Abstract
Alcohol use disorder (AUD) forms a major health concern and is the most common substance use disorder worldwide. The behavioural and cognitive deficits associated with AUD have often been related to impairments in risky decision-making. The aim of this study was to examine the magnitude and type of risky decision-making deficits of adults with AUD, as well as to explore the potential mechanisms behind these deficits. To this end, existing literature comparing risky decision-making task performance of an AUD group to a control group (CG) was systematically searched and analysed. A meta-analysis was performed to address overall effects. In total, 56 studies were included. In the majority of studies (i.e., 68%), the performance of the AUD group(s) deviated from the CG(s) on one or more of the adopted tasks, which was confirmed by a small to medium pooled effect size (Hedges’ g = 0.45). This review therefore provides evidence of increased risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to CGs. The increased risk taking may be due to deficits in affective and deliberative decision-making. Making use of ecologically valid tasks, future research should investigate whether risky decision-making deficits predate and/or are consequential to the addiction of adults with AUD.
1. Introduction
In everyday life, most people make decisions on a daily basis. Depending on the number of response options to choose from, and the immediate and future consequences associated with these options, these decisions vary in complexity [1]. For both simple and complex decisions, people often have to weigh the consequential risks and rewards of each response option to come to an adaptive choice [2]. This so-called ‘risky decision-making’ involves intuitive as well as deliberative thought processes [3,4]. Problems in this type of decision-making may lead to increased and unnecessary risk taking [2], which can negatively impact daily life. People with deficits in evaluating the potential risks and rewards of the choices they make may, for example, be at a heightened risk for engagement in criminal behaviour [5], risky sexual behaviour [6], and drug or alcohol abuse [7].
Alcohol use disorder (AUD) refers to a maladaptive pattern of alcohol intake characterized by the inability to stop or control alcohol consumption despite its detrimental consequences. AUD is accompanied by an increased alcohol tolerance, cravings, and withdrawal symptoms if the intake is halted [8]. With an estimated lifetime prevalence rate of 8.6% cross-nationally [9], AUD forms a major health concern and is the most common substance use disorder worldwide [10]. AUD is associated with various psychiatric comorbidities including mood, anxiety, and personality disorders [11]. Further, AUD has been related to cognitive impairments in the domains of executive functioning, processing speed, language, social cognition, visuospatial abilities, and memory and learning [12,13,14]. The chronic and excessive alcohol consumption as seen in AUD moreover puts individuals at risk of developing alcoholic Korsakoff’s syndrome. Korsakoff’s syndrome is a disorder primarily characterized by profound amnesia [15]. In the literature, the behavioural and cognitive deficits associated with AUD have often been related to deficits in risky decision-making. Abnormalities in decision-making have even been described a central feature of (alcohol) addiction [16,17,18]. Indeed, adults with AUD appear more likely to engage in (health-related) risk behaviour than healthy individuals [19,20,21]. Importantly, this increase in risk-taking behaviour could be both a consequence of and a risk factor for the maintenance of alcohol use [22].
An influential explanatory framework for the association between deficits in (risky) decision-making and AUD is the somatic marker theory (SMT) of addiction [23,24,25]. Central to the SMT is the idea that emotions guide the decision-making process [1]. The SMT states that deficiencies in the emotional or ‘somatic’ signalling of the prospective consequences of choice options lead to maladaptive response selection and increased risk-taking behaviour [1,25,26]. Accounting for deficits in intuitive or affective decision-making processes as well as in more cognitively demanding, deliberative decision-making processes [3,4], the SMT of addiction is largely compatible with the dual-process models of judgment and decision-making [24]. Specifically, the SMT proposes that the somatic signals that guide the decision-making process are brought about by two interacting neural systems. The ‘impulsive system’, typically associated with affective decision-making, responds to environmental stimuli indicative of immediate rewards or pleasure and activates feelings related to the immediate prospect of a decision such as the urge to obtain alcohol. The ‘reflective system’, on the other hand, is associated with deliberative decision-making, as it exerts a certain level of control over the impulsive system and can activate feelings related to the future prospects of a choice such as feelings of guilt following excessive alcohol consumption in the past [23,24,25].
The SMT postulates that during the decision-making process the somatic signals triggered by the impulsive and reflective system compete until one signal prevails. This signal consequently guides, or biases, the decision to be made [23]. In the context of this theory, alcohol addiction can thus be understood as an imbalance between the two systems. The addiction emerges either from a hyperactive impulsive system, where the rewarding impact of immediate alcohol consumption is overestimated, thus weakening the control of the reflective system, or from a dysfunctional reflective system, where adverse consequences of the decision to drink are disregarded, as feedback from prior experiences cannot be integrated in the brain [23,24,25]. In regulating the impulsive system, the reflective system is moreover thought to be particularly dependent on brain regions associated with executive functioning (e.g., regions of the prefrontal and cingulate cortex) [24]. Further adding to the link between risky decision-making deficits and AUD, excessive alcohol consumption has often been associated with global impairments in executive functioning [22,27]. Indeed, adults with AUD have been found to have impairments in various aspects of executive functioning relevant for deliberative decision-making including working memory, response inhibition, cognitive flexibility, and planning [13,14,28]. Importantly, these global impairments in executive functioning as well as the imbalance between the two systems as proposed by the SMT have been suggested to be both a vulnerability factor for the development of addiction and to be involved in the maintenance of alcohol use [22,24,25].
In line with the SMT of addiction and the hypothesized deficits in affective and deliberative decision-making processes, behavioural research has recurrently shown adults with AUD to have problems in various aspects of (risky) decision-making. Specifically, as compared to healthy individuals, adults with AUD were consistently found to engage in more impulsive choice behaviour and to show deficits in delay of gratification and delay discounting [29]. These deficits indicate that adults with AUD were more likely to prefer choices linked to smaller immediate rewards over choices linked to larger delayed rewards [30,31,32], as well as to disregard future losses in order to avoid immediate losses [33]. Various studies further indicated that adults with AUD may demonstrate a reduced aversion to losses [34] and risks [35] in the prospect of potential gain. As compared to healthy individuals, adults with AUD appear to have an aberrant sensitivity to feedback in the form of punishment and reward [36]. This altered sensitivity reduces the possibility to learn from previous decisions. Indeed, in a recent meta-analytic review on risky decision-making in people with substance use disorders, based on subgroup analysis, Chen et al. (2020) concluded that individuals with AUD showed increased risky decision-making on behavioural tasks as compared to non-using or limited use controls [7]. In the context of this study, it should be noted, however, that Chen et al. (2020) [7] addressed risky decision-making in individuals with substance use disorders in general, and adopted corresponding study aims (e.g., investigating the impact of (poly)substance dependency on task performance).
