FinTech

This paper measures the post-treatment effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) on mobile money and outstanding loans from commercial banks as a percentage of the GDP in Nigeria and the Bahamas, respectively, from the perspective of financial inclusion. The literature on the topic has primarily focused on the technological specifications of CBDCs and their potential future implementation. This article addresses a gap in the empirical literature by examining the effects of CBDCs. To this end, a Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is applied to the Bahamas (SandDollar) and Nigeria (eNaira) to construct a counterfactual scenario and assess the impact of CBDCs on mobile money and commercial bank loans. Nigeria’s mobile money transactions as a percentage of the GDP increased significantly compared to the synthetic control group, suggesting a notable positive effect of the eNaira. Conversely, in the Bahamas, actual performance fell below the synthetic control, implying that SandDollar may have contributed to a decline in outstanding loans. These results suggest that CBDCs could pose a “deposit substitution risk” for commercial banks. However, they may also enhance the performance of other Fintech tools, as observed in the case of mobile money. As CBDC implementations worldwide remain in their early stages, their long-term effects require further analysis. Full article

Governments worldwide are mandating e-invoicing and real-time VAT reporting, yet many cash-intensive service SMEs continue to under-report VAT, eroding fiscal revenues. This study investigates whether financial technology (FinTech) adoption can reduce this under-reporting among tourism SMEs in Greece—an economy with high seasonal spending and a persistent shadow economy. This is the first micro-level empirical study to examine how FinTech tools affect VAT compliance in this sector, offering novel insights into how technology interacts with behavioral factors to influence fiscal behavior. Drawing on the Technology Acceptance Model, deterrence theory, and behavioral tax compliance frameworks, we surveyed 214 hotels, guesthouses, and tour operators across Greece’s main tourism regions. A structured questionnaire measured five constructs: FinTech adoption, VAT compliance behavior, tax morale, perceived audit probability, and financial performance. Using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling and bootstrapped moderation–mediation analysis, we find that FinTech adoption significantly improves declared VAT, with compliance fully mediating its impact on financial outcomes. The effect is especially strong among businesses led by owners with high tax morale or strong perceptions of audit risk. These findings suggest that FinTech tools function both as efficiency enablers and behavioral nudges. The results support targeted policy actions such as subsidies for e-invoicing, tax compliance training, and transparent audit communication. By integrating technological and psychological dimensions, the study contributes new evidence to the digital fiscal governance literature and offers a practical framework for narrowing the VAT gap in tourism-driven economies. Full article

This paper explores the intervening role in SEP performance of corporate environmental, cultural, and ethnic activities (ECEAs) and diversity, equity, inclusion, and social initiatives (DEISIs) on blockchain adoption (BCA) strategy, particularly useful in the Western Balkans (WB), which demands transparency due to extended fraud and ethnic complexities. In this domain, a question has been raised: In BCA strategies, is there any correlation between SEP performance and ECEAs and DEISIs in a mediating role? A serial mediation model was tested on a dataset of 630 WB and EU companies, and the research conceptual model was validated by CFA (Confirmation Factor Analysis), and the SEM (Structural Equation Model) fit was assessed. We found a statistically sound (significant, positive) correlation between BCA and ESG success performance, especially in the innovation and integrity ESG performance success indicators, when DEISIs mediate. The findings confirmed the influence of technology, and environmental, cultural, ethnic, and social factors on BCA strategy. The findings revealed some important issues of BCA that are of worth to WB companies’ managers to address BCA for better performance. This study adds to the literature on corporate blockchain transformation, especially for organizations seeking investment opportunities in new international markets to diversify their assets and skill pool. Furthermore, it contributes to a deeper understanding of how DEI initiatives impact the correlation between business transformation and socioeconomic performance, which is referred to as the “social impact”. Full article

