FinTech, Volume 5, Issue 1 (March 2026) – 26 articles

This study examines the role of volatility mean reversion in option pricing and evaluates the performance of commonly used volatility estimators within a broad market context. Using a comprehensive dataset of end-of-day option chains for the 100 most actively traded U.S. equities from 2018 to 2023, we apply several established statistical techniques—including unit root tests, variance ratio analysis, Hurst exponent estimation, and GARCH modeling—to quantify the presence and strength of mean reversion in volatility. To assess the accuracy and practical usability of volatility metrics for option valuation, we compare realized volatility, GARCH-based forecasts, range-based estimators, and widely used implied volatility measures such as the VIX and daily implied volatility averages, benchmarking each against contract-specific implied volatility. The results indicate that more than 65% of the analyzed tickers exhibit statistically significant mean-reverting behavior, and that the 30-day average implied volatility consistently provides the most reliable predictive performance among the tested metrics, while range-based estimators perform poorly when applied to end-of-day data. Finally, backtests of six delta-neutral option strategies informed by these findings did not yield consistent profitability or statistically significant outperformance, suggesting that although volatility mean reversion is measurable, its direct application to systematic trading remains challenging. Full article

This study investigates how financial technology (FinTech) contributes to economic growth, focusing on whether it acts primarily as a mediator or a moderator within the finance–growth nexus. A composite FinTech index is constructed using Principal Component Analysis based on cross-country data for 2021, and the analysis distinguishes between High-Income and Non-High-Income economies following the World Bank classification. The results show that in developing and emerging economies, FinTech mainly serves as a mediator, helping to close structural gaps in financial intermediation and expanding access to financial services. In High-Income countries, by contrast, FinTech acts as a moderator, enhancing innovation and efficiency in mature financial systems. When financial inclusion is disaggregated by gender, the findings reveal additional nuances. FinTech fosters growth through inclusion for both men and women, but its effects are stronger for male account ownership in developing economies and more balanced in High-Income contexts. In general, the study contributes to the literature by developing a multidimensional FinTech index, clarifying its dual mediating and moderating functions, and introducing a gender-sensitive perspective that highlights the uneven distribution of FinTech’s growth benefits between income levels and genders. Full article

The present article examines the pioneering case of blockchain adoption in local government by the City of Lugano and discusses how Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) may support institutional innovation beyond pilot experimentation. The Swiss municipality of Lugano has developed an integrated strategy that combines permissioned blockchain infrastructure (SwissLedger), a municipal payment token (LVGA), digital literacy and payment innovation initiatives (Plan ₿), and the issuance of fully digital municipal bonds. By adopting a case study methodology, the analysis draws on quantitative indicators of platform usage, operational data, and a sentiment analysis of media coverage to document technological developments and socio-economic patterns correlated with the initiative. SwissLedger has been adopted as an infrastructural experiment for secure document notarization, public administration digital services, open-finance interoperability with optional compliance tools, and sector-specific applications. Furthermore, the Plan ₿ initiative emerges as a communication catalyst, generating international visibility and positive sentiment, alongside descriptive statistics consistent with local economic activity. Lugano’s digital bond issuances also attracted attention to the potential of how DLT could support settlement processes and transparency in public finance. Overall, the evidence gathered suggests that DLT adoption in local government is not merely a technological upgrade, but rather part of a broader organizational transformation process. The case findings also outline a set of potentially transferable elements for municipalities seeking to align innovation with public value creation. Full article

This study empirically investigates the performance of Elastic Machine Learning, an industrial, unsupervised anomaly detection tool, in the identification of fraudulent behavior in banking transactions. Using AI-generated datasets that were designed to simulate realistic banking environments, the analysis examines three distinct fraud-related scenarios: (i) abnormal associations between a single account and multiple IP addresses, (ii) bursts of cross-border transactions within short time windows, and (iii) unusually high transaction values relative to historical behavior. The results show that the Elastic platform consistently detects anomalous patterns across all examined scenarios by flagging suspicious behavior during the fraud window in real time. This study provides the first empirical assessment of the operational behavior of an industrial, unsupervised anomaly detection platform across multiple fraud-related scenarios in the banking sector, offering practical insights for real-time fraud monitoring and early-warning systems, while supporting institutional resilience and the robustness of the financial system. Full article

