Search Results (225)

Traffic conditions are a key factor in our society, contributing to quality of life and the economy, as well as access to professional, educational, and health resources. This emphasizes the need for a reliable road network to facilitate traffic fluidity across the nation and improve mobility. Reaching these characteristics demands good traffic volume prediction methods, not only in the short term but also in the long term, which helps design transportation strategies and road planning. However, most of the research has focused on short-term prediction, applied mostly to short-trip distances, while effective long-term forecasting, which has become a challenging issue in recent years, is lacking. The team proposes a traffic prediction method that leverages K-means clustering, long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network, and Fourier transform (FT) for long-term traffic prediction. The proposed method was evaluated on a real-world dataset from the U.S. Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) database, which enhances practical relevance and potential impact on transportation planning and management. The forecasting performance is evaluated with real-world traffic flow data in the state of California, in the western USA. Results show good forecasting accuracy on traffic trends and counts over a one-year period, capturing periodicity and variation. Full article

Urban traffic congestion poses persistent challenges to mobility, public safety, and governance efficiency in metropolitan areas. This study proposes an intelligent traffic flow forecasting framework based on an extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) model, specifically designed for real-time congestion prediction and proactive police dispatch support. Utilizing a real-world dataset collected from over 300 vehicle detector (VD) sensors, the proposed model integrates vehicle volume, speed, and lane occupancy data at five-minute intervals. Methodologically, the xLSTM model incorporates matrix-based memory cells and exponential gating mechanisms to enhance spatio-temporal learning capabilities. Model performance is evaluated using multiple metrics, including congestion classification accuracy, F1-score, MAE, RMSE, and inference latency. The xLSTM model achieves a congestion prediction accuracy of 87.3%, an F1-score of 0.882, and an average inference latency of 41.2 milliseconds—outperforming baseline LSTM, GRU, and Transformer-based models in both accuracy and speed. These results validate the system’s suitability for real-time deployment in police control centers, where timely prediction of traffic congestion enables anticipatory patrol allocation and dynamic signal adjustment. By bridging AI-driven forecasting with public safety operations, this research contributes a validated and scalable approach to intelligent transportation governance, enhancing the responsiveness of urban mobility systems and advancing smart city initiatives. Full article

Accurate short-term passenger forecasts help regional airports align capacity with demand and plan investments effectively. Drawing on quarterly traffic data for 2010–2024 supplied by the Polish Civil Aviation Authority, this study employs Holt–Winters exponential smoothing to predict passenger volumes at Szczecin–Goleniów Airport for 2025. Additive and multiplicative formulations were parameterized with Excel Solver, using the mean absolute percentage error to identify the better-fitting model. The additive version captured both the steady post-pandemic recovery and pronounced seasonal peaks, indicating that passenger throughput is likely to rise modestly year on year, with the highest loads expected in the summer quarter and the lowest in early spring. These findings suggest the airport should anticipate continued growth and consider adjustments to terminal capacity, apron allocation, and staffing schedules to maintain service quality. Because the Holt–Winters method extrapolates historical patterns and does not incorporate external shocks—such as economic downturns, policy changes, or public health crises—its projections are most reliable over the short horizon examined and should be complemented by scenario-based analyses in future work. This study contributes to sustainable airport management by providing a reproducible, data-driven forecasting framework that can optimize resource allocation with minimal environmental impact. Full article

With the advancement of intelligent transportation systems, vehicle trajectory data have become a key component in areas like traffic flow prediction, route planning, and traffic management. However, high-quality, publicly available trajectory datasets are scarce due to concerns over privacy, copyright, and data collection costs. The lack of data creates challenges for training machine learning models and optimizing algorithms. To address this, we propose a new method for generating synthetic vehicle trajectory data, leveraging traffic flow characteristics and road maps. The approach begins by estimating hourly traffic volumes, then it uses the Poisson distribution modeling to assign departure times to synthetic trajectories. Origin and destination (OD) distributions are determined by analyzing historical data, allowing for the assignment of OD pairs to each synthetic trajectory. Path planning is then applied using a road map to generate a travel route. Finally, trajectory points, including positions and timestamps, are calculated based on road segment lengths and recommended speeds, with noise added to enhance realism. This method offers flexibility to incorporate additional information based on specific application needs, providing valuable opportunities for machine learning in intelligent transportation systems. Full article

