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Risks, Volume 9, Issue 11

2021 November - 24 articles

Cover Story: The risk premium of a European call option is defined as the relative difference in expected payoff under the P- and Q-probability measures. An option is regarded as (in)expensive when it bears a (positive) negative risk premium. In this work, we focus on options with a zero-risk premium, defined by the so-called zero-risk premium strike. This strike indicates the transition point from which call options are considered expensive. In order to calculate this zero-risk premium strike, pricing and physical distributional information on the return of the underlying asset is needed. We simultaneously extract this information from options data using a tilted bilateral gamma model. View this paper
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Articles (24)

  • Article
  • Open Access
192 Citations
22,309 Views
18 Pages

Digital Banking in Northern India: The Risks on Customer Satisfaction

  • Baljinder Kaur,
  • Sood Kiran,
  • Simon Grima and
  • Ramona Rupeika-Apoga

17 November 2021

The widespread use of digital technologies and the current pandemic (COVID) have fueled the need and call for digital transformation in the banking sector. Although this has various benefits, it is a disruption to the norm to which a bank customer ha...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,584 Views
22 Pages

Development of an Impairment Point in Time Probability of Default Model for Revolving Retail Credit Products: South African Case Study

  • Douw Gerbrand Breed,
  • Niel van Jaarsveld,
  • Carsten Gerken,
  • Tanja Verster and
  • Helgard Raubenheimer

15 November 2021

A new methodology to derive IFRS 9 PiT PDs is proposed. The methodology first derives a PiT term structure with accompanying segmented term structures. Secondly, the calibration of credit scores using the Lorenz curve approach is used to create accou...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
4,490 Views
12 Pages

12 November 2021

Technology is sometimes seen as a disruption that although provides opportunities for growth and development, also provides opportunities for deception, theft, and fraud. On the other hand, automation can make it easier to identify and protect from t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
33 Citations
17,484 Views
15 Pages

A Critical Analysis of Volatility Surprise in Bitcoin Cryptocurrency and Other Financial Assets

  • Yianni Doumenis,
  • Javad Izadi,
  • Pradeep Dhamdhere,
  • Epameinondas Katsikas and
  • Dimitrios Koufopoulos

12 November 2021

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the viability as compared with other financial assets of cryptocurrencies as a currency or as an asset investment. This paper also aims to see which macro variable relates more to the price of cryptocurrenc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,821 Views
24 Pages

Value-Based Financial Risk Prediction Model

  • Jiří Pospíšil,
  • Nataša Matulayová,
  • Pavla Macháčková,
  • Pavlína Jurníčková,
  • Ivana Olecká and
  • Helena Pospíšilová

11 November 2021

The model of financial risk prediction we developed and present in our paper is based on the theoretical assumption that there exists a significant relationship between actual economic situation and values. This assumption confirmed by the research i...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,725 Views
21 Pages

10 November 2021

We propose a new model in a Bayesian hierarchical framework to project mortality at both national and subnational levels based on sparse or missing data. The new model, which has a country–region–province structure, uses common factors to pool inform...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,450 Views
26 Pages

10 November 2021

This paper proposes a methodology that utilises model performance as a metric to assess the representativeness of external or pooled data when it is used by banks in regulatory model development and calibration. There is currently no formal methodolo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
3,906 Views
12 Pages

9 November 2021

In China, SMEs are facing financing difficulties, and commercial banks and financial institutions are the main financing channels for SMEs. Thus, a reasonable and efficient credit risk assessment system is important for credit markets. Based on tradi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
38 Citations
10,680 Views
24 Pages

An Optimal Model of Financial Distress Prediction: A Comparative Study between Neural Networks and Logistic Regression

  • Youssef Zizi,
  • Amine Jamali-Alaoui,
  • Badreddine El Goumi,
  • Mohamed Oudgou and
  • Abdeslam El Moudden

8 November 2021

In the face of rising defaults and limited studies on the prediction of financial distress in Morocco, this article aims to determine the most relevant predictors of financial distress and identify its optimal prediction models in a normal Moroccan e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
26 Citations
15,492 Views
20 Pages

Does Working Capital Management Influence Operating and Market Risk of Firms?

