Search Results (4,547)

Soil moisture or moisture content is a fundamental constituent of the hydrological system of the Earth and its ecological systems, playing a pivotal role in the productivity of agricultural produce, climate modeling, and water resource management. This review comprehensively examines conventional and advanced approaches for estimation or measuring of soil moisture, including in situ methods, remote sensing technologies, UAV-based monitoring, and machine learning-driven models. Emphasis is primarily on the evolution of soil moisture measurement from destructive gravimetric techniques to non-invasive, high-resolution sensing systems. The paper emphasizes how machine learning modules like Random Forest models, support vector machines, and AI-based neural networks are becoming more and more popular for modeling intricate soil moisture dynamics with data from several sources. A bibliometric analysis further underscores the research trends and identifies key contributors, regions, and technologies in this domain. The findings advocate for the integration of physics-based understanding, sensor technologies, and data-driven approaches to enhance prediction accuracy, spatiotemporal coverage, and decision-making capabilities. Full article

The sustainable management of global groundwater resources is increasingly challenged by climatic uncertainty and escalating anthropogenic stress. Thus, there is a need for simulation tools that are more robust and flexible. This systematic review addresses the integration of two dominant modeling paradigms: the physically grounded Modular Finite-Difference Flow (MODFLOW) model and the data-agile Artificial Neural Network (ANN). While the MODFLOW model provides deep process-based understanding, it is often limited by extensive data requirements and computational intensity. In contrast, an ANN offers remarkable predictive accuracy and computational efficiency, particularly in complex, non-linear systems, but traditionally lacks physical interpretability. This review synthesizes existing research to present a functional classification framework for MODFLOW–ANN integration, providing a systematic analysis of the literature within this structure. Our analysis of the literature, sourced from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar reveals a clear trend of the strategic integration of these models, representing a new trend in hydrogeological simulation. The literature reveals a classification framework that categorizes the primary integration strategies into three distinct approaches: (1) training an ANN on MODFLOW model outputs to create computationally efficient surrogate models; (2) using an ANN to estimate physical parameters for improved MODFLOW model calibration; and (3) applying ANNs as post-processors to correct systematic errors in MODFLOW model simulations. Our analysis reveals that these hybrid methods consistently outperform standalone approaches by leveraging ANNs for computational acceleration through surrogate modeling, for enhanced model calibration via intelligent parameter estimation, and for improved accuracy through systematic error correction. Full article

Effective management of cascade reservoir systems is essential for balancing hydropower generation, flood control, and ecological sustainability, especially under increasingly uncertain runoff conditions driven by climate change. Traditional optimization methods, while widely used, often struggle with high dimensionality and fail to adequately address inflow variability. This study introduces a novel deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework that tightly couples probabilistic runoff forecasting with adaptive reservoir scheduling. We integrate a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network to model runoff uncertainty and generate probabilistic inflow forecasts, which are then embedded into a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm via Monte Carlo sampling. This unified forecast–optimize architecture allows for dynamic policy adjustment in response to stochastic hydrological conditions. A case study on China’s Xiluodu–Xiangjiaba cascade system demonstrates that the proposed LSTM-PPO framework achieves superior performance compared to traditional baselines, notably improving power output, storage utilization, and spillage reduction. The results highlight the method’s robustness and scalability, suggesting strong potential for supporting resilient water–energy nexus management under complex environmental uncertainty. Full article

Water quality (WQ) monitoring is critical for Mexico and the world due to water pollution and scarcity problems in recent years. In this article, a systematic review was conducted considering only forecasting models focused on lentic freshwater bodies (to specialize the analysis of variables, problems, considerations, etc.) from 2019 to 2025 (to ensure the inclusion of the most relevant and new studies). This review analyzes 52 articles focused on the monitoring place, predictors, forecasted variables, configuration of each forecasting model, results with or without multiple forecast horizons, monitoring conditions, forecasting horizon, data availability, and model replicability. Our review shows that the main models documented used to predict WQ are based on machine learning (where RFs are the most used), AI (where ANNs are the most used and LSTM-based architectures are the most implemented), and statistical methods (where MLR is the most used). The principal forecasted WQ variables are Chl-α, DO, and TP. In comparison, the most used predictors are TP, temperature, and Chl-α. Furthermore, only 10 articles have made their databases available, and nine articles share the configuration of their models. Future research should investigate the real impact of data (quantity and inputs) variation in forecasting values for multiple forecast horizons. Full article

