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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 13, Issue 4

2020 April - 23 articles

Cover Story: This study first analyzes the national and global infection status of the coronavirus disease that emerged in 2019 (COVID-19). It then uses the trend comparison method to predict the key point of the COVID-19 virus by comparison with severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) graphs, followed by using several methods to predict infections, deaths, and GDP in China. Finally, it discusses and assesses the impact of these results. This study argues that even if the risks and impacts of the epidemic are significant, China’s economy will continue to maintain steady development. View this paper.
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Articles (23)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,110 Citations
31,844 Views
23 Pages

In this study, we enhance the dynamic connectedness measures originally introduced by Diebold and Yılmaz (2012, 2014) with a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model (TVP-VAR) which predicates upon a time-varying variance-covariance structu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
8,677 Views
21 Pages

Interest rates are representative indicators that reflect the degree of economic activity. The yield curve, which combines government bond interest rates by maturity, fluctuates to reflect various macroeconomic factors. Central bank monetary policy i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,295 Views
20 Pages

A considerable number of studies have examined the relationship between global prices and local prices in food-importing nations, but the linkages between international prices and the producer prices of large agricultural exporters have been largely...

  • Article
  • Open Access
37 Citations
16,634 Views
24 Pages

Crowdfunding (CF) has experienced impressive growth in recent years with the development of internet and information technologies that increased the participation of the “crowd” to fund entrepreneurial projects. Young entrepreneurs, espec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
45 Citations
6,910 Views
26 Pages

Crowdfunding allows the public to donate small amounts of money to entrepreneurs through online platforms. In contrast with traditional financial institutions, this new method facilitates the financing process through direct and easy online contact b...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
5,089 Views
18 Pages

Construction of Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for Financial Market Analysis Using a Supervised Topic Model

  • Kyoto Yono,
  • Hiroki Sakaji,
  • Hiroyasu Matsushima,
  • Takashi Shimada and
  • Kiyoshi Izumi

The uncertainty in the financial market, whether the US—China trade war will slow down the global economy or not, Federal Reserve Board (FRB) policy to increase the interest rates, or other similar macroeconomic events can have a crucial impact...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
4,709 Views
20 Pages

Impact Analysis of Financial Regulation on Multi-Asset Markets Using Artificial Market Simulations

  • Masanori Hirano,
  • Kiyoshi Izumi,
  • Takashi Shimada,
  • Hiroyasu Matsushima and
  • Hiroki Sakaji

In this study, we assessed the impact of capital adequacy ratio (CAR) regulation in the Basel regulatory framework. This regulation was established to make the banking network robust. However, a previous work argued that CAR regulation has a destabil...

  • Editorial
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,478 Views
3 Pages

There is no doubt about the importance of diagnostic testing in an emergency; specifically, which range of tests is available, where and when they are dispensed, and who might be tested using laboratory-developed tests, or other diagnostic tests incl...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,808 Views
16 Pages

The Need for Shari’ah-Compliant Awqāf Banks

  • Hanan Gabil,
  • Benaouda Bensaid,
  • Tahar Tayachi and
  • Faleel Jamaldeen

Bridging global economic inequalities calls for effective financial alternatives such as awqāf banks to better attend to the needs of the poor and underprivileged. This is expected to address the root causes of poverty and ensuing economic gaps, impr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,980 Views
12 Pages

We present a deep reinforcement learning framework for an automatic trading of contracts for difference (CfD) on indices at a high frequency. Our contribution proves that reinforcement learning agents with recurrent long short-term memory (LSTM) netw...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,653 Views
12 Pages

In this paper we analyze the effectiveness of more than 30 years of efforts by international banking supervisors, working together in the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, to harmonize capital and liquidity standards for internationally active...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
9,037 Views
25 Pages

The Costs and Benefits of Bank Capital—A Review of the Literature

  • Martin Birn,
  • Olivier de Bandt,
  • Simon Firestone,
  • Matías Gutiérrez Girault,
  • Diana Hancock,
  • Tord Krogh,
  • Hitoshi Mio,
  • Donald P. Morgan,
  • Ajay Palvia and
  • Missaka Warusawitharana
  • + 4 authors

In 2010, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published an assessment of the long-term economic impact (LEI) of stronger capital and liquidity requirements. This paper considers this assessment in light of estimates from later studies of the ma...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,516 Views
11 Pages

