In carbon sequestration in saline aquifers, many factors affect multiphase fluid migration and reservoir pressure change. This study developed a high-resolution three-dimensional numerical model to investigate large-scale CO
2 geological storage in the Ordovician carbonate aquifer of the Tarim Basin, China. This study
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In carbon sequestration in saline aquifers, many factors affect multiphase fluid migration and reservoir pressure change. This study developed a high-resolution three-dimensional numerical model to investigate large-scale CO
2 geological storage in the Ordovician carbonate aquifer of the Tarim Basin, China. This study focuses on the quantitative prediction of CO
2 plume migration, multiphase flow interactions between supercritical CO
2 and brine, and formation pressure evolution under coupled injection operations. Injection strategies were compared by constant rate (CR) and variable rate (VR) injection, and two caprock morphology-type selection by placing wells into monocline traps (wells 1/3/5) and anticline traps (wells 2/4) with varying limb dip angles and closure depths. The results demonstrate that both injection speed and caprock morphology strongly control CO
2 trapping evolution and storage security. At the end of the 500-year simulation, the dissolved-CO
2 migration distance followed the order CR > VR, indicating that, under the studied conditions, VR injection most effectively limited the lateral spread of dissolved CO
2 and thereby enhanced dissolved-CO
2 immobilization. In addition, CR and VR injection schedules have a subtle impact on long-term pressure change; Across all cases, formation pressure remained below the caprock breakthrough pressure. CR injection promotes the fastest CO
2 dissolution and pressure dissipation but yields the weakest long-term immobilization, whereas VR injection trades early dissolution rate for more effective plume containment. This result indicates that injection-strategy selection should be matched to dominant site controlled near-term pressure management versus long-term containment and to the trapping behavior imposed by caprock morphology. This study provides a mechanistically grounded optimization framework linking injection-speed control and caprock morphology to the coupled evolution of pressure-buildup safety and long-term CO
2 immobilization, supporting CCUS decision-making in the Tarim Basin.
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