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Geosciences, Volume 14, Issue 5 (May 2024) – 15 articles

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12 pages, 1572 KiB  
Article
Evaluating the Relation of Cave Passage Formation to Stress-Field: Spatio-Temporal Correlation of Speleogenesis with Active Tectonics in Asprorema Cave (Mt. Pinovo, Greece)
by Georgios Lazaridis, Emmanouil Katrivanos, Despoina Dora, Lambrini Papadopoulou, Ilias Lazos and Alexandros Chatzipetros
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 126; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050126 - 03 May 2024
Viewed by 101
Abstract
Caves serve as time capsules, preserving significant markers of tectonic activity and offering insights into geological history. Fault geometries and past activations found in caves can be correlated with known deformational events in the broader area, temporally delimiting the speleogenesis. More specifically, cave [...] Read more.
Caves serve as time capsules, preserving significant markers of tectonic activity and offering insights into geological history. Fault geometries and past activations found in caves can be correlated with known deformational events in the broader area, temporally delimiting the speleogenesis. More specifically, cave passage formation is suggested to be affected by the regional stress-field. The Asprorema Cave in Northern Greece is a typical example of a fracture guided cave, with passage geometry influenced by relative sidewall movements, revealing these discontinuities as faults. This study constructs the timeframe and conceptual model of speleogenesis in relation to tectonic events, geomorphological evolution and hydrological zones, and verifies its relation to the stress-field. Active tectonics, mineralogy and cave geomorphology are investigated. Results suggest syntectonic speleogenesis under phreatic and epiphreatic conditions. The absence of corrosion on fault slip surfaces implies recent activations post cave’s shift to the vadose zone. Structural analysis identifies three main neotectonic phases: NNW-SSE striking faults (oldest group of structures), NE-SW striking faults with dextral strike-slip movement (post-middle Miocene), and NE-SW striking normal faults indicating extensional stress-regime (Quartenary). The last two phases affect cave passage shape causing wall displacement, highlighting passage formation along discontinuities perpendicular to the horizontal minimum stress axis. Full article
25 pages, 3660 KiB  
Article
Biogeochemical Response of the Water Column of Concepción Bay, Chile, to a New Regime of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Variability
by Luis Bustos-Espinoza, Patricio Torres-Ramírez, Sergio Figueroa, Pablo S. González, Marcelo A. Pavez, Rodolfo Jerez, Gonzalo S. Saldías, Claudio Espinoza and Alexander Galán
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 125; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050125 - 03 May 2024
Viewed by 159
Abstract
Concepción Bay is a socio-economic and ecologically important embayment whose hydrographic variability has been historically regulated by wind-modulated seasonal upwelling events during spring–summer and by freshwater from precipitation and river discharges during fall–winter. This system is subject to several anthropogenic and environmental strains [...] Read more.
Concepción Bay is a socio-economic and ecologically important embayment whose hydrographic variability has been historically regulated by wind-modulated seasonal upwelling events during spring–summer and by freshwater from precipitation and river discharges during fall–winter. This system is subject to several anthropogenic and environmental strains due to the intense port activity and the increasing occurrence of extreme natural events. This study determines a new hydrographic regime and characterizes and analyzes the biogeochemical response of the water column to changes in rainfall and upwelling patterns. Despite the intrusion of nitrate-rich upwelled waters that enhance biological productivity remains more intense during spring–summer, the system remains fertilized year-long due to the occurrence of persistent upwelling pulses during fall–winter. The hydrographic structure presented a two-layer water column that was stratified thermally in spring–summer and primarily by freshwater inputs in fall–winter. Nevertheless, the regular pattern of the rainfall has changed (a decrease in precipitation and an increased frequency of extreme rainfall events), together with recurrent upwelling-favorable wind pulses during the non-upwelling season. This new regime has altered the seasonality of the physicochemical conditions and the structure of the microplanktonic communities, with productive and sanitary implications affecting the biogeochemical status of CB. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Geochemistry)
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20 pages, 4737 KiB  
Technical Note
Mud Spectral Characteristics from the Lusi Eruption, East Java, Indonesia Using Satellite Hyperspectral Data
by Stefania Amici, Maria Fabrizia Buongiorno, Alessandra Sciarra and Adriano Mazzini
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 124; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050124 - 02 May 2024
Viewed by 205
Abstract
Imaging spectroscopy allows us to identify surface materials by analyzing the spectra resulting from the light–material interaction. In this preliminary study, we analyze a pair of hyperspectral cubes acquired by PRISMA (on 20 April 2021) and EO1- Hyperion (on 4 July 2015) over [...] Read more.
