- Article
Soil Carbon Loss, Eco-Efficiency, and Abatement: Spatial Heterogeneity and Governance in China
- Yuanyuan Tang,
- Wenhui Fu and
- Yanbing Qi
- + 1 author
Correctly assessing the ecological efficiency of soil carbon losses (ESCS) and the reduction potentiality for soil carbon losses (RPCS) is of great significance for implementing soil carbon sequestration and source reduction. The purpose of this study is to use soil sampling data from the 1980s to the 2010s and the soil organic carbon stocks (SOCs) and soil inorganic carbon stocks (SICs) dynamics generated by the random forest algorithm to empirically measure China’s provincial-scale ESCS, apply the super-efficiency Slacks-Based Measure (SBM) model to derive the RPCS under equity–efficiency scenarios, and construct differentiated soil carbon sequestration and emission reduction strategies for different DMU types. This study found that China is a huge net soil carbon sink with SOC increases of 12.47 Gt and SIC decreases of 0.86 Gt. However, the net soil carbon increase is not consistent at the provincial scale, with 12 provincial regions remaining with net carbon losses. The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is the largest soil carbon sink in China, and the soil carbon in Tibet and Qinghai increased by 6.40 and 6.45 Gt, respectively. Yunnan is the largest soil carbon source with a decrease of 3.22 Gt. Although the overall ESCS of China reaches 0.86, approaching the efficiency frontier, the majority of provincial regions still exhibit an imbalanced structure between inputs and outputs. The national RPCS is 0.21 for no preference given to equity or efficiency, 0.18 for prior to efficiency, and 0.24 for prior to equity. The preferences of decision-makers are unlikely to exert a substantial influence on the cluster outcomes due to severe imbalance between eco-efficiency and potentiality. Taking China’s overall ESCS and RPCS as the boundary for regional division, the above provincial-level regions are divided into low-efficiency and high-potential areas. Such areas need to focus on promoting the implementation of projects combining natural recovery and moderate intervention. Our findings highlight the need to value soil carbon losses for China’s Carbon Neutrality and to address regional eco-efficiency/potentiality heterogeneity in decision-making processes.
2 August 2026









