1. Introduction
Environmental health remains a topic of ongoing discussion in the literature. The observation is clear; the more time passes, the more remarkable it is that the environment degrades. This progressive environmental decline is caused by several activities such as deforestation, pollution, or burning of fossil fuels; these activities have created in the environment what is called the triple crisis, which is climate change, nature loss, and pollution [
1]. Extreme heat waves, cyclones, and the disappearance of species are representations of the unprecedented crisis that the environment is undergoing. G7 countries, a political and economic organization made up of the United States, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, are among the most advanced and influential economies in the world. The G7 countries have achieved this dominant economic position thanks to their deep integration into globalization and their capacity for financial innovation, which have largely fueled their exceptional growth. Yet this economic success hides an alarming paradox. While these nations have considerable resources, they are still polluting [
2], and they account for 23% of global energy consumption and emit 44% of the global CO
2 emissions [
3]. Their investment in environmental technologies remains derisory given the scale of the environmental damage they cause. Their commercial and financial power, instead of acting as a lever for an ecological transition, seems to accelerate the planet’s degradation. This study therefore proposes to analyze the real effects of economic globalization, economic growth, financial innovation, and environmental technology in G7 countries. It will be necessary to analyze how these mechanisms, although they have contributed to the prosperity of the G7 countries, impact the environment.
Economic globalization is a complex and multidimensional process that transforms economic, cultural, technological, and even political relations on a global scale. It is considered to be one of the major contributors to pollution and environmental degradation [
4]. The involvement of the G7 countries in globalization is not only enormous but also important for the rest of the world [
5]. The G7 countries’ globalization index is 70.95%, which is 35% more than the world’s average degree of globalization [
6]. These countries have demonstrated an incredible capacity for innovation throughout their history. They are at the base of creations such as smartphones, cars, the internet, and computers, to name a few. These innovations have made progress in the world but also caused enormous damage to the environment. The transfer of these creations to other countries is done either by planes, trucks, and ships, means of transport that require enormous consumption of fossil energy and exert enormous degrading pressures on the quality of the environment. The exports of all these technologies are major sources of revenue for each of the G7 countries, so it is almost impossible for them to detach themselves from them. The more they are involved in ongoing globalization, the more the environment is degraded. It is then necessary to find solutions that allow globalization and environmental well-being to be aligned at the same time.
In addition, financial innovation also plays a crucial role in the state of the environment because it makes available to populations services such as new types of loans and investment options. Financial innovation provides additional resources that can be used to invest in projects such as construction, agriculture, information, and renewable energy sectors. More funds are being directed to degrading industries and the expansion of economic activities, resulting in environmental degradation. Little money is invested in environmental technologies, which are used to finance all other activities. A massive shift in investment to environmental technologies would go a long way towards improving environmental health because environmental technology has the ability to mitigate the negative impact that degrading energies have on the environment [
6].
This study aims to evaluate the effects of globalization, economic growth intensity, financial innovation, and environmental technology on environmental degradation in G7 countries during the period 2000–2021. This research shows two innovations within the existing literature. Firstly, this study is distinct from the previous literature in that a quantile is identified at which the impact of financial innovation changes from a net positive effect to a net negative effect. Secondly, in contrast to the assumption of ‘linear efficiency,’ this study reveals a ‘decoupling lag’ in the G7 countries, in which the scale effects of industrial activities outstrip the growth in environmental technology, as indicated by the patents filed in the countries.
The novelty of the performance of this research lies in its capacity to reconcile the contradictory findings of the Pollution Haven Hypothesis and the Green Finance Theory within a heterogenous structure. This research offers a distinct marginal contribution by challenging the assumption of linear efficiency in environmental policy for advanced economies. Unlike traditional studies that assume a uniform impact of technology, this paper identifies a ‘decoupling lag’ in G7 countries, where the scale of industrial activities continues to outstrip the growth of environmental technology. Furthermore, the study provides a novel distributional mapping of environmental drivers using the MMQR-DKSE dual method. This approach allows for the identification of a critical threshold at which financial innovation transitions from a mitigatory tool to a driver of ecological damage, thereby reconciling the contradictory findings of the Pollution Haven Hypothesis and Green Finance Theory within a single heterogeneous framework.
