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Risks, Volume 10, Issue 8

August 2022 - 25 articles

Cover Story: How to consider the a priori risks in experience-rating models has been questioned in the actuarial community for a long time. Classic past-claim-rating models normalize the past experience of those insured before applying claim penalties. Despite the quality of predictions of the BMS models, this experience-rating model could appear unfair to many of those insured and regulators because it does not recognize the initial risk of the insured. In this paper, we propose the creation of different BMSs for each type of insured using recursive partitioning methods. We apply this approach to real data for the farm insurance product of a major Canadian insurance company with widely varying sizes of those insured. View this paper
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Articles (25)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,655 Views
27 Pages

Probability Density of Lognormal Fractional SABR Model

  • Jiro Akahori,
  • Xiaoming Song and
  • Tai-Ho Wang

2 August 2022

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions, probability...

  • Review
  • Open Access
5 Citations
7,520 Views
16 Pages

2 August 2022

Life insurers, whose contractual liabilities include providing minimum guaranteed interest rates to policyholders, are significantly affected by persistently low interest rates. Hence, this study reviews the literature on the prolonged low interest r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
4,871 Views
25 Pages

Robust Classification via Support Vector Machines

  • Alexandru V. Asimit,
  • Ioannis Kyriakou,
  • Simone Santoni,
  • Salvatore Scognamiglio and
  • Rui Zhu

1 August 2022

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust support vector...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,754 Views
16 Pages

28 July 2022

How to consider the a priori risks in experience-rating models has been questioned in the actuarial community for a long time. Classic past-claim-rating models, such as the Buhlmann–Straub credibility model, normalize the past experience of eac...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,983 Views
14 Pages

An Efficient Method for Pricing Analysis Based on Neural Networks

  • Yaser Ahmad Arabyat,
  • Ahmad Ali AlZubi,
  • Dyala M. Aldebei and
  • Samerra’a Ziad Al-oqaily

28 July 2022

The revolution in neural networks is a significant technological shift. It has an impact on not only all aspects of production and life, but also economic research. Neural networks have not only been a significant tool for economic study in recent ye...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,078 Views
23 Pages

The Determinant of Sukuk Rating: Agency Theory and Asymmetry Theory Perspectives

  • Bedjo Santoso,
  • Widodo Widodo,
  • Muhammad Taufiq Akbar,
  • Khaliq Ahmad and
  • Rahmat Heru Setianto

27 July 2022

This research aims to develop a determinant variable of the Sukuk rating derived from agency and asymmetry theories. This research is essential because Sukuk or Islamic Bonds is needed in Indonesia, with 85% of its population out of 320 million peopl...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
6,004 Views
13 Pages

26 July 2022

The problem of determining the cost of equity is crucial to the development of organizations. It is an essential means of calculating value creation. The financial literature has proposed several models for estimating the cost of equity, such as the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
2,898 Views
23 Pages

26 July 2022

In this study, we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices follows a tempered stable or a CGMY-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. To this end, we first calculate the characteristic function of the transition...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,859 Views
24 Pages

25 July 2022

The prediction of future mortality improvements is of substantial importance for areas such as population projection, government welfare policies, pension planning and annuity pricing. The Lee-Carter model is one of the widely applied mortality model...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091