Green FinTech involves facilitating sustainable payments, banking, and investment; nevertheless, it is subject to consumer trust and perceptions of ‘green’ value. The literature on this topic is fragmented, with information systems literature typically considering trust as a broad acceptance construct, while sustainable literature considers it as a risk of ‘greenwashing’ without integrating credibility into adoption models. This systematic review aggregates 15 empirical studies and addresses five research questions. RQ1 examines the theoretical models applied to examine trust in green/sustainable FinTech adoption. RQ2 examines the conceptualization and measurement of trust across different contexts, distinguishing institutional/provider trust, platform/tech trust, and sustainability claim credibility trust. RQ3 examines the function of trust within behavioral models (predictor, mediator, moderator). RQ4 examines methodological characteristics and quality indicators (research design, sampling frame, reliability, and bias). RQ5 examines the direct relationship between trust and adoption intention using meta-analysis. The systematic review follows a set of PRISMA guidelines, where we searched Scopus and Web of Science (2015–2026) and applied an RQ-based coding scheme to peer-reviewed articles. Measures of trust varied significantly (unidimensional, integrity–competence–benevolence, and technology-specific scales), limiting cross-study comparability. Using random effects, we found a significant positive relationship between trust and intention (pooled standardized direct path coefficient β = 0.27, 95% CI [0.14, 0.41]) with considerable heterogeneity (I² = 88%) and a wide prediction interval including near-zero effects. Literature essentially endorses trust as a significant yet context-dependent construct, emphasizing the necessity for measurement standardization, a more distinct differentiation between sustainability trust and general platform trust, regular reporting of reliability and bias assessments, and focused evaluations of boundary conditions (e.g., environmental skepticism, regulatory framework, and FinTech type). Full article

Amidst the escalating geopolitical fragmentation of the global financial system, divergent stablecoin architectures are emerging. This study employs Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) and introduces a formalized ‘Geopolitical Stablecoin’ (GPSC) model to conduct a systematic comparison of three representative cases: A quasi-sovereign asset within a coordinated closed-loop system, a commercial asset with global open-market circulation, and a state-issued asset representing a failed local initiative. Our analysis reveals that in the model implemented as a quasi-sovereign asset, parameters traditionally viewed as vulnerabilities—such as reserve opacity and a high degree of centralization—are functionally reinterpreted as elements ensuring its operational resilience. In contrast, the risks associated with the commercial asset model are emergent properties of its scale and decentralized distribution. The findings highlight the necessity for a differentiated regulatory approach aimed at targeted intervention in key architectural components of the model rather than the use of universal bans. Full article

As cryptocurrencies evolve from niche assets to systemic financial components, the banking sector faces a strategic dilemma: displacement or adaptation. Using 27,510 bank–year observations from 2014 to 2023 across thirty-two economies, predominantly within the European banking sector, this study isolates the technological prerequisites for this adaptation. We employ a continuous interaction model with robust controls to test how national digital infrastructure moderates bank responses to valuation cycles in the four dominant cryptocurrencies by market capitalization (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, and Binance Coin). The results document a robust lagged complementarity effect: in digitally advanced economies, cryptocurrency booms significantly increase bank non-interest income in the subsequent year, while lending portfolios remain unaffected. A one-standard-deviation increase in crypto returns interacts with digital capacity to boost fee revenue by approximately 0.7 percentage points (0.20 standard deviations). Crucially, this effect persists after controlling for GDP and equity market interactions, confirming that technological capacity, rather than general economic wealth, acts as the binding constraint. These findings refine FinTech adaptation research by demonstrating that high-bandwidth infrastructure enables banks to monetize external volatility via service deployment and custody, transforming a potential threat into a structural revenue stream.m. Full article