Imaging spectroscopy allows us to identify surface materials by analyzing the spectra resulting from the light–material interaction. In this preliminary study, we analyze a pair of hyperspectral cubes acquired by PRISMA (on 20 April 2021) and EO1- Hyperion (on 4 July 2015) over the Indonesian Lusi mud eruption. We show the potential suitability of using the two sensors for characterizing the mineralogical features in demanding “wet and muddy” environments such as Lusi. We use spectral library reflectance spectra like Illite Chlorite from the USGS spectral library, which are known to be associated with Lusi volcanic products, to identify minerals. In addition, we have measured the reflectance spectra and composition of Lusi sampled mud collected in November 2014. Finally, we compare them with reflectance spectra from EO1-Hyperion and PRISMA. The use of hyperspectral sensors at improved SNR, such as PRISMA, has shown the potential to determine the mineral composition of Lusi PRISMA data, which allowed the distinction of areas with different turbidities as well. Artifacts in the VNIR spectral region of the L2 PRISMA reflectance product were found, suggesting that future work needs to take into account an independent atmospheric correction rather than using the L2D PRISMA product. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Monitoring of Geomorphological Hazards)
12 pages, 4068 KiB  
Article
Impact of Vetiver Plantation on Unsaturated Soil Behavior and Stability of Highway Slope
by Fariha Rahman, Avipriyo Chakraborty, Sadik Khan and Rakesh Salunke
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 123; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050123 - 01 May 2024
Viewed by 311
Abstract
Due to cyclic wetting and drying, the hydro-mechanical behavior of unsaturated soil is impacted significantly. In order to assess the soil strength parameters, knowing the unsaturated behavior is important. Soil moisture content is an important parameter that can define the shear strength of [...] Read more.
Due to cyclic wetting and drying, the hydro-mechanical behavior of unsaturated soil is impacted significantly. In order to assess the soil strength parameters, knowing the unsaturated behavior is important. Soil moisture content is an important parameter that can define the shear strength of the soil. Most of the highway slopes of Mississippi are built on highly expansive clay. During summer, the evaporation of moisture in the soil leads to shrinkage and the formation of desiccation cracks, while during rainfall, the soil swells due to the infiltration of water. In addition to this, the rainwater gets trapped in these cracks and creates perched conditions, leading to the increased moisture content and reduced shear strength of slope soil. The increased precipitation due to climate change is causing failure conditions on many highway slopes of Mississippi. Vetiver, a perennial grass, can be a transformative solution to reduce the highway slope failure challenges of highly plastic clay. The grass has deep and fibrous roots, which provide additional shear strength to the soil. The root can uptake a significant amount of water from the soil, keeping the moisture balance of the slope. The objective of the current study is to assess the changes in moisture contents of a highway slope in Mississippi after the Vetiver plantation. Monitoring equipment, such as rain gauges and moisture sensors, were installed to monitor the rainfall of the area and the moisture content of the soil. The data showed that the moisture content conditions were improved with the aging of the grass. The light detection and ranging (LiDAR) analysis was performed to validate the field data obtained from different sensors, and it was found that there was no significant slope movement after the Vetiver plantation. The study proves the performance of the Vetiver grass in improving the unsaturated soil behavior and stability of highway slopes built on highly expansive clay. Full article
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17 pages, 745 KiB  
Article
Piping Stabilization of Clay Soil Using Lime
by Rawan Aqel, Mousa Attom, Magdi El-Emam and Mohammad Yamin
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 122; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050122 - 30 Apr 2024
Viewed by 176
Abstract
Construction of earth fill dams offers a cost-effective solution for various purposes. However, their susceptibility to internal soil erosion, known as piping, poses a significant risk of structural failure and resultant loss of life and property. Soil stabilization emerges as a practical technique [...] Read more.
