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11 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,549 Views
17 Pages

22 May 2020

One of the main issues addressed in any engineering design problem is to predict the performance of the component or system as accurately and realistically as possible, taking into account the variability of operating conditions or the uncertainty on...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,501 Views
20 Pages

17 July 2020

In the last three decades computer simulation tools have achieved wide spread use in the design and analysis of engineering devices. This has shortened the overall product design cycle (physical experiments may be impossible during early design stage...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,244 Views
25 Pages

30 September 2020

Efficient Robust Design Optimization (RDO) strategies coupling a parsimonious uncertainty quantification (UQ) method with a surrogate-based multi-objective genetic algorithm (SMOGA) are investigated for a test problem in computational fluid dynamics...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
2,530 Views
22 Pages

Uncertainty Quantification Analysis of Exhaust Gas Plume in a Crosswind

  • Carlo Cravero,
  • Davide De Domenico and
  • Davide Marsano

19 April 2023

The design of naval exhaust funnels has to take into account the interaction between the hot gases and topside structures, which usually includes critical electronic devices. Being able to predict the propagation trajectory, shape and temperature dis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,178 Views
15 Pages

30 October 2023

This paper investigates the adequacy of radial basis function (RBF)-based models as surrogates in uncertainty quantification (UQ) and CFD shape optimization; for the latter, problems with and without uncertainties are considered. In UQ, these are use...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,844 Views
21 Pages

19 October 2021

This paper presents an algorithm for efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) in the presence of many uncertainties that follow a nonstandard distribution (e.g., lognormal). Using the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE), the algorithm builds surrogate...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,112 Views
21 Pages

Data-Driven Prior Construction in Hilbert Spaces for Bayesian Optimization

  • Carol Santos Almonte,
  • Oscar Sanchez Jimenez,
  • Eduardo Souza de Cursi and
  • Emmanuel Pagnacco

3 September 2025

We propose a variant of Bayesian optimization in which probability distributions are constructed using uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques. In this context, UQ techniques rely on a Hilbert basis expansion to infer probability distributions fro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,958 Views
19 Pages

1 March 2023

In the Dempster–Shafer evidence theory framework, extremum analysis, which should be repeatedly executed for uncertainty quantification (UQ), produces a heavy computational burden, particularly for a high-dimensional uncertain system with multi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,117 Views
13 Pages

17 October 2025

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for predicting solute transport in heterogeneous porous media, with applications in groundwater management and contaminant remediation. Traditional UQ methods, such as Monte Carlo (MC) simulations, are comp...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
4,157 Views
23 Pages

Uncertainty Quantification in Mooring Cable Dynamics Using Polynomial Chaos Expansions

  • Guilherme Moura Paredes,
  • Claes Eskilsson and
  • Allan P. Engsig-Karup

Mooring systems exhibit high failure rates. This is especially problematic for offshore renewable energy systems, like wave and floating wind, where the mooring system can be an active component and the redundancy in the design must be kept low. Here...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
5,205 Views
18 Pages

18 February 2023

The reduction in energy consumption and the increasingly demanding emissions regulations have become strategic challenges for every industrial sector. In this context, the glass industry would be one of the most affected sectors due to its high energ...