Whereas both theoretical and behavioural research thus seem to have established a link between increased risk taking and AUD, no extensive (meta-analytic) literature review has been performed to date that focuses on risky decision-making in adults with AUD, specifically. The objective of the present study is therefore to provide a comprehensive overview and meta-analysis of the existing studies that compare the performance on risky decision-making tasks of an AUD group with the performance of a control group (CG). This study therewith aims to examine the magnitude and type of deficits in risky decision-making of adults with AUD and to explore the potential mechanisms behind these deficits. By adding to our understanding of the link between risky decision-making and AUD, the outcomes of this study may prove useful for clinical practice. Specifically, a better understanding of this link can provide insight into the development and maintenance of alcohol addiction, which may aid in relapse prevention and the enhancement of treatment options for adults with AUD.
2. Method
2.1. Study Selection Procedure
A systematic search of the available literature addressing AUD and (risky) decision-making was carried out according to the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA; [37]) (PRISMA checklist; File S1). The present study was not pre-registered as the literature search and data extraction were already carried out before registration was considered. Therefore, no registration information is available for the protocol. Journal articles were searched using the databases PsycINFO, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Web of Science. A combination of the primary search terms associated with AUD (i.e., “alcohol use disorder”, alcoholism, alcohol abuse, alcohol dependen*, alcohol misuse, Wernicke*, or Korsako*) and the secondary search terms related to decision-making (i.e., decision making, decision-making, decision, judgment, or judging) had to appear in the title and/or the abstract of the articles. Only peer-reviewed articles that were written in English were included in this review. Further inclusion criteria were formulated using the Patient/Population, Intervention, Comparison, Outcomes (PICO) framework. This framework was slightly adapted in that a criterion was formulated to address the adopted assessment method rather than an intervention method. Specifically, studies were only included when they (a) included a group of adults with AUD as their main clinical diagnosis, (b) adopted one or more performance-based task used to assess risky decision-making, (c) compared the AUD group to a CG without (severe) psychiatric or neurological disorders, and (d) reported test statistics for group comparisons between the AUD group(s) and CG(s) on the behavioural outcome measure(s) of the risky decision-making task(s). The AUD group was considered to be clinically diagnosed if the participants were diagnosed according to DSM-5, DSM-IV-TR, DSM-IV, or ICD-10 criteria for AUD, alcohol abuse, or alcohol dependence. To ensure clarity and consistency, the term AUD will be used throughout this study while also referring to diagnoses of alcohol abuse and alcohol dependence, which have been combined into the overarching DSM-5 construct of AUD [38]. Both AUD groups without comorbidities (i.e., ‘pure’ AUD groups) and AUD groups with AUD as their main clinical diagnosis, but with comorbid psychiatric disorders, were included in this review.
The literature search for the systematic review was completed on the 24th of March 2023. After the search, duplicates were removed from the literature list. The retrieved literature was then supplemented with relevant literature cited in the articles found (manual search). Abstracts of the remaining studies were independently screened for eligibility for inclusion by one of two reviewers (JHN, ADA). After this initial screening, the remaining articles were read in full in order to identify which articles fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Any uncertainty or disagreement about study inclusion was resolved by discussion with a third reviewer (JK). The articles that fulfilled all criteria mentioned above were subsequently included in the review.
2.2. Study Analysis
2.2.1. Content Analysis
A content analysis was conducted for the included studies. The results were independently analysed and extracted by ADA and JHN, including the following aspects: first author and year of publication, sample characteristics (i.e., demographic characteristics, comorbidities of the AUD group, and relevant exclusion criteria), characteristics related to the alcohol consumption of the AUD group (e.g., frequency, duration, and quantity of alcohol consumption, and abstinence period (before assessment)), adopted risky decision-making task(s), and the main study outcomes considered relevant for the research question at hand. Relevant study outcomes included between-group comparisons of the task performance of an AUD group and a CG or comparisons between the task performances of different AUD groups, as well as reported associations between outcome measures of the risky decision-making task(s) and demographic, clinical, or alcohol-use-related variables in the AUD group(s) and/or CG(s). Group differences were considered significant at the alpha levels used in the original studies. Furthermore, study outcomes regarding between-group comparisons of the task performance of the AUD group(s) and CG(s) were interpreted and categorised as (a) studies predominately finding significant between-group differences in the most important outcome measures related to risky decision-making, (b) studies predominantly finding non-significant differences between the AUD group and the CG in the most important outcome measures related to risky decision-making, or (c) studies finding mixed results in that group differences were observed in some, but not all outcome measures related to risky decision-making, or on some, but not all included risky decision-making tasks. To ensure correctly weighted conclusions, studies that most likely made use of the same or largely overlapping participant sample(s) as one of the other studies were considered conjointly (i.e., counted once) with regard to the overall conclusions on differences between the AUD groups and CGs in both the content and meta-analysis.
2.2.2. Meta-Analysis
In addition to the content analysis, a meta-analysis was performed to determine to what extent adults with AUD show increased risk taking on decision-making tasks as compared to control participants without (severe) psychiatric or neurological disorders. Apart from fulfilling the inclusion criteria for the qualitative review as described above, the studies that were included in the meta-analysis had to (a) report on an outcome measure directly related to the level of risk taking of the participants (i.e., outcome measures such as ‘money gained’ and ‘loss aversion’ were not included) and (b) provide appropriate statistical data to calculate the effect size. In addition to a global meta-analysis, subgroup analyses were performed for the two decision-making tasks that were most frequently adopted in the included studies, i.e., the Iowa Gambling Task (IGT) and the Cambridge Gambling Task (CGT). The other risky decision-making tasks were only used in one to five of the included studies, which was considered too limited to perform relevant subgroup analyses.
With regard to the outcome measures related to risk taking that were used for the meta-analysis, the ‘net score’ or the ‘number of advantageous or disadvantageous choices’ were used for the IGT. For the CGT ‘risk taking’, the ‘overall proportion bet’, or the ‘quality of decision-making’ were used as risk-related outcome measures. Other outcome measures that were included in the global meta-analysis only were the ‘average (adjusted) number of pumps’ for the Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART), the ‘number of risky choices’ for the Cups Task (CT), and the ‘risky responses divided by non-risky responses’ for the Risk-Taking Task (RTT). If a study provided results for multiple AUD groups and/or at different points in time, the AUD group with the least comorbidities (i.e., the ‘purest’ AUD group), the AUD group with merged separate groups (e.g., a total AUD group with females and males together), and/or the first time point was used for the meta-analysis. If more than one CG was included (e.g., a smoking and a non-smoking CG), the CG that matched the AUD group most in terms of non-alcohol-related variables was used as comparison group. A mean effect size across tasks was computed when studies reported on risk taking on two or more tasks, using a conservative approach by treating the two outcomes as independent [39] (p. 237). The effect size was (re)coded so that a positive effect size indicates higher risk taking in the AUD group as compared to the CG.
