the gender...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
6,394 Views
16 Pages

Backward Deep BSDE Methods and Applications to Nonlinear Problems

  • Yajie Yu,
  • Narayan Ganesan and
  • Bernhard Hientzsch

16 March 2023

We present a pathwise deep Backward Stochastic Differential Equation (BSDE) method for Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations with terminal conditions that time-steps the BSDE backwards and apply it to the differential rates problem as a...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Topics in Finance and Risk Engineering—In Memory of Peter Carr)
  • Review
  • Open Access
35 Citations
20,745 Views
24 Pages

14 March 2023

The COVID-19 pandemic has been an extraordinary event, the type of event that rarely occurs but that has major impacts on the stock market. The pandemic has created high volatility and caused extreme fluctuations in the stock market. The stock market...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
27,333 Views
16 Pages

A Forward-Looking IFRS 9 Methodology, Focussing on the Incorporation of Macroeconomic and Macroprudential Information into Expected Credit Loss Calculation

  • Douw Gerbrand Breed,
  • Jacques Hurter,
  • Mercy Marimo,
  • Matheba Raletjene,
  • Helgard Raubenheimer,
  • Vibhu Tomar and
  • Tanja Verster

14 March 2023

The International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9 relates to the recognition of an entity’s financial asset/liability in its financial statement, and includes an expected credit loss (ECL) framework for recognising impairment. The quantif...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Credit Risk Management: Volume II)
  • Article
  • Open Access
37 Citations
14,087 Views
22 Pages

The Impact of Blockchain on the Quality of Accounting Information: An Iraqi Case Study

  • Bashaer Khudhair Abbas Alkafaji,
  • Mahmoud Lari Dashtbayaz and
  • Mahdi Salehi

10 March 2023

This paper aims to investigate the impact of blockchain on the quality of the information in listed and non-listed companies in Iraq; the temporal scope of this study is 2022. The statistical population of this research is divided into two parts: one...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Accounting, Financial Reporting, and Disclosure)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,961 Views
15 Pages

A Note on a Modified Parisian Ruin Concept

  • Eric C. K. Cheung and
  • Jeff T. Y. Wong

9 March 2023

Traditionally, Parisian ruin is said to occur when the insurer’s surplus process has stayed below level zero continuously for a certain grace period. Inspired by this concept, in this paper we propose a modification by assuming that once a grac...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Interplay between Financial and Actuarial Mathematics II)
  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,326 Views
18 Pages

Weather Conditions and Telematics Panel Data in Monthly Motor Insurance Claim Frequency Models

  • Jan Reig Torra,
  • Montserrat Guillen,
  • Ana M. Pérez-Marín,
  • Lorena Rey Gámez and
  • Giselle Aguer

9 March 2023

Risk analysis in motor insurance aims to identify factors that increase the frequency of accidents. Telematics data is used to measure behavioural information of drivers. Contextual variables include temperature, rain, wind and traffic conditions tha...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risks: Feature Papers 2023)
  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,663 Views
16 Pages

8 March 2023

The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of financial performance on the tone used in the chief executive officer (CEO) statements of South Africa’s (SA) top 40 JSE-listed companies in the 2021 financial year. This study implements t...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Accounting, Financial Reporting, and Disclosure)
  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
6,427 Views
15 Pages

An Analysis of the Readability of the Chairman’s Statement in South Africa

  • Sinethemba Mankayi,
  • Frank Ranganai Matenda and
  • Mabutho Sibanda

7 March 2023

Board members and the chairman of the board must provide shareholders and other stakeholders with annual reports that include the chairman’s statement. The statement provides an important message to stakeholders concerning financial performance...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Accounting, Financial Reporting, and Disclosure)
  • Article
  • Open Access
26 Citations
16,186 Views
21 Pages

6 March 2023

This study uses a panel data regression model to investigate how internal and external factors affect the profitability of city commercial banks in China. The research sample consists of 16 listed city commercial banks with an unbalanced dataset cove...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
6,513 Views
33 Pages

6 March 2023

We study the convergence of the binomial, trinomial, and more generally m-nomial tree schemes when evaluating certain European path-independent options in the Black–Scholes setting. To our knowledge, the results here are the first for trinomial...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Computational Finance and Risk Analysis in Insurance II)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,224 Views
11 Pages

23 February 2023

This study presents an easy-to-handle approach to measuring the severity of reinsurance that faces a system of dependent claims, where the reinsurance contracts are of excess loss or proportional loss. The proposed approach is a natural generalizatio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
37 Citations
45,807 Views
15 Pages

Cryptocurrency Risks, Fraud Cases, and Financial Performance

  • David S. Kerr,
  • Karen A. Loveland,
  • Katherine Taken Smith and
  • Lawrence Murphy Smith

23 February 2023

In this study, we examine major cryptocurrencies, present notable fraud cases, describe fraud risks, and analyze cryptocurrency financial performance. People debate whether cryptocurrency is an investment opportunity, the new Dutch Tulip Bubble, or a...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Cryptocurrencies and Risk Management)
  • Review
  • Open Access
24 Citations
9,823 Views
14 Pages

22 February 2023

Policymakers’ attempts to prevent gambling-related harm are affected by the ‘gamblification’ of, for example, video games and investing. This review highlights related issues posed by cryptocurrencies, which are decentralised and vo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,550 Views
21 Pages

21 February 2023

Logistic regression is a very popular binary classification technique in many industries, particularly in the financial service industry. It has been used to build credit scorecards, estimate the probability of default or churn, identify the next bes...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,291 Views
29 Pages

Current and Expected Development of Corporate Strategies for Managing Environmental Risks in Hungary

  • Hajnalka Fekete-Berzsenyi,
  • Katalin Molnárné Barna and
  • Melinda Koczor-Keul

21 February 2023

Environmental challenges often present businesses with unexpected situations, and in order to address them, innovation in the direction of sustainability must become an unavoidable activity. This entails the transformation and development of the exis...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Advance of Risk Management Models)
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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091