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GeoHazards, Volume 7, Issue 1 (March 2026) – 36 articles

Cover Story (view full-size image): Accurate hydraulic modeling in narrow gorges and canyons is often hindered by complex topography and limited accessibility. This study presents a multi-technique data fusion approach, combining terrestrial laser scanning and photogrammetry to generate high-resolution 3D models. By integrating these diverse datasets, the research achieves unprecedented geometric precision in challenging environments. These models are crucial for simulating water levels during extreme flooding events, providing a robust tool for risk assessment and disaster management in vulnerable natural corridors. The proposed methodology highlights the synergy between geomatic techniques to overcome traditional surveying limitations in steep-walled terrain, ensuring better preparedness for hydrological hazards. View this paper
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24 pages, 11247 KB  
Article
Machine Learning Analysis of Landslide Susceptibility in the Western Québec Seismic Zone of Canada
by Kevin Potoczny, Katsuichiro Goda and Abouzar Sadrekarimi
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010036 - 11 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1245
Abstract
Landslide hazard potential is high across the St. Lawrence lowlands of Québec, Canada, due to sensitive glaciomarine clay deposits and the presence of moderate seismic activity, causing slope failures in the region. The main objectives of the study are to develop a working [...] Read more.
Landslide hazard potential is high across the St. Lawrence lowlands of Québec, Canada, due to sensitive glaciomarine clay deposits and the presence of moderate seismic activity, causing slope failures in the region. The main objectives of the study are to develop a working database for landslides in the region and use that database to improve regional landslide susceptibility analysis. Using high-resolution (1 m by 1 m cells) digital terrain models dated from 2009 and validated with satellite photogrammetry from 2012, a landslide inventory of 263 cases related to the 2010 Val-des-Bois earthquake (moment magnitude 5.0) is created. Relationships between landslide susceptibility factors, such as slope angle, and seismic conditioning factors, such as peak ground acceleration, are examined through machine learning methods. For landslide detection, an overall accuracy of approximately 85% (AUC 0.914) is achieved using random forest and logistic regression models cross-validated through 5-fold analysis, showing improvement over the currently employed Hazus method, which achieves an accuracy of approximately 67%. From a regional perspective, the developed inventory and resultant susceptibility models are unique and form the foundation for future studies to improve the understanding of earthquake-induced landslides in the Western Québec Seismic Zone, which historically lacks detailed landslide inventories. Full article
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25 pages, 3570 KB  
Article
A Context-Aware Flood Warning Framework Integrating Ensemble Learning and LLMs
by Adnan Ahmed Abi Sen, Fares Hamad Aljohani, Nour Mahmoud Bahbouh, Adel Ben Mnaouer, Omar Tayan and Ahmad. B. Alkhodre
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 35; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010035 - 11 Mar 2026
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1790
Abstract
Smart cities require effective disaster management (like flooding, solar storms, sandstorms, or hurricanes), as it directly impacts people’s lives. The key challenges of disaster management are timely detection and effective notification during the crisis. This research presents a smart multi-layer framework for notification [...] Read more.
Smart cities require effective disaster management (like flooding, solar storms, sandstorms, or hurricanes), as it directly impacts people’s lives. The key challenges of disaster management are timely detection and effective notification during the crisis. This research presents a smart multi-layer framework for notification classification and management before and during flooding disasters. The framework includes an early detection module as the main phase in the alerting process. This step depends on an Ensemble Learning (EL) model based on a triad of the three best selected models (Deep Learning (DL), Random Forest (RF), and K-nearest Neighbor (KNN)) to analyze data collected continuously from the Internet of Things (IoT) layer. In the boosting phase, the framework utilizes Large Language Models (LLMs) with DL to analyze social textual crowdsourcing data. The results will enable the framework to identify the most affected areas during a flood. The framework adds a fog computing layer alongside a cloud layer to enable instantaneous processing of user responses and generate specialized alerts based on contextual factors such as location, time, risk level, alert type, and user characteristics. Through testing and implementation, the proposed algorithms demonstrated an accuracy rate of over 98% in detecting threats using a dataset of real, collected weather and flooding data. Additionally, the framework proposes a centralized control panel and a design of a smartphone application that offers essential services and facilitates communication among managed civil defense teams, citizens, and volunteers. Full article
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36 pages, 14302 KB  
Article
Effect of Earthquake and Hydrostatic Water Pressure on the Seismic Stability of Slopes Supported by Mechanically Stabilized Earth Retaining Walls
by Zeinab Bayati, Arash K. Pour, Ali Saeidi and Ehsan Noroozinejad Farsangi
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010034 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1886
Abstract
This study evaluates the stability of slopes supported by mechanically stabilized earth walls under combined hydrostatic and seismic loading conditions. Limit equilibrium, pseudo-static methods and permanent displacement approaches, including the Newmark rigid block method as well as coupled and decoupled techniques, are employed [...] Read more.
This study evaluates the stability of slopes supported by mechanically stabilized earth walls under combined hydrostatic and seismic loading conditions. Limit equilibrium, pseudo-static methods and permanent displacement approaches, including the Newmark rigid block method as well as coupled and decoupled techniques, are employed to assess the static and seismic performance of the soil slope under investigation. Parametric analyses are conducted using the Slide2 software package (Version 9.041) and verified against geotechnical design criteria to examine the effects of groundwater level and seismic intensity on factors of safety, failure mechanisms, and seismic-induced displacements of the slope. Results based on multiple strong ground motion records indicate that elevated water tables and hydrostatic pressures behind the wall, up to levels near the wall toe, do not significantly increase the failure potential or slope displacement. This behavior is attributed to the MSE wall acting as a rigid stabilizing system that enhances overall slope stability. Full article
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30 pages, 7149 KB  
Article
Volcanic Hazard Assessment of a Monogenetic Volcanic Field with Sporadic and Limited Information: Deterministic Approach for Harrat Lunayyir, Saudi Arabia
by Károly Németh, Abdulrahman Sowaigh, Mahmoud Ashor, Mostafa Toni and Vladimir Sokolov
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 33; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010033 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1775
Abstract
Saudi Arabia is experiencing interactions between ongoing urbanization, tourism growth, infrastructure projects in western regions along the Red Sea, and volcanic hazards. The area contains extensive monogenetic volcanic fields with hundreds of volcanoes formed during the Quaternary period. The large scale of the [...] Read more.