Hedges’ g, which is an adjustment of Cohen’s d for small sample sizes, was used as a measure of effect size [40]. The effect size was calculated from sample sizes, means, and standard deviations or, if this information was not available, derived from test statistics such as F and p-values [41]. Considering the heterogeneity in study characteristics, the random-effects pooling method was used to estimate the overall effect size across studies. An effect size in the order of 0.20, 0.50, and 0.80 can be interpreted as small, medium, and large, respectively [42]. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic [43]. I2 values in the order of 25%, 50%, and 75% can be considered as low, moderate, and high, respectively. Publication bias was inspected visually using a funnel plot. The meta-analysis was performed with and without outliers, which were identified visually in the funnel plot. The meta-analysis was performed in Review Manager [44].
3. Results
The search resulted in a literature list of 4720 articles published between 1906 and 2023, from which duplicates were removed. Six articles were added to the retrieved literature based on a manual search. A total of 2253 studies were screened for eligibility, and 180 articles were read in full. A summary of the search and review process is presented in Figure 1. In total, 56 studies were included in this review. Upon further inspection, 12 of the included studies were found to most likely have made use of the same, or largely overlapping participant sample(s) as one of the other studies. This concerned the studies by Arcurio et al. (2015) and Folco et al. (2021) [20,45], Bjork et al. (2008) and Zhu et al. (2016) [46,47], Fishbein et al. (2007) and Flannery et al. (2007) [48,49], Galandra et al. (2021) and Canessa et al. (2021) [50,51], two studies by Loeber et al. (2009; 2010) [52,53], and two studies by Noël et al. (2007; 2011) [54,55]. These 12 studies were therefore considered conjointly (i.e., counted once) in the analyses provided below (i.e., numbers, percentages, and meta-analyses). In total, 50 studies presumably made use of distinct participant samples and were considered separately in the content analysis (see Figure 1).
For the global meta-analysis, five of the fifty-six included studies were excluded because they did not report on a risk-related outcome measure [34,35,56,57,58], and five studies were excluded because they did not provide appropriate statistical data [20,45,59,60,61]. Making use of overlapping participant samples, two studies were furthermore excluded from the meta-analysis because the statistical data provided and the textual description of the data were not in line with each other [46,47]. In total, 44 studies could therefore be included in the global meta-analysis, 40 of which presumably made use of distinct participant samples, and were therefore considered separately (see Figure 1).
Figure 1.
Flow diagram of the systematic search and review process according to the guidelines of Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA 2020; [37]).
3.1. Overall Task Findings
All studies adopted one or more performance-based tasks to assess risky decision-making in adults with AUD. A total of 30 of the 50 studies made use of the IGT to assess risk-taking behaviour. One study additionally made use of a variant version of the IGT. Other risky decision-making tasks that were used in two or more of the included studies were the CGT, the BART, the RTT, the Game of Dice Task (GDT), and the Coin Flipping Task/Loss Aversion (Gambling) Task (CFT/LA(G)T). The Ecological Decision-Making Task (EDMT), Explicit Gambling Task (EGT), CT, Card Playing Task (CPT), Wheel of Fortune (WoF) task, Single Outcome Gambling (SOG) task, Lane Risk-Taking Task (LRT), Probabilistic Discounting Task (PDT), and the Mixed Gambles Task (MGT) were used in one study only. A description of the identified risky decision-making tasks is shown in Table 1. Table 2 provides a comprehensive overview of the characteristics and main outcomes of the included studies.
Overall, 34 of the 50 studies (68%) reported that the AUD group(s) showed an aberrant performance as compared to the CG(s) on one or more of the outcome measures of the adopted risky decision-making task(s), indicating increased risk taking in adults with AUD. In 15 of the 50 studies (30%), no significant group differences in risky decision-making were found between the AUD groups and CGs. Finally, in one study (2%), outcomes on one of the two adopted tasks were indicative of reduced risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to the CG, whilst on the other task, no significant between-group differences were observed [62]. As described above, 40 studies were included in the global meta-analysis (see Figure 2). The pooled effect size of these studies was 0.45 (95% CI = 0.35–0.55, p < 0.001; small to medium effect), which corresponds to the finding that adults with AUD showed significantly increased risk taking on the decision-making tasks as compared to the CGs. Furthermore, heterogeneity of the studies included in the meta-analysis was low to moderate (I2 = 45%, p = 0.001). As shown in Figure 3, the funnel plot shows no clear asymmetry, suggesting the absence of a publication bias. Finally, there is one data point that may be considered as an outlier. Removing this outlier did not significantly influence the outcome of the meta-analysis (pooled Hedges’ g = 0.43, 95% CI = 0.34–0.52, p < 0.001).
Figure 2.
Forest plot of studies assessing the level of risk taking of adults with AUD compared to control participants included in the global meta-analysis. Note: The black diamond represents the pooled result of the studies included in the global meta-analysis (pooled Hedges’ g = 0.45, 95% CI = 0.35–0.55). Abbreviations (in alphabetical order): AUD = alcohol use disorder (group). BART = Balloon Analogue Risk Task. CG = control group (without (severe) psychiatric and/or neurological disorders). CGT = Cambridge Gambling Task. CI = confidence interval. CT = Cups Task. df = degrees of freedom. GDT = Game of Dice Task. IGT = Iowa Gambling Task. IV = weighted mean difference. P = probability value. RTT = Risk Taking Task. SE = Standard Error. Std. Mean Difference = Standardized Mean Difference.
Figure 3.
Funnel plot of studies assessing the level of risk taking of adults with AUD compared to control participants included in the global meta-analysis. Note: The circles represent the individual studies included in the global meta-analysis, the blue line represents the overall effect (pooled Hedges’ g = 0.45). An asymmetric funnel plot indicates publication bias. Abbreviations (in alphabetical order): SE = Standard Error. SMD = Standardized Mean Difference.
Table 1.
Overview and description of identified risky decision-making tasks.
Table 2.
Overview of included studies on risky decision-making in adults with AUD.
