Search Results (135)

The present study presents long-term monitoring data on the dynamics of bedload transport processes in alpine gravel-bed river systems in Austria (Urslau, Strobler-Weißenbach) using radio frequency identification (RFID) technology. The detection of embedded RFID tracers was facilitated by the use of stationary antennas. This methodology enabled the acquisition of high-resolution data on particle transport velocities, transport distances, and sediment dynamics. Monitoring has been in operation permanently over a period of 8 years, including several intense flood events. In total, 1612 RFID-tagged stones were deployed, and the maximum measured particle velocity was 2.47 m s⁻¹. The measurements at the Urslau stream revealed seasonal variability and long-term trends, while targeted short-term measurements at the Strobler-Weißenbach stream provided valuable insights into the dynamics of flood events. The results underscore the significance of environmental factors, including the grain size, river gradient, and hydraulic parameters, in the dynamics of bedload transport in alpine gravel bed streams. Furthermore, the efficiency of stationary antennas was optimised to ensure uninterrupted monitoring. This study underscores the importance of contemporary monitoring technologies in analysing river processes and addressing challenges, including those brought about by climate change. Full article

Understanding extreme precipitation (EP) evolution is crucial for global climate adaptation and hazardous disasters prevention. However, spatial non-stationarity of urbanization relationships with EP variations has been rarely discussed in a complex topographic context. Taking the city Liuzhou in China as the example, this study separately quantified the evolution of EP intensity, magnitude, duration, and frequency on different temporal scales with Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA). Based on a finer spatial (5 km grid) scale and multiple temporal (daily, daytime, nighttime, and 14 h) scale analyses, it innovatively identified spatially varying urbanization effects on EP with more details in different elevations. Our results indicate that: (1) from 2009 to 2023, EP events became more intense, persistent, and frequent, particularly for higher-grade EPs and in the steeper north of Liuzhou; (2) despite the globally negative correlations, spatial correlations between comprehensive urbanization (CUB) and each EP index on individual temporal scales were still explicitly categorized into four types using LISA maps—high-high, high-low, low-low, and low-high; (3) Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) was demonstrated to precisely explain the response of most EP characteristics to multiple manifestation of urbanization with respect to population (POP), economy (GDP), and urban area (URP) expansion (adjusted R²: 0.5–0.8). The predictive accuracy of GWR on urbanization and EPs was spatially non-stationary and variable with temporal scales. The local influential strength and direction varied significantly with elevations. The most significant and positive influences of three urbanization predictors on EPs occurred at different elevation grades, respectively. Compared with POP and GDP, urban area percent (URP) was indicated to positively relate to EP changes in more areas of Liuzhou. The spatial and quantitative relationships between urbanization and EPs can help to guide effective urban planning and location-specific management of flood risks. Full article

Intensity–Frequency–Duration Curves (IDF curves) are a tool applied in hydraulic and hydrology engineering to design infrastructure for rainfall management. They express how precipitation, with a defined duration (D) and intensity (I), is frequent in a certain area. They are built from past recorded rainfall series, applying the extreme value statistics, and they are considered invariant in time. However, the current climate change projections are showing a detectable positive trend in temperatures, which, according to Clausius–Clapeyron, is expected to intensify extreme precipitation (higher temperatures bring more water vapour available for precipitation). According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) reports, rainfall events are projected to intensify their magnitude and frequency, becoming more extreme, especially across “climatic hot-spot” areas such as the Mediterranean basin. Therefore, a sensible modification of IDF curves is expected, posing some challenges for future hydraulic infrastructure design (i.e., sewage networks), which may experience damage and failure due to extreme intensification. In this paper, a methodology for reconstructing IDF curves by analysing the EURO-CORDEX climate model outputs is presented. The methodology consists of the analysis of climatic rainfall series (that cover a future period up to 2100) using GEV (Generalised Extreme Value) techniques. The future anomalies of rainfall height (H) and their return period (RP) have been evaluated and then compared to the currently adopted IDF curves. The study is applied in Lombardy (Italy), a region characterised by strong orographic precipitation gradients due to the influence of Alpine complex orography. The future anomalies of H evaluated in the study show an increase of 20–30 mm (2071–2100 ensemble median, RCP 8.5) in rainfall depth. Conversely, a significant reduction in the return period by 40–60% (i.e., the current 100-year event becomes a ≈40–60-year event by 2071–2100 under RCP 8.5) is reported, leading to an intensification of extreme events. The former have been considered to correct the currently adopted IDF curves, taking into account climate change drivers. A series of applications in the field of hydraulic infrastructure (a stormwater retention tank and a sewage pipe) have demonstrated how the influence of IDF curve modification may change their design. The latter have shown how future RP modification (i.e., reduction) of the design rainfall may lead to systematic under-design and increased flood risk if not addressed properly. Full article