Saudi Arabia is experiencing interactions between ongoing urbanization, tourism growth, infrastructure projects in western regions along the Red Sea, and volcanic hazards. The area contains extensive monogenetic volcanic fields with hundreds of volcanoes formed during the Quaternary period. The large scale of the region often limits and fragments volcanological research, resulting in insufficient age and chemical data to understand the spatial and temporal development of many volcanic fields. Increased tourism has created a need for volcanic hazard assessments, particularly since some volcanic fields are considered possible tourist destinations. Harrat Lunayyir, in northwestern Saudi Arabia, is an example where such assessments have been conducted. Hazard assessments seek to provide information about potential future eruption types, locations, and impacts over timeframes relevant to urban planning and risk management. Due to rapid local development, these assessments may be required on short notice for specific small areas within larger volcanic fields, even when geological data are limited. This report presents a deterministic, scenario-based method for addressing such requests in the Lunayyir Volcanic Field. Results indicate a young Holocene eruption site characterized by a complex scoria cone associated with lava spattering, Strombolian, violent Strombolian activity and extensive transitional-type lava effusion. Full article
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30 pages, 11497 KB  
Article
Strong Ground Motion Scenarios of the 1953 Disastrous Earthquake (M7.2) in Cephalonia, Greece
by Ioannis Grendas and Nikolaos Theodoulidis
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 32; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010032 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1206
Abstract
In the 20th century, several large-magnitude earthquakes (M > 7.0) occurred in Greece and surrounding areas, some of which caused extensive structural damage and significant loss of life. Unfortunately, for these earthquakes, there was no recorded ground motion intensity data to extract information [...] Read more.
In the 20th century, several large-magnitude earthquakes (M > 7.0) occurred in Greece and surrounding areas, some of which caused extensive structural damage and significant loss of life. Unfortunately, for these earthquakes, there was no recorded ground motion intensity data to extract information about the macroseismic intensity distribution within the affected areas. A characteristic example of such an earthquake is the M7.2 of 12 August 1953 on Cephalonia island, which led to the almost complete destruction of settlements across the Cephalonia, Zakynthos, and Ithaca islands in western Greece. Although the vulnerability of the buildings affected in 1953 substantially differs from modern structures, the intensity and spatial extent of the shaking indicate that an event of similar magnitude could, even today, place the built environment and critical infrastructure of the region at high seismic risk. This study aims to estimate peak ground acceleration and velocity (PGA–PGV) and macroseismic intensity for the Cephalonia, Zakynthos, and Ithaca islands associated with earthquake scenarios comparable to the 1953 event (M7.2), incorporating seismotectonic information about active faults linked to the historical earthquake and considering associated uncertainties. Ground motion prediction models recently developed for Greece are employed. High PGA values (0.41–0.44 g) are estimated for the M7.2 earthquake, for rock site conditions (Vs30 790 m/s), covering almost the entire island of Cephalonia; these can be considered as the minimum values expected on rock site conditions for a similar earthquake scenario. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Geohazard Characterization, Modeling, and Risk Assessment)
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22 pages, 3853 KB  
Article
Land Cover and Land Use Controls on Landslide Morphometry and Occurrence in a Heterogeneous Mountain Watershed
by Gumbert Maylda Pratama, Takashi Gomi, Rozaqqa Noviandi, Rasis Putra Ritonga, Teuku Faisal Fathani and Wahyu Wilopo
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 31; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010031 - 1 Mar 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1864
Abstract
Tropical mountain watersheds contain heterogeneous land cover and land use (LCLU) mosaics, yet the relationship between these mosaics and landslide morphometry and occurrence at the watershed scale remains unclear. We compiled landslide inventory from 2002 to 2023 for the 152.3 km2 Upper [...] Read more.
Tropical mountain watersheds contain heterogeneous land cover and land use (LCLU) mosaics, yet the relationship between these mosaics and landslide morphometry and occurrence at the watershed scale remains unclear. We compiled landslide inventory from 2002 to 2023 for the 152.3 km2 Upper Ciliwung Watershed, West Java, Indonesia. We mapped morphometry for a subset of 84 landslides, classified the events into seven LCLU classes, and compared landslide size–frequency distributions across vegetation groups. Principal component analysis (PCA) revealed that LCLU type influences landslide size and mobility. Forested terrain produced narrower, longer-runout landslides on steeper slopes, whereas agricultural and other herbaceous-dominated terrain generated wider landslides on gentler slopes. Clarifying landslides by vegetation characteristics as either tree- or herbaceous-dominated areas (including urban areas) revealed distinct size–frequency patterns, especially for small landslides (tree-dominated: 133 m2, herbaceous-dominated and other: 97 m2; overall 112 m2), which are consistent with the contrasting vegetation structures and hydrological responses. PCA supported these patterns, with PC1 describing a morphometric axis and PC2 capturing gradients in event rainfall and antecedent wetness. Together, these results support the conclusion that vegetation structure and land-use conditions influence slope stability by affecting soil reinforcement and hydrological responses. This provides a foundation for land–use–specific geohazard mitigation and vegetation-based slope stability planning. Full article
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8 pages, 847 KB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Asphalt Core and Clay Core Earthfill Dam Under Varied Earthquake Loading Conditions
by Noureddine Dael Gouem, Sepehr Saedi and Mohsen Seyedi
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 30; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010030 - 1 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1186
Abstract
Earthfill dams located in seismic regions are highly vulnerable to earthquake-induced deformations, particularly when founded on soft alluvial soils. This study presents a comparative numerical investigation of earthfill dams with asphalt and clay cores subjected to seismic loading. A 20 m-high zoned embankment [...] Read more.
Earthfill dams located in seismic regions are highly vulnerable to earthquake-induced deformations, particularly when founded on soft alluvial soils. This study presents a comparative numerical investigation of earthfill dams with asphalt and clay cores subjected to seismic loading. A 20 m-high zoned embankment dam founded on soft alluvial deposits was modeled in PLAXIS2D and subjected to four earthquake records. The dynamic responses at the crest and downstream slope were evaluated in terms of acceleration, settlement, and lateral displacement. The results indicate that while lateral displacements are nearly identical for both core types, dams with clay cores experience significantly higher seismic settlements, reaching up to 35% more than those with asphalt cores under strong earthquake loading. Overall, the asphalt core demonstrated enhanced resilience, exhibiting reduced settlement due to its higher stiffness, viscoelastic behavior, and inherent capacity for self-healing following seismic loading. Full article
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20 pages, 5842 KB  
Article
Integrated Approach to Assessing Spatial Susceptibility to Flooding in the Upper Mono Basin Valley in Togo: Local Perceptions and Multi-Criteria Risk Analysis
by Essi Nadège Parkoo, Kossi Adjonou, Atsu K. Dogbeda Hlovor, Afi Amen Christèle Attiogbé, Kossi Komi, Kodjovi Senanou Gbafa and Kouami Kokou
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 29; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010029 - 1 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1434
Abstract
The Upper Mono Basin Valley (UMBV) in Togo faces recurrent flooding hazards. This study assesses spatial flood susceptibility using an integrated approach combining Geographic Information Systems (GISs), Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Eight factors were weighted according to [...] Read more.