This paper examines the relationship between traditional gold (XAU) and its tokenized counterparts (PAXG and XAUT), providing an empirical assessment of how digital representations of real-world assets align with their underlying benchmarks. Using multi-year time series data, the study evaluates price deviations, tracking accuracy, correlations, and volatility across both weekday-only and 24/7 trading datasets, incorporating weekend effects and crypto-market microstructure. Results show that both tokenized assets exhibit strong long-term alignment with XAU, while short-term divergences arise from continuous crypto trading, liquidity fragmentation, and issuer-specific design features, with XAUT consistently tracking spot gold more closely than PAXG. Building on this analysis, the paper examines the role of tokenized gold within dynamic, smart contract-driven crypto portfolios that also include BTC, ETH, and cash. Portfolio simulations demonstrate that adaptive rebalancing strategies materially improve risk-adjusted performance, with XAUT serving as a stabilizing anchor and cash enabling rapid, automated repositioning during volatility spikes. The findings offer a dual contribution: they clarify the fidelity and market behavior of tokenized gold and provide evidence of its practical utility within automated, on-chain portfolio management, highlighting both its strengths and structural limitations in emerging digital financial systems. Full article

This study examines the impact of corporate governance on sustainability-related risk in Indian banks across crisis and post-crisis periods. Using data from 37 public and private banks between 2006 and 2018, it analyzes how board characteristics influence liquidity and solvency risk. Panel regressions and a decision tree-based machine learning approach reveal consistent results: director busyness is associated with higher liquidity risk, while higher director and auditor fees are linked to improved liquidity management. Smaller, more independent boards and higher director fees are associated with lower solvency risk. The findings contribute emerging-market evidence on the governance–risk nexus and offer policy implications for bank governance and financial stability. Full article

Nowadays, the European economy faces significant global challenges that threaten the continuity of economic growth, especially in the German manufacturing sector, which is under strain from financial turmoil, resulting in numerous layoffs and firm closures. In this respect, FinTech significantly contributes to addressing these issues by providing data-driven analytical tools that improve the assessment and monitoring of firms’ financial position. However, in the literature, we have not found any paper that uses machine learning (ML) algorithms to assess the financial distress of German manufacturing firms, highlighting methodological and sectoral gaps that need to be bridged. Therefore, this study aims to develop an econometric and ML-based financial distress scoring model for German manufacturing firms by estimating contemporaneous Altman Z-scores that provide better insights into the financial distress determinants, enabling better financial management. The econometric findings revealed that the regression model has an adjusted R-squared value of 86%, confirming that the selected firm-specific and macroeconomic factors play a substantial role in explaining financial distress. The findings recommend that German manufacturing businesses retain more earnings rather than distributing them as dividends, while reducing their debt in capital structures to enhance financial stability. Moreover, the ML results found that Gradient Boosting and Random Forest have the highest accuracy scores among the ML methods, suggesting that these models provide strong capability for assessing financial distress and supporting more effective financial risk management, allowing firms to effectively respond to the threats of a dynamic environment and thereby better support the growth of the German and European economies. Full article

Quantum computing threatens the security foundations of global financial systems, exposing long-lived data and signed digital assets to “harvest-now, decrypt-later” attacks. While the timeline for cryptographically relevant quantum computers remains uncertain, regulatory signals from the USA, UK, EU, Canada, and Australia converge: financial institutions and payment infrastructures must begin migrating to post-quantum cryptography (PQC) now to preserve confidentiality, integrity, and systemic stability. This paper maps emerging standards and roadmaps, contrasting binding requirements like the EU’s DORA crypto-agility provisions with non-binding guidance from NIST, ENISA, and ETSI. Despite a shared intent to secure high-risk use cases by 2030–2031 and complete migration by 2035, divergences in enforcement and milestones create uncertainty for cross-border banks and financial market infrastructures. In parallel, technical adoption is advancing: major browsers, cryptographic libraries (OpenSSL/BoringSSL), and CDNs (e.g., AWS CloudFront) have deployed hybrid PQC key exchange in TLS 1.3, proving confidentiality defenses are viable at internet scale. The paper synthesizes historical transition lessons, sector-specific regulatory drivers, and operational constraints in payment infrastructures to derive a new, principle-based migration: crypto-agility, risk-prioritized scoping, hybrid deployment, vendor and supply-chain alignment, independent testing, and proactive supervisory engagement. Acting now reduces long-tail exposure and ensures readiness for imminent compliance and interoperability deadlines. Full article