Effective flood management in agricultural fields has become increasingly important due to the rising frequency and intensity of rainfall events driven by climate change. This study investigates the applicability of urban flood analysis models—SWMM (1D) and K-Flood (2D)—to irrigated agricultural fields with artificial drainage systems. A case study was conducted in a rural area near the Sindae drainage station in Cheongju, South Korea, using rainfall data from an extreme weather event in 2017. The models simulated inland flooding and were validated against flood trace maps provided by the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis showed a true positive rate of 0.565, a false positive rate of 0.21, and an overall accuracy of 0.731, indicating reasonable agreement with observed inundation. Scenario analyses were also conducted to assess the effectiveness of three improvement strategies: reducing the Manning coefficient, increasing pump station capacity, and widening drainage channels. Among them, increasing pump capacity most effectively reduced flood volume, while channel widening had the greatest impact on reducing flood extent. These findings demonstrate the potential of urban flood models for application in agricultural contexts and support data-driven planning for rural flood mitigation. Full article

In this case study, we used the Delta Simulation Model II (DSM2) to study the salt balance at the land–water interface in the river delta of California’s San Francisco Estuary. Drainage, a source of water and salt for adjacent channels in the study area, is affected by channel salinity. The DSM2 approach has been adopted by several hydrodynamic models of the estuary to enforce water volume balance between diversions, evapotranspiration and drainage at the land–water interface, but does not explicitly enforce salt balance. We found deviations from salt balance to be quite large, albeit variable in magnitude due to the heterogeneity of hydrodynamic and salinity conditions across the study area. We implemented a procedure that approximately enforces salt balance through iterative updates of the baseline drain salinity boundary conditions (termed loose coupling). We found a reasonable comparison with field measurements of drainage salinity. In particular, the adjusted boundary conditions appear to capture the range of observed interannual variability better than the baseline periodic estimates. The effect of the iterative adjustment procedure on channel salinity showed substantial spatial variability: locations dominated by large flows were minimally impacted, and in lower flow channels, deviations between baseline and adjusted channel salinity series were notable, particularly during the irrigation season. This approach, which has the potential to enhance the simulation of extreme salinity intrusion events (when high channel salinity significantly impacts drainage salinity), is essential for robustly modeling hydrodynamic conditions that pre-date contemporary water management infrastructure. We discuss limitations associated with this approach and recommend that—for this case study—further improvements could best be accomplished through code modification rather than coupling of transport and island water balance models. Full article

Floods are natural hazards that have the greatest socioeconomic impact worldwide, given that 23% of the global population live in urban areas at risk of flooding. In this field of research, the analysis of flood risk has traditionally been studied based mainly on approaches specific to civil engineering such as hydraulics and hydrology. However, these patterns of approaching the problem in research seem to be changing in recent years. During the last few years, a growing trend has been observed towards the use of methodology-based approaches oriented towards urban planning and land use management. In this context, this study analyzes the evolution of these research patterns in the field by developing a bibliometric meta-analysis of 2694 scientific publications on this topic published in recent decades. Evaluating keyword co-occurrence using VOSviewer software version 1.6.20, we analyzed how phenomena such as climate change have modified the way of addressing the study of this problem, giving growing weight to the use of integrated approaches improving territorial planning or implementing adaptive strategies, as opposed to the more traditional vision of previous decades, which only focused on the construction of hydraulic infrastructures for flood control. Full article

In arid and semi-arid climates, where water scarcity is a persistent challenge, accurately estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET) becomes essential for sustainable water management and agricultural planning. The objectives of this study are to compare hourly ET among P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA mathematical models. In addition to the accuracy assessment of daily ET derived from hourly timestep calculations for the P–M ASCE, P–M FAO, and P–M KSA. To achieve these goals, a total of 525,600-min data points from the Riyadh region, KSA, were used to compute the reference ET at multiple temporal resolutions: hourly, daily, hourly averaged over 24 h, and daily as the sum of 24 h values, across all selected Penman–Monteith (P–M) models. For hourly investigation, the comparison between reference ET computed as average hourly values and as daily/24 h values revealed statistically and practically significant differences. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001) with R² of 94.75% for ASCE, 94.87% for KSA at h_plt = 50 cm, 92.41% for FAO, and 92.44% for KSA at h_plt = 12 cm. For daily investigation, comparing the sum of 24 h ET computations to daily ET measurements revealed an underestimation of daily ET values. The Wilcoxon test confirmed a statistically significant difference (p < 0.0001), with R² exceeding 90% for all studied reference ET models. This comprehensive approach enabled a rigorous evaluation of reference ET dynamics under hyper-arid climatic conditions, which are characteristic of central Saudi Arabia. The findings contribute to the growing body of literature emphasizing the importance of high-frequency meteorological data for improving ET estimation accuracy in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article