The rapid growth of mobile financial services provides significant opportunities for enhancing digital financial inclusion among older adults. However, elderly consumers often lag in adoption and sustained usage due to psychological barriers (e.g., technology anxiety) and factors related to prior experience and comfort with technology (e.g., technology familiarity). This study investigates how technology anxiety and technology familiarity influence elderly consumers’ continuance intention toward mobile banking, while examining age as a moderator by comparing younger older adults (aged 60–69) and older adults (aged 70+). Using data from an online survey of 488 elderly mobile banking users in South Korea, we conducted hierarchical regression analyses. The results show that technology anxiety negatively affects continuance intention, whereas technology familiarity positively enhances sustained usage. Moreover, age significantly moderated these relationships: adults aged 70+ were notably more sensitive to both technology anxiety and familiarity, highlighting distinct age-related psychological differences. These findings underscore the importance of targeted digital literacy initiatives, age-friendly fintech interfaces, and personalized support strategies. This study contributes to the fintech literature by integrating psychological dimensions into traditional technology adoption frameworks and emphasizing age-specific differences. Practically, fintech providers and policymakers should adopt tailored strategies to effectively address elderly consumers’ unique psychological needs, promoting sustained adoption and narrowing the digital divide in financial technology engagement. Full article

This paper considers the impact of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) on the world’s financial systems with a special emphasis on G20 economies. Using quarterly macro-financial data for the period of 2000 to 2024, collected from the IMF, BIS, World Bank, and Atlantic Council, a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model is applied to 20 G20 countries. The results reveal significant heterogeneity across economies: CBDC shocks intensify emerging market financial instability (e.g., India, Brazil), while more digitally advanced countries (e.g., UK, Japan) experience stabilization. Retail CBDCs increase disintermediation risks in more fragile banking systems, while wholesale CBDCs improve cross-border liquidity. This article contributes to the literature by providing the first GVAR-based estimation of CBDC spillovers globally. Full article

The integration of artificial intelligence and human decision-making within blockchain systems has raised complex ethical considerations, necessitating the development of comprehensive theoretical frameworks. This research develops a multi-paradigm ethical framework addressing the ethical dimensions of hybrid intelligence—the dynamic interplay between human judgment and artificial intelligence—in the governance of blockchain technology and cryptocurrency systems. Drawing upon complexity theory and institutional theory, this study employs a theory synthesis methodology to investigate inherent paradoxes within hybrid intelligence systems, including how transparency creates new opacities in AI decision-making, decentralization enables centralized control, and algorithmic efficiency undermines ethical sensitivity. Through PRISMA-compliant systematic literature analysis of 50 relevant publications and theoretical synthesis, this research demonstrates how blockchain technology fundamentally redefines hybrid intelligence by establishing novel forms of trust, accountability, and collective decision-making. The framework advances three testable propositions regarding emergent intelligence properties, adaptive capacity, and institutional legitimacy while providing practical governance principles and implementation methodologies for blockchain developers, regulators, and participants. This study contributes theoretically by bridging the fields of complex systems and institutional analysis, integrating complex adaptive systems with institutional legitimacy processes through a multi-paradigm integration methodology. It delivers an ethical framework that addresses accountability distribution in Decentralized Autonomous Organizations, quantifies ethical challenges across major platforms, and offers empirically validated guidelines for balancing algorithmic autonomy with human oversight in decentralized systems. Full article

House price prediction is crucial in real estate for informed decision-making. This paper presents an automated prediction system that combines genetic algorithms (GA) for feature optimization and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) for statistical analysis. We apply and compare five ensemble machine learning (ML) models, namely Extreme Gradient Boosting Regression (XGBR), random forest regression (RFR), Categorical Boosting Regression (CBR), Adaptive Boosting Regression (ADBR), and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees Regression (GBDTR), on a comprehensive dataset. We used a dataset with 1000 samples with eight features and a secondary dataset for external validation with 3865 samples. Our integrated approach identifies Categorical Boosting with GA (CBRGA) as the best performer, achieving an R² of 0.9973 and outperforming existing state-of-the-art methods. ANOVA-based analysis further enhances model interpretability and performance by isolating key factors such as square footage and lot size. To ensure robustness and transparency, we conduct 10-fold cross-validation and employ explainable AI techniques such as Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), providing insights into model decision-making and feature importance. Full article