Stock price forecasting remains challenging due to the non-linear, noisy, and non-stationary nature of financial time series. Although LSTMs and Transformer-based models have improved sequential modeling, their ability to scale efficiently to long financial sequences remains limited. Recently, selective state space models such as Mamba have emerged as efficient alternatives to self-attention, offering attention-like performance with linear computational complexity. In this study, we systematically evaluate multiple Mamba-augmented Transformer architectures for stock market price forecasting. We further propose CrossMamba, a novel architecture that models cross-sequence interactions between encoder and decoder representations using a causal Mamba block. Experiments on multiple S&P 500 and Yahoo Finance stocks show that CrossMamba achieves superior short-horizon performance with 5-day input windows (${\mathit{R}}^2$ up to 0.963), while Hybrid Bi-Mamba performs best for longer horizons, achieving the lowest MAE of 0.67 for 10-day forecasts. Compared with advanced Mamba-based and Transformer baselines, the proposed models achieve competitive accuracy while maintaining substantially improved computational efficiency. These results highlight the effectiveness of Mamba-augmented Transformers as scalable architectures for financial time series forecasting. Full article

Asia presently houses some of the top and dynamic economies in the world. These economies have also experienced high fintech adoption in their banking sectors. This paper examines the impact of fintech adoption and integration on the efficiency and stability of banks in 9 Asian countries, using panel data from 85 banks spanning 11 years from 2014 to 2024. It first analyzes the impact of fintech on banks across all selected countries and then, on a stratified basis, divides them into three categories: developed economies, large economies, and emerging countries. The paper uses non-performing loan (NPL) and provision for loan losses (PLLs) as proxies for risk, efficiency ratios, and the cost-to-income ratio as efficiency measures, and the stability ratio and Z-score as indicators of stability. To estimate the results, it has applied ordinary least squares and fixed-effect techniques. The study finds that fintech adoption reduces associated bank risk, presents mixed effects on efficiency, and strongly supports bank stability. Moreover, total assets and ROA consistently demonstrate lower risk, higher efficiency, and greater stability. Overall, the results of this study indicate that fintech encourages greater competition, leading banks to lend more aggressively and, consequently, increasing NPLs, PLLs, and overall risk exposure. Based on the findings, this research suggests that policymakers may adopt fintech strategies to maximize the benefits. Full article

Extreme movements in financial time series pose challenges for risk management and forecasting, particularly when their timing is irregular and difficult to anticipate. This study aims to develop a probabilistic framework for detecting and predicting such events using daily Bitcoin returns as a case study. We first identify extreme positive and negative return events using the Isolation Forest algorithm and estimate their empirical recurrence patterns using a dynamic frequency table to derive baseline parametric probabilities. A 7-day Hawkes excitation kernel is then applied to capture short-run self-exciting dynamics, and both components are integrated using logistic regression to produce real-time probability forecasts. The results show that positive events occur more frequently than negative ones and that prediction accuracy improves over time: Brier scores, which measure the accuracy of probabilistic predictions, decrease as additional event data accumulate, and log loss values exhibit a consistent downward trend. Overall, by combining anomaly detection, empirical inter-arrival estimation, and excitation dynamics into a unified structure, the proposed framework offers a transparent and adaptable tool for forecasting extreme events in the financial market. Full article

We examine whether aggregate “music mood” derived from globally popular songs can help forecast primary equity issuance. We build a Friday-anchored weekly panel that merges SEC EDGAR counts of priced Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) with features from the Spotify Daily Top 200 (audio descriptors such as valence, energy, danceability, tempo, loudness, etc.) and Genius-scraped lyrics. We extract lyric sentiment by tokenizing Genius-scraped lyrics and aggregating lexicon-based affect scores (valence and arousal) into popularity-weighted weekly indices. To address sparsity and regime shifts in issuance, we train a leakage-safe Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network on a smoothed target—the forward 4-week sum of IPOs—and obtain next-week forecasts by dividing the predicted sum by 4. On a chronological holdout, a single LSTM with look-back K = 8 outperforms strong baselines—reducing MAE by 13.9%, RMSE by 15.9%, and mean Poisson deviance by 27.6% relative to the best baseline in each metric. Furthermore, we adopt SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to explain our LSTM model, showing that IPO persistence remains the dominant driver, but music and lyrics covariates contribute incremental and robust signal. These results suggest that aggregate music sentiment contains economically meaningful information about near-term IPO activity. Full article