Construction of earth fill dams offers a cost-effective solution for various purposes. However, their susceptibility to internal soil erosion, known as piping, poses a significant risk of structural failure and resultant loss of life and property. Soil stabilization emerges as a practical technique to fortify these dams against such threats. This study investigated the impact of lime on the internal erosion properties of clay soils, focusing on CH and ML soil types. Specimens of different lime content were prepared and remolded at 95% relative compaction and optimum moisture content. Hole Erosion tests at varying lime concentrations and curing durations were adapted to conduct the investigation. This investigation aims to optimize lime content and curing time for cohesive soil stabilization against internal erosion. Findings revealed that 2% and 5% of quicklime, by dry weight of the soil, effectively stabilized CH and ML soils, respectively, against internal erosion, with a two-day curing period proving optimal. Furthermore, the addition of lime significantly enhanced erosion rate index and critical shear strength in clay soil, underscoring its efficacy in soil stabilization efforts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Environmental Geology and Engineering)
11 pages, 1278 KiB  
Article
Feasibility of Principal Component Analysis for Multi-Class Earthquake Prediction Machine Learning Model Utilizing Geomagnetic Field Data
by Kasyful Qaedi, Mardina Abdullah, Khairul Adib Yusof and Masashi Hayakawa
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 121; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050121 - 29 Apr 2024
Viewed by 299
Abstract
Geomagnetic field data have been found to contain earthquake (EQ) precursory signals; however, analyzing this high-resolution, imbalanced data presents challenges when implementing machine learning (ML). This study explored feasibility of principal component analyses (PCA) for reducing the dimensionality of global geomagnetic field data [...] Read more.
Geomagnetic field data have been found to contain earthquake (EQ) precursory signals; however, analyzing this high-resolution, imbalanced data presents challenges when implementing machine learning (ML). This study explored feasibility of principal component analyses (PCA) for reducing the dimensionality of global geomagnetic field data to improve the accuracy of EQ predictive models. Multi-class ML models capable of predicting EQ intensity in terms of the Mercalli Intensity Scale were developed. Ensemble and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models, known for their robustness and capabilities in handling complex relationships, were trained, while a Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) was employed to address the imbalanced EQ data. Both models were trained on PCA-extracted features from the balanced dataset, resulting in reasonable model performance. The ensemble model outperformed the SVM model in various aspects, including accuracy (77.50% vs. 75.88%), specificity (96.79% vs. 96.55%), F1-score (77.05% vs. 76.16%), and Matthew Correlation Coefficient (73.88% vs. 73.11%). These findings suggest the potential of a PCA-based ML model for more reliable EQ prediction. Full article
20 pages, 1622 KiB  
Article
Carbonate Stable Isotope Data Suggest Freshwater Environment for the McMurray Formation (Aptian), Alberta, Canada
by Franek Hasiuk, Abdullah Wahbi, Luis González, Mike Blum and Greg Ludvigson
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050120 - 28 Apr 2024
Viewed by 338
Abstract
Stable isotope, trace element, and cathodoluminescence analyses were performed on gastropods and matrix from rock cores of the Middle to Upper McMurray Formation (Lower Cretaceous/Aptian, Northwestern Alberta, Canada) to characterize the extent to which pristine material remained from which depositional environmental conditions could [...] Read more.