The Upper Mono Basin Valley (UMBV) in Togo faces recurrent flooding hazards. This study assesses spatial flood susceptibility using an integrated approach combining Geographic Information Systems (GISs), Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Eight factors were weighted according to their influence: accumulation flow, annual precipitation, soil permeability, land use/land cover, slope, elevation, distance from drainage networks, and drainage network density. With a consistency ratio of 0.052, the AHP method proved coherent and enabled the development of a normalized Flood Hazard Index (FHI). Results revealed accumulation flow (weight = 0.33), distance to drainage networks (0.18), and network density (0.16) as the most critical drivers, while precipitation and soil permeability are secondary. Spatial classification revealed heterogeneity: 55% (871,046 ha) of the UMBV has very low susceptibility, while 1% (10,034 ha) is highly vulnerable, mainly in Est-Mono, Ogou, Anié, Tchamba, and Tchaoudjo. In contrast, Blitta and Sotouboua show lower vulnerability due to higher altitudes. This reveals that the UMBV is relatively less prone to flooding. The comparison of data from 28 focus groups in 14 municipalities with the flood susceptibility map shows a strong concordance between local perceptions and the mapping (r = 0.805, p < 0.001). These findings highlight the need for differentiated territorial strategies integrating physical parameters, land use dynamics, and community risk perceptions to strengthen flood risk management in the UMBV. Full article
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14 pages, 13861 KB  
Article
Geology Is the Key: Seismic Soil Liquefaction Potential in Niigata City, Japan
by Robert E. Kayen
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 28; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010028 - 1 Mar 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1870
Abstract
The 1964 M7.5 Niigata earthquake remains one of the most significant natural laboratories for understanding seismic–induced soil liquefaction and its dependence on geological setting. Among global field case histories, Niigata stands out for the exceptional documentation of liquefaction triggering, lateral spread displacements, and [...] Read more.
The 1964 M7.5 Niigata earthquake remains one of the most significant natural laboratories for understanding seismic–induced soil liquefaction and its dependence on geological setting. Among global field case histories, Niigata stands out for the exceptional documentation of liquefaction triggering, lateral spread displacements, and soil–structure interaction. This paper reexamines the event from an engineering–geologic perspective, emphasizing how Holocene coastal and fluvial depositional processes beneath the Echigo Plain controlled the spatial and stratigraphic distribution of liquefaction during the 1964 earthquake. The most severe ground deformations occurred in fluvially reworked sands derived from three major Holocene dune and barrier island systems (CSD1,2,3) formed along the paleo–shoreline of the Sea of Japan. The largest of these, a mid–Holocene transgressive barrier complex deposited to a thickness of 50–60 m of beach and aeolian sand between 8 and 5 ka B.P., now lies buried 5–8 km inland beneath fine–grained alluvial deposits. Tectonic downwarping and deltaic progradation by the Shinano and Agano rivers redistributed these sands into loose, saturated fluvial facies beneath modern Niigata city. Quantitative geotechnical analyses demonstrate that liquefaction occurs within these reworked Holocene units rather than anthropogenic fills. Full article
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19 pages, 11367 KB  
Article
Transparent Seismic Design Spectra for the Urban Development Plan of Mexicali, B.C
by Joaquín Raul Rodríguez, Erik Esteban Ramírez and Mario González-Durán
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 27; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010027 - 1 Mar 2026
Viewed by 1052
Abstract
Mexicali, capital of Baja California, has 1,049,792 inhabitants and lies in a high-seismic-hazard zone in northwestern Mexico, according to CENAPRED, the MDOC-CFE-2015 seismic regionalization, and the ASCE 7-22 “Hazard Toolkit”. This study develops a probabilistic seismic hazard map to estimate peak ground accelerations [...] Read more.
Mexicali, capital of Baja California, has 1,049,792 inhabitants and lies in a high-seismic-hazard zone in northwestern Mexico, according to CENAPRED, the MDOC-CFE-2015 seismic regionalization, and the ASCE 7-22 “Hazard Toolkit”. This study develops a probabilistic seismic hazard map to estimate peak ground accelerations with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, using the OpenQuake platform. The study area coincides with the 2025 urban development plan polygon for the central population area defined by the Municipal Institute for Research and Urban Planning of Mexicali. The Imperial and Cerro Prieto faults, the Pescaderos–Indiviso fault system, and the Laguna Salada fault were modeled as seismic sources. Four PEER-NGA ground motion prediction equations and regional geophysical and geotechnical data were employed to characterize shear-wave velocity (Vs30). Design response spectra were generated for each grid point for the 21 periods specified in ASCE 7-22. A representative Vs30 of 236 m/s was obtained, and the a, b, and Mc parameters were derived for the seismic catalog. Resulting peak ground accelerations range from 0.842 g to 1.221 g, with a maximum spectral pseudo-acceleration of 2.23 g at 0.30 s. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Seismological Research and Seismic Hazard & Risk Assessments)
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21 pages, 7577 KB  
Article
Hydrological Vulnerability and Flood Risk: Mexico City Study Case
by Emmanuel Zúñiga and Enrique Pérez-Campuzano
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 26; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010026 - 20 Feb 2026
Viewed by 2725
Abstract
Mexico City (CDMX) is located in an endorheic basin historically prone to flooding and waterlogging, the recurrence and magnitude of which have intensified in recent decades. However, flood risk assessment tends to focus primarily on the occurrence of intense rainfall to explain this [...] Read more.
Mexico City (CDMX) is located in an endorheic basin historically prone to flooding and waterlogging, the recurrence and magnitude of which have intensified in recent decades. However, flood risk assessment tends to focus primarily on the occurrence of intense rainfall to explain this phenomenon. The main objective of this study is to demonstrate that the risk of flooding in Mexico City (CDMX) depends not only on intense rainfall, but also on changes in hydrological vulnerability resulting from the loss of natural vegetation cover. The curve number (CN) method is used to determine hydrological vulnerability and flood risk in CDMX, integrating environmental information and precipitation values. Changes in surface runoff are also determined for 10 watersheds located west of Mexico City, considering urbanization in 1992 and 2021, as well as a non-urbanized scenario. The results indicate that hydrological vulnerability and flood risk increased from acceptable levels to “high” and “very high” levels, mainly in regions where urbanization increased and natural vegetation decreased. It was also identified that, under different levels of precipitation, agricultural and urban land cover have considerably lower infiltration capacities compared to natural land cover, such as forests, which infiltrate more than half of the precipitation. Finally, the increase in surface runoff in the watersheds located west of the city is closely related to the urbanization process and the physical characteristics of the territory. It was also observed that a degraded watershed can generate approximately 90% more runoff than a non-urbanized watershed. Full article
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23 pages, 15134 KB  
Article
Multi-Technique Data Fusion for Obtaining High-Resolution 3D Models of Narrow Gorges and Canyons to Determine Water Level in Flooding Events
by José Luis Pérez-García, José Miguel Gómez-López, Antonio Tomás Mozas-Calvache and Diego Vico-García
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010025 - 17 Feb 2026
Viewed by 879
Abstract
Precise modeling of narrow gorges is challenging due to extreme confinement, hindering visibility and accessibility. These environments often render Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-based positioning unfeasible, a difficulty compounded by water and dense vegetation. Consequently, multi-technique data fusion is required. This study proposes [...] Read more.
