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Risks, Volume 11, Issue 10

October 2023 - 18 articles

Cover Story: Leopold Gegenbauer was a 19th century mathematician who developed Gegenbauer polynomials. A Gegenbauer model when combined with a short-memory ARMA model is known as a GARMA model. Gegenbauer Auto-Regressive Moving-Average Models (GARMA) are a form of long-memory models and fractal models. They can capture processes that have a high correlation between observations that are far apart in time. GARMA models can also capture short-term cycles. These models can be applied to a variety of time series displaying long memory including sunspots, the flooding of the Nile, (see Hurst as in the Hurst exponent (1951)), inflation rates, exchange rates and realized volatility (RV), the topic of this application. View this paper
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Articles (18)

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,226 Views
32 Pages

7 October 2023

In a recent paper “Stochastic Chain-Ladder Reserving with Modeled General Inflation”, the effects of modeled general inflation on non-life claims reserving were studied using, along with the so called “market approach”, a stoc...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,426 Views
26 Pages

30 September 2023

The aim of this work is to introduce an innovative methodology for performing risk attribution within a multifactor risk framework. We applied this analysis to the assessment of systemic, climate, and geopolitical risks relative to a representative s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
6,136 Views
31 Pages

30 September 2023

In the evolving economic landscape, Industry 4.0 emphasizes strategic planning and operational progress for large enterprises. This transformation relies on smart robotization technologies like AGVs (Automated Guided Vehicles) and AMRs (Autonomous Mo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,487 Views
39 Pages

28 September 2023

Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a worker’s res...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,597 Views
21 Pages

28 September 2023

Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,619 Views
22 Pages

An Exponentiality Test of Fit Based on a Tail Characterization against Heavy and Light-Tailed Alternatives

  • Alex Karagrigoriou,
  • Ioannis Mavrogiannis,
  • Georgia Papasotiriou and
  • Ilia Vonta

28 September 2023

Log-concavity and log-convexity play a key role in various scientific fields, especially in those where the distinction between exponential and non-exponential distributions is necessary for inferential purposes. In the present study, we introduce a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,821 Views
41 Pages

26 September 2023

We present a semi-static replication algorithm for Bermudan swaptions under an affine, multi-factor term structure model. In contrast to dynamic replication, which needs to be continuously updated as the market moves, a semi-static replication needs...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,470 Views
18 Pages

Cyber Insurance Premium Setting for Multi-Site Companies under Risk Correlation

  • Loretta Mastroeni,
  • Alessandro Mazzoccoli and
  • Maurizio Naldi

22 September 2023

Correlation in cyber risk represents an additional source of concern for utility and industrial infrastructures, where risks may be introduced by connected systems. A major means of reducing risk is to transfer it through insurance. In this paper, we...

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Risks - ISSN 2227-9091