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Risks, Volume 10, Issue 8

2022 August - 25 articles

Cover Story: How to consider the a priori risks in experience-rating models has been questioned in the actuarial community for a long time. Classic past-claim-rating models normalize the past experience of those insured before applying claim penalties. Despite the quality of predictions of the BMS models, this experience-rating model could appear unfair to many of those insured and regulators because it does not recognize the initial risk of the insured. In this paper, we propose the creation of different BMSs for each type of insured using recursive partitioning methods. We apply this approach to real data for the farm insurance product of a major Canadian insurance company with widely varying sizes of those insured. View this paper
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Articles (25)

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
12,788 Views
10 Pages

18 August 2022

Government bonds are one of the safest and most attractive instruments in the investment portfolio for private investors and investment funds. Although bonds are perceived as an alternative to bank deposits, a number of macroeconomic factors influenc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
9,615 Views
26 Pages

Information Security Risk Assessment Using Situational Awareness Frameworks and Application Tools

  • Nungky Awang Chandra,
  • Kalamullah Ramli,
  • Anak Agung Putri Ratna and
  • Teddy Surya Gunawan

17 August 2022

This paper describes the development of situational awareness models and applications to assess cybersecurity risks based on Annex ISO 27001:2013. The risk assessment method used is the direct testing method, namely audit, exercise and penetration te...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,950 Views
18 Pages

12 August 2022

Due to the increasing interest in several markets in life annuity products with a guaranteed periodic benefit, the back-side effects of some features that may prove to be critical either for the provider or the customer should be better understood. I...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
4,145 Views
21 Pages

Factors of Risk Analysis for IoT Systems

  • Roberto Andrade,
  • Iván Ortiz-Garcés,
  • Xavier Tintin and
  • Gabriel Llumiquinga

10 August 2022

The increasing rate at which IoT technologies are being developed has enabled smarter and innovative solutions in the sectors of health, energy, transportation, etc. Unfortunately, some inherent characteristics of these technologies are compromised t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,785 Views
38 Pages

10 August 2022

We construct a new age-specific mortality framework and implement an exemplar (DLGC) that provides an excellent fit to data from various countries and across long time periods while also providing accurate mortality forecasts by projecting parameters...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,324 Views
32 Pages

9 August 2022

The present paper is focused on the solution of optimal control problems such as optimal acquisition, optimal liquidation, and market making in relation to the high-frequency trading market. We have modeled optimal control problems with the price app...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
3,503 Views
13 Pages

4 August 2022

Our research focuses on investment initiatives. The perceived risks are analysed from the consumer’s viewpoint, i.e., the client’s perspective, from the standpoint of the project. In the literature, there are several risk interpretations...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,903 Views
13 Pages

Predicting Co-Movement of Banking Stocks Using Orthogonal GARCH

  • Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau,
  • Robiyanto Robiyanto and
  • Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta

2 August 2022

This study investigates the application of orthogonal generalized auto-regressive conditional heteroscedasticity (OGARCH) in predicting the co-movement of banking sector stocks in Indonesia. All state-owned banking sector stocks in Indonesia were stu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
13,483 Views
19 Pages

Impact of Capital Structure on Profitability: Panel Data Evidence of the Telecom Industry in the United States

  • Houshang Habibniya,
  • Suzan Dsouza,
  • Mustafa Raza Rabbani,
  • Nishad Nawaz and
  • Rezart Demiraj

2 August 2022

Debt finance, when considered a source of finance, always leads to financial risk; however, it is also considered a source of increased profitability in the normal business scenario. It has always been challenging to find the correct debt equity comb...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,836 Views
27 Pages

Probability Density of Lognormal Fractional SABR Model

  • Jiro Akahori,
  • Xiaoming Song and
  • Tai-Ho Wang

2 August 2022

Instantaneous volatility of logarithmic return in the lognormal fractional SABR model is driven by the exponentiation of a correlated fractional Brownian motion. Due to the mixed nature of driving Brownian and fractional Brownian motions, probability...