  • Ahsan Akbar,
  • Minhas Akbar,
  • Marina Nazir,
  • Petra Poulova and
  • Samrat Ray

8 November 2021

Extant empirical studies have predominantly focused on the nexus between working capital management (WCM) and corporate profitability. While there is a dearth of literature on the nexus between WCM and a firm’s risk, the present study examines Pakist...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
12,878 Views
23 Pages

ESG-Washing in the Mutual Funds Industry? From Information Asymmetry to Regulation

  • Bertrand Candelon,
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse and
  • Quentin Lajaunie

5 November 2021

In this paper, we study the asymmetric information between asset managers and investors in the socially responsible investment (SRI) market. Specifically, we investigate the lack of transparency of the extra-financial information communicated by asse...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,539 Views
19 Pages

4 November 2021

It is generally said that out-of-the-money call options are expensive and one can ask the question from which moneyness level this is the case. Expensive actually means that the price one pays for the option is more than the discounted average payoff...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
7,741 Views
14 Pages

Supply Chain Management and Risk Management in an Environment of Stochastic Uncertainty (Retail)

  • Sergey A. Lochan,
  • Tatiana P. Rozanova,
  • Valery V. Bezpalov and
  • Dmitry V. Fedyunin

4 November 2021

In the context of stochastic uncertainty and the increasing complexity of logistics processes in the retail sector, managers face a problem in obtaining accurate forecasts for the dynamics of changes in key business performance indicators. The purpos...

  • Review
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,901 Views
55 Pages

4 November 2021

Often, the claims reserves exceed the available equity of non-life insurance companies and a change in the claims reserves by a small percentage has a large impact on the annual accounts. Therefore, it is of vital importance for any non-life insurer...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
4,904 Views
18 Pages

Indonesian Hotels’ Dynamic Capability under the Risks of COVID-19

  • Muhammad Yunus Amar,
  • Alim Syariati,
  • Ridwan Ridwan and
  • Rika Dwi Ayu Parmitasari

3 November 2021

The effects of COVID-19 on tourism are irreversible, with potential reductions in income, job losses, shifting working landscapes, and visible health-related fears. These adversities are reinforced in the hospitality business, particularly for hotels...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
24,995 Views
20 Pages

3 November 2021

The paper features an examination of the link between the behaviour of the FTSE 100 and S&P500 Indexes in both an autoregressive distributed lag ARDL, plus a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag NARDL framework. The attraction of NARDL is tha...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,135 Views
17 Pages

2 November 2021

Since the 1990s, efforts have been made to reduce the damage caused by natural disasters, among which the Disaster Impact Assessment (DIA) System implemented in 1995 is noteworthy for its proactive response. The DIA System has undergone various insti...

  • Review
  • Open Access
68 Citations
17,833 Views
15 Pages

31 October 2021

Rural credit is one of the most critical inputs for farm production across the globe. Despite so many advances in digitalization in emerging and developing economies, still a large part of society like small farm holders, rural youth, and women farme...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,071 Views
18 Pages

26 October 2021

Ιmplicit pension debt is attracting increasing attention worldwide as a driver of fiscal dynamics, operating in parallel to the (explicit) National Debt. A prudent examination of a state’s fiscal prospects should ideally encompass both, with due atte...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
14,050 Views
26 Pages

26 October 2021

India is home to over one-third of all undernourished children worldwide, and it ranks 94th out of 107 nations in the Global Hunger Index 2020. Instability in production and market risks make agriculture a risky business and directly affect farmers’...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
2,870 Views
18 Pages

22 October 2021

We consider annuity designs in which the benefit amount is allowed to fluctuate (up or down), based on a given mortality/longevity experience. This way, guarantees are relaxed in respect of traditional annuity arrangements. On the other hand, while t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,041 Views
21 Pages

Equity Risk and Return across Hidden Market Regimes

  • Dmitry A. Endovitsky,
  • Viacheslav V. Korotkikh and
  • Denis A. Khripushin

22 October 2021

The key to understanding the dynamics of stock markets, particularly the mechanisms of their changes, is in the concept of the market regime. It is regarded as a regular transition from one state to another. Although the market agenda is never the sa...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,474 Views
11 Pages

The Competency Niche: An Exploratory Study

  • Zbysław Dobrowolski,
  • Grzegorz Drozdowski and
  • Józef Ledzianowski

21 October 2021

In the era of a turbulent and less-predictable business environment, as confirmed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the ability to efficiently use human resources has become particularly important. There is a need to reduce employees' competency niche, and c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,357 Views
15 Pages

20 October 2021

This exploratory study aims to understand why, and propose remedies for, the treatment of political risk and sustainability as siloed risk areas in risk analyses. I employ an interdisciplinary theoretical approach that focuses on the roles of values...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091