GeoHazards

A dam breach is an uncommon but profoundly destructive event that transpires when a dam collapses, releasing accumulated water downstream and leading to extensive damage. This study focuses on the Jure landslide dam, located in the Sindhupalchowk district, Nepal. The region is characterized by complex river channels and steep terrains, which are significantly influenced by flood dynamics. This study aims to establish a compressive numerical simulation of a two-dimensional dam breach unsteady flow hydraulic model to simulate the dam breach process and downstream flood propagation. The study analyzes the dynamics of the Jure landslide dam outburst flood, emphasizing the flood characteristics, inundation, and velocity hazards in the mitigation of flood impacts. The results reveal that the peak discharge of the Jure landside dam was 5336.7 m³/s, while it decreased to 1181.4 m³/s when traveling 35 km. The flood depth obtained by 2D (HEC-RAS) downstream of the dam rages between 0.0334 and 55.9 m, while the corresponding estimated peak flow velocity of simulated breaches was 21.46 m/s, demonstrating extreme hydraulic force conditions, capable of catastrophe. The proposed hydraulic simulations reveal significant variations in overflow dynamics across different terrain types, with narrower sections exhibiting faster flood progression and greater water depths. The findings underscore the necessity of accounting for terrain heterogeneity in future flood risk assessments. This work offers valuable insights into the emergency management of landslide dams in similar regions.

This work deals with the quantification of long-term fault slip rates as a basis for seismic hazard assessment along a segment of the Eastern Messinia Fault Zone (EMFZ) in southwestern Peloponnese, Greece. Using cosmogenic ³⁶Cl exposure dating, it provides independent numerical constraints on recent deformation. The resulting late Holocene slip-rate estimates (~0.32–0.46 mm/yr) confirm ongoing fault activity, consistent with earlier paleoseismological and geomorphic studies, while indicating spatially distributed extension. These rates imply loading timescales of several hundred years for moderate (Mw ≈ 5.8–6.0) earthquakes. Although individual exposure ages cannot be uniquely associated with single seismic events, they offer robust benchmarks for cumulative displacement and long-term strain accumulation. Overall, this work demonstrates how numerical dating methods (particularly cosmogenic nuclide techniques applied to carbonate bedrock) can link geological observations with engineering requirements by constraining fault behavior over 10³–10⁵ year timescales and improving long-term seismic hazard evaluation in complex tectonic settings.

The territory of the Republic of Armenia (RA) lies within the central Arabia–Eurasia collision zone and is characterized by rugged mountain landscapes, complex geology, active faulting, and seismicity. Armenia is highly vulnerable to seismic and landslide hazards, with more than 2504 active landslides mapped in the country. A significant landslide in the Tumanyan Community, Lori Marz, was activated in January 2018 and threatened critical infrastructure, including the railway linking Armenia to Georgia and the M6 interstate highway. The landslide’s activation was driven by groundwater, a nearby water reservoir leak, and adjacent infrastructure. Preliminary hazard analysis revealed that further movement of the landslide could dam the Debed River, leading to potentially catastrophic downstream impacts. In response, the Minister of Emergency Situations of RA requested urgent studies by the Institute of Geological Sciences of NAS RA. Surveys began on 22 January 2018, involving an interdisciplinary approach including geotechnical study, UAV-based digital mapping, and application of geophysical methods, such as MASW, microtremor recordings, GPR, and VES. The combination of these methods provided reliable information on the landslide’s geotechnical structure, identified the sliding plane, and allowed for numerical slope stability modeling, which confirmed the landslide’s unstable condition and susceptibility to reactivation from earthquakes or elevated groundwater. Based on this complex research, protective measures were developed and applied, including, in particular, horizontal drilling to dewater the sliding plane. These emergency measures stabilized the landslide, mitigating immediate threats to infrastructure and ensuring relative safety.