Road traffic accidents remain a critical global issue with approximately 1.19 million fatalities each year, on which excessive and inappropriate speeds contribute significantly. Managing vehicle speeds is essential for improving road safety, yet predicting and understanding operating speeds remains a challenge. Among different road elements, tangents play a crucial role, as they serve as transition segments between curves and allow for free acceleration, making them particularly relevant for speed management and road design. This study investigates the operating speeds on both single- and dual-carriageway road tangents to identify the key influencing factors. Data were collected from 24 single-carriageway and 20 dual-carriageway road tangents in Croatia, comprising a total of 14,854 speed observations (filtered sample size). The analysis focuses on the impact of geometric, traffic, and roadside environment characteristics on operating vehicle speeds. The results reveal that for single-carriageway road tangents, the most influential factors were traffic volume and terrain type, while for dual-carriageway road tangents, the factors traffic flow density, average summer daily traffic, and heavy goods vehicle share. These findings provide essential insights for the future development of operating speed prediction models, enhancing road design guidelines, and improving speed management strategies. Full article

Danube River represents a critical axis of ecological and economic importance for the countries along its course. From this perspective, this paper aims to assess the most significant characteristics of the river and of its main tributaries, as well as its impact on the environmental sustainability and socio-economic development. Navigation and the economic contribution of the Danube River are the key issues of this work, emphasizing its importance as an international transport artery that facilitates trade and tourism, and develops the energy industry through hydropower plants. The study includes an analysis of the volume of goods transported from 2019 to 2023, as well as an analysis of the goods traffic in the busiest port on the Danube. Furthermore, climate change affects the hydrological regime of the Danube, as well as the ecosystems, economy, and energy security of the riparian countries. Main impacts include changes in the hydrological regime, increased frequency of droughts and floods, reduced water quality, deterioration of biodiversity, and disruption of the economic activities dependent on the river, such as navigation, agriculture, and hydropower production. Thus, hydrological risks and challenges are investigated, focusing on the extreme events of the last two decades and the awareness of their repercussions. In this context, the national and international institutions responsible for monitoring and managing the Danube are presented, and their role in promoting a sustainable river policy is explored. Methods and technologies are shown to be essential tools for monitoring and prediction studies. The Danube includes an extensive network of hydrometric stations that help to prevent and manage the most significant risks. Finally, a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) analysis of the development of the hydrological studies was conducted, highlighting the potential of the river. Full article

Predicting forest trail visitation is essential for sustainable management and policy development, including infrastructure planning, safety operations, and conservation. However, due to numerous informal access points and complex external influences, accurately monitoring visitor numbers remains challenging. This study applied random forest, gradient boosting, and LightGBM models with Bayesian optimization to predict daily visitor counts across six sections of the National Daegwallyeong Forest Trail, incorporating variables such as weather conditions, social media activity, COVID-19 case counts, tollgate traffic volume, and local festivals. SHAP analysis revealed that tollgate traffic volume and weekends consistently increased visitation across all sections. The impact of temperature varied by section: higher temperatures increased visitation in Kukmin Forest, whereas lower temperatures were associated with higher visitation at Seonjaryeong Peak. COVID-19 cases demonstrated negative effects across all sections. By integrating diverse variables and conducting section-level analysis, this study identified detailed visitation patterns and provided a practical basis for adaptive, section- and season-specific management strategies. These findings support flexible measures such as seasonal staffing, congestion mitigation, and real-time response systems and contribute to the advancement of data-driven regional tourism management frameworks in the context of evolving nature-based tourism demand. Full article

An event is an occurrence that takes place at a specific time and location that can be either weather-related (snowfall), social (crime), natural (earthquake), political (political unrest), or medical (pandemic) in nature. These events do not belong to the “normal” or “usual” spectrum and result in a change in a given situation; thus, their prediction would be very beneficial, both in terms of timely response to them and for their prevention, for example, the prevention of traffic accidents. However, this is currently challenging for researchers, who are called upon to manage and analyze a huge volume of data in order to design applications for predicting events using artificial intelligence and high computing power. Although significant progress has been made in this area, the heterogeneity in the input data that a forecasting application needs to process—in terms of their nature (spatial, temporal, and semantic)—and the corresponding complex dependencies between them constitute the greatest challenge for researchers. For this reason, the initial forecasting applications process data for specific situations, in terms of number and characteristics, while, at the same time, having the possibility to respond to different situations, e.g., an application that predicts a pandemic can also predict a central phenomenon, simply by using different data types. In this work, we present the forecasting applications that have been designed to date. We also present a model for predicting traffic accidents using categorical logic, creating a Knowledge Base using the Resolution algorithm as a proof of concept. We study and analyze all possible scenarios that arise under different conditions. Finally, we implement the traffic accident prediction model using the Prolog language with the corresponding Queries in JPL. Full article