The Late Holocene flood history of the Cauvery River floodplain in the Poompuhar region was reconstructed using a multiproxy sedimentological approach applied to three trench cores. Lithostratigraphy, loss on ignition (LOI), magnetic susceptibility (MS), sand–silt–clay textural analysis, granulometric statistics (Folk and Ward), Passega CM diagrams, and grain angularity provide complementary evidence to differentiate high-energy flood deposits from background slackwater sediments. Grain-size processing and statistical analyses were carried out in R using the G2Sd package, ensuring reproducible quantification of mean size, sorting, skewness, kurtosis, and transport signatures. We identified 10 discrete high-energy event beds. These layers are characterised by >80% sand content, low LOI (<3.5%), and low frequency-dependent MS (χfd% < 2%), confirming rapid, mineral-dominated deposition. A tentative chronology, projected from the regional aggradation rate, suggests two major flood clusters: a maximum-magnitude event at ~3.2 ka and a synchronous cluster at ~1.6–1.8 ka. These events chronologically align with the documented phases of channel avulsion in the adjacent Palar River Basin, supporting the existence of a synchronised Late Holocene climato-tectonic regime across coastal Tamil Nadu. This hydrological evidence supports the hypothesis that recurrent high-magnitude flooding triggered catastrophic channel avulsion of the Cauvery distributary, leading to the fluvial abandonment and decline of the ancient port city of Poompuhar. Securing an absolute chronology requires advanced K-feldspar post-IR IRSL dating to overcome quartz saturation issues in fluvial deposits. Full article

This study investigates groundwater salinization in a section of a coastal aquifer in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, using frequency-domain electromagnetic (FDEM) measurements. With the global expansion of shrimp farming in ecologically sensitive coastal regions, there is an urgent need to assess associated risks and promote sustainable management practices. A key concern is the prolonged flooding of shrimp ponds, which accelerates saltwater infiltration into surrounding areas. To better delineate salinization plumes, we analyzed direct groundwater salinity measurements from 14 wells combined with 315 subsurface apparent conductivity measurements obtained using the FDEM method. Correlating these datasets improved the accuracy of salinity mapping, as evidenced by reduced variance in kriging interpolation. By integrating hydrogeological, hydrogeochemical, and geophysical approaches, this study provides a comprehensive characterization of groundwater salinity in the study area. Hydrogeological investigations delineated aquifer properties and flow dynamics; hydrogeochemical analyses identified salinity levels and water quality indicators; and geophysical surveys provided spatially extensive conductivity measurements essential for detecting and mapping saline intrusions. The combined insights from these methodologies enable a more precise assessment of salinity sources and support the development of more effective groundwater management strategies. Our findings demonstrate the effectiveness of integrating geophysical surveys with hydrogeological and hydrogeochemical data, confirming that shrimp farm ponds are a significant source of groundwater contamination. This combined methodology offers a low-impact, cost-effective approach that can be applied to other coastal regions facing similar environmental challenges. Full article