Precise modeling of narrow gorges is challenging due to extreme confinement, hindering visibility and accessibility. These environments often render Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-based positioning unfeasible, a difficulty compounded by water and dense vegetation. Consequently, multi-technique data fusion is required. This study proposes a robust methodology to generate high-resolution 3D models of such complex environments by integrating multiple aerial (e.g., Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, UAVs) and terrestrial techniques. A multi-sensor approach combined UAV-Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) and UAV-photogrammetry for external areas with Terrestrial laser scanning (TLS), Mobile Mapping System (MMS), and Spherical Photogrammetry (SP) for the canyon floor. Furthermore, the representativeness of these 3D models was analyzed against standard Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) for determining water height levels during flood events. A one-dimensional hydraulic (1DH) model compared the 3D mesh approach with the traditional 2.5D perspective in a challenging, narrow canyon prone to flooding. Our results show that traditional 2.5D DTMs significantly over- or underestimate water levels in narrow sections—failing to account for overhangs and vertical wall irregularities—whereas high-resolution 3D meshes provide a more realistic representation of hydraulic behavior. This work demonstrates that multi-sensor data fusion is essential for accurate flood risk management and infrastructure planning in complex fluvial environments. Full article
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33 pages, 6410 KB  
Article
Public Narrative Analysis for Disaster Resilience Building: Evidence from Morocco Earthquake
by Mohammad Reza Yeganegi and Nadejda Komendantova
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 24; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010024 - 14 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1395
Abstract
Building resilience is largely affected by the socioeconomic characteristics of the community as well as the physical and environmental local characteristics. The effectiveness of the adopted policies for resilience building partly relies on considering public concerns and insights. Insights from public narratives can [...] Read more.
Building resilience is largely affected by the socioeconomic characteristics of the community as well as the physical and environmental local characteristics. The effectiveness of the adopted policies for resilience building partly relies on considering public concerns and insights. Insights from public narratives can enrich the resilience-building policies by sharing experiences or evidence from past disasters. Furthermore, it reveals priorities and concerns that society is expecting to be addressed. Even if the concerns are triggered by misinformation, addressing them (e.g., by disseminating corrective information) can increase the success of resilience-building policies. Tracing the public narrative over time shows how much people’s perspectives have changed after the disaster and how the relief and resilience-building efforts were compatible with society’s expectations. This study is aimed at extracting such insights from the public narrative on social media platforms after Morocco’s 2023 earthquake. Full article
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20 pages, 8492 KB  
Article
Hydrodynamic Analysis of Landslide Dam Breach Formation and Outburst Flood Propagation in the Sunkoshi River Basin, Nepal
by Irshad Ali Zardari, Ningsheng Chen, Surih Sibaghatullah Jagirani, Shufeng Tian and Rosette Niyirora
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 23; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010023 - 13 Feb 2026
Viewed by 2353
Abstract
A dam breach is an uncommon but profoundly destructive event that transpires when a dam collapses, releasing accumulated water downstream and leading to extensive damage. This study focuses on the Jure landslide dam, located in the Sindhupalchowk district, Nepal. The region is characterized [...] Read more.
A dam breach is an uncommon but profoundly destructive event that transpires when a dam collapses, releasing accumulated water downstream and leading to extensive damage. This study focuses on the Jure landslide dam, located in the Sindhupalchowk district, Nepal. The region is characterized by complex river channels and steep terrains, which are significantly influenced by flood dynamics. This study aims to establish a compressive numerical simulation of a two-dimensional dam breach unsteady flow hydraulic model to simulate the dam breach process and downstream flood propagation. The study analyzes the dynamics of the Jure landslide dam outburst flood, emphasizing the flood characteristics, inundation, and velocity hazards in the mitigation of flood impacts. The results reveal that the peak discharge of the Jure landside dam was 5336.7 m3/s, while it decreased to 1181.4 m3/s when traveling 35 km. The flood depth obtained by 2D (HEC-RAS) downstream of the dam rages between 0.0334 and 55.9 m, while the corresponding estimated peak flow velocity of simulated breaches was 21.46 m/s, demonstrating extreme hydraulic force conditions, capable of catastrophe. The proposed hydraulic simulations reveal significant variations in overflow dynamics across different terrain types, with narrower sections exhibiting faster flood progression and greater water depths. The findings underscore the necessity of accounting for terrain heterogeneity in future flood risk assessments. This work offers valuable insights into the emergency management of landslide dams in similar regions. Full article
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17 pages, 8603 KB  
Article
Cosmogenic 36Cl Dating of Fault Activity in East Messinia, Greece
by Constantin D. Athanassas, Vassiliki Kanavou, Regis Braucher, Ioannis Vakalas, Ioannis Ladas, Katerina Theodorakopoulou and Harris Zampoukos
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010022 - 10 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1619
Abstract
This work deals with the quantification of long-term fault slip rates as a basis for seismic hazard assessment along a segment of the Eastern Messinia Fault Zone (EMFZ) in southwestern Peloponnese, Greece. Using cosmogenic 36Cl exposure dating, it provides independent numerical constraints [...] Read more.
This work deals with the quantification of long-term fault slip rates as a basis for seismic hazard assessment along a segment of the Eastern Messinia Fault Zone (EMFZ) in southwestern Peloponnese, Greece. Using cosmogenic 36Cl exposure dating, it provides independent numerical constraints on recent deformation. The resulting late Holocene slip-rate estimates (~0.32–0.46 mm/yr) confirm ongoing fault activity, consistent with earlier paleoseismological and geomorphic studies, while indicating spatially distributed extension. These rates imply loading timescales of several hundred years for moderate (Mw ≈ 5.8–6.0) earthquakes. Although individual exposure ages cannot be uniquely associated with single seismic events, they offer robust benchmarks for cumulative displacement and long-term strain accumulation. Overall, this work demonstrates how numerical dating methods (particularly cosmogenic nuclide techniques applied to carbonate bedrock) can link geological observations with engineering requirements by constraining fault behavior over 103–105 year timescales and improving long-term seismic hazard evaluation in complex tectonic settings. Full article
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24 pages, 13993 KB  
Article
The Complex Application of Geophysical and Engineering Geological Methods in a Landslide Body for Analysis of Structural Characteristics and Reduction of Landslide Risk (Tumanyan Landslide, Armenia)
by Mikayel Gevorgyan, Dmitri Arakelyan, Hayk Igityan, Hayk Baghdasaryan, Hektor Babayan, Gevorg Babayan, Suren Arakelyan, Khachatur Meliksetian and Elya Sahakyan
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 21; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010021 - 9 Feb 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1210
Abstract
The territory of the Republic of Armenia (RA) lies within the central Arabia–Eurasia collision zone and is characterized by rugged mountain landscapes, complex geology, active faulting, and seismicity. Armenia is highly vulnerable to seismic and landslide hazards, with more than 2504 active landslides [...] Read more.