3.2. IGT
Thirty of the included studies made use of the IGT to assess risky decision-making in adults with AUD. In total, 25 studies indicated that the AUD group showed an aberrant performance (i.e., performed in a riskier fashion) as compared to the CG on one or more of the outcome measures used (25/30 = 83%). Specifically, 20 out of 28 studies (71%) reporting on the total net scores, total financial outcome, or total number of advantageous/disadvantageous choices indicated the overall task performance to be significantly worse (i.e., riskier) in the AUD group as compared to the CG [54,55,64,70,73,76,78,79,82,84,89,90,92,93,94,95,97,99,100,101,103]. This increased risk taking corresponds to the medium pooled effect size of 0.56 (95% CI = 0.45–0.68, p < 0.001) that was found in the subgroup meta-analysis for the IGT, which included 27 studies. A total of 18 studies compared the outcomes of the AUD groups and CGs on the individual task blocks of the IGT, 17 of which (94%) reported on significant group differences [54,55,61,64,70,78,79,81,86,89,90,93,94,95,97,101,103]. In these studies, adults with AUD were found to predominantly show an impaired performance as compared to the CGs in the last two to three blocks of the IGT. As the IGT is designed in such a way that the participant acquires knowledge of outcome probabilities as the task proceeds (i.e., across task blocks), performance in the first blocks is considered to reflect decision-making under ambiguity, whilst performance in the later blocks reflects decision-making under risk [106]. Thus, the impairments in the last IGT blocks are indicative of increased risk taking in the AUD groups. Looking at the learning rates across the five blocks specifically, 12 out of 17 studies (71%) found the learning rates to differ significantly between the AUD groups and the CGs [54,55,60,64,70,82,86,89,93,94,101,103,104]. Whilst the participants from the CGs generally learned to choose from the more advantageous/safe decks throughout the task, AUD participants, for example, showed no learning effect, showed a smaller improvement than participants from the CGs across blocks, or showed an initial improvement followed by a performance drop in the last block(s) of the task. In the remaining five studies that made use of the IGT (5/30 = 17%), no significant between-group differences were observed between the AUD groups and the CGs in overall task performance, performance on the individual blocks, or in the learning rates across the task [52,53,77,85,96,105].
Apart from making use of the original IGT, Kim et al. (2006) [64] also adopted a variant version of the IGT. The only difference between the two task versions is that in the variant version of the IGT, the order of punishment and reward of the decks is reversed. On the original IGT, Kim et al. (2006) [64] found significant group differences between the AUD groups and the CGs in overall performance, block performance, and learning rates. Contrastingly, no significant group differences were found regarding the overall performance (i.e., total net score) and the block scores on the variant version of the IGT. Kim et al. (2006) suggest that these mixed findings with regard to the IGT versions may be due to the AUD groups being less sensitive to punishment than the CGs, but equally sensitive to reward [64].
3.3. CGT
The nine studies that made use of the CGT provide inconsistent evidence of increased risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to the control participants. In total, four studies (4/9 = 44%) indicated that the AUD groups showed an aberrant performance as compared to the CGs on one or more of the different outcome measures related to risky decision-making [83,87,91,102]. The remaining five studies (5/9 = 56%) did not find significant between-group differences on the outcome measures related to risk taking of the CGT [48,49,50,51,77,80,88]. Including all nine studies that adopted this task, the subgroup meta-analysis for the CGT showed a small pooled effect size of 0.30 (95% CI = 0.13–0.47, p < 0.001).
3.4. BART
Four of the five studies (80%) that used the BART did not observe significant differences between the AUD groups and the CGs on the outcome measures related to risky decision-making [17,62,96,98]. In one of the five studies (20%), significant differences were observed between the AUD group with comorbid ADHD and the CG on the ‘total number of balloons that popped’, which was considered a measure of maladaptive risk taking. However, no significant differences were observed on this outcome measure between the AUD group without ADHD and the CG. Furthermore, no group differences were observed between the three study groups in the ‘adjusted number of pumps’, which was considered a measure of adaptive risk taking [81].
3.5. RTT
As described above, the studies by Bjork et al. (2008) [46] and Zhu et al. (2016) [47] were considered conjointly with regard to the overall conclusions because they made use of the same AUD sample and an overlapping control sample. This resulted in a total of two studies making use of the RTT to assess risky decision-making in adults with AUD [46,47,67]. Overall, the results of these studies provide inconsistent evidence of increased risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to the CGs. Whilst Bjork et al. (2004) [67] initially only found significant group differences in the trial maximum and total number of ‘busts’ on the RTT, the between-group differences became more pronounced when education level was entered as a covariate. When controlling for education level, the AUD group was shown to perform significantly worse (i.e., riskier) compared to the CG on all outcome measures of the RTT, including the trial average. Trial average was defined as the primary measure of risk taking [67]. In the study by Bjork et al. (2008) [46], significant group differences were only observed for the reward accrual time (risk-taking measure), and the number of ‘busts’ in the low-penalty trials. No significant group differences were observed in the high-penalty trials, or in the amount of money earned during the task, for example. In the study by Zhu et al. (2016) [47], who used the same AUD sample as Bjork et al. (2008) [46] but added 17 participants to the CG, no significant between-group differences were reported for any of the outcome measures of the RTT.
3.6. GDT
The two studies that made use of the GDT both found that the AUD participants selected the risky choice options significantly more frequently and the safe choice options significantly less frequently than the CGs. In both studies (100%), the AUD groups were found to show a significantly worse (i.e., riskier) overall task performance as compared to the CGs [89,103].
3.7. CFT/LA(G)T
Three studies adopted the CFT/LA(G)T as a measure of risky decision-making [34,62,70]. Two studies (2/3 = 67%) showed that the AUD group performed the task in a significantly riskier fashion than the CG. Brevers et al. (2014) [70] reported that, as compared to the CG, AUD participants displayed a significantly elevated acceptance to gamble in high-risk trials. In line with this finding, Genauck et al. (2017) [34] indicated that the AUD group showed a significantly reduced loss aversion and a significantly lower sensitivity to losses as compared to the CG. The reported sensitivity to gains did not differ significantly between groups [34]. In contrast to these two studies [34,70], Zorick et al. (2022) [62] (1/3 = 33%) found the loss aversion of the AUD group to be significantly greater as compared to the CG. According to Zorick et al. [62], one explanation for this opposite finding could be that loss aversion differs between active alcohol users as included in their study as compared to individuals with AUD who are currently abstinent (see [34,70]), suggesting a more direct effect of alcohol on task performance.
3.8. EDMT
Arcurio et al. (2015) and Folco et al. (2021) [20,45] both made use of the same AUD and control samples to describe different aspects/outcome measures of the EDMT. These studies were therefore considered conjointly with regard to the overall conclusions on differences between the AUD groups and CGs. Arcurio et al. (2015) [45] investigated risky decision-making in adults with AUD in the context of their decision to drink. The AUD group was found to endorse the high-risk alcohol stimuli significantly more frequently than the CG. No significant between-group differences were observed for the low-risk alcohol stimuli and for the high- or low-risk appetitive and neutral cues. In the context of risky sexual decision-making, and in line with the findings by Arcurio et al. (2015) [45], Folco et al. (2021) [20] found the AUD group to endorse high-risk sexual stimuli (faces) significantly more frequently than the CG. Again, no significant differences were observed between the AUD group and CG in the low-risk condition.
