Open AccessArticle
An AI Digital Platform for Fault Diagnosis and RUL Estimation in Drivetrain Systems Under Varying Operating Conditions
by
Dimitrios M. Bourdalos, Xenofon D. Konstantinou, Josef Koutsoupakis, Ilias A. Iliopoulos, Kyriakos Kritikakos, George Karyofyllas, Panayotis E. Spiliotopoulos, Ioannis E. Saramantas, John S. Sakellariou, Dimitrios Giagopoulos, Spilios D. Fassois, Panagiotis Seventekidis and Sotirios Natsiavas
Abstract
Drivetrain systems operate under varying operating conditions (OCs), which often obscure early-stage fault signatures and hinder robust condition monitoring (CM). This work introduces an AI digital platform developed during the EEDRIVEN project, featuring a holistic CM framework that integrates statistical time series methods—using
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Drivetrain systems operate under varying operating conditions (OCs), which often obscure early-stage fault signatures and hinder robust condition monitoring (CM). This work introduces an AI digital platform developed during the EEDRIVEN project, featuring a holistic CM framework that integrates statistical time series methods—using Generalized AutoRegressive (GAR) models in a multiple model fault diagnosis scheme—with deep learning approaches, including autoencoders and convolutional neural networks, enhanced through a dedicated decision fusion methodology. The platform addresses all key CM tasks, including fault detection, fault type identification, fault severity characterization, and remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, which is performed using a dynamics-informed health indicator derived from GAR parameters and a simple linear Wiener process model. Training for the platform relies on a limited set of experimental vibration signals from the physical drivetrain, augmented with high-fidelity multibody dynamics simulations and surrogate-model realizations to ensure coverage of the full space of OCs and fault scenarios. Its performance is validated on hundreds of inspection experiments using confusion matrices, ROC curves, and metric-based plots, while the decision fusion scheme significantly strengthens diagnostic reliability across the CM stages. The results demonstrate near-perfect fault detection (99.8%), 97.8% accuracy in fault type identification, and over 96% in severity characterization. Moreover, the method yields reliable early-stage RUL estimates for the outer gear of the drivetrain, with normalized errors < 20% and consistently narrow confidence bounds, which confirms the platform’s robustness and practicality for real-world drivetrain systems monitoring.
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