With rapid urbanization and surging traffic volumes, traffic accident data have become high-dimensional, multi-source, heterogeneous, and spatiotemporally dynamic, posing challenges for traditional statistical methods and machine learning models to simultaneously account for data heterogeneity and nonlinear interactions. Knowledge graphs, by constructing structured semantic networks that integrate accident events, participants, environmental factors, and other multidimensional elements, inherently support multi-source information fusion and reasoning. In this study, following a top-down ontology design principle, we construct a California Traffic Accident Knowledge Graph (TAKG) encompassing over one hundred elements, and propose an enhanced TransD embedding model. Our model introduces entity–attribute projection vectors into the dynamic mapping mechanism to explicitly encode domain attributes, and designs a dual-limit scoring loss function to independently regulate the positive and negative sample boundaries. Experimental results demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms traditional translation-based models on the self-built TAKG as well as on the FB15K-237 and WN18RR benchmark datasets. This research provides a solid data foundation and algorithmic support for downstream traffic accident risk prediction and intelligent traffic safety management. Full article

Traffic congestions due to construction and maintenance works of road infrastructure cause travel delays, unpredictability and less tolerant road users. Bicyclists are more flexible with road closures, shifting to alternative routes, public transport and other active transport depending on the infrastructure, quality and transport services. However, the mixed traffic environment near road closures increases the safety risks for bicyclists. Traditional traffic monitoring systems rely on costly and demanding intrusive sensors. The application of wireless sensors and machine learning algorithms can enhance the analysis and prediction ability of traffic distribution and characteristics in the proximity of road closures. This paper applies artificial neural networks (ANNs) coupled with a Generalised Delta Rule (GDR) algorithm to analyse the sensor traffic data before, during and after the closure of the Mill Road Bridge in Cambridge City in the United Kingdom. The ANN models show that the traffic volume of motorbikes (44%) and buses (34%) and the proximity of Mill Road Bridge (39%) are significant factors affecting bicycle traffic before the closure. During the bridge closure, the proximity of the bridge (99%) and traffic volume of large rigid vehicles (51%) are the most important factors of bicycle distribution in nearby streets leading cyclists to unsafe detours. After the reopening of the Mill Road Bridge, unclear signage caused continued traffic impact, with motorbikes (17%) and large vehicles (24%) playing the most significant role in the spatial distribution of bicycle traffic. This paper emphasises safety concerns from mixed traffic and highlights the importance of cost-effective sensor-based traffic monitoring and analysis of the sensor data using neural networks. Full article

Traffic counts are essential for assessing road capacity to provide efficient, effective, and safe mobility. However, current methods for generating models for traffic count studies are often limited in their accuracy and applicability, which can lead to incorrect or imprecise estimates of traffic volume. This study focused on analyzing and predicting traffic conditions on Ikorodu Road in Lagos State. The analysis involved an examination of historical traffic data, specifically focusing on daily and hourly traffic volumes. The prediction involved the use of machine learning models, including decision trees, gradient boosting, and random forest classifiers. The results of this study revealed significant variations in traffic volume across different days of the week and times of the day, indicating peak and off-peak periods. The study also highlighted the need for a more comprehensive approach that includes additional factors, such as weather conditions, road work, and special events, which could significantly impact traffic volume. Full article

