Abstract
In this paper, we establish the convergence rates for the law of large numbers and the law of the logarithm for identically distributed random variables with either negative dependence or independence in the framework of sub-linear expectation. We propose a novel subsequence partitioning method to address the convergence of the series of capacities. This method allows us to verify the convergence of capacity series for weighted sum sequences under suitable moment conditions in the sub-linear expectation setting. Under the assumption of countable sub-additivity of the upper capacity, we derive sufficient Choquet moment and tail conditions for the above problems, which yield convergence rates of order and . Our results generalize the corresponding conclusions in classical probability theory.
MSC:
60F15
1. Introduction
Limit theorems constitute the core theoretical framework of probability theory and mathematical statistics, whose essence is to reveal the long-term asymptotic behavior of random variables. In recent years, many uncertain phenomena have appeared in fields including statistics, risk measurement, financial mathematics and other related areas. Classical probability theory is not effective enough to model such uncertain phenomena, and researchers have found that non-additive probabilities and non-linear expectations are appropriate for describing these phenomena in the above fields (cf. [1,2,3]).
Peng (2007) [4] introduced the definition and theoretical framework of sub-linear expectation, which serves as a canonical example of non-linear expectation. Under this framework, several classical limit theorems have been extended to the sub-linear expectation setting. Zhang (2016) [5] obtained the strong law of large numbers for sub-linear expectation under the Choquet moment condition. Hu (2018) [6] studied the strong law of large numbers for sub-linear expectation under the controlled moment condition. Hu et al. (2024) [7] established the strong law of large numbers for delayed sums under sub-linear expectation. Zhang (2016) [8] proved the law of the iterated logarithm under sub-linear expectation. Xu and Zhang (2020) [9] established the law of the logarithm for arrays of row-wise extended negatively dependent random variables under sub-linear expectation.
Convergence rates in the sense of complete moment convergence constitute a fundamental component of limit theorems by quantifying the speed at which random variables converge to their limits. There have been numerous studies on convergence rates or complete moment convergence within the classical probability framework. Li et al. (1995) [10] established complete convergence results for weighted sums of independent random variables. Chen and Wang (2008) [11] investigated the convergence rates and refined convergence rates for probabilities of moderate deviations of moving average processes. Liu et al. (2015) [12] derived convergence rates via the invariance principle. Zhang (2019) [13] studied the convergence rates which extended and generalized the known Davis–Gut Law and Lai Law. Under sub-linear expectation, Wu et al. (2025) [14] established the complete convergence theorems for arrays of row-wise widely orthant-dependent random variables under some mild conditions.
Let be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with the partial sums , . Baum and Katz (1965) [15] established the convergence rates for the law of large numbers, i.e.,
For ,
For ,
Davis (1968) [16] derived the convergence rates for the law of the logarithm, i.e.,
The aim of this paper is to extend the classical convergence rates to the sub-linear expectation framework. We consider convergence rates of order and , and then we derive the corresponding sufficient moment conditions. The results show that under sub-linear expectation, the Choquet moment condition for the convergence rate of order for the law of large numbers is consistent with the classical results. For the law of the logarithm, the Choquet moment condition required for the convergence rate of order coincides with the classical finite second moment condition, while the moment condition corresponding to the rate of order is weaker than the finite second moment condition.
Furthermore, to establish the convergence of the series of capacities, we propose a novel proof framework. A key method, which holds for sequences of non-negative or negatively dependent random variables, is derived for the convergence of the series of capacities for weighted partial sums with exponentially increasing weights. This method, which incorporates the subsequence partitioning of series, serves as a critical tool to justify both the far-tail and intermediate truncation terms in the partial sum truncation analysis for our main theorems.
This paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the basic concepts and lemmas. Section 3 contains our results on convergence rates for the law of large numbers and the law of the logarithm under sub-linear expectation as well as the corresponding proofs.
