Abstract
Thermostatically controlled appliances are major electricity consumers in residential buildings, yet conventional home energy management systems (HEMSs) often model them as fixed-power loads, neglecting thermal dynamics. This paper presents a multi-objective HEMS that integrates the NSGA-III evolutionary algorithm with physics-based thermal models, data-driven meteorological forecasting, and electric vehicle smart charging (unidirectional, grid-to-vehicle) considering battery degradation. Air-conditioning demand is estimated using a resistance—the capacitance thermal model of the room, while tankless water-heater demand is calculated from the required temperature rise. Both models are driven by weather forecasts generated using a stacking ensemble of three deep learning models. User preferences are represented through a comfort matrix, while rooftop photovoltaic (PV) generation and hourly grid carbon emission factors are incorporated. The HEMS simultaneously minimizes daily electricity cost and emissions while maximizing user comfort over a 24 h horizon under two time-of-use tariff schemes. The results show that under the Brazilian White Tariff, the knee-point solution reduces the daily electricity cost by 27.1% and the emissions by 28.3% with respect to a non-optimized household while keeping 90.2% of the theoretical maximum comfort; within the Pareto front, the minimum-cost solution costs 22.2% less than the maximum-comfort schedule. The minimum-emission solution reduces emissions to about 1.09 kgCO2eq/day, and PV self-consumption rises from 50.7% to 94.0%, while grid import in the peak tariff block falls by 67%.