You are currently viewing a new version of our website. To view the old version click .

Risks, Volume 5, Issue 2

June 2017 - 12 articles

Cover Story: Actuarial Geometry studies how the shape of an aggregate loss distribution changes as expected loss volume changes. The theory of Markov processes implies Levy processes are straight lines even though their distribution changes shape as expected losses increase. In contrast, an asset-return model retains a constant shape but represents a curved path. The difference is significant in the theory of risk measures and capital allocation, which are based on marginal changes in loss volume. In the figure the Levy process (red) is a great circle straight line whereas the asset model (blue) is a curved path. Growth along the two paths results in different measures of marginal risk (top right). View this paper
  • Issues are regarded as officially published after their release is announced to the table of contents alert mailing list .
  • You may sign up for email alerts to receive table of contents of newly released issues.
  • PDF is the official format for papers published in both, html and pdf forms. To view the papers in pdf format, click on the "PDF Full-text" link, and use the free Adobe Reader to open them.

Articles (12)

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,359 Views
10 Pages

20 June 2017

This paper examines the effect of gainsharing provisions on the selection of a discount rate for a defined benefit pension plan. The paper uses a traditional actuarial approach of discounting liabilities using the expected return of the associated pe...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
9,271 Views
44 Pages

Actuarial Geometry

  • Stephen J. Mildenhall

16 June 2017

The literature on capital allocation is biased towards an asset modeling framework rather than an actuarial framework. The asset modeling framework leads to the proliferation of inappropriate assumptions about the effect of insurance line of business...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
8,518 Views
23 Pages

27 May 2017

This paper gives a detailed overview of the current state of research in relation to the use of state space models and the Kalman-filter in the field of stochastic claims reserving. Most of these state space representations are matrix-based, which co...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
5,816 Views
21 Pages

10 May 2017

Longevity risk constitutes an important risk factor for life insurance companies, and it can be managed through longevity-linked securities. The market of longevity-linked securities is at present far from being complete and does not allow finding a...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,825 Views
14 Pages

Risk Management under Omega Measure

  • Michael R. Metel,
  • Traian A. Pirvu and
  • Julian Wong

6 May 2017

We prove that the Omega measure, which considers all moments when assessing portfolio performance, is equivalent to the widely used Sharpe ratio under jointly elliptic distributions of returns. Portfolio optimization of the Sharpe ratio is then explo...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,129 Views
11 Pages

6 May 2017

Motivated by the EU Solvency II Directive, we study the one-year ruin probability of an insurer who makes investments and hence faces both insurance and financial risks. Over a time horizon of one year, the insurance risk is quantified as a nonnegati...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
7,289 Views
28 Pages

19 April 2017

Building on recent work incorporating recovery risk into structural models by Cohen & Costanzino (2015), we consider the Black-Cox model with an added recovery risk driver. The recovery risk driver arises naturally in the context of imperfect inf...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
7,595 Views
17 Pages

13 April 2017

Building a social security system to ensure Singapore residents have peace of mind in funding for retirement has been at the top of Singapore government’s policy agenda over the last decade. Implementation of the Lifelong Income For the Elderly (LIFE...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,967 Views
13 Pages

Applying spectral biclustering to mortality data

  • Gabriella Piscopo and
  • Marina Resta

4 April 2017

We apply spectral biclustering to mortality datasets in order to capture three relevant aspects: the period, the age and the cohort effects, as their knowledge is a key factor in understanding actuarial liabilities of private life insurance companies...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
13,227 Views
29 Pages

Actuarial Applications and Estimation of Extended CreditRisk+

  • Jonas Hirz,
  • Uwe Schmock and
  • Pavel V. Shevchenko

31 March 2017

We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte C...

of 2

Get Alerted

Add your email address to receive forthcoming issues of this journal.

XFacebookLinkedIn
Risks - ISSN 2227-9091