The territory of the Republic of Armenia (RA) lies within the central Arabia–Eurasia collision zone and is characterized by rugged mountain landscapes, complex geology, active faulting, and seismicity. Armenia is highly vulnerable to seismic and landslide hazards, with more than 2504 active landslides mapped in the country. A significant landslide in the Tumanyan Community, Lori Marz, was activated in January 2018 and threatened critical infrastructure, including the railway linking Armenia to Georgia and the M6 interstate highway. The landslide’s activation was driven by groundwater, a nearby water reservoir leak, and adjacent infrastructure. Preliminary hazard analysis revealed that further movement of the landslide could dam the Debed River, leading to potentially catastrophic downstream impacts. In response, the Minister of Emergency Situations of RA requested urgent studies by the Institute of Geological Sciences of NAS RA. Surveys began on 22 January 2018, involving an interdisciplinary approach including geotechnical study, UAV-based digital mapping, and application of geophysical methods, such as MASW, microtremor recordings, GPR, and VES. The combination of these methods provided reliable information on the landslide’s geotechnical structure, identified the sliding plane, and allowed for numerical slope stability modeling, which confirmed the landslide’s unstable condition and susceptibility to reactivation from earthquakes or elevated groundwater. Based on this complex research, protective measures were developed and applied, including, in particular, horizontal drilling to dewater the sliding plane. These emergency measures stabilized the landslide, mitigating immediate threats to infrastructure and ensuring relative safety. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Research: State of the Art and Innovations)
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21 pages, 27161 KB  
Article
Integrated Protection of Levee Landward Slopes: Effects of Seamless Cement Coating and H-Type Piles on Flow Dynamics and Scour Reduction
by Javedullah Hemat Sherzai, Yoshiya Igarashi, Norio Tanaka, Hokuto Kato and Takuma Takeda
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 20; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010020 - 9 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1557
Abstract
Levee overtopping poses a significant risk to flood defense infrastructure by inducing severe erosion and scour, particularly along the landward slope and toe regions. This study investigates the effectiveness of an integrated protection system combining seamless cement coating with strategically placed H-type piles [...] Read more.
Levee overtopping poses a significant risk to flood defense infrastructure by inducing severe erosion and scour, particularly along the landward slope and toe regions. This study investigates the effectiveness of an integrated protection system combining seamless cement coating with strategically placed H-type piles to mitigate scour and modify flow dynamics under prolonged overflowing. A series of physical model tests were conducted to evaluate full and partial concrete slope protection with and without pile integration. Results showed that the seamless concrete revetment significantly delayed slope failure, resisted joint-related seepage, acted as a rigid cantilever, and maintained the structural integrity despite surrounding erosion. The inclusion of emergent H-type piles at the downstream toe disrupted the overflow jet, enhanced early energy dissipation, and reduced scour dimensions. The FC + P_ES (fully coated with emergent piles) configuration exhibited the strongest performance, reducing downstream scour length by 40%, upstream extent by 66.7%, and maximum scour depth by 7.7% compared to the FC_NP (fully coated, no-piles) condition. Partial slope coverage combined with emergent piles delayed scour initiation by approximately threefold, highlighting the synergistic effect of combined surface and flow-deflected structures measures. Conversely, bed-level piles redirected jet energy beneath the surface layer, intensifying vertical scour and upstream erosion, indicating the critical importance of pile placement and elevation. The findings emphasize the importance of integrating seamless surface protection with vertical flow disrupters to effectively manage flow-induced erosion and enhance levee resilience against overtopping floods. This hybrid approach offers a practical solution for flood-prone riverine levee systems. Full article
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28 pages, 2587 KB  
Review
Evaluating the Impact of Elevated Temperatures on Engineering Properties of Sedimentary Rocks: Insights and Current Trends
by Qianhao Tang, Stephen Akosah, Ivan Gratchev and Jeung-Hwan Doh
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010019 - 1 Feb 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1863
Abstract
This paper presents a systematic review of research investigating the effects of elevated temperatures on sedimentary rocks. The literature was selected using keyword-based searches of titles, abstracts, and keywords in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. In total, 107 relevant articles published [...] Read more.
This paper presents a systematic review of research investigating the effects of elevated temperatures on sedimentary rocks. The literature was selected using keyword-based searches of titles, abstracts, and keywords in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. In total, 107 relevant articles published between 2010 and 2024 were critically examined to address research questions on temperature-treated sedimentary rocks. Furthermore, both bibliometric analysis and systematic synthesis of experimental data were performed. The review identifies sandstone as the most-studied rock type, followed by limestone. It reveals that standard experimental methods include unconfined compressive strength (UCS), Brazilian tensile strength (BTS), and P-wave velocity tests. The study’s findings indicate that a temperature threshold of 400–600 °C governs deterioration in engineering properties, driven by the quartz α–β transition in sandstones and calcite decomposition in limestones. Normalized data show that UCS, BTS, and elastic modulus decline significantly beyond this threshold, while porosity increases. The study highlights the influence of fabric anisotropy, mineralogy, and heating conditions on rock behaviour, and identifies research gaps related to confined testing, real-fire scenarios, and anisotropic rocks. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the literature, the principal factors and processes occurring at different temperature ranges were identified and discussed. Full article
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15 pages, 4701 KB  
Article
Local and Regional Tectonic Influence of Territory on Geohazard of Dam of Radioactive Waste Tailings (Ukraine)
by Olha Orlinska, Dmytro Pikarenia, Leonid Rudakov and Hennadii Hapich
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 18; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010018 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 920
Abstract
Uranium production tailing ponds in Kamyanske (Ukraine) are objects of increased radioecological danger. Violation of the stability and integrity of containment dams threatens the uncontrolled spread of radionuclides. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively assess the factors affecting the technical condition [...] Read more.