3.9. Outcomes on Other Risky Decision-Making Tasks
The EGT [58], CT [70], CPT [73], WoF [56], SOG [57], LRT [59], PDT [35], and MGT [35] were all used in one of the included studies only. Results of these studies are summarised in Table 2. Overall, significant differences in risky decision-making were observed between the AUD groups and CGs on five of these eight tasks (i.e., the EGT, CT, CPT, PDT, and MGT). Explanations of significant between-group differences, for example, included a lower motivation of the AUD group to perform the task than the CG [73], higher levels of impulsivity, and a reduced sensitivity to punishment in adults with AUD [35]. In contrast, Brevers et al. (2014) [70] suggested sensitivity to losses to be intact in adults with AUD, as they found the AUD group to show significantly increased risk taking in the gain domain but not in the loss domain of the CT. No significant between-group differences were found on risk-related outcome measures of the LRT, SOG, and WoF. On the WoF, Galandra et al. (2020) [56] did however find that adults with AUD displayed longer deliberation times and impaired adaptations of their decisions to previous feelings of regret and disappointment.
3.10. Associations between Risky Decision-Making and Demographic, Clinical, and Alcohol-Use-Related Variables
Several studies looked into associations between the outcome measures of the risky decision-making tasks and demographic, clinical, and/or alcohol-use-related variables in the AUD group(s) and/or CG(s) by means of relational analyses (e.g., correlational or regression analyses) or comparisons between different (AUD) groups. A summary of the findings regarding these associations is provided below.
3.10.1. Demographic Characteristics
Of the eight studies that looked into the association between age and risky decision-making, three studies observed significant, although opposite, correlations between age and the outcome measures related to risk taking. In the AUD groups, a higher age was found to correlate significantly with a worse (i.e., riskier) performance on the CGT [83], and with a better (i.e., less risky) performance on the RTT [67] and the EGT [58]. Contrastingly, three studies found no significant correlation between age and IGT performance in the AUD group [76,94,99] or the CG [76]. In combined samples of AUD and control participants, two studies further found no significant correlations between age and IGT [70,82], CFT/LA(G)T [70], and CT performance [70].
Exploring the association between gender or sex (hereafter referred to as gender) on the risky decision-making tasks, five studies performed correlational analyses or an analysis of variance and did not find a significant association between gender and performance on the IGT [70,82,90,94], CGT [51], CFT/LA(G)T [70], and CT [70] in either a combined sample of AUD and control participants [51,70,82,90], or in the AUD group [94]. Similarly, four of the five studies that directly compared groups of male and female participants did not find significant gender differences in performance on the IGT [61,78,85], or in risk taking on the CGT [49]. Only Fein et al. (2004) [84] found that males showed significantly worse (i.e., riskier) IGT performances than females.
Regarding the association between the performance on risky decision-making tasks and education level, three studies found that a higher level of education correlated significantly with a better performance on the IGT [82,89] or the RTT [67]. However, seven studies did not find significant correlations between performance on the IGT [70,76,86,94,99,101], CFT/LA(G)T [70], CT [70], or EGT [58] and the level of education of the AUD and/or control participants.
3.10.2. Clinical Characteristics
None of the studies that looked into the association between symptoms of depression or anxiety and risky decision-making found significant correlations between the depression and/or anxiety ratings and performance on the IGT [52,70,73,94,99], CFT/LA(G)T [70], CT [70], or CPT [73]. Likewise, in the regression model introduced by Körner et al. (2015) [90], scores on the depression rating did not explain a significant proportion of the variance in IGT performance in the AUD group or CG. Furthermore, IGT and CPT performance did not correlate significantly with ADHD symptoms [73]. Finally, Brière et al. (2019) [78] found IGT performance not to be dependent on current psychotropic treatment, personal psychiatric history, or a family history of psychiatric problems.
Looking at the (additive) effects of psychiatric disorders comorbid to AUD, Dinesh et al. (2022) [81] found the AUD group with comorbid ADHD to perform significantly worse on the BART than the CG. As no significant difference was observed between the AUD group without ADHD and the CG on the BART, this finding suggests an (additive) effect of ADHD on maladaptive risk-taking behaviour. It should be noted, however, that this finding seems to be task specific. In the same study, no significant differences were observed between the AUD groups with and without ADHD and the CG on IGT performance [81]. Looking at the (additive) effects of personality disorders, Dom et al. (2006) [82] observed that adults with AUD and a comorbid cluster B personality disorder (i.e., borderline disorder, antisocial personality disorder, or both) performed worse (i.e., riskier) on the IGT than adults without a comorbid personality disorder or adults with AUD and a comorbid cluster A or C personality disorder. This suggests that the severity of impairments on the IGT relates to the presence of cluster B personality characteristics [82]. In line with this finding, Miranda et al. (2009) [95] showed that the AUD group with a comorbid antisocial personality disorder performed worse (i.e., riskier) in the last block of the IGT as compared to the AUD group without an antisocial personality disorder. Finally, in the study by Kim et al. (2006) [64], a history of conduct disorder comorbid to AUD was shown not to have an additive effect regarding the performance on the IGT or an IGT variant.
Regarding the relation between (co-)addictions and risky decision-making, Bernhardt et al. (2017) [35] observed a significant negative correlation between smoking status (i.e., smoking or non-smoking) and performance on the PDT. In contrast, Brevers et al. (2014) [70] found no significant association between IGT, CGT, or CT performance and the number of cigarettes consumed per day in a combined group of AUD and control participants. Similarly, two studies found no significant correlation between IGT performance and the smoking amount or history of the AUD group [76,99] or the CG [76]. In line with these findings, Loeber et al. (2009) [52] did not observe a significant correlation between the severity of nicotine dependence and IGT performance, and in the study by Brière et al. (2019) [78], no significant correlation was found between IGT performance and the presence of co-addictions. Finally, in the study by Murray et al. (2018) [96], no significant group differences were observed in IGT or BART performance between the smoking and non-smoking groups, and comorbid heroine dependence in the AUD group did not appear to have an additive effect on CGT performance in the study by Fischbein et al. (2007) [48].