There is a long tradition of studying river sharing problems. A central question frequently examined and addressed is how common benefits or costs can be distributed fairly. In this context, axiomatic approaches of cooperative game theory often use contradictory principles of international water law, which are strictly rejected in practice. That leads to the question: Are these methods suitable for a real-world application? First, we conduct a systematic literature review based on the PRISMA approach to categorise the river sharing problems. We identified several articles describing a variety of methods and real-world applications, highlighting interdisciplinary interest. Second, we evaluate the identified axiomatic literature related to TU games with regard to their suitability for real-world applications. We exclude those “standalone” methods that exclusively follow extreme principles and/or do not describe cooperative behaviour. This is essential for a fair distribution. Third, we propose to use the traditional game-theoretical approach of airport games in the context of river protection measures to ensure a better economic interpretation and to enforce future cooperation in the joint implementation of protective measures. Full article

Drought is one of the most complex natural hazards, characterized by its slow onset, persistent nature, diverse sectoral impacts (e.g., agriculture, water resources, ecosystems), and dependence on meteorological, hydrological, and socioeconomic factors. Over the years, significant scientific effort has been devoted to developing methodologies that address its multifaceted nature, reflecting the interdisciplinary challenges of drought analysis. However, previous reviews have typically focused on individual methods, while this study presents a unified, multidisciplinary framework that integrates multiple drought analysis methods and links them to key factors guiding method selection. To address this gap, five widely used methods—index-based, remote sensing, threshold-level methods (TLM), impact-based methods, and the storyline approach—are critically evaluated from a multidisciplinary perspective. In addition, the study examines spatial and temporal trends in scientific publications, illustrating how the application of these methods has evolved over time and across regions. The primary objective of this review is twofold: (1) to provide a holistic, state-of-the-art synthesis of these methods, their applications, and their limitations; and (2) to evaluate and prioritize the critical decision-making factors, including drought type, data type/availability, study scale, and management objectives that influence method selection. By bridging this gap, the paper offers a conceptual decision-support framework for selecting context-appropriate drought analysis methods. However, challenges remain, including the vast diversity of methods beyond the scope of this review and the limited consideration of less influential factors such as user expertise, computational resources, and policy context. The paper concludes with insights and recommendations for optimizing method selection under varying circumstances, aiming to support both drought research and effective policy implementation. Full article

The prediction and management of water quality are critical to ensure sustainable water resources, particularly in regions like Malaysia, where rivers face increasing pollution from industrialisation, agriculture, and urban expansion. This review aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of machine learning (ML) models and statistical methods applied in forecasting and classification of water quality. A particular focus is given to hybrid models that integrate multiple approaches to improve predictive accuracy and robustness. This study also reviews water quality standards and highlights the environmental context that necessitates advanced predictive tools. Statistical techniques such as residual analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), and feature importance assessment are also explored to enhance model interpretability and reliability. Comparative tables of model performance, strengths, and limitations are presented alongside real-world applications. Despite recent advancements, challenges remain in data quality, model interpretability, and integration of spatio-temporal and fuzzy logic techniques. This review identifies key research gaps and proposes future directions for developing transparent, adaptive, and accurate models. The findings can also guide researchers and policymakers towards the development of smart water quality management systems that enhance decision-making and ecological sustainability. Full article

Given that the Sunkoshi River watershed (located in the southern foot of the Himalayas) is sensitive to climate change and its mountain ecosystem provides important services, we aim to evaluate its spatial and temporal variation patterns of vegetation, represented by the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), during 2000–2021 and identify the dominant driving factors of vegetation change. Based on the NDVI dataset (MOD13A1), we used the simple linear trend model, seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method, and Mann–Kendall test to investigate the spatiotemporal variation features of NDVI during 2000–2021 on multiple scales (annual, seasonal, monthly). We used the partial correlation coefficient (PCC) to quantify the response of the NDVI to land surface temperature (LST), precipitation, humidity, and soil moisture. The results indicate that the annual NDVI in 52.6% of the study area (with elevation of 1–3 km) increased significantly, while 0.9% of the study area (due to urbanization) degraded significantly during 2000–2021. Daytime LST dominates NDVI changes on spring, summer, and winter scales, while precipitation, soil moisture, and nighttime LST are the primary impact factors on annual NDVI changes. After removing the influence of soil moisture, the contributions of climate factors to NDVI change are enhanced. Precipitation shows a 3-month lag effect and a 5-month cumulative effect on the NDVI; both daytime LST and soil moisture have a 4-month lag effect on the NDVI; and humidity exhibits a 2-month cumulative effect on the NDVI. Overall, the study area turned green during 2000–2021. The dominant driving factors of NDVI change may vary on different time scales. The findings will be beneficial for climate change impact assessment on the regional eco-environment, and for integrated watershed management. Full article