Stable isotope, trace element, and cathodoluminescence analyses were performed on gastropods and matrix from rock cores of the Middle to Upper McMurray Formation (Lower Cretaceous/Aptian, Northwestern Alberta, Canada) to characterize the extent to which pristine material remained from which depositional environmental conditions could be estimated. Aragonitic gastropod shells retain their original depositional chemistry, and along with other closely associated authigenic carbonate components, indicate that the Middle to Upper McMurray Formation was deposited in a freshwater environment that was part of a continent-scale river system. Full article
25 pages, 7560 KiB  
Article
Geochemistry and Petrology of Reservoir and Cap Rocks in Zar-3 Pilot CO2 Storage Complex, SE Czechia
by Juraj Francu, Daniela Ocásková, Petr Pařízek, Jakub Vácha, Miroslav Pereszlényi, Petr Jirman, Vladimír Opletal and Monika Ličbinská
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050119 - 28 Apr 2024
Viewed by 185
Abstract
The planned pilot CO2 storage Zar-3 is an oil field with a gas cap in the final production stage in the SE Czech Republic. It is composed of a dolomite Jurassic reservoir sealed by three different formations that differ significantly in lithology. [...] Read more.
The planned pilot CO2 storage Zar-3 is an oil field with a gas cap in the final production stage in the SE Czech Republic. It is composed of a dolomite Jurassic reservoir sealed by three different formations that differ significantly in lithology. Previous studies left open questions on the nature of pore space and connectivity and the quality of the seal in the future CO2 storage complex. Microscopic petrography of the reservoir suggests dolomitisation in shallow water followed by karstification and brecciation with fracture-correct-dominated porosity. The seal horizons have porosity limited to the micro- and nanoscales. The oil consists of significantly biodegraded black oil of Jurassic origin mixed with less biodegraded gasoline-range hydrocarbons. Biomarkers in the caprock bitumens trapped in nanopores show a genetic relationship to the reservoir oil. Gas in the not yet fully depleted gas cap of the field is of thermogenic origin with no contribution of microbial methane. The formation water has total dissolved solids typical of isolated brines not diluted by infiltrated fresh water. The geochemical characteristics of the storage system together with the fact that the initial oil column is about 105 m tall with another 150 m of gas cap suggest that the seals are efficient and the Zar-3 future storage complex is tight and safe. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Petroleum Geology and Geochemistry of Sedimentary Basins)
18 pages, 3544 KiB  
Review
Detecting DC Electrical Resistivity Changes in Seismic Active Areas: State-of-the-Art and Future Directions
by Vincenzo Lapenna
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 118; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050118 - 27 Apr 2024
Viewed by 275
Abstract
In this paper, a critical review of the geoelectrical monitoring activities carried out in seismically active areas is presented and discussed. The electrical resistivity of rocks is one of the geophysical parameters of greatest interest in the study of possible seismic precursors, and [...] Read more.
In this paper, a critical review of the geoelectrical monitoring activities carried out in seismically active areas is presented and discussed. The electrical resistivity of rocks is one of the geophysical parameters of greatest interest in the study of possible seismic precursors, and it is strongly influenced by the presence of highly fractured zones with high permeability and fluid levels. The analysis in the present study was carried out on results obtained over the last 50 years in seismic zones in China, Japan, the USA and Russia. These past works made it possible to classify the different monitoring strategies, analyze the theoretical models for interpreting possible correlations between anomalies in resistivity signals and local seismicity, and identify the main scientific and technological gaps in the literature. In addition, great attention has been paid to some recent works on the study of the correlations between focal mechanisms and the shapes of anomalous patterns in resistivity time series. Finally, some future scenarios for the development of new activities in this field have been identified. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Precursory Phenomena Prior to Earthquakes 2023)
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32 pages, 32436 KiB  
Article
Assessment of Site Effects and Numerical Modeling of Seismic Ground Motion to Support Seismic Microzonation of Dushanbe City, Tajikistan
by Farkhod Hakimov, Hans-Balder Havenith, Anatoly Ischuk and Klaus Reicherter
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 117; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050117 - 26 Apr 2024
Viewed by 423
Abstract
In the territory of Dushanbe city, the capital of Tajikistan, detailed geological and geophysical data were collected during geophysical surveys in 2019–2020. The data comprise 5 microtremor array measurements, 9 seismic refraction tomography profiles, seismological data from 5 temporary seismic stations for standard [...] Read more.