  • Review
  • Open Access
6 Citations
7,901 Views
16 Pages

2 August 2022

Life insurers, whose contractual liabilities include providing minimum guaranteed interest rates to policyholders, are significantly affected by persistently low interest rates. Hence, this study reviews the literature on the prolonged low interest r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
5,133 Views
25 Pages

Robust Classification via Support Vector Machines

  • Alexandru V. Asimit,
  • Ioannis Kyriakou,
  • Simone Santoni,
  • Salvatore Scognamiglio and
  • Rui Zhu

1 August 2022

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust support vector ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,888 Views
16 Pages

28 July 2022

How to consider the a priori risks in experience-rating models has been questioned in the actuarial community for a long time. Classic past-claim-rating models, such as the Buhlmann–Straub credibility model, normalize the past experience of eac...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,102 Views
14 Pages

An Efficient Method for Pricing Analysis Based on Neural Networks

  • Yaser Ahmad Arabyat,
  • Ahmad Ali AlZubi,
  • Dyala M. Aldebei and
  • Samerra’a Ziad Al-oqaily

28 July 2022

The revolution in neural networks is a significant technological shift. It has an impact on not only all aspects of production and life, but also economic research. Neural networks have not only been a significant tool for economic study in recent ye...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,419 Views
23 Pages

The Determinant of Sukuk Rating: Agency Theory and Asymmetry Theory Perspectives

  • Bedjo Santoso,
  • Widodo Widodo,
  • Muhammad Taufiq Akbar,
  • Khaliq Ahmad and
  • Rahmat Heru Setianto

27 July 2022

This research aims to develop a determinant variable of the Sukuk rating derived from agency and asymmetry theories. This research is essential because Sukuk or Islamic Bonds is needed in Indonesia, with 85% of its population out of 320 million peopl...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
6,346 Views
13 Pages

26 July 2022

The problem of determining the cost of equity is crucial to the development of organizations. It is an essential means of calculating value creation. The financial literature has proposed several models for estimating the cost of equity, such as the...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,058 Views
23 Pages

26 July 2022

In this study, we consider the pricing of energy derivatives when the evolution of spot prices follows a tempered stable or a CGMY-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. To this end, we first calculate the characteristic function of the transition...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,030 Views
24 Pages

25 July 2022

The prediction of future mortality improvements is of substantial importance for areas such as population projection, government welfare policies, pension planning and annuity pricing. The Lee-Carter model is one of the widely applied mortality model...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
4,769 Views
11 Pages

The Credit Risk Problem—A Developing Country Case Study

  • Doris Fejza,
  • Dritan Nace and
  • Orjada Kulla

22 July 2022

Crediting represents one of the biggest risks faced by the banking sector, and especially by commercial banks. In the literature, there have been a number of studies concerning credit risk management, often involving credit scoring systems making use...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
6,071 Views
15 Pages

22 July 2022

Early investors possess unique sets of decision-making characteristics. They are more open to experience and eager to face risks. However, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, the discussions of nascent investors upon making the investment de...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6,679 Views
24 Pages

22 July 2022

We propose several numerical algorithms to compute the distribution of gross loss in a positively dependent catastrophe insurance portfolio. Hierarchical risk aggregation is performed using bivariate copula trees. Six common parametric copula familie...

  • Review
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,070 Views
8 Pages

The Effect of Option Grants on Managerial Risk Taking: A Review

  • Guoyu Lin,
  • Chenyong Liu,
  • Jehu Mette and
  • Rohan Crichton

22 July 2022

This article presents a systematic review of the theoretical and empirical literature on option grants and managerial risk taking. One of the objectives is the motivation of further research on the topic. Risk-averse managers hold less diversified po...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,417 Views
19 Pages

Equivalent Risk Indicators: VaR, TCE, and Beyond

  • Silvia Faroni,
  • Olivier Le Courtois and
  • Krzysztof Ostaszewski

22 July 2022

While a lot of research concentrates on the respective merits of VaR and TCE, which are the two most classic risk indicators used by financial institutions, little has been written on the equivalence between such indicators. Further, TCE, despite its...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091