Robo-advisors are evolving fintech solutions that ask potential clients about their investment purpose and time horizon and then offer investment strategies to reach different goals. This study aims to build on prior research and gain insights into the influence of innovation attributes (relative advantage, complexity, compatibility, and observability), perceived trust, and image regarding robo-advisor adoption by applying and extending the Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) theory. Data were collected using a cross-sectional survey approach. A total of 187 valid responses were obtained from an online participant recruitment website based in the United States and analysed using the partial least squares approach. The findings indicate that relative advantage and attitude influence an individual’s intention to adopt a robo-advisor, while all innovation attributes, perceived trust, and image of a robo-advisor influence an individual’s attitude towards it. By extending the DOI framework, this research advances understanding of its applicability to robo-advisor adoption. This study contributes to the literature by clarifying the influences on robo-advisor adoption and their relationships. From a practical standpoint, the findings and measures could help wealth management companies improve their promotional campaigns and technical design. Full article

Road infrastructure underpins Nigeria’s economic competitiveness, yet Public–Private Partnership (PPP) performance is constrained not by inadequate legislation but by persistent weaknesses in enforcement and governance. Transparency deficits across procurement, design management, certification, and toll-revenue reporting have produced chronic delays, cost overruns, and declining public trust. This study offers the first empirical investigation of blockchain–Building Information Modelling (BIM) integration as a transparency-enhancing mechanism within Nigeria’s PPP road sector, focusing on Lagos State. Using a qualitative design, ten semi-structured interviews with stakeholders across the PPP lifecycle were thematically analysed to diagnose systemic governance weaknesses and assess the contextual feasibility of digital innovations. Findings reveal entrenched opacity rooted in weak enforcement, discretionary decision-making, and informal communication practices—including biased bidder evaluations, undocumented design alterations, manipulated certifications, and toll-revenue inconsistencies. While respondents recognised BIM’s potential to centralise project information and blockchain’s capacity for immutable records and smart-contract automation, they consistently emphasised that technological benefits cannot be realised absent credible institutional foundations. The study advances an original theoretical contribution: the Codify–Condition–Capacitate framework, which explains the institutional preconditions under which digital governance tools can improve transparency. This framework argues that effectiveness depends on: codifying digital standards and legal recognition; conditioning enforcement mechanisms to reduce discretionary authority; and capacitating institutions through targeted training and phased pilots. The research generates significant practical implications for policymakers in Nigeria and comparable developing contexts seeking institution-aligned digital transformation. Methodological rigour was ensured through purposive sampling, thematic saturation assessment, and documented analytical trails. Full article

Credit card fraud detection remains a critical challenge for financial institutions, particularly due to extreme class imbalance and the continuously evolving nature of fraudulent behavior. This study investigates two complementary approaches: anomaly detection based on multivariate normal distribution and deep reinforcement learning using a Deep Q-Network. While anomaly detection effectively identifies deviations from normal transaction patterns, its static nature limits adaptability in real-time systems. In contrast, the DQN reinforcement learning model continuously learns from every transaction, autonomously adapting to emerging fraud strategies. Experimental results demonstrate that, although initial performance metrics of the DQN are modest compared to anomaly detection, its capacity for online learning and policy refinement enables long-term improvement and operational scalability. This work highlights reinforcement learning as a highly promising paradigm for dynamic, high-volume fraud detection, capable of evolving with the environment and achieving near-optimal detection rates over time. Full article

This study investigates how strategic foresight can enhance FinTech governance and policy resilience in emerging economies, using Kuwait as an illustrative case. It aims to identify which foresight interventions should be prioritized across alternative futures to strengthen innovation, security, and institutional adaptability within the digital finance ecosystem. A scenario-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) framework is applied, combining the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). Expert evaluations were conducted to assess five foresight interventions against eight policy and performance criteria across three plausible scenarios: Optimistic Growth, Status Quo, and Crisis and Contraction. Sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the stability of intervention rankings. The results reveal distinct priorities under each scenario: SME-oriented digital finance platforms and talent development dominate under growth and stability, while cybersecurity investment becomes paramount during crisis conditions. Regulatory fast-tracking maintains a consistent, moderate influence across all contexts. These outcomes underscore the need for adaptive, context-sensitive policy design that accommodates uncertainty. The framework provides policymakers with a structured approach to align FinTech strategies with long-term national visions such as Kuwait’s Vision 2035, while offering transferable insights for other emerging economies. The study’s originality lies in integrating strategic foresight and MCDA for FinTech governance—a methodological and practical contribution to foresight-informed policymaking. Full article