In the territory of Dushanbe city, the capital of Tajikistan, detailed geological and geophysical data were collected during geophysical surveys in 2019–2020. The data comprise 5 microtremor array measurements, 9 seismic refraction tomography profiles, seismological data from 5 temporary seismic stations for standard spectral ratio calculations, 60 borehole datasets, and 175 ambient noise measurements. The complete dataset for Dushanbe was used to build a consistent 3D geologic model of the city with a size of 12 × 12 km2. The results of the seismological and geophysical surveys were compared and calibrated with borehole data to define the boundaries of each layer in the study area. The Leapfrog Works software was utilized to create a 3D geomodel. From the 3D geomodel, we extracted six 12 km long 2D geological cross-sections. These 2D geological cross-sections were used for 2D dynamic numerical modeling with the Universal Distinct Element Code software to calculate the local seismic response. Finally, the dynamic numerical modeling results were compared with the amplification functions obtained from the seismological and ambient noise data analysis. The 2D dynamic numerical modeling results allowed a better assessment of the site effects in the study area to support seismic microzonation and the determination of local peak ground acceleration changes in combination with regional seismic hazard maps. In addition, our results confirm the strong seismic amplification effects noted in some previous studies, which are attributed to the influence of local topographic and subsurface characteristics on seismic ground motions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Earthquake Engineering and Seismotectonics)
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16 pages, 3471 KiB  
Article
Possible Interrelations of Space Weather and Seismic Activity: An Implication for Earthquake Forecast
by Valery Sorokin and Victor Novikov
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 116; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050116 - 25 Apr 2024
Viewed by 338
Abstract
The statistical analysis of the impact of the top 50 X-class solar flares (1997–2024) on global seismic activity as well as on the earthquake preparation zones located in the illuminated part of the globe and in an area of 5000 km around the [...] Read more.
The statistical analysis of the impact of the top 50 X-class solar flares (1997–2024) on global seismic activity as well as on the earthquake preparation zones located in the illuminated part of the globe and in an area of 5000 km around the subsolar point was carried out. It is shown by a method of epoch superposition that for all cases, an increase in seismicity is observed, especially in the region around the subsolar point (up to 33%) during the 10 days after the solar flare in comparison with the preceding 10 days. The case study of the aftershock sequence of a strong Mw = 9.1 earthquake (Sumatra–Andaman Islands, 26 December 2004) after the solar flare of X10.16 class (20 January 2005) demonstrated that the number of aftershocks with a magnitude of Mw ≥ 2.5 increases more than 17 times after the solar flare with a delay of 7–8 days. For the case of the Darfield earthquake (Mw = 7.1, 3 September 2010, New Zealand), it was shown that X-class solar flares and M probably triggered two strong aftershocks (Mw = 6.1 and Mw = 5.9) with the same delay of 6 days on the Port Hills fault, which is the most sensitive to external electromagnetic impact from the point of view of the fault electrical conductivity and orientation. Based on the obtained results, the possible application of natural electromagnetic triggering of earthquakes is discussed for the earthquake forecast using confidently recorded strong external electromagnetic triggering impacts on the specific earthquake preparation zones, as well as ionospheric perturbations due to aerosol emission from the earthquake sources recorded by satellites. Full article
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26 pages, 14585 KiB  
Article
Geotechnical Characterisation of Flysch-Derived Colluvial Soils from a Pre-Alpine Slope Affected by Recurrent Landslides
by Marco Del Fabbro, Paolo Paronuzzi and Alberto Bolla
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 115; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050115 - 24 Apr 2024
Viewed by 613
Abstract
Heterogeneous rock masses that include rhythmic alternations of marl, shale, marly limestone, sandstone, siltstone, and argillite, such as Flysch, are particularly prone to generating colluvial deposits on gentle slopes, which are often subject to failures triggered by heavy rainfall. Flysch-derived colluvial soils are [...] Read more.