Accurate rainfall quantile estimation is critical for urban flood management, particularly given the escalating climate change impacts. This study comprehensively compared at-site frequency analysis and regional frequency analysis for sub-hourly rainfall quantile estimation, using data from 27 sites across Seoul. The analysis focused on Seoul’s disaster prevention framework (30-year and 100-year return periods). Employing L-moment statistics and Monte Carlo simulations, the rainfall quantiles were estimated, the methodological performance was evaluated, and Seoul’s current disaster prevention standards were assessed. The analysis revealed significant spatio-temporal variability in Seoul’s precipitation, causing considerable uncertainty in individual site estimates. A performance evaluation, including the relative root mean square error and confidence interval, consistently showed regional frequency analysis superiority over at-site frequency analysis. While at-site frequency analysis demonstrated better performance only for short return periods (e.g., 2 years), regional frequency analysis exhibited a substantially lower relative root mean square error and significantly narrower confidence intervals for larger return periods (e.g., 10, 30, 100 years). This methodology reduced the average 95% confidence interval width by a factor of approximately 2.7 (26.98 mm versus 73.99 mm). This enhanced reliability stems from the information-pooling capabilities of regional frequency analysis, mitigating uncertainties due to limited record lengths and localized variabilities. Critically, regionally derived 100-year rainfall estimates consistently exceeded Seoul’s 100 mm disaster prevention threshold across most areas, suggesting that the current infrastructure may be substantially under-designed. The use of minute-scale data underscored its necessity for urban hydrological modeling, highlighting the inadequacy of conventional daily rainfall analyses. Full article

River embankments are critical flood defense structures, stretching for thousands of kilometers across alluvial plains. They often originated as natural levees resulting from overbank flows and were later enlarged using locally available soils yet rarely designed according to modern engineering standards. Substantially under-characterized, their performance to extreme events provides an invaluable opportunity to highlight their vulnerability and then to improve monitoring, management, and reinforcement strategies. In May 2023, two extreme meteorological events hit the Emilia-Romagna region in rapid succession, causing numerous breaches along river embankments and therefore widespread flooding of cities and territories. These were followed by two additional intense events in September and October 2024, marking an unprecedented frequency of extreme precipitation episodes in the history of the region. This study presents the methodology adopted to create a regional database of 66 major breaches and damages that occurred during May 2023 extensive floods. The database integrates multi-source information, including field surveys; remote sensing data; and eyewitness documentation collected before, during, and after the events. Preliminary interpretation enabled the identification of the most likely failure mechanisms—primarily external erosion, internal erosion, and slope instability—often acting in combination. The database, unprecedented in Italy and with few parallels worldwide, also supported a statistical analysis of breach widths in relation to failure mechanisms, crucial for improving flood hazard models, which often rely on generalized assumptions about breach development. By offering insights into the real-scale behavior of a regional river defense system, the dataset provides an important tool to support river embankments risk assessment and future resilience strategies. Full article

The Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta, characterized by complex topography and hydrological conditions, is highly susceptible to recurrent flooding, particularly in its coastal regions where tidal dynamics hinder floodwater discharge. This study integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery with machine learning (ML) techniques to assess near real-time flood inundation patterns associated with extreme weather events, including recent cyclones between 2017 to 2024 (namely, Mora, Titli, Fani, Amphan, Yaas, Sitrang, Midhili, and Remal) as well as intense monsoonal rainfall during the same period, across a large spatial scale, to support disaster risk management efforts. Three machine learning algorithms, namely, random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN), were applied to flood extent data derived from SAR imagery to enhance flood detection accuracy. Among these, the SVM algorithm demonstrated the highest classification accuracy (75%) and exhibited superior robustness in delineating flood-affected areas. The analysis reveals that both cyclone intensity and rainfall magnitude significantly influence flood extent, with the western coastal zone (e.g., Morrelganj and Kaliganj) being most consistently affected. The peak inundation extent was observed during the 2023 monsoon (10,333 sq. km), while interannual variability in rainfall intensity directly influenced the spatial extent of flood-affected zones. In parallel, eight major cyclones, including Amphan (2020) and Remal (2024), triggered substantial flooding, with the most severe inundation recorded during Cyclone Remal with an area of 9243 sq. km. Morrelganj and Chakaria were consistently identified as flood hotspots during both monsoonal and cyclonic events. Comparative analysis indicates that cyclones result in larger areas with low-level inundation (19,085 sq. km) compared to monsoons (13,829 sq. km). However, monsoon events result in a larger area impacted by frequent inundation, underscoring the critical role of rainfall intensity. These findings underscore the utility of SAR-ML integration in operational flood monitoring and highlight the urgent need for localized, event-specific flood risk management strategies to enhance flood resilience in the GBM delta. Full article