Research on users’ switching intentions in peer-to-peer (P2P) mobile payment systems, particularly in developing markets, remains limited. This study examines how two satisfaction dimensions, transaction-based satisfaction and experience-based satisfaction, influence switching intentions through two layers of trust: institution-based trust and disposition to trust. Grounded in Expectancy-Disconfirmation Theory, data from 529 users of Haiti’s leading P2P mobile payment platform were analyzed using structural equation modeling. Results show that while transaction-based satisfaction has minimal impact on switching intentions, experience-based satisfaction strengthens institution-based trust, which in turn significantly reduces switching intentions. These findings highlight the central role of institutional reliability in shaping post-adoption behavior in duopolistic and resource-constrained markets. The study extends satisfaction-trust theory to digital financial ecosystems and offers practical insights for improving user retention through sustained institutional credibility and long-term service reliability. Full article

This study investigates the influence of access to mobile cashless technology on enterprise continuity intention and cash flow management skills. It also explores the influence of cashless technology, knowledge, and experience on enterprise continuity intention and cash flow management skills, and examines the direct relationship between cash flow management skills and enterprise continuity intention among micro and small enterprises during crises and in an unstable context. The 259 responses collected from micro and small entrepreneurs were analyzed by Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling. The hypotheses tested reported a positive and significant relationship between access to mobile cashless technology and enterprise continuity intention and cash flow management skills. Furthermore, it was found that cashless technology knowledge and experience have a positive and significant relationship with enterprise continuity intention, as well as cash flow management skills. Finally, cash flow management skills were found to positively influence enterprise continuity intention. The study offers theoretical and practical implications for policymakers and other stakeholders to improve cashless transactions in the context of the study. Full article

This study evaluates the early impact of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) on key financial indicators in The Bahamas, focusing on the introduction of the SandDollar—the world’s first fully implemented retail CBDC. Using the Synthetic Control Method (SCM), the analysis constructs counterfactual scenarios to assess the effects of CBDCs on three dependent variables: outstanding loans from commercial banks as a percentage of GDP, outstanding deposits as a percentage of GDP, and the number of deposit accounts per 1000 adults. Three separate SCM models were estimated for the period 2014–2024, incorporating a broad set of control variables reflecting financial infrastructure, economic performance, demographic characteristics, and digital readiness. The findings consistently show that the SandDollar’s implementation is associated with reductions in loan issuance, deposit levels, and deposit account ownership compared to their synthetic counterparts. These results support the hypothesis that direct CBDC models may amplify “deposit substitution” and increase liquidity risks by shifting financial activity away from commercial banks. Although the SCM provides a structured causal framework, the short post-treatment period and potential pandemic-related disruptions limit the scope of a long-term understanding. The study underscores the importance of careful CBDC design, particularly the role of intermediated models in mitigating unintended financial stability risks. Full article

Prediction of stock closing price plays a critical role in financial planning, risk management, and informed investment decision-making. In this study, we propose a novel model that synergistically amalgamates Bidirectional GRU (BiGRU) with three complementary attention techniques—Top-k Sparse, Global, and Bahdanau Attention—to tackle the complex, intricate, and non-linear temporal dependencies in financial time series. The proposed Fused Attention Model is validated on two highly volatile, non-linear, and complex- patterned stock indices: NIFTY 50 and S&P 500, with 80% of the historical price data used for model learning and the remaining 20% for testing. A comprehensive analysis of the results, benchmarked against various baseline and hybrid deep learning architectures across multiple regression performance metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and R² Score, demonstrates the superiority and noteworthiness of our proposed Fused Attention Model. Most significantly, the proposed model yields the highest prediction accuracy and generalization capability, with R² scores of 0.9955 on NIFTY 50 and 0.9961 on S&P 500. Additionally, to mitigate the issues of interpretability and transparency of the deep learning model for financial forecasting, we utilized three different Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, namely Integrated Gradients, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), and Attention Weight Analysis. The results of these three XAI techniques validated the utilization of three attention techniques along with the BiGRU model. The explainability of the proposed model named as BiGRU based Fused Attention (BiG-FA), in addition to its superior performance, thus offers a robust and interpretable deep learning model for time-series prediction, making it applicable beyond the financial domain. Full article