Seasonal design floods and operational water levels are critical for high-efficient water resource utilization. In this study, statistical and rational analyses methods were applied to divide the flood season based on seasonal rainfall patterns. The Mann–Kendall test and Theil–Sen analysis were used to detect trend changes in the observed flow series. Both stationary and nonstationary flood frequency analysis methods were conducted to estimate seasonal design floods. The Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) in the Yangtze River, China, was selected as the case study. Results show that the TGR flood season could be divided into four periods: the reservoir drawdown period (1 May–20 June), the Meiyu flood period (21 June–31 July), the transition period (1 August–10 September), and the Autumn Rain refill period (11 September–31 October). Trend analyses indicate that the flow series at the TGR dam site exhibited a decreasing trend in recent decades. Upstream reservoir regulation has significantly reduced inflow discharges of TGR, and the nonstationary seasonal 1000-year design floods in the transition period are decreased by about 20%, and the flood control water level could rise from 145 m to 157 m, which can generate 2.288 billion kW h more hydropower (16.57% increase) while maintaining unchanged flood prevention standards. This study provides valuable insights into the TGR operational water level in the flood season and highlights the necessity of considering the regulation impact of upstream reservoirs for design floods and reservoir operational water levels. Full article

Urban flood damage is increasing globally, particularly in major cities. Factors contributing to flood risk include urban environmental changes, such as watershed development and precipitation variations caused by climate change. Rapid urbanization and weather anomalies further complicate flood management and damage mitigation. Additionally, detailed analyses at small spatial units (e.g., roads, buildings) remain insufficient. Hence, urban flood analysis considering such spatial variations is required. This study analyzed flood risk in Ulsan, Korea, under a severe flood scenario. Land cover changes from the 1980s to 2010s were examined in 10-year intervals, along with the frequency of heavy rainfall and high river water levels that trigger severe floods. Flood risk was structured as a matrix of likelihood and impact. The results revealed that land cover changes, influenced by development policies or regulations, had a minimal impact on urban flood risk, which is likely because effective drainage systems and stringent urban planning regulations mitigated their effects. However, the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events had a substantial effect. These findings were validated using a comparative analysis of an inundation damage trace map and flood range simulated by a physical model. The 10 m grid resolution and time-series likelihood-and-impact framework used in this study can inform budget allocation, resource mobilization, disaster prevention planning, and decision-making during disaster response efforts in major cities. Full article

Incorporating frequency constraints into the optimum design of large-scale truss dome structures is crucial for maintaining seismic resilience, as the natural frequencies must remain within specified ranges. In this work, seven metaheuristic algorithms—including three variants of the Fitness–Distance–Balance-based Adaptive Guided Differential Evolution (FDB-AGDE), the Cheetah Optimizer (CO), the Bonobo Optimizer (BO), the Flood Algorithm (FLA), and the Lung Performance Optimization (LPO) are applied to solve high-dimensional truss sizing problems under strict frequency limitations. Their convergence characteristics and solution quality are systematically compared across multiple dome configurations. Besides traditional measures of computational efficiency and final weight minimization, a suite of statistical analyses is conducted: the Wilcoxon rank-sum test to assess pairwise performance significance, the Friedman test to establish overall rank ordering, and Cohen’s test to quantify effect sizes. The results reveal that LPO, BO, CO, and the first variant of FDB-AGDE consistently produce lighter feasible designs with lower variability, whereas FLA and other variants of FDB-AGDE exhibit heavier structures or higher dispersion. The findings underscore the value of robust, well-tuned metaheuristics and rigorous statistical evaluation in structural optimization, offering clear guidance for seismic-focused designers seeking both lightweight solutions and reliable performance across repeated runs. Full article

Understanding rural communities’ perceptions of the health impacts of extreme weather is vital for strengthening community resilience and adaptation strategies. This paper aimed to collate existing evidence on the perceptions of rural Australians regarding the health impacts of extreme weather events. A scoping review following PRISMA-ScR guidelines was conducted. Peer-reviewed empirical articles published up to 7 May 2025 were identified from Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science. One author undertook two-step screening and data extraction, which was checked by another author, and data were analysed using a thematic approach. Of 242 non-duplicate articles screened, 34 were included, which discussed drought (n = 14), bushfire (n = 8), flood (n = 6), extreme heat (n = 4) or a combination of events (n = 2). Two main themes arose: (1) perceived severity, frequency and duration of extreme weather events; and (2) perceptions of health impacts. The second theme comprised six subthemes: mental health risks, social disconnectedness, disrupted connection to land, distress due to uncertainties, community resilience, and disproportionate effects on vulnerable groups. Evidence gaps included a lack of perspectives separated by gender and age and a shortage of voices of socio-economically disadvantaged groups. Future research should investigate how to understand rural communities’ resilience to develop targeted adaptation and mitigation strategies. Full article