Heterogeneous rock masses that include rhythmic alternations of marl, shale, marly limestone, sandstone, siltstone, and argillite, such as Flysch, are particularly prone to generating colluvial deposits on gentle slopes, which are often subject to failures triggered by heavy rainfall. Flysch-derived colluvial soils are made up of highly heterogeneous sediments ranging from clayey loam to rock fragments, and they have been studied more rarely than homogeneous soils. In this work, we present a geotechnical and hydraulic characterisation performed both in situ and in the laboratory on flysch-derived colluvial soils that were involved in a channelised landslide in the pre-alpine area of the Friuli Venezia Giulia region (NE Italy). The investigated soils were characterised by the average values of the grain size composition of about 25% gravel, 20% sand, 30% silt, and 25% clay. The loamy matrix presented low-to-medium values of the liquid and plastic limits, as well as of the plasticity index (LL = 40%, PL = 23%, and PI = 17%, respectively). The values of the peak friction angle for natural intact samples were 33° < ϕp < 38°, whereas the residual friction angle fell to 23–24° at great depths and high vertical stresses, for a prevailing silty–clayey matrix. Variable head permeability tests were performed both in situ and in the laboratory, showing that the values of the vertical and horizontal permeability were very close and in the range 1 × 10−4–1 × 10−6 m/s. The soil permeability measured in the field was generally higher than the hydraulic conductivity calculated on laboratory samples. The proposed geotechnical and hydrological characterisation of flysch-derived colluvial soils can be of fundamental importance before the use of more thorough analyses/models aimed at forecasting the possible occurrence of slope failures and evaluating the related landslide hazard. The reported geotechnical and hydraulic parameters of flysch-derived colluvial materials can represent a useful reference for rainfall infiltration modelling and slope stability analyses of colluvial covers that are subject to intense and/or prolonged precipitation. However, when facing engineering problems involving colluvial soils, particularly those coming from flysch rock masses, the intrinsic variability in their grain size composition, consistency, and plasticity characteristics is a key feature and attention should be paid to the proper assumption of the corresponding geotechnical and hydraulic parameters. Full article
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17 pages, 11702 KiB  
Article
Thousands of Induced Earthquakes per Month in West Texas Detected Using EQCCT
by Yangkang Chen, Alexandros Savvaidis, Omar M. Saad, Daniel Siervo, Guo-Chin Dino Huang, Yunfeng Chen, Iason Grigoratos, Sergey Fomel and Caroline Breton
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 114; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050114 - 24 Apr 2024
Viewed by 460
Abstract
West Texas has been a seismically active region in the past decade due to the injection of industrial wastewater and hydrocarbon exploitation. The newly founded Texas seismological network has provided a catalog that characterizes the intense seismicity down to a magnitude of 1.5 [...] Read more.
West Texas has been a seismically active region in the past decade due to the injection of industrial wastewater and hydrocarbon exploitation. The newly founded Texas seismological network has provided a catalog that characterizes the intense seismicity down to a magnitude of 1.5 Ml. However, there are numerous small-magnitude events (Ml < 1.0) occurring every day that are not analyzed and reported, due to the prohibitively high workload to manually verify the picks from automatic picking methods. We propose to apply an advanced deep learning method, the earthquake compact convolutional transformer (EQCCT), to unleash our power in analyzing hundreds of small earthquakes per day in West Texas. The EQCCT method is embedded in an integrated-detection-and-location framework to output a highly complete earthquake catalog, given a list of available seismic stations, in a seamless way. The EQCCT has enabled us to detect and locate 50-times more earthquakes (mostly smaller than magnitude 1) than we previously could. We applied the EQCCT-embedded detection and location workflow to the Culberson and Mentone earthquake zone (CMEZ) in West Texas and detected thousands of earthquakes per month for consecutively three months. Further relocation of the new catalog revealed an unprecedentedly high-resolution and precise depiction of shallow and deep basement-rooted faults. The highly complete catalog also offers significant insights into the seismo-tectonic status of the CMEZ. Association with nearby injection activities also revealed a strong correlation between the rate of injected fluid volume and the number of small earthquakes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Natural Hazards)
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19 pages, 13818 KiB  
Article
The East Variscan Shear Zone (EVSZ) and Its Regional Mylonitic Complex: A New Geodynamic Interpretation of the Variscan Axial Zone in Sardinia (Italy)?