Uranium production tailing ponds in Kamyanske (Ukraine) are objects of increased radioecological danger. Violation of the stability and integrity of containment dams threatens the uncontrolled spread of radionuclides. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively assess the factors affecting the technical condition and environmental safety of the Sukhachivske tailing dam. The study included a visual inspection and detailed geophysical work using the natural pulse electromagnetic field of the Earth (NPEMFE) method. This method was chosen to identify hidden filtration paths and stress zones in the body of the earth dam. An analysis of the spatial distribution of waterlogging, filtration, and fissuring in the hydraulic structure was performed. Based on the results of the NPEMFE survey, six zones with varying degrees of waterlogging and stress–strain states of the structure were identified. The presence of externally unmanifested filtration paths and suffusion areas was established, and a tectonic scheme of fracture development in the dam body was compiled. A correlation was found between the dominant azimuths of crack extension (70–79° and 350–359°) and the directions of regional tectonic lineament zones, at the intersection of which the tailing pond is located. It has been established that modern tectonic movements along fault zones create zones of permeability, which serve as primary pathways for water filtration and further development of suffusion. This conclusion introduces a new tectonic feature for risk diagnosis and monitoring of similar hydraulic structures. Full article
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28 pages, 11414 KB  
Article
Monitoring and Prediction of Subsidence in Mining Areas of Liaoyuan Northern New District Based on InSAR Technology
by Menghao Li, Yichen Zhang, Jiquan Zhang, Zhou Wen, Jintao Huang and Haoying Li
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010017 - 1 Feb 2026
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1852
Abstract
Ground subsidence in mined-out areas has irreversible impacts on residents’ lives and infrastructure, making its monitoring and prediction crucial for ensuring safety, protecting the ecological environment, and promoting sustainable development. This study employed the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique [...] Read more.
Ground subsidence in mined-out areas has irreversible impacts on residents’ lives and infrastructure, making its monitoring and prediction crucial for ensuring safety, protecting the ecological environment, and promoting sustainable development. This study employed the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique to process Sentinel-1A satellite images of Liaoyuan’s Northern New District from August 2022 to March 2025, deriving ground deformation data. The SBAS-InSAR results were validated using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) measurements. Monitoring revealed deformation rates ranging from −26.80 mm/year (subsidence) to 13.12 mm/year (uplift) in the area, with a maximum cumulative subsidence of 59.59 mm observed near the Xi’an Sixth District. Based on spatiotemporal patterns, most mining-induced subsidence in the study area is in its late stage, primarily caused by progressive compaction of fractured rock masses and voids within the collapse and fracture zones. Using subsidence data from August 2022 to March 2024, three prediction models—LSTM, GRU, and TCN-GRU—were trained and subsequently applied to forecast subsidence from March 2024 to August 2025. Comparisons between the predictions and SBAS-InSAR measurements showed that all models achieved high accuracy. Among them, the TCN-GRU model yielded predictions closest to the actual values, with a correlation coefficient exceeding 0.95, validating its potential for application in time-series settlement monitoring. Full article
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31 pages, 6852 KB  
Article
Digital Governance and Geohazard Mitigation in Post-Earthquake Reconstruction: The 2018 Etna Case Study
by Giovanni Scapellato, Giuseppe Licciardello, Giuseppe Lorenzo Maria Blanco, Francesco Campione, Maria Letizia Carbone, Salvatore Castorina, Antonio Mirko Londino, Mariangela Riggio, Giuseppe Sapienza, Giuseppe Scrofana, Salvatore Tomarchio, Salvatore Scalia and Marco Neri
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010016 - 1 Feb 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1230
Abstract
Post-disaster reconstruction requires instruments capable of ensuring procedural consistency, administrative transparency, and the systematic integration of geohazards, all of which are essential for safeguarding communities. This study presents the digital platform established under Italian Law 55/2019 for the reconstruction of the areas on [...] Read more.
Post-disaster reconstruction requires instruments capable of ensuring procedural consistency, administrative transparency, and the systematic integration of geohazards, all of which are essential for safeguarding communities. This study presents the digital platform established under Italian Law 55/2019 for the reconstruction of the areas on Mt. Etna affected by the Mw 4.9 earthquake of 26 December 2018, emphasizing its innovative contribution to current international approaches to reconstruction governance. The platform standardizes the entire administrative workflow and is centered on the Parametric Form, which enables an objective calculation of eligible reconstruction grants based on damage indicators, vulnerability metrics, and parametric cost functions. A defining feature of the Etna model is the structural integration between administrative procedures and geohazard mitigation, achieved through updated hazard maps and protocols that incorporate geological, hydrogeological, and geomorphological conditions. This approach reframes reconstruction as an opportunity to reduce overall territorial vulnerability. The system also includes public monitoring tools (WebGIS and dashboards) that enhance traceability, compliance, and stakeholder engagement. Expected outcomes include shorter administrative timelines, improved interinstitutional coordination, and the potential transferability of the model to other emergency contexts. In comparison with international cases, the Etna experience represents an original integration of digitalization, parametric assessment, and site-specific hazard mitigation. Full article
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19 pages, 9370 KB  
Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Geospatial Modelling in the Central Himalaya
by Chandra Shekhar Dwivedi, Suryaprava Das, Arvind Chandra Pandey, Bikash Ranjan Parida, Sagar Kumar Swain and Navneet Kumar
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 15; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010015 - 1 Feb 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2444
Abstract
Landslides are a persistent hazard in the tectonically active Central Himalaya, frequently affecting roads and settlements. However, quantitative assessments of their spatial drivers have remained limited. This study investigated landslide susceptibility along a 90 km section of the Uttarkashi–Gangotri highway to identify dominant [...] Read more.
Landslides are a persistent hazard in the tectonically active Central Himalaya, frequently affecting roads and settlements. However, quantitative assessments of their spatial drivers have remained limited. This study investigated landslide susceptibility along a 90 km section of the Uttarkashi–Gangotri highway to identify dominant triggering factors and generate a reliable risk map. We applied the AHP–GIS framework, guided by a multi-criteria decision-making approach. Nine thematic parameters, such as slope, geology, lineament density, drainage density, proximity to roads, rainfall, aspect, curvature, and land use/land cover were utilised to quantify their relative influence on slope failure. Results showed that slope (23%), geology (22%), and lineament density (21%) were the most influential factors. Secondary contributions came from drainage density (9%), proximity to roads (8%), and rainfall (>231 mm). The susceptibility map was validated using 105 landslide inventory points, with 64 events (61%) located in very high-risk zones and 31 (30%) in high-risk zones. The model achieved a predictive accuracy of 0.817 based on the Area Under the Curve (AUC) metric. High-risk zones are aligned with steep slopes (30–50°), convex curvatures, and barren land, particularly near infrastructure. These findings provide a scientific tool for hazard mitigation and support disaster risk reduction in similar mountainous regions worldwide, contributing to safer infrastructure development. Full article
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21 pages, 9799 KB  
Article
Impacts of Extreme Storms in Surface Water Resources, Systems, and Infrastructure—Evidence from Storm Daniel (2023) in Greece
by Michalis Diakakis, Petros Andriopoulos, Andromachi Sarantopoulou, Ioannis Kapris, Christos Filis, Aliki Konsolaki, Emmanuel Vassilakis and Panagiotis Nastos
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010014 - 19 Jan 2026
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2184
Abstract
As the frequency and severity of extreme weather events may increase due to climate change, understanding their impacts on water systems, resources, and infrastructure becomes very important. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge on how extreme storms and floods disrupt [...] Read more.