3.10.3. Alcohol-Use-Related Variables
Twenty studies investigated associations between alcohol-use-related variables and risky decision-making. Fifteen of these twenty studies did not find significant associations between the outcome measures related to risk taking and any of the alcohol-use-related variables that were studied. This included variables related to the frequency, quantity, or duration of alcohol consumption, ratings of AUD severity and/or alcohol cravings, and variables related to the duration of abstinence, or the number of prior detoxifications [34,35,53,58,64,67,78,82,85,89,90,93,94,97,101]. In total, only five of the twenty studies found alcohol-use-related variables to be significantly related with outcome measures of risky decision-making [52,54,76,84,99]. In two studies [76,99], a significant negative correlation was found between IGT performance and ratings of alcohol craving. Contrastingly, three of the included studies did not find significant correlations between ratings of alcohol craving and risky decision-making task performance [34,35,64]. In the study by Fein et al. (2004) [84] a significant negative correlation was found between IGT performance and the duration of peak alcohol use. However, in their study from 2006, Fein et al. [85] did not find IGT performance and the duration of peak drinking to correlate significantly. Noël et al. (2007) [54] further found that the group of AUD participants who showed an impaired performance on the IGT had a higher daily dose of alcohol use, a higher number of prior detoxifications, and a longer duration of AUD as compared to the group of AUD participants who showed an unimpaired performance. In contrast, various included studies did not find significant associations between risky decision-making task performance and quantity-related measures [35,85,93,94], the prior number of detoxifications [53,64,78,93,94], and/or the duration of AUD [78,82,93,94]. Finally, Loeber et al. (2009) [52] found the IGT performance of AUD participants who were recently abstinent (i.e., ≤16 days) to be worse (i.e., riskier) as compared to the performance of AUD participants with a longer abstinence period (i.e., >16 days). In the same study, participants with a higher number of detoxifications (i.e., ≥2) furthermore showed significantly lower learning rates across the IGT blocks than the group with a lower number of prior detoxifications (i.e., <2). However, in nine other studies, no significant associations were found between task performance and the duration of abstinence [60,78,84,97,101], or the prior number of detoxifications [53,64,78,93,94].
Relapse to Drinking
Four of the included studies specifically looked at the relation between risky decision-making and relapse to heavy drinking [35,53,77,94]. Three of these four studies (75%) found task performance and relapse to be significantly related. In the context of a longitudinal study, Loeber et al. (2010) [53], for example, found the IGT net score at baseline to be a significant predictor for relapse in the AUD groups. Notably, participants with a higher net score (i.e., less risky performance) at the first assessment during inpatient treatment were more likely to relapse within the first six months after discharge. In both regression models introduced by Bernhardt et al. (2017) [35] (see Table 2 for an overview of included variables), on the other hand, a lower probability discounting for losses on the PDT (i.e., riskier performance) was a significant predictor for a greater hazard of relapse during the 48-week follow-up interval. Similarly, two of the three studies that compared abstaining and relapsing AUD groups found the relapsing AUD groups to perform significantly worse (i.e., riskier) than the abstaining groups on the PDT [35], IGT [77], and CGT [77]. Contrastingly, Maurage et al. (2018) [94] (1/4 = 25%) observed no significant group differences between the abstaining and relapsing AUD groups in IGT performance.
4. Discussion
Referring to a maladaptive pattern of alcohol intake characterized by the inability to stop or control alcohol consumption despite its detrimental consequences [8], AUD forms a major health concern and is the most common substance use disorder worldwide [10]. In the literature, the behavioural and cognitive deficits associated with AUD have often been related to deficits in risky decision-making. Importantly, these decision-making deficits have been suggested to be both a consequence of and a risk factor for the maintenance of alcohol use [22]. Whereas both theoretical and behavioural research seem to have established a link between increased risk taking and AUD, no extensive literature review and meta-analysis has been performed to date that focuses on risky decision-making in adults with AUD, specifically. The objective of the present study was therefore to provide a comprehensive overview and meta-analysis of the existing studies that compare the performance on risky decision-making tasks of an AUD group with the performance of a CG. This study therewith aimed to examine the magnitude and type of deficits in risky decision-making of adults with AUD and to explore the potential mechanisms behind these deficits.
In total, 50 studies were included in the present review that presumably made use of distinct (i.e., non-overlapping) participant samples. Overall, 68% of the included studies reported that the AUD group(s) showed an aberrant performance as compared to the CG(s) on one or more of the adopted risky decision-making task(s), as was indicated by significant between-group differences on one or more of the outcome measures used. In line with this finding, a small to medium pooled effect size of 0.45 was found in a global meta-analysis comparing the level of risk taking of the AUD groups and the CGs. Consistent with previous theoretical and behavioural research [7,23,24,25], the present review provides evidence of increased risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to control participants. In regard of this overall conclusion, it should be noted, however, that for 30% of the included studies, no significant between-group differences in risky decision-making were found, and that in one study (2%), outcomes on one of the two adopted tasks were indicative of reduced risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to the CG [62]. Furthermore, the pooled effect size in the global meta-analysis could be interpreted as small to medium only. This latter finding may be explained by a smaller number of studies being included in the meta-analysis than in the qualitative synthesis, and by differences in the tasks and outcome measures for risky decision-making considered for the analyses. Apart from outcomes on the adopted risky decision-making tasks, potential mechanisms behind the identified deficits in risky decision-making will be explored in light of the SMT of addiction. Further points for discussion include the associations between risky decision-making and demographic, clinical, and alcohol-use-related variables, the limitations of the present review, and, finally, recommendations for future directions of research.
4.1. Outcomes on Risky Decision-Making Tasks
Despite a lack of clarity about the construct validity and reliability of the instrument [107], a prominent finding of the present review is that the IGT appears to be largely overrepresented in the current evidence base as compared to other risky decision-making tasks. Indeed, 60% of the included studies made use of the IGT to assess risky decision-making in adults with AUD. In line with a previous study by Kovács et al. (2017) [108], reviewing the performance of adults with AUD or gambling disorder on the IGT, the vast majority of these studies indicated that adults with AUD performed in a riskier fashion as compared to a CG on one or more of the outcome measures of the IGT. The significance of these differences between the AUD groups and CGs was confirmed by a medium pooled effect size found in the subgroup meta-analysis for the IGT. Contrastingly, the subgroup meta-analysis for the CGT, which was used in 18% of the included studies, revealed a small pooled effect size only. This corresponds to the finding that, of the studies that made use of the CGT, only a minority (i.e., 44%) found significant group differences between the AUD groups and CGs in risky decision-making. The results of the present review therefore seem to indicate that the IGT appears more sensitive to the deficits in risky decision-making of adults with AUD than the CGT. In this context, it should be noted, however, that the confidence intervals of the pooled effect sizes for the IGT and CGT overlap slightly, and that the difference in effect size between the two tasks is statistically insignificant. As three of the studies that made use of the CGT were among the five largest studies included in this review (i.e., studies with the largest sample sizes), the use of this task will, nevertheless, have made a relatively large contribution to the small to medium effect size found in the global meta-analysis.
