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Econometrics, Volume 8, Issue 4

2020 December - 6 articles

Cover Story: We study the influence of revisions of global mean temperature and global mean sea level data on the estimated statistical relation between the two series. We find that four alternative models proposed in the literature are sensitive to these data revisions, with substantial changes in the coefficient estimate that relates sea level to temperature (differences of up to 50%). These changes in the parameter estimates translate to substantial changes in long-term sea level projections obtained from temperature scenarios (differences of up to 40 cm). This shows that in order to replicate earlier results that informed the scientific discussion and motivated policy recommendations, it is crucial to work with the data vintages that were available at the time. View this paper
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Articles (6)

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,184 Views
25 Pages

This paper extends the evaluation of direct and indirect treatment effects, i.e., mediation analysis, to the case that outcomes are only partially observed due to sample selection or outcome attrition. We assume sequential conditional independence of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,323 Views
26 Pages

This paper examines the stability of the Bilson–Fama regression for a panel of 55 developed and developing countries. We find multiple break points for nearly every country in our panel. Subperiod estimates of the slope coefficient show a negative bi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,918 Views
54 Pages

A Parameterization of Models for Unit Root Processes: Structure Theory and Hypothesis Testing

  • Dietmar Bauer,
  • Lukas Matuschek,
  • Patrick de Matos Ribeiro and
  • Martin Wagner

We develop and discuss a parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average processes with arbitrary unit roots and (co)integration orders. The detailed analysis of the topological properties of the parameterization—based on the state spa...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
5,092 Views
19 Pages

We study the stability of estimated linear statistical relations of global mean temperature and global mean sea level with regard to data revisions. Using four different model specifications proposed in the literature, we compare coefficient estimate...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,608 Views
15 Pages

For typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
6,249 Views
25 Pages

The asymptotic distribution of the linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator with empirically selected ridge regression penalty is characterized. The regularization tuning parameter is selected by splitting the observed data into training and test...

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Econometrics - ISSN 2225-1146