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Risks, Volume 9, Issue 6

2021 June - 20 articles

Cover Story: The process of combining multiple expert opinions plays an instrumental role in a plethora of decision-making applications, including modeling of operational risk in an enterprise context. The authors present an alternative viewpoint on combining expert opinions based on finite mixture models with component distributions that do not necessarily belong to the same parametric family, enabling the agent to make informed decisions about the uncertain quantity of interest in a flexible manner. For expository purposes, the proposed modeling framework is employed for numerically computing quantile-based risk measures. View this paper
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Articles (20)

  • Review
  • Open Access
13 Citations
22,092 Views
19 Pages

Efficiency of Money Laundering Countermeasures: Case Studies from European Union Member States

  • Corina-Narcisa (Bodescu) Cotoc,
  • Maria Nițu,
  • Mircea Constantin Șcheau and
  • Adeline-Cristina Cozma

17 June 2021

The aim of this study is to present the trends and effectiveness of money laundering countermeasures from the perspective of a number of suspicious transactions reported to the Financial Intelligence Units (FIUs), a number of analysis results submitt...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
11,370 Views
17 Pages

Economic and Non-Economic Variables Affecting Fraud in European Countries

  • Bashir Ahmad,
  • Maria Ciupac-Ulici and
  • Daniela-Georgeta Beju

17 June 2021

Fraud is one of the most harmful phenomena, because it leads to collapse of organizations, causes economic downfall of countries, and destroys faith in a country’s capital markets. The impact of fraud is complex and has varying degrees depending on p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
4,283 Views
19 Pages

Development and Validation of a Model for Assessing Potential Strategic Innovation Risk in Banks Based on Data Mining-Monte-Carlo in the “Open Innovation” System

  • Viktoriya Valeryevna Manuylenko,
  • Aminat Islamovna Borlakova,
  • Alexander Vladimirovich Milenkov,
  • Olga Borisovna Bigday,
  • Elena Andreevna Drannikova and
  • Tatiana Sergeevna Lisitskaya

13 June 2021

Innovation risk in banks, a formalized instrument that is part of banks’ financial and innovative strategies, influences the assessment of innovative activity, demonstrating the importance of forecasting and assessment models of potential innovation...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
8,589 Views
15 Pages

Sustainability Reporting in Cooperatives

  • Gamze Yakar Pritchard and
  • Kıymet Tunca Çalıyurt

11 June 2021

The aim of the present study is to examine the sustainability reports of cooperatives, which may play an important role in achieving the sustainable development goals and help to identify which economic, environmental, and social sustainability indic...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
9,048 Views
15 Pages

A Statistical Model of Fraud Risk in Financial Statements. Case for Romania Companies

  • Andrada-Ioana Sabău (Popa),
  • Codruța Mare and
  • Ioana Lavinia Safta

10 June 2021

Tax avoidance is one of the most frequent reasons for which companies tend to resort to creative accounting techniques. The purpose of the study is to identify which of the eight-variables from the Beneish influences the most or least the outcome of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,420 Views
25 Pages

9 June 2021

The key purpose of this paper is to present an alternative viewpoint for combining expert opinions based on finite mixture models. Moreover, we consider that the components of the mixture are not necessarily assumed to be from the same parametric fam...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
5,378 Views
15 Pages

A New Model Averaging Approach in Predicting Credit Risk Default

  • Paritosh Navinchandra Jha and
  • Marco Cucculelli

8 June 2021

The paper introduces a novel approach to ensemble modeling as a weighted model average technique. The proposed idea is prudent, simple to understand, and easy to implement compared to the Bayesian and frequentist approach. The paper provides both the...

  • Review
  • Open Access
12 Citations
8,472 Views
30 Pages

8 June 2021

The emergence of smart technologies in homes comes with various services and functions for everyday life. While a smart home (SH) is associated with great potential in terms of comfort and risk treatment, it also introduces new and alters existing ri...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,780 Views
14 Pages

6 June 2021

This paper examines the relative contribution of regular and e-mini futures market to price discovery of EUR/USD futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), using intraday data in 2010.The relative contribution to price discovery is e...