To properly articulate the motivations for the empirical strategy, it is necessary to establish that this research is framed under the aegis of three fundamental economic theories. Firstly, the Pollution Haven Hypothesis retains the notion that a consequence of economic globalization (EG) is the potentially accelerated degradation of the environment if those affected treat investment and trade agreements in order to spur resource-intensive areas where costs associated with environmental protection remain low. Secondly, the Environmental Kuznets Curve retains the idea that the effect of economic growth intensity (EGI) will drive a positive rotation towards improved environmental quality when more developed countries begin to use cleaner, more resource-efficient means of production. Lastly, Green Finance Theory retains the belief that although the use of the device of financial innovation (FI) is crucial for mobilizing funding for green initiatives, it is also true that the first effect is degradation due to credit extended to resource-intensive investments. Lastly, we describe the notion for the function of a “Technology Environment” to be a mitigator under the assumptions about improved resource productivity and the nullification of pollutants.
On the basis of the above theoretical foundations, we propose the following hypotheses to be verified:
H1. Economic globalization positively impacts environmental degradation because of increased scale and emissions from trade as a result of economic globalization.
H2. Financial innovation (FI) could worsen environmental problems if its investments focus on high-emission activities.
H3. The impact of economic growth intensity (EGI) on a decrease in environmental degradation is expected to occur as G7 countries advance toward more carbon-efficient methods of production.
H4. Environmental technology (ET) helps reduce damage to the environment caused by poor resource efficiency and pollution management.
The following sections will first present a review of previous work and existing perspectives on the impact of these factors, then detail the theoretical framework and the empirical model, as well as the methods used for the analysis. Also, the results will be presented and discussed before moving to the conclusion and policy recommendations.
3. Data and Methodology
3.1. Data
This research uses a panel dataset that covers G7 countries over the period of 2000 to 2021. All the indicators present in this study have been extracted from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDIs) database [
1]. The specific definitions and operational proxies for the variables are detailed below (Also, see
Table 1):
- -
Environmental degradation (ED) is the dependent variable, proxied by total CO2 emissions kt. It represents the absolute ecological footprint of human activity and reflects the decline of the natural environment caused by industrialization and urbanization.
- -
Economic globalization (EG) is considered to be measured through the KOF Globalization Index, and is a reason for increasing integration between economies through international trade, investments, and flows of capital.
- -
Financial innovation (FI) refers to the utilization of developed, sophisticated financial products, technologies, or processes that enhance the efficiency of the market and accelerate capital formation. In this paper, FI has been used as the proxy, portraying that the financial sector is able to finance industrial development impinging on the environment in a manner based on the orientation of the sector with regard to sustainability. It is operationalized using domestic credit to the private sector as a percentage of GDP. This reflects the depth and modernization of financial services.
- -
Economic growth intensity (EGI) is measured as CO2 emissions per unit of economic wealth. It is an indicator of production efficiency at low CO2 emissions. It measures how efficiently an economy performs in relation to its production.
- -
Environmental technology (ET) is measured using the number of patent applications in the area of the environment. This is because it is reflected in the development of sustainable practices and science-based solutions aimed at reducing pollution and the depletion of natural resources.
Table 1.
Features of the variables.
Table 1.
Features of the variables.
| Variable | Proxy | WDI Series Code | Unit of Measurement |
|---|
| Environmental Degradation (ED) | Total CO2 emissions | EN.ATM.CO2E.KT | Kilotons (kt) |
| Economic Globalization (EG) | Globalization index | (Specify if KOF or WDI) | 0–100 (Index) |
| Financial Innovation (FI) | Domestic credit to private sector | FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS | % of GDP |
| Growth Intensity (EGI) | Carbon intensity of GDP | EN.ATM.CO2E.PP.GD | kg per PPP $ of GDP |
| Environmental Tech (ET) | Environment-related patents | (Specify WDI/OECD code) | Count of patents |
Even though both ED and EGI make use of carbon data, they differ in their concepts since ED measures the total amount of emissions while EGI measures the carbon intensity. This avoids mechanical correlation while offering a holistic perspective.