Effective flood management in agricultural fields has become increasingly important due to the rising frequency and intensity of rainfall events driven by climate change. This study investigates the applicability of urban flood analysis models—SWMM (1D) and K-Flood (2D)—to irrigated agricultural fields with artificial drainage systems. A case study was conducted in a rural area near the Sindae drainage station in Cheongju, South Korea, using rainfall data from an extreme weather event in 2017. The models simulated inland flooding and were validated against flood trace maps provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis showed a true positive rate of 0.565, a false positive rate of 0.21, and an overall accuracy of 0.731, indicating reasonable agreement with observed inundation. Scenario analyses were also conducted to assess the effectiveness of three improvement strategies: reducing the Manning coefficient, increasing pump station capacity, and widening drainage channels. Among them, increasing pump capacity most effectively reduced flood volume, while channel widening had the greatest impact on reducing flood extent. These findings demonstrate the potential of urban flood models for application in agricultural contexts and support data-driven planning for rural flood mitigation. Full article

Accurate rainfall quantile estimation is critical for urban flood management, particularly given the escalating climate change impacts. This study comprehensively compared at-site frequency analysis and regional frequency analysis for sub-hourly rainfall quantile estimation, using data from 27 sites across Seoul. The analysis focused on Seoul’s disaster prevention framework (30-year and 100-year return periods). Employing L-moment statistics and Monte Carlo simulations, the rainfall quantiles were estimated, the methodological performance was evaluated, and Seoul’s current disaster prevention standards were assessed. The analysis revealed significant spatio-temporal variability in Seoul’s precipitation, causing considerable uncertainty in individual site estimates. A performance evaluation, including the relative root mean square error and confidence interval, consistently showed regional frequency analysis superiority over at-site frequency analysis. While at-site frequency analysis demonstrated better performance only for short return periods (e.g., 2 years), regional frequency analysis exhibited a substantially lower relative root mean square error and significantly narrower confidence intervals for larger return periods (e.g., 10, 30, 100 years). This methodology reduced the average 95% confidence interval width by a factor of approximately 2.7 (26.98 mm versus 73.99 mm). This enhanced reliability stems from the information-pooling capabilities of regional frequency analysis, mitigating uncertainties due to limited record lengths and localized variabilities. Critically, regionally derived 100-year rainfall estimates consistently exceeded Seoul’s 100 mm disaster prevention threshold across most areas, suggesting that the current infrastructure may be substantially under-designed. The use of minute-scale data underscored its necessity for urban hydrological modeling, highlighting the inadequacy of conventional daily rainfall analyses. Full article

An extreme flood event occurred in Slovenia in August 2023. This study evaluated the influence of this extreme flood on the design discharges in Slovenia. This evaluation was based on flood frequency analysis for the data from 33 gauging stations. Analyses were conducted with and without the 2023 peak discharge, i.e., for the periods 1961–2022 and 1961–2023, using eight different theoretical distribution functions. In addition, specific discharge values for the 2023 flood event were analyzed and compared with regional envelope curves for Europe. The findings of the study indicate that the impact of a single flood event on the design discharge values can be substantial. Moreover, an analysis of the specific discharges resulting from the 2023 flood event in Slovenia reveals that the values for all gauging stations considered are below the regional envelopes. Concurrently, the analysis indicates that a flood event larger than the 2023 event may occur in the future. Full article