In what follows, C denotes a positive constant, a positive constant depending on , and a positive constant depending on and with other positive constants defined similarly. All such positive constants may take different values from line to line. For real numbers x and y, we denote , , , and . The notation ∼ as ∞ means that the limit of the ratio equals 1. denotes the greatest integer less than or equal to x.
2. Basic Concepts and Lemmas
This paper is based on the framework of sub-linear expectation proposed by Peng (2007) [4]. Let be a given measurable space and be a linear space of real functions defined on such that if then for each where denotes the linear space of (local Lipschitz) functions satisfying
for some depending on .
Next, we present several fundamental definitions and properties of sub-linear expectation. For further properties, the reader may refer to [3,4,17,18].
Definition 1.
A sub-linear expectation on is a functional satisfying the following properties: for all ,
- (a)
- Monotonicity: If then
- (b)
- Constant preserving:
- (c)
- Positive homogeneity:
- (d)
- Sub-additivity: whenever is not of the form or .
The triple is called a sub-linear expectation space.
In addition, we give the definition of the conjugate expectation of sub-linear expectation , which is a functional satisfying
Definition 2.
A set function is called a capacity if it satisfies
- (i)
- , .
- (ii)
- For , where , we have .
Let be a sub-linear expectation space. We define the pair of induced capacities by
where is the complement set of A. We conventionally refer to as the upper capacity and v as the lower capacity. Then
Definition 3.
A pair of the Choquet integrals/expectations is defined by
with V being replaced by and v, respectively.
Definition 4.
(i) A sub-linear expectation is said to be countably sub-additive if for ,
- (ii)
- A capacity V is said to be sub-additive if for all . A capacity V is said to be countably sub-additive if
Because may be not countably sub-additive in general, its countably sub-additive extension is defined by
Then, it can be shown that is a countably sub-additive capacity with and the following properties:
- (a)
- If is countably sub-additive, then .
- (b)
- If , then . Furthermore, if is countably sub-additive, then
It can be verified that if is countably sub-additive or , then .
Remark 1.
In this paper, all the convergence rate results are derived for the capacity under the assumption of the countable sub-additivity of . From the properties above, it follows that these results also hold for without requiring the assumption of countable sub-additivity.
Definition 5.
(i) (Identical distribution) Let and be two n-dimensional random vectors defined respectively in sub-linear expectation spaces and . They are called identically distributed, denoted by , if
whenever the sub-linear expectations are finite. A sequence of random variables is said to be identically distributed if for each .
- (ii)
- (Independence) In a sub-linear expectation space , a random vector is said to be independent to another random vector under if for each test function , we havewhenever for all and .
- (iii)
- (IID random variables) A sequence of random variables is said to be independent and identically distributed (IID) if and is independent to for each .
From the definition of independence, it is easily seen that if Y is independent to X and , , then
Furthermore, if Y is independent to X and , , then
Definition 6
(Negative dependence). In a sub-linear expectation space , a random vector with is said to be negatively dependent (ND) to another random vector with under if for each pair of test functions and , we have
whenever either and are coordinate-wise non-decreasing or and are coordinate-wise non-increasing with , , , , .
A sequence of random variables is said to be negatively dependent if is negatively dependent to for each .
It is easily seen that if is a sequence of independent random variables and , then is also a sequence of independent random variables; if is a sequence of negatively dependent random variables and are non-decreasing (resp. non-increasing) functions, then is also negatively dependent.
It is obvious that if is independent to , then is negatively dependent to . The following is the classical example of a sub-linear expectation space, along with sequences of negatively dependent random variables defined on this space, as introduced by Huber and Strassen (1973) [1].
Example 1.
Let be a family of probability measures defined on . For any random variable ξ, we denote the upper expectation by . Then, is a sub-linear expectation. Moreover, if and are independent under each , then is negatively dependent to under . In fact,
whenever and .
However, may be not independent to in Example 1. With a similar argument, we can show that is negatively dependent to under if and are negatively dependent under each .