3.2. Methodology
In order to analyze the determinants of environmental degradation in G7 countries, we specify the below baseline panel data model:
In this specification, denotes the natural logarithm of environmental degradation in country i at time t. denotes the fixed effects in order to account for unobserved heterogeneity amongst the G7 countries. , , , and are the key explanatory variables for economic globalization, financial innovation, economic growth intensity, and technology, respectively. is the error correction error, which is supposed to have a complex structure in terms of cross-section dependence and temporal correlation.
To facilitate the interpretability of the results, a mixed functional form is adopted for the model. The dependent variable LOGED or environmental degradation is log-transformed, and so is the primary independent variable LOGEG or economic globalization, to linearize the relationship between variables and eliminate heteroscedasticity in absolute volume and index data, respectively. For this reason, the estimated coefficient will show elasticities or, put differently, the percentage rate of variation in degradation with regard to one percent variation in globalization. In turn, financial innovation, or FI, economic growth intensity, EGI, and environmental technology, ET, remain in their level form due to their inherent ratio or intensity measures. Here, the estimated coefficient reveals semi-elasticities or, in other words, the impact, in percentages, of environmental degradation variation after a one-unit (or a one-percentage-point) shock in the particular independent variable. This hybrid model approach provides statistical stability with practical relevance for G7 policy analysis.
This selection of regressors is informed by theoretical foundations from the literature on environmental economics, and it is relevant to the “triple crisis” regarding climate change, biodiversity, and pollution. In more detail, EG and EGI focus on the scale and technique effects of economic systems, whereas FI and ET focus on the modern financial and technological capabilities and their impact on ecological systems. Including these structural factors, which are quite distinct from one another, helps to reduce the omitted variable bias and ensures a parsimonious modeling of the data.
The empirical approach involves a strict sequence of the following steps: (1) the CD test for cross-sectional dependency in order to have robust results for the model, (2) CIPS and CADF unit root tests for stationarity, (3) the Westerlund cointegration test for the measure of the long-run relationship, and, finally, (4) the MMQR and DKSE methods for the estimation.
This research begins with an analysis of the fundamental characteristics of the time series in the panel. Particular attention is paid to the evaluation of the interdependencies between the different cross-sectional units of the panel. For this purpose, the method proposed by [
44] is used to detect possible cross-correlation between the observations. The cross-dependency test (CD test) is essential, as it guides the selection of the most appropriate stationarity test. When significant dependencies between variables are identified, it is necessary to use second-degree unit root tests, which are more robust than classic methods. However, in the absence of a strong correlation, first-degree techniques are valid.
presents the pair-wise correlation coefficient of the residuals, N is the number of cross-sectional units (N = 7), and T shows the number of time periods (T = 22).
In this study, the CADF (Cross-sectionally Augmented Dickey–Fuller) and CIPS (Cross-sectional Im, Pesaran, and Shin), respectively, developed by [
45,
46], were used to analyze the stationarity of the series. These advanced methods have the advantage of effectively correcting biases related to interconnections between units in the panel. The CADF regression is defined as follows:
The CIPS statistic is the average of the individual CADF t-statistics:
where
shows the t-statistic of
in the CADF regression.
Subsequently, the study focuses on identifying the key determinants of the model, verifying the presence of long-term relationships (cointegration) using the Westerlund cointegration test, and also verifying the individual heterogeneity with the heterogeneity slope test, which is applied to assess the possible low dependence between cross-sectional units. The Westerlund cointegration test shows the long-run linkage between the variables by using the group mean (
) and panes statistics (
).
is the error correction term and the null hypothesis is ‘no cointegration’.
To check if the coefficients change across countries,
is used in the slope heterogeneity test:
where
presents the modified Swamy statistic and K is the number of regressors
.The presence of significant cross-sectional dependence, validated by the CD tests, requires the application of econometric methods resilient to such interdependencies. Since the slope heterogeneity test confirms that relationships differ across G7 countries, we utilize the Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) to capture such diverse impacts along different environmental degradation quantiles. MMQR is particularly effective because it allows for individual effects to shift the whole distribution, not just the mean. The MMQR estimator captures the impact across different quantiles (
):
where X shows the vector of independent variables and
presents the
-th quantile of the instrumented distribution.