In spite of its relatively high sensitivity to detect decision-making deficits, the specificity of the IGT remains too low to identify the mechanisms or impairments underlying (deficits in) risky decision-making [89]. Due to the complexity of the task design of the IGT, multiple affective and cognitive processes seem to be involved when performing the task [70]. These processes are difficult to disentangle [89]. Whereas the IGT was originally designed as a task that mainly taps into affective decision-making (see [63,109]), several studies have shown that more cognitively demanding or deliberative processes may also be involved in IGT performance [70,106]. Specifically, the first blocks of the IGT have been suggested to reflect decision-making under ambiguity [106], relying more heavily on affective processes, as the probabilities of reward and loss of each deck are unknown [70]. As the task proceeds, however, participants can acquire knowledge of the outcome probabilities, and executive functions such as working memory, response inhibition, and cognitive flexibility may become more involved [54,70,106]. The later blocks of the IGT are therefore considered to reflect decision-making under risk rather than ambiguity. As such, an aberrant IGT performance in adults with AUD as compared to control participants may reflect impairments in both affective and deliberative decision-making processes (see [106,110]).
In contrast to the IGT, the CGT more clearly addresses decision-making under risk as the outcome probabilities of reward and loss are made explicit to the participants at the start of the task. The CGT is therefore typically described as a cognitive or deliberative decision-making task. This is not to say, however, that affective processes are not engaged when performing the task [111,112]. Indeed, results of imaging studies that have looked at the brain regions involved in CGT and IGT performance seem to suggest that the neural components associated with affective decision-making overlap with those associated with the deliberative decision-making required for the CGT [112].
Similar to the IGT and CGT, most of the other included risky decision-making tasks to some extent rely on both affective and deliberative processes. Overall, the outcomes of these decision-making tasks thence seem to be in support of the presence of deficits in both types of decision-making in adults with AUD. Accounting for deficits in affective and deliberative decision-making processes [3,4], the SMT of addiction may provide an explanatory framework for the association between deficits in risky decision-making and AUD as substantiated by the present review.
4.2. The SMT of Addiction
The SMT proposes that the decision-making process is guided by emotional or ‘somatic’ signals brought about by two interacting neural systems. The impulsive system, typically associated with affective decision-making, responds to environmental stimuli indicative of immediate rewards or pleasure, and activates feelings related to the immediate prospect of a decision. The reflective system, which is associated with deliberative decision-making, exerts a certain level of control over the impulsive system and can activate feelings related to the future prospects of a choice. The somatic signals triggered by both systems compete until one signal prevails. This signal consequently guides the decision to be made. In the context of this theory, AUD can be understood as an imbalance between the two neural systems, emerging either from a hyperactive impulsive system or from a dysfunctional reflective system [23,24,25].
In general, it can be concluded that the deficits in risky decision-making observed in the majority of included studies (i.e., 68%) are consistent with the SMT of addiction. As significant between-group differences were found on predominantly affective as well as deliberative decision-making tasks or outcome measures, the findings of the present review furthermore support the idea of both a hyperactive impulsive and a dysfunctional reflective system in adults with AUD. Indeed, in line with the idea of increased activation of the impulsive system, AUD participants displayed more risky choice behaviour than the CGs in the majority of included studies. Being associated with affective decision-making in particular, hyperactivity of the impulsive system mainly becomes apparent during task aspects that reflect decision-making under ambiguity, where task rules are less explicit. Due to altered functions such as a reduced sensitivity to losses or punishment (i.e., reduced learning from previous decisions and feedback) [34,35,64], for example, the impulsivity to make riskier choices may be less easily repressed, which in turn aligns with the idea of a defective reflective system. In regulating the impulsive system, the reflective system is particularly thought to be dependent on brain regions associated with executive functioning (e.g., regions of the prefrontal and cingulate cortex) [24]. Impairments of adults with AUD in working memory, response inhibition, or cognitive flexibility, for example, could form an explanation for the observed deficits on the deliberative aspects of the included decision-making tasks (e.g., later trials of the IGT and CGT performance).
When exploring the potential mechanisms behind deficits in risky decision-making, it should also be noted, however, that it remains unclear whether the imbalance between the impulsive and reflective system predates the addiction of the AUD participants, or whether it is consequential to their alcohol use (see [24,25]). Moreover, the finding of the present review that 30% of the included studies reported no significant differences between the CGs and adults with AUD questions the applicability of the SMT as a comprehensive explanatory framework. As described above, the absence of significant results in these studies possibly relates to the sensitivity of the chosen task to detect risky decision-making deficits, or could perhaps be explained by differences between the studies in demographic, clinical, or alcohol-use-related variables.
4.3. Associations between Risky Decision-Making and Demographic, Clinical, and Alcohol-Use-Related Variables
Apart from looking at differences between the AUD groups and CGs, several of the included studies explored potential associations between risky decision-making and demographic, clinical, and/or alcohol-use-related variables within groups. With regard to the demographic characteristics age and educational level, results of the included studies were mixed in that some but not all studies observed significant associations. The direction of the association between risky decision-making and age furthermore remains unclear, as a higher age was found to correlate both with a worse/riskier [83] and with a better/less risky [58,67] performance on the tasks. Results were more consistent regarding the association between risk taking and gender, since only one of the ten studies that looked at this relation found a significant effect of gender on decision-making task performance [84]. Despite the mixed and contrasting results regarding demographic characteristics, the potential influence on task performance of age and educational level in particular cannot be ruled out. Future studies that assess risk-taking behaviour in adults with AUD should therefore aim to control for between-group differences in demographic variables.
When looking at the relations between clinical characteristics and risky decision-making, only a few significant associations have been found in the included studies. Apart from a potential additive effect of ADHD [81], or a cluster B personality disorder [82,95], the results of the present review seem to suggest that risk taking in adults with AUD is not affected by clinical characteristics such as symptoms of depression and anxiety or co-addictions to nicotine or heroine. However, in this context, it is of note that the included studies differed with regard to the inclusion and exclusion of adults with disorders comorbid to AUD. For many of the included studies, adults with (severe) psychiatric comorbidities and/or polysubstance dependency were excluded from the AUD group in order to address the ‘pure’ effect of AUD on task performance. As AUD is associated with various psychiatric comorbidities including mood, anxiety, and personality disorders [11], excluding participants with comorbid disorders may limit the generalizability and ecological validity of the study results. Based on the included studies, it therefore remains unclear whether associations with clinical characteristics are also absent in the population of adults with AUD.