The digital economy has amplified the role of technological innovation in transforming financial services and business models. Patent data offer valuable insights into these dynamics, especially within the growing FinTech ecosystem. This study conducts a bibliometric analysis of academic research that utilizes PATSTAT, a global database managed by the European Patent Office, focusing on its application in studies related to digital innovation, finance, and economic transformation. A systematic mapping of publications indexed in Scopus, Web of Science, Wiley, Emerald, and Springer Nature is carried out using Biblioshiny and Bibliometrix in RStudio 2025.05.0, complemented by graph-based visualizations via VOSviewer 1.6.20. The findings reveal a growing body of research that leverages PATSTAT to explore technological trajectories, intellectual property strategies, and innovation systems, particularly in areas such as blockchain technologies, AI-driven finance, digital payments, and smart contracts. This study contributes to the literature by highlighting the strategic value of patent analytics in the FinTech landscape and offers a reference point for researchers and decision-makers aiming to understand emerging trends in financial technologies and the digital economy. Full article

This paper explores the effectiveness of an innovative FinTech risk-scoring model to predict the risk-appropriate return for short-term credit sales. The risk score serves to mitigate the information asymmetry between the seller of receivables (“Seller”) and the purchaser (“Funder”), at the same time providing an opportunity for the Funder to earn returns as well as to diversify its portfolio on a risk-appropriate basis. Selling receivables/credit to potential Funders at a risk-appropriate discount also helps Sellers to maintain their short-term financial liquidity and provide the necessary cash flow for operations and other immediate financial needs. We use 18,304 short-term credit-sale transactions between 23 April 2020 and 30 September 2022 from the private FinTech startup Crowdz and its Sustainability, Underwriting, Risk & Financial (SURF) risk-scoring system to analyze the risk/return relationship. The data includes risk scores for both Sellers of receivables (e.g., invoices) along with the Obligors (firms purchasing goods and services from the Seller) on those receivables and provides, as outputs, the mutual gains by the Sellers and the financial institutions or other investors funding the receivables (i.e., the Funders). Our analysis shows that the SURF Score is instrumental in mitigating the information asymmetry between the Sellers and the Funders and provides risk-appropriate periodic returns to the Funders across industries. A comparative analysis shows that the use of SURF technology generates higher risk-appropriate annualized internal rates of return (IRR) as compared to nonuse of the SURF Score risk-scoring system in these transactions. While Sellers and Funders enter into a win-win relationship (in the absence of a default), Sellers of credit instruments are not often scored based on the potential diversification by industry classification. Crowdz’s SURF technology does so and provides Funders with diversification opportunities through numerous invoices of differing amounts and SURF Scores in a wide range of industries. The analysis also shows that Sellers generally have lower financing stability as compared to the Obligors (payers on receivables), a fact captured in the SURF Scores. Full article

This study investigates the impact of geopolitical risk, firm characteristics, and macroeconomic variables on the performance of non-financial firms listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange. The study analyzes a panel dataset consisting of 182 Egyptian firms over the period 2014–2023. Using the panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) regression technique, the study examines the effect of geopolitical risk on the return on assets. This study controls for firm characteristics such as liquidity, leverage, and growth opportunities and controls for macroeconomic variables such as inflation and GDP. This empirical evidence investigates the moderating role of FinTech on such relationship. The results reveal a significant and negative relationship between geopolitical risk and firms’ performance. Liquidity, growth opportunities, and inflation show positive and significant impacts. In contrast, leverage and GDP demonstrate significant negative relationships. Remarkably, FinTech moderates the relationship significantly and positively. Therefore, investors ought to proceed with prudence when positioning cash within elevated political volatility. The significant positive moderating effect of FinTech on this connection provides a vital strategic insight: enterprises with enhanced FinTech integration may demonstrate increased resilience to geopolitical shocks. Full article