In the following example, we construct a non-trivial sub-linear expectation space, built on the G-expectation framework introduced by Peng (2007) [4], equipped with a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables.
Example 2.
G-normal distribution.
A one-dimensional random variable ξ in a sub-linear expectation space is said to be G-normal distributed, denoted by , where , , if for any , the function
is the unique viscosity solution of the G-heat equation:
where .
It can be verified that the G-normal distributed random variable ξ satisfies: , where and is independent to ξ. This implies .
G-expectation.
Let denote the space of all real-valued continuous paths with initial value , which are equipped with the metric
Let be the canonical coordinate process on . Define the space of cylindrical functionals
where stands for the space of bounded Lipschitz continuous functions on .
The G-expectation is defined on : for any cylindrical functional with , set
where with .
For any , let be the completion of under the norm
The G-expectation can be continuously extended to , and forms a valid sub-linear expectation space.
G-Brownian motion.
The canonical process is a standard G-Brownian motion under , which satisfies:
- (i)
- .
- (ii)
- Independent increments: for any , the increment is independent to .
- (iii)
- Stationary increments: for any , .
- (iv)
- .
IID sequence.
We now construct the sequence of random variables
By the stationary increment property, for all , so is an identically distributed sequence of G-normal random variables. By the independent increment property, is independent to for each . Hence, is an IID sequence under . Since independence implies negative dependence, the sequence also satisfies the negative dependence.
The following three lemmas play an important role in our proofs. Lemma 1 presents Rosenthal’s inequalities under sub-linear expectation for negatively dependent or independent random variables (see Zhang (2016) [5], Theorem 2.1, Corollary 2.2). Lemma 2 gives the upper bounds of the exponential inequalities under sub-linear expectation for negatively dependent random variables (see Zhang (2016) [8], Theorem 3.1). Lemma 3 is the Bernstein-type inequality under sub-linear expectation (see Zhang (2016) [19], Lemma 4.5).
Lemma 1.
Let be a sequence of random variables in .
- (i)
- Suppose that is negatively dependent to for each , and . Then,andIn particular,
- (ii)
- Suppose that is independent to for each , and . Then
- (iii)
- Suppose that is negatively dependent to for each . Then,
Lemma 2.
Let be a sequence of negatively dependent random variables in with . Then, for any , there exists a constant such that
Lemma 3.
Let be a sequence of independent random variables in with , , for some constant . Then,
Chebyshev’s inequality is a fundamental tool in classical probability theory. The following lemma establishes the Chebyshev’s inequality under sub-linear expectation.
Lemma 4.
Let X be a random variable in and be a non-decreasing and positive function. Then, for any ,
Proof.
By the monotonicity of , we have
Since and , belongs to . It follows that
□
3. Main Results and Proofs
Before stating our main results, we first present a lemma that forms the core of our proof framework and constitutes a key contribution of this paper. It provides sufficient conditions for the convergence of capacity series for weighted partial sums with exponentially growing weights, and it holds under a range of moment conditions for both non-negative and negatively dependent random sequences. As a unified technical tool, it will be invoked repeatedly in subsequent proofs to verify the convergence of both far-tail and intermediate truncation terms in our main theorems.
Lemma 5.
Let be a sequence of random variables in . Let be a positive sequence such that for some and , we have for each . Then, for any , we have
- (i)
- Suppose that are non-negative, for some ; then,
- (ii)
- Suppose that are non-negative, for some ; then,
- (iii)
- Suppose that are negatively dependent, for each , and for some ; then, (5) holds.
- (iv)
- Suppose that are negatively dependent, for each , for some , and for some ; then, (5) holds.
- (v)
- Suppose that are negatively dependent, for each , for some , and for some ; then, (6) holds.
Proof.
Noting that , for , for any , we have
and
- (i)
- Noticing thatfor and , we have
- (ii)
- The proof is similar to (i), so we omit it.
- (iii)
- By Lemma 1 (i), we obtain
- (iv)
- For any and , by Lemma 2, it followsFor I, by the similar method of (i), we can easily obtain .For , noting that and for , we haveTherefore,
- (v)
- The proof is similar to (iv), so we omit it.