  • Commentary
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,477 Views
5 Pages

6 June 2021

In stochastic claims reserving, state space models have been used for almost 40 years to forecast loss reserves and to compute their mean squared error of prediction. Although state space models and the associated Kalman filter learning algorithms ar...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
8,142 Views
18 Pages

A Study on Balanced Scorecard and Its Impact on Sustainable Development of Renewable Energy Organizations; A Mediating Role of Political and Regulatory Institutions

  • Muhammad Rafiq,
  • Saif Maqbool,
  • José Moleiro Martins,
  • Mário Nuno Mata,
  • Rui Miguel Dantas,
  • Shumaila Naz and
  • Anabela Batista Correia

4 June 2021

Organizational strategic programs are continuously evolving and gaining the attention of policy makers in order to construct organizations’ ecological and socioeconomic systems. The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between the bal...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,291 Views
13 Pages

3 June 2021

We show how to solve Merton optimal investment stochastic control problem for Hawkes-based models in finance and insurance (Propositions 1 and 2), i.e., for a wealth portfolio X(t) consisting of a bond and a stock price described by general compound...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,806 Views
21 Pages

Monte Carlo Simulation of the Moments of a Copula-Dependent Risk Process with Weibull Interwaiting Time

  • Sharifah Farah Syed Yusoff Alhabshi,
  • Zamira Hasanah Zamzuri and
  • Siti Norafidah Mohd Ramli

3 June 2021

The widely used Poisson count process in insurance claims modeling is no longer valid if the claims occurrences exhibit dispersion. In this paper, we consider the aggregate discounted claims of an insurance risk portfolio under Weibull counting proce...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,235 Views
12 Pages

3 June 2021

The occurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic revealed many weaknesses in the functioning of businesses. It turns out that managers are not prepared to manage the enterprise’s resources in a high-risk environment. Considering risk managers’ issues requires...

  • Article
  • Open Access
32 Citations
7,538 Views
23 Pages

Credit Risk Management of Property Investments through Multi-Criteria Indicators

  • Marco Locurcio,
  • Francesco Tajani,
  • Pierluigi Morano,
  • Debora Anelli and
  • Benedetto Manganelli

2 June 2021

The economic crisis of 2008 has highlighted the ineffectiveness of the banks in their disbursement of mortgages which caused the spread of Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) with underlying real estate. With the methods stated by the Basel III agreements, a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,077 Views
14 Pages

1 June 2021

Old-age retirement benefits are a major concern among the Swiss population but estimating one’s revenue after retirement is challenging due to the Swiss social system’s complexity. In Switzerland, as with many other countries, the risk of poverty for...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
8,407 Views
15 Pages

1 June 2021

The economic crisis triggered by the COVID-19 outbreak has severely affected the global economy. The ultimate scale of the recession is yet to be determined, but it is likely to be the most dramatic slump since World War II. The impact of the crisis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
7,066 Views
17 Pages

Adapting the Default Weighted Survival Analysis Modelling Approach to Model IFRS 9 LGD

  • Morne Joubert,
  • Tanja Verster,
  • Helgard Raubenheimer and
  • Willem D. Schutte

1 June 2021

Survival analysis is one of the techniques that could be used to predict loss given default (LGD) for regulatory capital (Basel) purposes. When using survival analysis to model LGD, a proposed methodology is the default weighted survival analysis (DW...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
10,351 Views
22 Pages

Privacy Intrusiveness in Financial-Banking Fraud Detection

  • Larisa Găbudeanu,
  • Iulia Brici,
  • Codruța Mare,
  • Ioan Cosmin Mihai and
  • Mircea Constantin Șcheau

1 June 2021

Specialty literature and solutions in the market have been focusing in the last decade on collecting and aggregating significant amounts of data about transactions (and user behavior) and on refining the algorithms used to identify fraud. At the same...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
10,578 Views
36 Pages

1 June 2021

This conceptual paper focuses on the relationship between insolvency, capital structure, and value creation. The aim is twofold: to define risk-based capital measures able to absorb the effects of financial distress and avoid corporate default; and t...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091