As the frequency and severity of extreme weather events may increase due to climate change, understanding their impacts on water systems, resources, and infrastructure becomes very important. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge on how extreme storms and floods disrupt interrelated elements comprising water systems by examining the case of Storm Daniel, which struck the Thessaly region of Greece in September 2023. Using a multi-source approach, including field data, institutional reports, scientific assessments, and publications, the study systematically identifies and categorizes the impacts of the storm and the ensuing flood across surface waters, drinking water supply, and wastewater infrastructure and other water-related systems through various mechanisms. The findings provide an overview of how such extreme storms may affect such systems and reveal widespread, interconnected disruptions that highlight systemic vulnerabilities in both natural and engineered systems, synthesizing these impact pathways. The study presents evidence of poor resilience against extreme events and climate change hazards in water-related infrastructure. Full article
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22 pages, 8535 KB  
Article
Experimental Study and THM Coupling Analysis of Slope Instability in Seasonally Frozen Ground
by Xiangshen Chen, Chao Li, Feng Ding and Yongju Shao
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010013 - 17 Jan 2026
Viewed by 983
Abstract
Freeze–thaw cycles (FTCs) are a prevalent weathering process that threatens the stability of canal slopes in seasonally frozen regions. This study combines direct shear tests under multiple F-T cycles with coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical numerical modeling to investigate the failure mechanisms of slopes with different [...] Read more.
Freeze–thaw cycles (FTCs) are a prevalent weathering process that threatens the stability of canal slopes in seasonally frozen regions. This study combines direct shear tests under multiple F-T cycles with coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical numerical modeling to investigate the failure mechanisms of slopes with different moisture contents (18%, 22%, 26%). The test results quantify a marked strength degradation, where the cohesion decreases to approximately 50% of its initial value and the internal friction angle is weakened by about 10% after 10 freeze–thaw cycles. The simulation reveals that temperature gradient-driven moisture migration is the core process, leading to a dynamic stress–strain concentration zone that propagates from the upper slope to the toe. The safety factors of the three soil specimens with different moisture contents fell below the critical threshold of 1.3. They registered values of 1.02, 0.99, and 0.78 within 44, 44, and 46 days, which subsequently induced shallow failure. The failure mechanism elucidated in this study enhances the understanding of freeze–thaw-induced slope instability in seasonally frozen regions. Full article
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21 pages, 29247 KB  
Article
Public Access Dimensions of Landscape Changes in Parks and Reserves: Case Studies of Erosion Impacts and Responses in a Changing Climate
by Shane Orchard, Aubrey Miller and Pascal Sirguey
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 12; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010012 - 15 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1461
Abstract
This study investigates flooding and erosion impacts and human responses in Aoraki Mount Cook and Westland Tai Poutini national parks in Aotearoa New Zealand. These fast-eroding landscapes provide important test cases and insights for considering the public access dimensions of climate change. Our [...] Read more.
This study investigates flooding and erosion impacts and human responses in Aoraki Mount Cook and Westland Tai Poutini national parks in Aotearoa New Zealand. These fast-eroding landscapes provide important test cases and insights for considering the public access dimensions of climate change. Our objectives were to explore and characterise the often-overlooked role of public access as a ubiquitous concern for protected areas and other area-based conservation approaches that facilitate connections between people and nature alongside their protective functions. We employed a mixed-methods approach including volunteered geographic information (VGI) from a park user survey (n = 273) and detailed case studies of change on two iconic mountaineering routes based on geospatial analyses of digital elevation models spanning 1986–2022. VGI data identified 36 adversely affected locations while 21% of respondents also identified beneficial aspects of recent landscape changes. Geophysical changes could be perceived differently by different stakeholders, illustrating the potential for competing demands on management responses. Impacts of rainfall-triggered erosion events were explored in case studies of damaged access infrastructure (e.g., roads, tracks, bridges). Adaptive responses resulted from formal or informal (park user-led) actions including re-routing, rebuilding, or abandonment of pre-existing infrastructure. Three widely transferable dimensions of public access management are identified: providing access that supports the core functions of protected areas; evaluating the impacts of both physical changes and human responses to them; and managing tensions between stakeholder preferences. Improved attention to the role of access is essential for effective climate change adaptation in parks and reserves. Full article
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22 pages, 18075 KB  
Article
Geodynamic Characterization of Hydraulic Structures in Seismically Active Almaty Using Lineament Analysis
by Dinara Talgarbayeva, Andrey Vilayev, Tatyana Dedova, Oxana Kuznetsova, Larissa Balakay and Aibek Merekeyev
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010011 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 1423
Abstract
Monitoring the stability of hydraulic structures such as dams and reservoirs in seismically active regions is essential for ensuring their safety and operational reliability. This study presents a comprehensive geospatial approach combining lineament analysis and geodynamic zoning to assess the structural stability of [...] Read more.
Monitoring the stability of hydraulic structures such as dams and reservoirs in seismically active regions is essential for ensuring their safety and operational reliability. This study presents a comprehensive geospatial approach combining lineament analysis and geodynamic zoning to assess the structural stability of the Voroshilov and Priyut reservoirs located in the Almaty region, Kazakhstan. A regional lineament map was generated using ASTER GDEM data, while ALOS PALSAR data were used for detailed local analysis. Lineaments were extracted and analyzed through automated processing in PCI Geomatica. Lineament density maps and azimuthal rose diagrams were constructed to identify zones of tectonic weakness and assess regional structural patterns. Integration of lineament density, GPS velocity fields, InSAR deformation data, and probabilistic seismic hazard maps enabled the development of a detailed geodynamic zoning model. Results show that the studied sites are located within zones of low local geodynamic activity, with lineament densities of 0.8–1.2 km/km2, significantly lower than regional averages of 3–4 km/km2. GPS velocities in the area do not exceed 4 mm/year, and InSAR analysis indicates minimal surface deformation (<5 mm/year). Despite this apparent local stability, the 2024 Voroshilov Dam failure highlights the cumulative effect of regional seismic stresses (PGA up to 0.9 g) and localized filtration along fracture zones as critical risk factors. The proposed geodynamic zoning correctly identified the site as structurally stable under normal conditions but indicates that even low-activity zones are vulnerable under cumulative seismic loading. This demonstrates that an integrated approach combining remote sensing, geodetic, and seismic data can provide quantitative assessments for dam safety, predict potential high-risk zones, and support preventive monitoring in tectonically active regions. Full article
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21 pages, 12613 KB  
Article
The Evolution and Impact of Glacier and Ice-Rock Avalanches in the Tibetan Plateau with Sentinel-2 Time-Series Images
by Duo Chu, Linshan Liu and Zhaofeng Wang
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010010 - 9 Jan 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1826
Abstract
Catastrophic mass flows originating from the high mountain cryosphere often cause cascading hazards. With increasing human activities in the alpine region and the sensitivity of the cryosphere to climate warming, cryospheric hazards are becoming more frequent in the mountain regions. Monitoring the evolution [...] Read more.
