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Climate, Volume 8, Issue 2 (February 2020) – 19 articles
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Cover Story (view full-size image) The outcome of the Paris agreement prompted the investigation of the impact of climate change at [...] Read more. The outcome of the Paris agreement prompted the investigation of the impact of climate change at specific levels of global warming. Yet, the link between the timing of global warming, the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases, and the underlying earth-system dynamics are not yet entirely clear. To understand how the emission pathway affects changes of river discharge, a proxy for water availability, and flood and drought hazard, we examined its projections in different representative concentration pathways, in Europe, at 1.5 and 2.0 °C, finding differences between emission scenarios that are generally not statistically significant. These results suggest that in studies of climate change at global warming levels the projections of the two pathways can be merged into a single ensemble without major loss of information. View this paper.