To ensure that our results are statistically valid under confirmed cross-sectional dependence, we further employ the Driscoll–Kraay Standard Error (DKSE) estimator. The approach of the DKSE is meant for estimation in the presence of spatial and temporal dependencies, obtaining a class of covariance matrix estimators robust to both. Thus, the application of this dual methodological framework provides an opportunity to analyze heterogenic and dynamic effects of the independent variables while correcting for complex error structures identified during the diagnostic phase.
To manage the cross-sectional dependence and autocorrelation, the DKSE covariance matrix is calculated as follows:
where
is the weighted sum of the cross-sectional products of the residuals.
4. Empirical Findings
The outcome for the cross-sectional dependency test appears in
Table 2. The test investigates whether innovations or shock from one country spill over and influence other countries present in the sample. Interestingly, both Pesaran and Frees tests reject the null hypothesis of Cross-Sectional Independence at the 1% significance level. This confirms the existence of transversal or cross-sectional dependence. However, the outcome for the third test, which uses the Fischer test, yields an insignificant result, with the
p-value being 0.07. This tends to establish that there exists marginally greater dependence on this dimension. Taken collectively, there exists an interdependence between environmental degradation and its controlling factors for the G7 nations, owing to extensive economic ties.
The stationarity of the variables was investigated using both the CIPS and CADF unit root tests, which account for cross-sectional dependence. The results are reported in
Table 3 and suggest that all variables are stationary. It means that they are integrated of order zero, or I(0). This level stationarity lays a sound foundation for the econometric analysis.
The results of the cointegration test, aimed at evaluating long-term equilibrium relationships between the variables, are presented in
Table 4. Westerlund’s test, as well as those of Dickey–Fuller (standard, modified, and augmented), indicate the existence of cointegration at the 1% and 10% levels. This means that there is a stable long-term relationship between environmental degradation and its explanatory variables financial innovation, economic growth intensity, economic globalization, and environmental technology. These findings justify the use of panel cointegration methods, given the structural interdependence between the variables studied, beyond short-term fluctuations.
The heterogeneity slope test, presented in
Table 5, makes it possible to check if the relationships between variables differ according to the countries within the panel. Two sets of statistics, adjusted and unadjusted, reveal significance at the 1% threshold, thus rejecting the null hypothesis of homogeneity. These results indicate that the impact of independent variables (EG, EGI, FI, and ET) on ED varies across countries. Such heterogeneity can be attributed to country-specific factors, such as national priorities for sustainable development, levels of industrialization, differences in energy policies, and institutional quality. This finding highlights the importance of adopting differentiated policy strategies better suited to the specific contexts of each country, rather than imposing uniform policies on the entire group.
The results of this research are divided into two parts. The first part is those from the MMQR model, and the second part shows the results from the DKSE model. All these analyses allow for a deeper understanding of the link between ED and EG, EGI, FI, and ET in G7 countries, while taking into account the heterogeneity between countries and cross-sectional dependencies. The Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) enables a more complex analysis of how independent variables affect environmental damage throughout the distribution as a whole. The comprehensive results, with coefficients and their standard errors in parentheses, can be found in
Table 6 below. This specific distributional mapping of environmental drivers represents a novel contribution to the environmental economics of advanced economies.
Firstly, the impact of economic globalization (EG) varies across different levels of environmental degradation, as shown by the quantile regression results. At lower quantiles (5th and 25th), the EG coefficient is positive (0.20 and 0.07, respectively) but statistically nonsignificant. This is explained by the fact that countries had a limited effect on environmental degradation. In countries where environmental degradation is low, economic globalization does not have a significant or consistent effect on degradation. However, in the upper quantiles (50th, 75th, and 95th), environmental degradation is more pronounced by 0.06, 0.04, and 0.03, respectively, implying that economic globalization contributes modestly but significantly to environmental degradation in countries where it is already more severe. The downward trend in coefficients across higher quantiles also suggests that while globalization has a degrading impact, its marginal effect decreases as environmental degradation worsens. This could be due to stricter environmental regulations, technology transfers or improved institutional capacities in the most affected countries. These results are in line with the existing literature, which posits that globalization can both exacerbate [
9,
10,
11] and mitigate environmental problems [
12,
13,
14].