Similar to the absence of associations with clinical characteristics, the results of the present review indicate risky decision-making in adults with AUD not to be associated with a variety of alcohol-use-related measures. Indeed, the majority of included studies that looked at these associations found that outcome measures of risky decision-making were not related to the frequency, quantity, or duration of alcohol consumption, to ratings of AUD severity and/or alcohol cravings, or to the duration of abstinence, or the number of prior detoxifications in the AUD groups. As both co-addictions and alcohol-use-related variables seem to be of little influence on the risk taking of the AUD groups, it could be speculated that the deficits in risky decision-making substantiated by this review are not a direct consequence of the alcohol or substance use itself, but rather of the brain deficiencies related to the addiction. Importantly, such brain deficiencies could both predate the addiction and be involved in the maintenance of alcohol use [22]. In support of the idea that risky decision-making relates to the maintenance of alcohol use, three of the included studies found risky decision-making task performance to be related to a relapse to heavy drinking in abstinent adults with AUD [35,53,77]. In this context, it should be noted, however, that the direction of the association between risk taking and relapse remains unclear, based on this limited number of studies. Whilst two of the included studies found a riskier task performance to be related to relapse [35,77], the study by Loeber et al. (2010) found a less risky task performance to relate to a relapse to heavy drinking. According to the authors, this latter finding could be due to the impact of social desirability on task performance (i.e., a safety strategy is adopted during the task), however, and might not generalise from the laboratory setting to real-world risk situations [53]. Future research will therefore have to show whether the finding by Loeber et al. (2010) was incidental, and will need to clarify the relation between risk taking and relapse. Establishing a relation between the deficits in risky decision-making of adults with AUD and a relapse to heavy drinking may in turn prove helpful for the development of new treatment approaches in the light of relapse prevention.
4.4. Limitations and Future Research Directions
The results of this systematic and meta-analytic review must be interpreted with caution and several limitations need to be acknowledged. A first limitation concerns the ecological validity of the present findings. Whereas the present review indicates that adults with AUD show increased risk taking as compared to control participants on performance-based decision-making tasks, relatively little can be said, based on these tasks, about their level of risk taking in daily life, and about their decisions in relation to alcohol consumption in particular. Whereas the IGT, for example, was designed to assess real-world decision-making [63], and has been linked to clinically relevant risk-taking behaviour such as pathological gambling, psychopathic behaviour, and substance use disorders, further evidence on the ecological validity of this task is still needed [107]. Factors relevant to real-world risky decision-making including social context, emotional arousal, and the extent of punishment and reward do not translate easily to a controlled and structured laboratory setting [113]. Furthermore, whilst tasks that include decisions about points or money such as the IGT and CGT may shed light on risky decision-making processes in a broader sense, their relevance to alcohol-related decision-making remains to be explored [114]. In order to more firmly establish the link between task performance and real-world risk taking in adults with AUD, future research should aim to develop and adopt more ecologically valid risky decision-making tasks that specifically relate to the decision to drink alcohol. One example of such a task included in the present review may be the EDMT as introduced by Arcurio et al. (2015) [45].
As described above, a second limitation includes that, based on the present findings, it remains unclear whether the deficits in risky decision-making substantiated by this review predate the addiction of adults with AUD, and/or whether the deficits are consequential to their alcohol use. This question of causality can only be answered by means of a longitudinal approach, and is of clear relevance for the early identification of those at risk for the development of addiction and for enhancing treatment options for adults with AUD. To gain a further understanding of the (bidirectional) nature of the link between risky decision-making and AUD, it is thus highly recommended that more longitudinal research is conducted on this topic, particularly in the clinical field [22].
A third limitation of this review is the high level of variability of the included studies regarding the level of comorbidities, the alcohol-use-related variables (e.g., duration and severity of AUD), and the abstinence periods of the AUD groups. This heterogeneity between studies complicates their comparibility for the present review. Moreover, differences in the sample characteristics and the characteristics related to the alcohol comsumption of the AUD groups could differentially impact risky decision-making behaviour, which may consequently have influenced the results.
A fourth limitation that manifests itself on the review level concerns that the present study was not preregistered. For reasons of transparency and reproducibility, registration of the study protocol should have been completed.
A final limitation on the review level is that no risk of bias analysis has been carried out for the present study. After careful evaluation of the assessment tools and checklists at hand (see [115]), we concluded that, to the best of our knowledge, there is no tool available to date that is fully applicable and can be used to reliably address the risk of bias of the type of cross-sectional studies included in the present review (i.e., studies comparing behavioural task performance between a clinical group and a CG). Therefore, we were unable to examine the likelihood that features of the study design or conduct of the included studies have led to bias, which should be taken into account when interpreting the results of this review.
5. Conclusions
This systematic and meta-analytic review provides evidence of increased risk taking in adults with AUD as compared to control participants. Specifically, the majority of studies (i.e., 68%) reported that the AUD group(s) showed an aberrant performance as compared to the CG(s) on one or more of the adopted risky decision-making task(s), which was confirmed by a small to medium pooled effect size found in the meta-analysis. In the present review, significant between-group differences were found on predominantly affective as well as deliberative decision-making tasks or outcome measures. Accounting for deficits in affective and deliberative processes, the overall pattern of findings of this review thence seems to be consistent with the SMT of addiction. In the context of this theory, AUD can be understood as an imbalance between two neural systems, emerging from a hyperactive impulsive system or a dysfunctional reflective system [23,24,25]. The applicability of the SMT as a comprehensive explanatory framework is questioned, however, by the finding that 30% of the included studies reported no significant group differences in risky decision-making between the CGs and adults with AUD.
Apart from looking at differences between the AUD groups and CGs, potential associations between risky decision-making tasks and demographic, clinical, and alcohol-use-related variables were explored. Whereas results regarding associations with demographic characteristics were mixed, the majority of clinical and alcohol-use-related variables under review were found not to be significantly related with risk taking in adults with AUD. As (the absence of) such associations may hold relevant implications for both theory and practice (e.g., relapse prevention), future research should aim to systematically evaluate the relation between these variables and risky decision-making in adults with AUD. It is further recommended that future studies aim to adopt a longitudinal approach, and make use of more ecologically valid tasks that specifically relate to the decision to drink alcohol. Information yielded by this type of research can teach us more about the role of real-world risky decision-making in the development and maintenance of AUD.
The present systematic and meta-analytic review is an important step in adding to our understanding of the link between risky decision-making and alcohol addiction. The outcomes of this review may prove useful for relapse prevention and the development of new treatment approaches for adults with AUD.
Supplementary Materials
The following supporting information can be downloaded at: https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/jcm12082943/s1, File S1: PRISMA checklist.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization: J.K. and O.T. Methodology: A-M.D.A., G.F.G., O.T. and J.K. Validation: A-M.D.A., J.H.N. and J.K. Formal Analysis: A-M.D.A., J.H.N., G.F.G. and J.K. Investigation: A-M.D.A., J.H.N. and J.K. Data Curation: J.K. and A-M.D.A. Writing—Original Draft Preparation: A-M.D.A. Writing—Review and Editing: A-M.D.A., J.H.N., G.F.G., O.T. and J.K. Visualization: A-M.D.A. and G.F.G. Supervision: J.K. Project Administration: J.K. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Informed Consent Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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