by Federico Mantovani and Franco Marco Elter
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 113; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050113 - 24 Apr 2024
Viewed by 383
Abstract
Sardinia (Italy) represents one of the most comprehensive cross-sections of the Variscan orogen. The metamorphic and structural complexity characterizing its axial zone still presents many unresolved issues in the current state of knowledge. The data presented from the structural study of the entire [...] Read more.
Sardinia (Italy) represents one of the most comprehensive cross-sections of the Variscan orogen. The metamorphic and structural complexity characterizing its axial zone still presents many unresolved issues in the current state of knowledge. The data presented from the structural study of the entire axial zone of this area have allowed the authors to propose a subdivision into two new structural complexes. In particular, a younger complex is identified as the New Gneiss Complex, containing remnants of an older and higher-grade metamorphic complex defined as the Old Gneiss Complex. The structural and geometric relationships between the two complexes suggest the redefinition of the axial zone of Sardinia as part of the intracontinental East Variscan Shear Zone/medium-temperature Regional Mylonitic Complex. Comparable relationships are also highlighted in many other areas of the Variscan chain (e.g., Morocco, Corsica, Maures Massif, and Argentera Massif). Extending this new structural interpretation to other axial zones of the South European Variscan orogen could provide new hints for reconstructing the collision boundaries between Gondwana and Laurussia in the late Carboniferous to the early Permian periods. Full article
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15 pages, 9232 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Wildfire Susceptibility by Weight of Evidence, Using Geomorphological and Environmental Factors in the Marche Region, Central Italy
by Matteo Gentilucci, Maurizio Barbieri, Hamed Younes, Hadji Rihab and Gilberto Pambianchi
Geosciences 2024, 14(5), 112; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14050112 - 24 Apr 2024
Viewed by 258
Abstract
Fires are a growing problem even in temperate climate areas, such as those in Central Italy, due to climate change leading to longer and longer periods of drought. Thus, knowing the fire susceptibility of an area is crucial for good planning and taking [...] Read more.
Fires are a growing problem even in temperate climate areas, such as those in Central Italy, due to climate change leading to longer and longer periods of drought. Thus, knowing the fire susceptibility of an area is crucial for good planning and taking appropriate countermeasures. In this context, it was decided to use only causal factors of a geomorphological and environmental nature in order to obtain a fire susceptibility analysis that can also be applied to climatically under-sampled areas. Vector data of fires in Central Italy from 2005 to 2023 were collected, and the correct areal extent was calculated for each. At the same time, six factors were selected that could have an influence on fire development, such as ecological units, topographic wetness index (TWI), geology, slope, exposure, and altitude. The model was obtained by means of the weight of evidence statistical method, which takes into account past data by reinterpreting them in a future-oriented way on the basis of the identified factors and classes. The model was validated with a test sample and shows an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.72 with a reliability that can be described as good considering the total absence of climatic factors that are known to play a major role in fire development. Furthermore, the identified causal factors were divided into classes, and these were carefully weighted in order to define their relative influence in the study area. Particularly Ecological Units with characteristic and well-defined contrast (C) values, which could lead to a more complete definition of forests that tend to increase fire susceptibility and those that tend to decrease it, allowing the latter to be exploited as a hazard mitigation agent. Full article
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