Background: Fintech companies have revolutionized the financial services industry in India in recent years. This is especially true for the growth of digital payment methods. India’s unbanked are being introduced to banking by fintech companies. Despite the country’s strong banking system, many residents find it difficult to get government financial services. This is particularly true for rural or low-income people. This vacuum has been addressed by fintech solutions including digital banking, micro-lending applications, mobile wallets, and UPI platforms. Objectives: to study the impact of financial technology businesses on increasing financial inclusion for India’s underbanked and unbanked population and Challenges encountered by financial technology enterprises in their endeavors to access unbanked populations, encompassing concerns of infrastructure with special reference to western Uttar Pradesh. Method: This mixed-methods study examines how FinTech is narrowing the financial gap for unbanked people using quantitative econometric analysis and qualitative case study assessments. Results: Digital financial innovation and regulatory support encourage inclusive growth in underdeveloped economies, whereas rich nations benefit from sophisticated banking institutions. This is indicated by the small influence of GDP per capita (β = 0.22–0.32, p < 0.05). Findings: The study found that inclusive finance is revolutionized when FinTech is used with the help of robust regulatory frameworks and digital infrastructure. Policymakers should prioritize cybersecurity, public-private partnerships to improve digital literacy, and rural connection if they want more people to take part in the digital financial ecosystem. Implications: FinTech can remove obstacles to accessing financing. The proper coordinated improvements in regulatory frameworks, digital infrastructure and financial literacy among the people are necessary to achieve full financial inclusion. Full article

The article presents a blockchain-based architecture for decentralized electricity trading that tokenizes energy delivery rights and cash-flows. Energy Attribute Certificates (EACs) are implemented as NFTs, while buy/sell orders are encoded as ERC-1155 tokens whose tokenId packs a time slot and price, enabling precise matching across hours. A clearing smart contract (Matcher) burns filled orders, mints an NFT option, and issues two ERC-20 assets: PT, the right to consume kWh within a specified interval, and YT, the producer’s claim on revenue. We propose a simple, linearly increasing discounted buyback for YT within the slot and introduce an aggregating token, IndexYT, which accumulates YTs across slots, redeems them at par at maturity, and gradually builds on-chain reserves—turning IndexYT into a liquid, yield-bearing instrument. We outline the PT/YY lifecycle, oracle-driven policy controls for DSO (e.g., transfer/splitting constraints), and discuss transparency, resilience, and capital efficiency. The contribution is a Pendle-inspired split of electricity into Principal/Yield tokens combined with a time-stamped on-chain order book and IndexYT, forming a programmable market for short-term delivery rights and yield derivatives with deterministic settlement. Full article

This paper examines the combination of traditional banking credit assessment techniques with contemporary internal sales accounting systems in Kazakhstan, aiming to augment the precision and resilience of financial assessments pertaining to SMEs. The proposed model consists of two discrete components: a traditional credit scoring module that employs logistic regression and a supplementary sales analytics module that leverages ensemble machine learning methodologies — random forests and gradient boosting algorithms. The outputs generated by these components are amalgamated through an ensemble strategy, where optimal weighting coefficients are ascertained via cross-validation. An empirical analysis was conducted on a dataset encompassing 41,000 SME records from a prominent Kazakhstan bank alongside daily transactional sales data from 150 SMEs gathered between the years 2021 and 2024. The integrated hybrid model demonstrated a statistically meaningful enhancement in predictive efficacy, as evidenced by an increase in the area under the ROC curve from 0.76 to 0.87 and a decrease in mean squared error from 0.12 to 0.08 relative to the traditional methodology. The investigation delves into the transformative influence of digitalization on innovation within SMEs, elucidating that improved real-time data integration not only sharpens risk assessment processes but also promotes adaptive lending strategies and operational efficiencies. Full article