The significant positive coefficients at the middle and upper quantiles, 0.17 and 0.14, respectively, show that FI increases environmental degradation. This suggests that in G7 countries, the finances are still tilted more toward supporting high-emission activities or consumption patterns rather than weighing out the benefits from green financing initiatives. The positive coefficient of financial innovation in the MMQR and DKSE equations indicates that the current progress in financial innovation for the G7 countries is positively related to environmental damage. This indicates that “financial modernization has mainly enabled consumption-driven growth and the expansion of industry, rather than using these advances to decarbonize the economy.” The studies of [
30,
31,
32] perfectly support our results and arguments.
Moreover, the results of the influence of EGI on environmental degradation in G7 countries show us that at the lower quantiles (5th and 25th), the effect of EGI is, respectively, slightly positive, 0.02 and 0.00, without being significant. At the lower levels of ED, EGI has a very negligible impact on degradation. These findings go against the study of [
20], which suggests that the first levels of economic growth are followed by consequent negative pressures on the environment. On the other hand, from the 50th to 95th quantiles, the coefficients become negative and significant. These results indicate that EGI tends to reduce environmental degradation in contexts when it is higher. In other words, in G7 countries, the moderating effects of EGI on ED become more noticeable when levels of degradation are already high. This could reflect improved efficiency of environmental policies or a move toward more sustainable growth patterns in developed economies with high economic intensity. These results and ideas explained are in accordance with the studies of [
22,
23,
24].
Finally, the most important innovative outcome of this current research is that the ‘Technology–Environment’ segment of the G7 countries is not very efficient. As hypothesized in standard economic theory, patent growth, understood as the ‘ET’ variable, should instigate instant emissions reduction; however, the results showed a positive coefficient of 0.01 at the 10% significance level. This may be interpreted as having a ‘rebound effect’; in other words, there is a significant ‘institutional misalignment’. The relatively small positive coefficient in the case of environmental technology suggests that the G7 countries are at a leadership level in regard to innovation but that until now the absolute level of the environmental and related technologies has not been significant enough, such that the growth process can be decoupled from emissions. The first results where ET reduces ED go hand to hand with the studies of [
39,
40] that explain the ability of these technologies to capture, absorb, and transform pollution into reusable resources or less harmful substances. Then, the contribution of ET to environmental degradation in higher quantiles results from institutional choices oriented primarily toward economic growth, leading to the detriment of environmental protection, as explained by [
42].
A prominent innovation of this study is the empirical validation of the ‘rebound effect’ within the G7’s technological framework. While standard economic theory suggests that patent growth (ET) should trigger an immediate reduction in emissions, our results reveal a counterintuitive positive coefficient of 0.01 at the 10% significance level. This suggests a significant institutional misalignment where environmental technologies are utilized primarily as compliance instruments rather than transformative solutions, failing to decouple growth from emissions. This finding shifts the discourse from the quantity of innovation to the directional efficiency of technological implementation in advanced economies.
Table 7 shares the results of the Driscoll–Kraay Standard Error model. The results of the DKSE model offer additional insights that both complement and reinforce the conclusions drawn from the MMQR estimations. As indicated in the model’s structure, DKSE accounts for dynamic interactions while addressing common panel data issues such as cross-sectional dependency and autocorrelation. This enhances the reliability of the coefficients’ estimates in assessing drivers of environmental degradation in G7 countries.
A unit increase in economic globalization (LOGEG) results in an increase of 0.07% in environment degradation, confirming the existence of a positive, yet inelastic, association. This result also aligns with the studies of [
10,
11]. A unit increase in the ratio of financial innovation (FI), in turn, results in the highest association with an increase of 0.21% in degradation. This supports the MMQR’s findings that unbridled financial innovation may exacerbate environmental deterioration by encouraging speculative activities with negative ecological effects or by fostering high-consumption investment patterns. It emphasizes how crucial it is to incorporate green finance concepts into G7 economies’ innovation-driven systems. This observation supports the arguments made by [
30,
31], which state that few people intend to invest in ecological projects once they obtain the required funds from financial services. This lack of orientation towards sustainable investments contributes to environmental degradation.
