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Risks, Volume 9, Issue 1

January 2021 - 27 articles

Cover Story: The cover figure represents the logarithm of crude death rates from 1970 to 2017 for France along with the logarithm of extrapolated death rates from 2018 to 2050 obtained by elastic-net regularization and cross-validation. The use of regularization for the mortality surface allows obtaining a parsimonious mortality model which is robust to mortality perturbations. With the presence of a COVID-type effect, we found that our approach outperforms the P-spline model in terms of prediction and stability. View this paper.
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Articles (27)

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
5,379 Views
19 Pages

29 December 2020

The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of reforms introduced in the operation of Polish open pension funds on management style, risk exposure and related investment performance. The article analyzes the impact of the reformed regulations on th...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,522 Views
14 Pages

29 December 2020

One crucial task of actuaries is to structure data so that observed events are explained by their inherent risk factors. They are proficient at generalizing important elements to obtain useful forecasts. Although this expertise is beneficial when pai...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,893 Views
18 Pages

24 December 2020

Predicting the evolution of mortality rates plays a central role for life insurance and pension funds. Standard single population models typically suffer from two major drawbacks: on the one hand, they use a large number of parameters compared to the...

  • Review
  • Open Access
44 Citations
22,215 Views
26 Pages

Machine Learning in P&C Insurance: A Review for Pricing and Reserving

  • Christopher Blier-Wong,
  • Hélène Cossette,
  • Luc Lamontagne and
  • Etienne Marceau

23 December 2020

In the past 25 years, computer scientists and statisticians developed machine learning algorithms capable of modeling highly nonlinear transformations and interactions of input features. While actuaries use GLMs frequently in practice, only in the pa...

  • Article
  • Open Access
31 Citations
5,173 Views
21 Pages

22 December 2020

The global nature of the Czech economy means that quantitative knowledge of the influence of the exchange rate provides useful information for all participants in the international economy. Systematic and academic research show that the issue of esti...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
8,942 Views
15 Pages

22 December 2020

In this paper, we examine the impact of investors’ attention to COVID-19 on stock market returns and the moderating effect of national culture on this relationship. Using daily data from 34 countries over the period 23 January to 12 June 2020,...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091