The welded joints in steel bridges have a complicated structure, and their fatigue life is mainly determined by the real stress under the coupling effect of vehicle load stress, as well as weld-induced residual stress and its relaxation. Traditional fatigue analysis methods are inadequate for effectively accounting for weld-induced residual stress and its relaxation, resulting in a significant discrepancy between the predicted fatigue life and the actual fatigue cracking time. A fatigue damage assessment model of welded joints was developed in this study, considering weld-induced residual stress and its relaxation under vehicle load stress. A multi-scale finite element model (FEM) for vehicle-induced coupled analysis was established to investigate the weld-induced initial residual stress and its relaxation effect associated with cyclic bend fatigue due to vehicles. The fatigue damage assessment, considering the welding residual stress and its relaxation, was performed based on the S–N curve model from metal fatigue theory and Miner’s linear damage theory. Based on this, the impact of variations in traffic load on fatigue life was forecasted. The results show that (1) the state of tension or compression in vehicle load stress notably impacts the residual stress relaxation effect observed in welded joints, of which the relaxation magnitude of the von Mises stress amounts to 81.2% of the average vehicle load stress value under tensile stress working conditions; (2) the predicted life of deck-to-rib welded joints is 28.26 years, based on traffic data from Jiangyin Bridge, which is closer to the monitored fatigue cracking life when compared with the Eurocode 3 and AASHTO LRFD standards; and (3) when vehicle weight and traffic volume increase by 30%, the fatigue life significantly drops to just 9.25 and 12.13 years, receptively. Full article

Understanding how traffic contributes to air pollution, especially in urban areas, is essential for designing effective strategies to reduce air pollution emissions. This study examines the hourly association between traffic volume and concentrations of two air pollution indicators (NO₂ and PM₁₀) using high-resolution data from two monitoring stations in Helsinki. A Prophet time series model was applied to forecast hourly traffic trends for 2024, which were then compared to yearly average NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations. Polynomial regression and cross-correlation analyses were used to capture temporal patterns and assess the strength and timing of the relationship. The results show a strong alignment between traffic and NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations, particularly at the traffic-heavy measuring site (Mäkelänkatu supersite), with minimal time lag observed. Root mean square error (RMSE) and polynomial fit comparisons confirmed the predictive value of traffic trends in estimating the behavior of NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations. These findings support the use of traffic-based proxy models as practical tools for real-time air pollution assessment and for informing targeted urban air quality interventions. Full article

In recent years, with the increasing complexity of air traffic management and the rapid development of automation technology, efficiently and accurately extracting key information from large volumes of air traffic control (ATC) instructions has become essential for ensuring flight safety and improving the efficiency of air traffic control. However, this task is challenging due to the specialized terminology involved and the high real-time requirements for data collection and processing. While existing keyword extraction methods have made some progress, most of them still perform unsatisfactorily on ATC instruction data due to issues such as data irregularities and the lack of domain-specific knowledge. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a Roberta-Attention-BiLSTM-CRF model for keyword extraction from ATC instructions. The RABC model introduces an attention mechanism specifically designed to extract keywords from multi-segment ATC instruction texts. Moreover, the BiLSTM component enhances the model’s ability to capture detailed semantic information within individual sentences during the keyword extraction process. Finally, by integrating a Conditional Random Field (CRF), the model can predict and output multiple keywords in the correct sequence. Experimental results on an ATC instruction dataset demonstrate that the RABC model achieves an accuracy of 89.5% in keyword extraction and a sequence match accuracy of 91.3%, outperforming other models across multiple evaluation metrics. These results validate the effectiveness of the proposed model in extracting keywords from ATC instruction data and demonstrate its potential for advancing automation in air traffic control. Full article

A motorcycle box intersection is a signalized intersection with advanced stop lines or stopping spaces intended for motorcycles, creating a waiting area in front of other vehicles. This study introduces the External Driver Model (EDM) with microscopic traffic simulation using PTV Vissim 2024 software, which replicates the filtering and stopping behavior of motorcycles in mixed traffic on intersection approaches. This research aims to evaluate the traffic performance of motorcycle boxes with respect to motorcycle departure times, headway intervals, lane-filtering rates, and vehicle movement patterns at 12 signalized urban intersections in Chiang Mai, Thailand. The results show that the motorcycle box intersection has improved traffic efficiency, reduced motorcycle departure time, and maintained a constant distance between cars and other vehicles. Signalized intersections with motorcycle boxes improved traffic flow efficiency by favoring motorcycles without affecting car delays. Spatial-temporal visualization further supported the clustering characteristics of motorcycles in motorcycle-stopping areas, contributing to more orderly and predictable behavior in traffic. Furthermore, the lane-filtering rates demonstrated significant improvement at intersections equipped with motorcycle boxes compared to conventional intersection designs. These findings indicated that motorcycle boxes are valuable for motorcycle traffic management and intersection safety in urban areas with high volumes of motorcycle traffic. Full article