The Impact of Tax Preferences on the Investment Attractiveness of Bonds for Retail Investors: The Case of Russia

  • Natalia B. Boldyreva,
  • Liudmila G. Reshetnikova,
  • Elena A. Tarkhanova,
  • Zhanna V. Pisarenko and
  • Svetlana A. Kalayda

The impact of tax incentives on the investment attractiveness of bonds for retail investors is assessed in the article. The paper presents a comparative empirical analysis of investment attractiveness of Russian bonds and bank deposits for domestic r...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,532 Views
40 Pages

We examine the impact of oil price and oil price volatility on US illiquidity premiums (return on illiquid-minus-liquid stocks), using the US Oil Fund options implied volatility OVX index. We use daily data from 2007 to 2018, taking into account the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
4,318 Views
17 Pages

This paper analyzes the conditional correlations between the stock market returns of countries that are members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The innovative aspects of the paper consist of focusing on three volatility indices: the oil (OVX),...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
10,840 Views
17 Pages

Deep Reinforcement Learning in Agent Based Financial Market Simulation

  • Iwao Maeda,
  • David deGraw,
  • Michiharu Kitano,
  • Hiroyasu Matsushima,
  • Hiroki Sakaji,
  • Kiyoshi Izumi and
  • Atsuo Kato

Prediction of financial market data with deep learning models has achieved some level of recent success. However, historical financial data suffer from an unknowable state space, limited observations, and the inability to model the impact of your own...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
5,452 Views
25 Pages

Relative Efficiency of Canadian Banks: A Three-Stage Network Bootstrap DEA

  • Mohamed Dia,
  • Amirmohsen Golmohammadi and
  • Pawoumodom M. Takouda

In this study, we focus on how banks can enhance their efficiency in the utilization of resources to ensure their economic sustainability. We propose a novel three-stage (production, investment, and revenue generation) network Data Envelopment Analys...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
6,908 Views
17 Pages

European Bank’s Performance and Efficiency

  • Maria Elisabete Duarte Neves,
  • Maria Do Castelo Gouveia and
  • Catarina Alexandra Neves Proença

The research interest in bank profitability and efficiency is linked to the economic situation and an important issue for policymakers is to ensure economic stability. Nevertheless, managerial decisions and the environment could play a critical role...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
6,153 Views
14 Pages

Forecasting the Term Structure of Interest Rates with Dynamic Constrained Smoothing B-Splines

  • Eduardo Mineo,
  • Airlane Pereira Alencar,
  • Marcelo Moura and
  • Antonio Elias Fabris

The Nelson–Siegel framework published by Diebold and Li created an important benchmark and originated several works in the literature of forecasting the term structure of interest rates. However, these frameworks were built on the top of a para...

  • Article
  • Open Access
35 Citations
10,148 Views
26 Pages

Risk Prediction and Assessment: Duration, Infections, and Death Toll of the COVID-19 and Its Impact on China’s Economy

  • Xiao-Guang Yue,
  • Xue-Feng Shao,
  • Rita Yi Man Li,
  • M. James C. Crabbe,
  • Lili Mi,
  • Siyan Hu,
  • Julien S Baker,
  • Liting Liu and
  • Kechen Dong

This study first analyzes the national and global infection status of the Coronavirus Disease that emerged in 2019 (COVID-19). It then uses the trend comparison method to predict the inflection point and Key Point of the COVID-19 virus by comparison...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
6,169 Views
21 Pages

Investors are interested in knowing whether sukuk bonds and shariah stock indices in the Gulf Corporation Council (GCC) region are related. This study examines the connectedness between the sukuk- and shariah-compliant stock indices in the GCC financ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,834 Views
23 Pages

Improving Many Volatility Forecasts Using Cross-Sectional Volatility Clusters

  • Pietro Coretto,
  • Michele La Rocca and
  • Giuseppe Storti

The inhomogeneity of the cross-sectional distribution of realized assets’ volatility is explored and used to build a novel class of GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) models. The inhomogeneity of the cross-section...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
8,399 Views
20 Pages

In eras of intense debates on the appointment of women on corporate boards, this research sheds light on the structure of board in Asian emerging economies by examining how women on board of family businesses separately and collectively affect the di...

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J. Risk Financial Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074