Sea level rise (SLR) and increased urbanisation of coastal areas have exacerbated coastal flood threats, making them even more severe in important cultural sites. In this context, the role of hard coastal defences such as promenades and embankments needs to be carefully assessed. Here, a thorough investigation is conducted in Grado, one of the most significant coastal and historical towns in the Friuli Venezia Giulia region of Italy. Grado is located on a barrier island of the homonymous lagoon, the northernmost of the Adriatic Sea, and is prone to flooding from both the sea and the back lagoon. The mean and maximum sea levels from the historical dataset of Venice (1950–2023) were analysed using the Gumbel-type distribution, allowing for the identification of annual extremes based on their respective return periods (RPs). Grado and Trieste sea level datasets (1991–2023) were used to calibrate the statistics of the extremes and to calculate the local component (subsidence) of relative SLR. The research examined the occurrence of annual exceedance of the minimum threshold water level of 110 cm, indicating Grado’s initial notable marine ingression. The study includes a detailed analysis of flood impacts on the urban fabric, categorised into sectors based on the promenade elevation on the lagoon side, the most vulnerable to flooding. Inundated areas were obtained using a high-resolution digital terrain model through a GIS-based technique, assessing both the magnitude and exposure of the urban environment to flood risk due to storm surges, also considering relative SLR projections for 2050 and 2100. Currently, approximately 42% of Grado’s inhabited area is inundated with a sea level threshold value of 151 cm, which occurs during surge episodes with a 30-year RP. By 2100, with an optimistic forecast (SSP1-2.6) of local SLR of around +53 cm, the same threshold will be met with a surge of ca. 100 cm, which occurs once a year. Thus, extreme levels linked with more catastrophic events with current secular RPs will be achieved with a multi-year frequency, inundating more than 60% of the urbanized area. Grado, like Venice, exemplifies trends that may impact other coastal regions and historically significant towns of national importance. As a result, the generated simulations, as well as detailed analyses of urban sectors where coastal flooding may occur, are critical for medium- to long-term urban planning aimed at adopting proper adaptation measures. Full article

Given the global rise in magnitude and frequency of extreme events due to climate change, accurately determining these values—typically through frequency analysis—is especially important. The article analyzes the particular aspects of three probability distributions of 4 and 5 parameters in flood frequency analysis (FFA) using the L-moments as a parameter estimation method. Aspects regarding the behavior of the five-parameter Wakeby, four-parameter generalized Pareto and four-parameter Burr distributions are highlighted in generating the maximum flow values in the area of low annual exceedance probabilities characteristic of rare and very rare events. After applying these distributions to four case studies, it was found that for the 10,000-year return period event, the relative error between multi-parameter distributions is under 20%—a more than acceptable margin given the extremely low exceedance probability. However, its importance depends on the use of the generated values, which in some cases can lead to excessive costs in establishing structural flood protection measures (urban planning), which can be avoided. It also highlights possible negative consequences (material and human lives) regarding the risk associated with these analyses that can lead to an under-dimensioning of this infrastructure. Full article

Integrated facies and micropaleontological analyses of the late Piacenzian to early Gelasian, middle shelf to lower shoreface succession of the Strongoli area, southern Italy, reveal a hierarchy of transgressive–regressive sequences. In particular, higher rank sequences up to ca. 40 m thick, composed of transgressive systems tract, highstand systems tracts and falling stage plus lowstand systems tracts, are composed of 10–11 lower rank sequences 2.5–4 m thick. Some micropaleontological parameters were defined: distal/proximal (D/P; ratio between distal and proximal benthic foraminifera); fragmentation (Fr; percentage of fragmentation of benthic foraminifera); P/B (ratio between planktonic and benthic foraminifera); abundance (total count of individuals); diversity (sum of the recognized species). Among these parameters, the D/P and Fr are suitable, if used in conjunction, to recognize uncertainty intervals containing the maximum flooding surface (between the D/P maxima and Fr minima) and the maximum regressive surface (between D/P minima and Fr maxima). Moreover, combining these parameters with the sedimentological evidence, it is possible to recognize transgressive and regressive trends of different hierarchical ranks. The present results are an example illustrating how an integration of different types of data allows the recognition of high-frequency sequences in shelf settings associated with minor shoreline shifts, which would otherwise have been unrecognized on the basis of only one kind of data. The present integrated approach, therefore, provides a way to improve the resolution of sequence stratigraphic analyses. Full article