High-resolution mapping of urban surface CO
2 is essential for refined carbon monitoring, emission management, and low-carbon urban planning. Mobile monitoring provides dense street-level observations, but raw CO
2 measurements are often affected by transient traffic disturbances, vehicle idling, and localized plume events,
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High-resolution mapping of urban surface CO
2 is essential for refined carbon monitoring, emission management, and low-carbon urban planning. Mobile monitoring provides dense street-level observations, but raw CO
2 measurements are often affected by transient traffic disturbances, vehicle idling, and localized plume events, which limits their direct use as stable spatial mapping targets. This study developed an integrated framework for predicting, mapping, and interpreting stable surface CO
2 patterns in Shenzhen by combining vehicle mobile observations, CSF processing, multiscale remote sensing predictors, machine learning. A CSF-based lower-envelope filter was used to suppress short-duration positive peaks and extract a more stable CO
2 accumulation signal from mobile observations. Multiscale predictors representing transportation, urban activity, surface environment, and built form were constructed to characterize both local and surrounding urban contexts. Compared with raw CO
2, the CSF-processed target substantially improved prediction performance. The best validation R
2 across the candidate models increased from 0.59 to 0.90 in April and from 0.62 to 0.93 in November. The predicted maps identified persistent high-CO
2 areas in central and southwestern Shenzhen. SHAP results showed that transport networks and urban activity reinforced surface CO
2 accumulation, whereas vegetation and open-surface contexts weakened accumulation at broader spatial ranges. These findings provide an interpretable framework for high-resolution urban CO
2 mapping and refined low-carbon governance.
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