Catastrophic mass flows originating from the high mountain cryosphere often cause cascading hazards. With increasing human activities in the alpine region and the sensitivity of the cryosphere to climate warming, cryospheric hazards are becoming more frequent in the mountain regions. Monitoring the evolution and impact of the glaciers and ice-rock avalanches and hazard consequences in the mountain regions is crucial to understand nature and drivers of mass flow process in order to prevent and mitigate potential hazard risks. In this study, the glacier and ice-rock avalanches that occurred in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) were investigated based on the Sentinel-2 satellite data and in situ observations, and the main driving forces and impacts on the regional environment, landscape, and geomorphological conditions were also analyzed. The results showed that the avalanche deposit of Arutso glacier No. 53 completely melted away in 2 years, while the deposit of Arutso glacier No. 50 melted in 7 years. Four large-scale ice-rock avalanches in the Sedongpu basin not only had significant impacts on the river flow, landscape, and geomorphologic shape in the basin, but also caused serious disasters in the region and beyond. These glacier and ice-rock avalanches were caused by temperature anomaly, heavy precipitation, climate warming, and seismic activity, etc., which act on the specific glacier properties in the high mountain regions. The study highlights scientific advances should support and benefit the remote and vulnerable mountain communities to make mountain regions safer. Full article
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21 pages, 16605 KB  
Article
Multi-Objective Adaptive Harmony Search for Optimization of Seismic Base Isolator Systems
by Ayla Ocak, Sinan Melih Nigdeli, Gebrail Bekdaş and Zong Woo Geem
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010009 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 709
Abstract
The optimization of seismic isolation parameters is essential for balancing displacement demand and acceleration control in base-isolated structures. While numerous studies have applied metaheuristic algorithms to isolator tuning, the influence of objective-function weighting on optimal design outcomes remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates [...] Read more.
The optimization of seismic isolation parameters is essential for balancing displacement demand and acceleration control in base-isolated structures. While numerous studies have applied metaheuristic algorithms to isolator tuning, the influence of objective-function weighting on optimal design outcomes remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates the effects of displacement and acceleration on control performance in a multi-objective optimization function. Thus, acceleration can be reduced economically by limiting the isolator displacement capacity. In the study, the effective values of the acceleration and displacement coefficients in the objective function of the problem are changed for the design optimization of seismic base isolators, and the determination of the most appropriate weights in the equation and their effects on the control are investigated. In the optimization process, the adaptive harmony search algorithm, which is obtained by adapting the parameters of the harmony search algorithm inspired by the search for the best harmony, is used. The results demonstrate that increased emphasis on acceleration minimization leads to longer effective isolation periods and higher damping ratios, whereas displacement-dominated weighting results in stiffer isolation systems with reduced mobility. Full article
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33 pages, 6282 KB  
Article
Numerical Simulation of Liquefaction Behaviour in Coastal Reclaimed Sediments
by Pouyan Abbasimaedeh
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010008 - 3 Jan 2026
Viewed by 1244
Abstract
This study presents a validated numerical investigation into the seismic liquefaction potential of fine-grained reclaimed sediments commonly encountered in coastal, containment, and reclamation projects. Fine-grained reclaimed sediments pose a particular challenge for seismic liquefaction assessment due to their low permeability, high fines content, [...] Read more.
This study presents a validated numerical investigation into the seismic liquefaction potential of fine-grained reclaimed sediments commonly encountered in coastal, containment, and reclamation projects. Fine-grained reclaimed sediments pose a particular challenge for seismic liquefaction assessment due to their low permeability, high fines content, and complex cyclic response under earthquake loading. A fully coupled, nonlinear finite element model was developed using the Pressure-Dependent Multi-Yield (PDMY) constitutive framework, calibrated against laboratory Cyclic Direct Simple Shear (CDSS) tests and verified using in situ Cone Penetration Tests with pore pressure measurement (CPTu). The model effectively captured the dynamic response of saturated sediments, including excess pore pressure generation, cyclic mobility, and post-liquefaction behavior, under three earthquake ground motions: Livermore, Chi-Chi, and Loma Prieta. Results showed that near-surface layers (0–2.3 m) experienced full liquefaction within two to three cycles, with excess pore pressure ratios (Ru) approaching 1.0 and peak pressures closely matching laboratory data with less than 10% deviation. The numerical approach revealed that traditional CPT-based cyclic resistance methods underestimated liquefaction susceptibility in intermediate layers due to limitations in accounting for pore pressure redistribution, evolving permeability, and seismic amplification effects. In contrast, the finite element model captured progressive strength degradation, revealing strength gain in deeper layers due to consolidation, while upper zones remained vulnerable due to low confinement and resonance effects. A critical threshold of Ru ≈ 0.8 was identified as the onset of rapid shear strength loss. The findings confirm the advantage of advanced numerical modeling over empirical methods in capturing the complex cyclic behavior of reclaimed sediments and support the adoption of performance-based seismic design for such geotechnically sensitive environments. Full article
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26 pages, 10873 KB  
Article
Prediction of Coseismic Landslides by Explainable Machine Learning Methods
by Tulasi Ram Bhattarai, Netra Prakash Bhandary and Kalpana Pandit
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010007 - 2 Jan 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2060
Abstract
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground [...] Read more.
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground deformation, and tsunami impacts, leaving a clear gap in machine learning based assessment of earthquake-induced slope failures. This study integrates 2323 mapped landslides with eleven conditioning factors to develop the first data-driven susceptibility framework for the 2024 event. Spatial analysis shows that 75% of the landslides are smaller than 3220 m2 and nearly half occurred within about 23 km of the epicenter, reflecting concentrated ground shaking beyond the rupture zone. Terrain variables such as slope (mean 31.8°), southwest-facing aspects, and elevations of 100–300 m influenced the failure patterns, along with peak ground acceleration values of 0.8–1.1 g and proximity to roads and rivers. Six supervised machine learning models were trained, with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieving the highest accuracies (AUC = 0.95 and 0.94, respectively). Explainable AI using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) identified slope, epicentral distance, and peak ground acceleration as the dominant predictors. The resulting susceptibility maps align well with observed failures and provide an interpretable foundation for post-earthquake hazard assessment and regional risk reduction. Further work should integrate post-seismic rainfall, multi-temporal inventories, and InSAR deformation to support dynamic hazard assessment and improved early warning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Research: State of the Art and Innovations)
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