This study aims to explore how Corporate Digital Responsibility (CDR) influences Jordanian banks’ performance. It focuses on four CDR dimensions—“social, technological, economic, and environmental”—and examines the mediating role of firm size in these relationships. This study is the first to empirically test the mediating effect of firm size in the relationship between CDR and firm performance in the Jordanian banking sector, providing a novel perspective on how digital ethics shape organizational success. Data were collected through a structured survey from 299 bank employees in Jordan. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) was employed to assess the direct and indirect effects of CDR dimensions on firm performance, with firm size tested as a mediating variable. All four dimensions of CDR significantly and positively affect firm performance. Additionally, firm size plays a partial mediating role in the relationship between CDR and firm performance, indicating that larger banks may better leverage digital responsibility initiatives to enhance performance. The study relies on self-reported data from a single country (Jordan), which may limit generalizability. Future studies could adopt a longitudinal design or expand to other MENA countries for comparative analysis and broader insights. The findings suggest that Jordanian banks should invest in and prioritize CDR strategies, especially in economic and technological domains, to improve their organizational outcomes and stakeholder relationships. Enhancing firm size may amplify the positive impact of CDR. The findings of this study are robust, as validated by further analysis utilizing data from a customer survey. The results derived from customer viewpoints correspond with staff data, substantiating the beneficial influence of Corporate Digital Responsibility (CDR) on banking performance and affirming the substantial mediating effect of company size. Full article

This study uses national data to contribute to ongoing discussions regarding social media’s role in influencing investors in the digital economy. Grounded in social network theory, social media engagement was examined for its influence on FinTech usage, specifically cryptocurrency investments, mobile trading applications, and financial podcasts. Results showed a significant relationship between social media use for investment decisions and the embrace of FinTech. Individuals who actively engage with social media for this purpose had higher odds of investing in cryptocurrency and a higher likelihood of using both mobile trading applications and financial podcasts. However, these results were not consistent across all platforms amongst social media users. Our findings show that social media platforms enable peer influence and recommendations through networks that shape financial decisions and behaviors. FinTech firms can strategically harness social ties and the inherent information flows within social networks to broaden their reach and impact in the financial services landscape. Full article

This study applied supervised machine learning algorithms to macro-fiscal panel data from 20 EU member states (2000–2024) to model and predict fiscal stress episodes in the Eurozone. Conventional frameworks for assessing public debt sustainability often rely on static thresholds and linear dynamics, limiting their ability to capture the complex, non-linear interactions in fiscal data. To address this, we implemented logistic regression, support vector machines, and XGBoost classifiers using core fiscal indicators such as debt-to-GDP ratio, primary balance, GDP growth, interest rates, and inflation. The models were evaluated using time-aware cross-validation, with XGBoost delivering the highest predictive accuracy but showing some signs of overfitting. We highlighted the interpretability of logistic regression and applied SHAP values to enhance transparency in the tree-based models. While limited by using annual data, we discuss the potential value of incorporating real-time or high-frequency fiscal indicators. Our results underscore the practical relevance of AI-enhanced early warning systems for fiscal surveillance and support their integration into institutional monitoring frameworks. Full article

Regulatory sandboxes have emerged as policy instruments designed to support FinTech innovation while maintaining supervisory oversight. By allowing firms to test financial products in controlled environments, sandboxes aim to reduce regulatory uncertainty and facilitate market entry. Despite their growing adoption, empirical evidence of their effectiveness remains limited, particularly in emerging markets. This study explores the impact of regulatory sandboxes on innovation and market access through a qualitative comparative case study of the United Kingdom, Singapore, and Hungary. Drawing on document analysis and thematic coding, the research evaluates sandbox design, regulatory support, and innovation outcomes across the three jurisdictions. Findings show that sandboxes enhance access to funding, accelerate product development, and foster regulator–firm collaboration. While the UK and Singapore benefit from mature ecosystems and structured frameworks, Hungary illustrates sandbox potential in developing markets. The paper contributes to FinTech regulation literature and provides policy recommendations for optimizing sandbox design across varied institutional contexts. Full article