□
Remark 2.
The auxiliary sequence introduced in Lemma 5 is required to grow at least exponentially for sufficiently large n. Examples satisfying for all () include , and with . We point out that polynomial sequences with fail this condition.
Next, we investigate the convergence rates for the law of large numbers under sub-linear expectation, starting with a supporting lemma.
Lemma 6.
Let be a sequence of random variables in . If for some , then for any , the following statements hold:
- (i)
- For any ,
- (ii)
- For any ,
- (iii)
- For any ,
Proof.
(i) For any , we have
- (ii)
- For any , we have
- (iii)
- For any , we have
□
Theorem 1.
Let be a sequence of negatively dependent and identically distributed random variables in . Suppose that is countably sub-additive. Set , , . Then, for any , we have
- (i)
- If for some and , then
- (ii)
- If for some , then
Proof.
Without loss of generality, assume . Denote , define
Thus, we have
For , we need to show
Noting that for each , we have
Denoting and , (14) becomes
By the definition of , for any , we have
In the case , taking in (15), noting that and , we have
In the case , taking in (15), by Lemma 6 (i), we have
In the case , taking in (15), by Lemma 6 (i), we have
Noting that for each , by Lemma 5 (i), (13) holds for .
For , by noting that , it is obvious that for ,
For , let where . For each , there exists k such that . Then, we have
For I, note that , are negatively dependent.
In the case , by Lemma 1 (i), we obtain
Therefore, by the fact that and , as k → ∞, we have
where the last inequality follows from (8).
In the case , note that , as k → ∞. By the similar method, we can also obtain that
where the last inequality follows from (8).
For , in the case , from the fact that , as , we have
In the case , by (9), we have as . Noting that , we have
For , we have
The proofs of the convergence of the series for and are analogous to that of I, and the proof of the convergence of the series for is similar to that of . Thus, we obtain
Therefore, from (17)–(21), we have for any ,
Combining (13), (16) and (22), we obtain
Thus, (11) holds. Replacing with in (23), we immediately obtain (12).
Hence, (10) can be directly derived from the following expression.
□
Remark 3.
Theorem 1 reveals that for the law of large numbers under sub-linear expectation, the moment condition corresponding to the convergence rates of order coincides precisely with its counterpart in the classical probability framework, as specified in (1) and (2).
In what follows, we establish the convergence rates for the law of the logarithm under sub-linear expectation. We first state a lemma that serves a purpose similar to Lemma 6.
Lemma 7.
Let be a sequence of random variables in . If , then for any , the following statements hold:
- (i)
- For any ,
- (ii)
- For any ,
Proof.
(i) We start with the proof of (24). Let be the inverse function of .
For , we have
- Note that there exist some such that for any ,Then, we haveCombining this withwe obtain (24).
- (ii)
- By a similar argument as in (i), we can also obtain for ,The derivation of the final inequality is identical to the corresponding part in (i) and is thus omitted.□
Theorem 2.
Let be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables in . Suppose that is countably sub-additive. Set , , , . If and , then for any , we have
Proof.
Without loss of generality, we assume , . Denote , . We define
Thus, we have
We first show (26). For , from the definition of , we have
Note that as . Hence, by ,
Following the argument of (14) in Theorem 1, we have
Denoting and , we have
Since as , we have for sufficiently large k. Thus, by Lemma 1 (i), we have
Observe that as , for each . For any , by Lemma 1 (ii), we have
where the last inequality follows from (25). By Lemma 5 (iv), we have
By (29) and (31), there holds
For , also by the method similar to (14) in Theorem 1, we obtain
Denoting and , we have
Note that for each . According to the definition of , we have
where the last inequality follows from (24). Hence, by Lemma 5 (i),
For and , since , we immediately obtain
For , note the fact that , . Hence, by as ,
On the other hand, observe that
For any , taking and in Lemma 3, by noting that , we have
Moreover, , and as , we have . Combining this with (36), we obtain
From (35) and (37), it follows that
Combining (38) with (32)–(34), we have
Hence, (26) holds. And (27) follows immediately by taking instead of in (26). □
Remark 4.