On the other hand, an improvement of one unit in economic growth intensity (EGI) results in an improvement of 0.01% in degradation, reflecting the efficiency factor in the G7 economic processes. These findings provide a nuanced perspective: economic growth, which is originally linked to degradation [
18], may help to lessen environmental harm when it is effectively pursued with investments in green projects or technologies [
22,
23,
24]. We found that the results in the MMQR model also pointed out that, especially in developed economies, controlled and decarbonized economic growth has the potential to reduce ED. Remarkably, ET produces a positive coefficient of 0.01 at the 10% significance level. Despite being counterintuitive, this result supports previous MMQR findings that the G7 countries’ current technologies may not be enough to counteract the pollution caused by industrial activities. It might also be a result of slow implementation, lax enforcement of regulations, or potentially that these technologies are more frequently employed as compliance instruments rather than as game-changing environmental remedies [
42]. These findings urge thorough integration of ET in core industrial and energy systems, backed by aligned policies and incentives.
In order to further substantiate the effectiveness of the MMQR approach, we carried out a joint test of the equality of the coefficients across the quantiles (Wald Test). The test rejected the null hypothesis of slope equality ( = 34.12, p-Value < 0.001), confirming that the drivers of environmental degradation in G7 countries, specifically financial innovation and growth intensity, have significantly different impacts depending on the existing severity of ecological damage. This, in effect, implies that the OLS regression would have been inadequate in explaining the environmental factors.
5. Conclusions
This research addresses the different environmental challenges that continue to grow in the G7 countries. In this study, MMQR and DKSE were used, models that allow the exploration of heterogenic and dynamic effects of LOG(EG), EGI, FI, and ET on environmental degradation LOG(ED). The results offer new perspectives on how advanced economies, despite their capacity for innovation and political leadership, continue to face important environmental challenges rooted in structural economic choices. As expected, FI showed the most permanent and constant effect on ED through the models, especially in the highest quantiles where environmental damage is already severe. This confirms the concerns that G7 financial systems remain largely unconnected to sustainability goals and continue to favor high-emission sectors that maximize profits. Similarly, LOG(EG), although it offers access to technologies and international cooperation, also contributes to the increase in LOG(ED), probably because of increased consumption patterns and carbon-intensive production chains. On the other hand, EGI has demonstrated a negative impact on ED, suggesting that qualitative and energy-efficient growth models can reduce environmental pressures. This is encouraging, especially for the G7 countries that have already begun structural transitions towards low-carbon economies. However, the weak but positive effect of ET on LOG(ED) highlights its limited scalability or misalignment with broader environmental goals, calling for deeper political integration and behavioral changes.
Policy Recommendations
The results support a multidimensional policy response. Since FI accelerates degradation most in instances where ecosystem pressure is greatest, a required green credit ratio must be adopted by central banks and Financial Regulators in G7 countries. This is a measure that forces financial institutions to first finance decarbonization initiatives and not carbon-fed sectors, focusing on the top countries in the given percentile that are currently funded by FI and therefore exhibit the greatest degradation. Also, ET does not contribute to offsetting industrial pollution in G7 countries; the Ministries of Industry and Technology need to focus on performance-related incentives rather than overall R&D subsidies. This is to ensure that there is no ‘rebound effect’ occurring because of technological progress, causing consumption levels to rise.
As economic globalization (EG) is always linked to intensified environmental pressures, the Trade Ministries need to establish carbon border adjustment mechanisms or ‘eco-tariffs’ to cope with the situation. The purpose of this mechanism is to focus on the carbon-intensive value chains explored within the study and make global trade take into account the environmental costs. Additionally, the economic growth intensity (EGI) demonstrates the potential to decrease the level of degradation; it is recommended for the National Governments to apply circular economy frameworks as the major engine of the GDP. In this context, the ‘misdirected’ character of the current growth is covered.
The marginal contribution of this study extends to the policy domain by advocating for a shift from general R&D subsidies to performance-related incentives. Because financial innovation (FI) is identified as a ‘double-edged sword’ that exacerbates degradation at higher quantiles, we propose a mandatory ‘green credit ratio’ for G7 central banks. This targeted intervention addresses the ‘misdirected’ character of current growth by ensuring that financial modernization supports decarbonization rather than carbon-intensive consumption patterns.