This study explores an innovative approach to incorporating option strategies into equity portfolios. It presents an alternative direction that institutional investors could take to overcome their current challenges, in a context where traditionally diversified portfolios of only equity and fixed-income assets have shown weaknesses that make it difficult for these investors to achieve their performance goals within their risk limits. We test whether a set of well-known backward-looking signals from equities markets and less-researched forward-looking ones from options markets can be used to improve the efficiency of two option strategies, namely covered call and protective put. The trend signal appears to be the one that adds the most value to both strategies. This study also shows that increasing complexity through additional trading rules does not improve the results of the more basic option strategies that make use of the signals. Full article

As healthcare systems face mounting pressure to modernise payment infrastructure, fintech innovations have emerged as potential tools to improve affordability and efficiency. However, the adoption of these technologies in clinical settings remains limited. This study investigated the perceptions and resistance patterns of healthcare professionals toward Buy-Now-Pay-Later technology and blockchain in healthcare finance, using Innovation Resistance Theory as the guiding framework. Survey data collected from medical practitioners (N = 366) were analysed to identify knowledge gaps, perceived risks, and tradition-related barriers that influence adoption intent. The findings reveal that while interest in financial innovation exists, resistance is driven by institutional conservatism, regulatory uncertainty, and limited familiarity with decentralised finance systems. This research contributes to the literature by offering a theory-based explanation for why even high-potential financial tools face behavioural and structural resistance in healthcare environments. Full article

This paper assesses whether fintech mortgage lenders align pricing with borrower risk using conforming 30-year mortgages (2012–2020). We estimate default probabilities using machine learning (logit, random forest, gradient boosting, LightGBM, XGBoost), finding that non-fintech lenders achieve the highest predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.860), followed closely by banks (0.857), with fintech lenders trailing (0.852). In pricing analysis, banks adjust the origination rates most sharply with borrower risk (7.20 basis points per percentage-point increase in default probability) compared to fintech (4.18 bp) and non-fintech lenders (5.43 bp). Fintechs underprice 32% of high-risk loans, highlighting limited incentive alignment under GSE securitization structures. Expanding the allowable alternative data and modest risk-retention policies could enhance fintechs’ analytical effectiveness in mortgage markets. Full article

This study proposes a hybrid forecasting model that integrates the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network to estimate Value at Risk (VaR) in the Rwandan foreign exchange market. The model is designed to capture both volatility clustering and temporal dependencies in daily exchange rate returns. Using daily data on USD, EUR, and GBP from 2012 to 2024, we evaluate the model’s performance relative to standalone GARCH(1,1) and LSTM models. Empirical results show that the hybrid model improves VaR estimation accuracy by up to 10%, especially during periods of elevated market volatility. These improvements are validated through MSE, MAE, and backtesting statistics. The enhanced accuracy is particularly relevant in emerging markets, where exchange rate dynamics are highly nonlinear and sensitive to external shocks. The proposed approach offers practical insights for financial institutions and regulators seeking to improve market risk assessment in emerging economies. Full article

There is an ongoing debate about the role of income diversification in enhancing bank stability within the financial services industry in Europe. Some advocate for diversification, while others argue that its importance should not be overstated. Some financial institutions are encouraged to focus on their traditional investments instead of income diversification, while others suggest that income diversification can stabilize or destabilize, depending on the regulatory environment. These conflicting results indicate a lack of clear evidence regarding the effectiveness of income diversification. Therefore, this paper aims to study the impact of income diversification on bank stability and enhance the predictive performance of bank stability by analyzing the period from 2000 to 2021 using a sample from 26 European countries, based on aggregate bank data. It employs a hybrid method that combines econometric techniques, specifically the generalized method of moments and a fixed-effects model, with machine-learning algorithms such as Random Forest and Support Vector Machine. These methods are applied to enhance the reliability and predictive power of the analysis by addressing the problem of endogeneity (via generalized method of moments) and capturing non-linearities, interactions, and high-dimensional patterns (via machine learning). The econometric findings reveal that income diversification can reduce non-performing loans, improve bank solvency, and enhance the Z-score, indicating the significant role of income diversification in improving bank stability. Conversely, the results also show that the machine-learning algorithms used play a crucial role in enhancing the predictive performance of bank stability. Full article