As established in Theorem 2, for the law of the logarithm under sub-linear expectation, the convergence rate of order derived here is of a lower order than its counterpart as specified in (3), while the required moment condition is also milder than the second-moment existence assumption therein.
We proceed to establish the convergence rate of order for the law of the logarithm under sub-linear expectation. The proofs of the main lemma and theorem are analogous to those of Lemma 7 and Theorem 2; hence, we only present the key steps.
Lemma 8.
Let be a sequence of random variables in . If , then for any , the following statements hold:
- (i)
- For any ,
- (ii)
- For any ,
- (iii)
Proof.
Let be the inverse function of .
- (i)
- For any , we have
- (ii)
- For any , we have
- (iii)
- This result can be obtained immediately by noting that
□
Theorem 3.
Let be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables in . Suppose that is countably sub-additive. Set , , . If ; then, for any , we have
Proof.
Noting that , without loss of generality, we assume , . We still define and as in the proof of Theorem 2. We first show (39).
For , by the same argument as in the proof of (28) in Theorem 2, we also have
Noting that , we have
Denoting and , we have
As in Theorem 2, we can easily have as , and for sufficiently large k. By Lemma 1 (ii), setting , we have
where the last inequality follows from Lemma 8 (ii). By Lemma 5 (v), we have
Hence,
For , denote and . By a method similar to (41), we obtain
Note that for each . According to the definition of , we have
where the last inequality follows from Lemma 8 (i). Hence, by Lemma 5 (ii),
For and , since , we still have
For , by the same argument as in the proof of (35) in Theorem 2 and Lemma 8 (iii), we also obtain
On the other hand,
From (45) and (46), it follows that
Combining (47) with (42)–(44), we have
Hence, (39) holds. And (40) follows immediately by taking instead of in (39). □
Remark 5.
As established in Theorem 3, for the convergence rate of order for the law of the logarithm under sub-linear expectation, the required moment condition is consistent with the second-moment existence assumption therein as specified in (3).
Remark 6.
As demonstrated in Example 2, the G-expectation space forms a canonical non-trivial sub-linear expectation space, on which the IID sequence of G-normal random variables is well defined. Let be the upper capacity induced by defined as (4). By the representation theorem for G-expectation (Denis et al. (2011) [20]), there exists a weakly compact family of probability measures on such that
It follows immediately that is countably sub-additive, which satisfies the capacity assumption in Theorems 1–3. For the G-normal random variable , Meng and Wu (2026) [21] established that its Choquet moments of all positive orders are finite, i.e., for all . Then, the corresponding tail conditions in Theorems 1–3 also hold automatically.
Consequently, all the convergence rate results of Theorems 1–3 apply directly to the IID G-normal sequence constructed in Example 2.
Remark 7.
We note that probabilistic metric spaces provide an alternative framework for describing inherent randomness in convergence problems. As a recent development, Achtoun et al. (2024) [22] proposed the controlled strong probabilistic b-metric space and obtained related fixed point results. Extending our convergence rate conclusions to such a probabilistic metric setting is a worthwhile topic for further research.
Author Contributions
Methodology, C.H.; Validation, F.Y.; Formal analysis, F.Y. and C.H.; Writing—original draft, F.Y.; Writing—review and editing, F.Y. and C.H.; Supervision, C.H.; Funding acquisition, C.H. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research was funded by the Outstanding Youth Innovation Team Program of Shandong Province (Grant No. 2024KJG010), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 12371148, 42007141) and the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (Grant No. ZR2019BA038).
Data Availability Statement
No new data were created or analyzed in this study. Data sharing is not applicable to this article.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the editor and five referees for their valuable comments, which improved the manuscript.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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